NFL Game Previews: 49ers-Cardinals Matchup

San Francisco vs. Arizona (+8) in Mexico City, o/u 43.5
Monday, 8:15 p.m. EST

The 49ers completed their Los Angeles sweep last week (two over the Rams, one over the Chargers) but still sit half a game back of the Seahawks in the NFC West. Coming out on top here means they're in first place, riding a three-game win streak, and finally starting to look like a Super Bowl contender. Christian McCaffrey has three TDs in his first two full games with his new club, but surprisingly it was Elijah Mitchell who had the better day on the ground. There's no way the Niners traded for CMac just to stick him in a timeshare, but Kyle Shanahan can probably find enough work for both to be productive down the stretch. The loser so far in the offense has been Deebo Samuel, who has just 95 scrimmage yards over the last two games combined, but once the whole unit starts clicking into gear he should have his moments too. Meanwhile, the defense gave up 30 total points in those last two L.A. Wins and has held every team its faced except for Kansas City (the exception to every rule) and, weirdly, the Panthers under 300 yards of offense, so all the pieces are there for a deep playoff run. It's just a question of whether Shanahan can put them all together.

The Cardinals have four wins, but they've come against the Raiders, Panthers, Saints and Rams, which should really only add up to about 2.5 wins (and that's being generous.) Kyler Murray didn't play last week due to a hamstring strain and is iffy coming into this one too – for the record, if Colt McCoy is under center instead, the final score looks more like 30-24, which tells you how off Murray's been this season. I'll assume he plays, although that might be a poor call if the coaching staff decided not to risk him behind an offensive line that will be missing four regular starters. Arizona's defense got off the mat last week, holding the Rams to 17 points after coughing up more than 30 in three straight, but that likely had more to do with who they were playing than anything the Cards did themselves. This is a roster built to win shootouts, only the offense keeps mis-firing. Maybe having DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown in the lineup at the same time will spark things, but that won't happen Monday.

One extra note here: the altitude in Mexico City makes the over a dicey proposition – no prior game in Estadio Azteca has seen a total over the mid-40s – and I was tempted to shave the score down to 27-14, but exhaustion hits the defense as well as the offense, and the 49ers' run-after-catch guys could easily leave Cards' defenders crawling for the oxygen tanks.

The Skinny

SF injuries: QB Trey Lance (IR, ankle), DT Arik Armstead (questionable, foot), CB Emmanuel Moseley (IR, knee), CB Jason Verrett (IR, Achilles)
ARI injuries: QB Murray (questionable, hamstring), RB Darrel Williams (IR, hip), WR Hopkins (questionable, hamstring), WR Brown (IR-R, foot), TE Zach Ertz (out, knee), LT D.J. Humphries (out, back), LG Justin Pugh (IR, knee), LG Max Garcia (questionable, shoulder), C Rodney Hudson (IR, knee), RG Will Hernandez (IR, chest), CB Byron Murphy (questionable, back), S Budda Baker (questionable, ankle)

SF DFS targets: George Kittle $5,400 DK / $5,900 FD (ARI 31st in DVOA vs. TE)
ARI DFS targets: A.J. Green $3,800 DK / $5,200 FD (SF 31st in DVOA vs. WR3)

SF DFS fades: Samuel $6,900 DK / $7,000 FD (ARI first in DVOA vs. WR1)
ARI DFS fades: James Conner $6,300 DK / $6,800 FD (SF third in rushing DVOA, first in rushing yards per game allowed, first in YPC allowed, first in passing DVOA vs. RB)

Key stat: SF fifth in third-down conversions at 45.6 percent; ARI 26th in third-down defense at 46.0 percent

Head-to-head record, last five years: 7-3 ARI, average score 22-19 ARI, average margin of victory seven points

Weather forecast: cloudy, temperature in the high 50s, less than 10 mph wind, 10-15 percent chance of rain

The Scoop McCaffrey lights it up for 110 combined yards and two TDs, while Mitchell adds 60 yards. Jimmy Garoppolo throws for 260 yards and two scores, finding Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk. Conner manages 50 yards. Murray starts and throws for 240 yards and two touchdowns, both to Hopkins (who tops 100 yards). Jalen Thompson scoops up a fumble and returns it to the house to keep things somewhat close. 49ers 34-21

Chicago (+3.5) at Atlanta, o/u 50 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

I'm not sure I've ever seen a bigger disparity between enthusiasm for a player and a team, and what they're actually doing on a football field. Everyone is dazzled by Justin Fields' historic rushing numbers, and buying into his occasional flickers of competence as a passer, but they aren't leading to much in the way of results. The Bears are in the NFC North basement at 3-7, and Fields' season high for completions in a game is 17. That's, like, a decent half for Patrick Mahomes or Justin Herbert. Kenny Pickett has completed more passes so far this year than Fields, and he's started half as many games. Meanwhile, a Chicago defense that got gutted at the trade deadline has coughed up 38.3 points a game over the last three weeks. Don't get me wrong, Fields is hella fun to watch, but Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson all showed significant improvement as passers in their second NFL seasons, boosting their completion percentages by an average of about 7.7 percent. Fields' completion percentage right now is exactly the same as it was in 2021.

Speaking of defenses that need some work, the Panthers have scored more than 24 points in a game twice all year. Both times, it was against the Falcons, and the two teams wound up splitting their season series after Atlanta got trampled 25-15 last week. They're lost three of their last four and watched Tampa cruise past them in the NFC South, and the Falcons' playoff chances are looking very tenuous all of a sudden. Arthur Smith insists Marcus Mariota is is QB and he's got no intention of making a change, which kind of makes you wonder how bad Desmond Ridder has looked in practice. Mariota's numbers aren't terrible on their face, but he's managed to top 200 yards in a game only three times in 10 starts, and his 12:7 TD:INT is mediocre at best. Combine that with a backfield that now seems to be a full committee between Cordarrelle Patterson, Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley, and it's no wonder this team hasn't scored more than 17 points in any of its three recent losses.

The Skinny

CHI injuries: RB Khalil Herbert (IR, hip), C Lucas Patrick (IR, toe), C Doug Kramer (IR, lower leg), RG Teven Jenkins (questionable, hip), DE Al-Quadin Muhammad (questionable, knee)
ATL injuries: RB Damien Williams (IR, ribs), LG Elijah Wilkinson (IR, knee), LG Matt Hennessy (IR, knee), LG Jalen Mayfield (IR-R, back), CB A.J. Terrell (questionable, hamstring), CB Casey Hayward (IR, shoulder)

CHI DFS targets: Fields $7,600 DK / $8,700 FD (ATL 29th in passing DVOA, 32nd in passing yards per game allowed), Chase Claypool $4,800 DK / $5,600 FD (ATL 27th in DVOA vs. WR2)
ATL DFS targets: Mariota $5,500 DK / $7,200 FD (CHI 30th in passing DVOA, 30th in YPA allowed), Patterson $6,200 DK / $6,700 FD and Allgeier $4,900 DK / $6,000 FD (CHI 28th in rushing yards per game allowed, 32nd in rushing TDs allowed), Drake London $5,100 DK / $5,700 FD (CHI 30th in DVOA vs. WR1)

CHI DFS fades: none
ATL DFS fades: none

Key stat: ATL t-8th in red-zone conversions at 61.3 percent; CHI 27th in red-zone defense at 66.7 percent

The Scoop: David Montgomery piles up 100 combined yards and a score. Fields throws for 200 yards and a touchdown to Darnell Mooney while also running in a TD. Patterson runs for 80 yards and a touchdown, while Allgeier adds 50 yards and a TD. Mariota throws for 220 yards and a score to London. Falcons 27-24

Carolina (+12) at Baltimore, o/u 42 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

The Panthers might have the funniest record in the NFL. They're 3-7, but all three wins have come against other NFC South teams, which just bolsters the division's case for being the weakest in the league. Carolina's also one of only two remaining clubs without a road win (surprising no one, Las Vegas is the other), so the spread in this one might actually be downright conservative. The Panthers are turning back to Baker Mayfield under center after it became PJ Walker's turn to deal with an ankle injury, but at some point Sam Darnold should also get a chance to make his case for 2023. No matter who's at QB though, this is now D'Onta Foreman's offense. He's topped 110 rushing yards in three of the last four games with a 6.3 YPC, doing his best impression of the guy he apprenticed under the prior two season, Derrick Henry. Of course, two of those big performances came against the Falcons, so it might be a bit premature to declare him a true RB1. The defense has also been vulnerable, surrendering 37 or more points in three of the last six games, and the common denominator in those three games was a poor showing against the run, highlighted by Joe Mixon's four-TD eruption a couple weeks ago. When have the Ravens ever been known for running the ball down your throat, though?

One more factoid to consider if you're thinking about fading Baltimore here and ride that Chaos Season wave – John Harbaugh's Ravens are 11-3 after a bye. The team is steaming toward an AFC North title, having won three straight before getting a Week 10 breather, and it's rounding into form on both sides of the ball. J.K. Dobbins is still at least a couple weeks from returning and Gus Edwards missed the Ravens' last game, but Kenyan Drake has topped 100 scrimmage yards twice in the last four games. As per usual, the specific person getting the carries matters less than defenses being forced to account for Lamar Jackson. It's been a somewhat erratic year so far for the QB – his 6.9 YPA would be a career low, and his 62.3 percent completion rate would be his lowest since he was a rookie – but he's also on pace for over 1,000 rushing yards for the third time in his career, and 30 passing TDs for the second time. Getting Mark Andrews back at something close to full health would help, as the stud tight end hasn't looked like himself since Week 6, and the Ravens' receiving corps is otherwise one of the worst in the league.

The Skinny

CAR injuries: QB Walker (out, ankle), C Pat Elflein (IR, hip), CB Donte Jackson (IR, Achilles), CB Jaycee Horn (questionable, foot), S Jeremy Chinn (IR-R, hamstring), S Myles Hartsfield (doubtful, ankle)
BAL injuries: RB Dobbins (IR, knee), RB Edwards (questionable, hamstring), WR Rashod Bateman (IR, foot), TE Andrews (questionable, shoulder), CB Kyle Fuller (IR, knee), S Marcus Williams (IR, wrist)

CAR DFS targets: none
BAL DFS targets: James Proche $3,800 DK / $5,100 FD (CAR 28th in DVOA vs. WR3)

CAR DFS fades: none
BAL DFS fades: none

Key stat: CAR 32nd in third-down conversions at 28.3 percent; BAL fifth in third-down defense at 33.7 percent

Weather forecast: clear, temperature in the high 30s, 16 mph wind, zero percent chance of rain

The Scoop Foreman leads the CAR backfield with 50 yards and a touchdown. Mayfield throws for under 200 yards and a score to DJ Moore. Edwards plays and leads the BAL backfield with 80 yards and a TD, while Drake adds 60 yards and a score. Jackson throws for 230 yards and a touchdown to Andrews. Ravens 24-14

Cleveland (+8.5) vs, Buffalo in Detroit, o/u 41 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

Well, I had a whole paean to snow games written up that I can just toss in the wastebasket now because the NFL decided to move this contest indoors. Harumph! Godspeed to everyone in Buffalo who tries to tailgate in that blizzard. At 3-6, and having dropped five of their last six, the Browns are pretty much done, but their closing schedule is weak enough that Deshaun Watson should be able to rack up some meaningless wins once he joins the lineup. There's still two weeks of Jacoby Brissett to get through before then, though. Brissett has a 4:4 TD:INT over that six-game stretch and has failed to reach a 7.0 YPA in four of them. Even his good games aren't all that great. Nick Chubb leads the league in rushing TDs and has a 5.7 YPC, but Cleveland's still not finding enough volume for him. He turned 11 carries into 63 yards and a score last week in Miami, while Kareem Hunt turned six carries into nine yards. That arrangement seems less than optimal.

What's up with the Bills – or more specifically, what's up with Josh Allen? Since the team's Week 7 bye, he's thrown six INTs in three games and posted a sub-55 percent completion rate twice. This started before he hurt his elbow too, so that's no excuse. Those numbers are bad enough that you'd think he'd joined Kyler Murray's Call of Duty squad or something. The skid hasn't just cost Allen ground in the MVP race, it's led to two straight losses and third place in the AFC East. The defense also gave up more than 21 points last week for the first time all year, and remains at less than 100 percent, but it's hard to read too much into it given that Minnesota got there by making plays like That One. You know the one. The Bills aren't going to face Justin Jefferson again this year until maybe the Super Bowl, and I don't think many fans would complain too much if those two teams ran it back in February.

The Skinny

CLE injuries: QB Watson (out, suspension), TE David Njoku (questionable, ankle), LB Anthony Walker (IR, quadriceps), CB Greg Newsome (out, concussion)
BUF injuries: LB Tremaine Edmunds (out, groin), CB Tre'Davious White (out, knee), S Micah Hyde (IR, neck), S Jordan Poyer (questionable, elbow)

CLE DFS targets: none
BUF DFS targets: Devin Singletary $5,800 DK / $6,400 FD (CLE 32nd in rushing DVOA, 27th in YPC allowed, t-30th in rushing TDs allowed)

CLE DFS fades: Donovan Peoples-Jones $4,600 DK / $5,900 FD (BUF fourth in DVOA vs. WR2), David Bell $3,500 DK / $4,900 FD (BUF fourth in DVOA vs. WR3), Njoku $3,900 DK / $5,800 FD and Harrison Bryant $3,100 DK / $5,000 FD (BUF second in DVOA vs. TE)
BUF DFS fades: none

Key stat: BUF first in third-down conversions at 52.4 percent; CLE 18th in third-down defense at 41.3 percent

The Scoop: Chubb chugs for 110 yards and a touchdown. Brissett throws for 230 yards and a score to Amari Cooper. Singletary gains 70 yards and a TD, while Nyheim Hines adds 50 combined yards. Allen throws for 280 yards and three touchdowns, finding Stefon Diggs (who tops 100 yards) twice and Dawson Knox once. Bills 34-17

Washington at Houston (+3.5), o/u 40.5 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

The weirdest thing about Monday's upset of the Eagles is that the game wasn't particularly close after the first quarter. The Commanders just kept grinding clock and grinding out yards on the ground, and Philly's front seven seemed helpless to stop them, to the point that Howie Roseman ran out and signed 642 pounds worth of defensive tackles in the aftermath of the loss. That's a pretty decisive win. Taylor Heinicke's now 3-1 as a starter, even though statistically he hasn't been that good, and the team may not have a lot of incentive to switch back to Carson Wentz once he gets healthy. Terry McLaurin certainly doesn't want to see Wentz back under center. He's averaging six catches for 92.5 yards a game with Heinicke, and 3.7 catches for 61.2 yards a game with Wentz. Washington is just outside of a wild-card spot right now at 5-5, and while the team's remaining schedule isn't exactly favorable – they face the Giants twice, plus Dallas and San Francisco once each – this is exactly the kind of matchup they need to take advantage of if they want to keep playing after Week 18. Chase Young should also give the defense a boost for the stretch run eventually, although it doesn't look like that will happen this week.

Once again, my algorithm (which will get torn down and rebuilt from scratch in the offseason) operates under the delusion the Texans are a real NFL team, and at this point I'm loathe to overrule it in case there's someone out there making bank fading my Houston call every week. They remain the odds-on favorite to pick first overall in 2023, have lost four straight coming out of their bye, and have topped 20 points in a game only once this season while coughing up at least 23 in five of the last seven. Dameon Pierce remains the only consistent bright spot in an otherwise terrible offense, and the defense simply lacks talent across the board. Maybe the Commanders have a post-big upset hangover or something, but really, the Texans' only hope from this point on is for another team to lose to them. There's nothing to suggest they have the horses to actually beat anyone. I mean, they even lost to the Raiders.

The Skinny

WAS injuries: QB Wentz (IR, finger), RB J.D. McKissic (out, neck), C Chase Roullier (IR, knee), C Wes Schweitzer (IR, concussion), DE Young (PUP-R, knee), LB Cole Holcomb (out, foot)
HOU injuries: C Justin Britt (NFI-R, personal), DE Jonathan Greenard (IR, calf), CB Derek Stingley (out, hamstring)

WAS DFS targets: Brian Robinson $5,300 DK / $6,600 FD and Antonio Gibson $5,600 DK / $6,600 FD (HOU 31st in rushing DVOA, 32nd in rushing yards per game allowed, 29th in YPC allowed, t-28th in rushing TDs allowed), McLaurin $5,900 DK / $7,300 FD (HOU 31st in DVOA vs. WR1), Curtis Samuel $5,300 DK / $6,100 FD (HOU 31st in DVOA vs. WR2)
HOU DFS targets: Nico Collins $4,100 DK / $5,900 FD (WAS 32nd in DVOA vs. WR2), Chris Moore $4,000 DK / $5,400 FD (WAS 27th in DVOA vs. WR3)

WAS DFS fades: none
HOU DFS fades: Pierce $6,500 DK / $7,600 FD (WAS second in rushing DVOA, t-3rd in rushing TDs allowed), Jordan Akins $2,600 DK / $4,700 FD (WAS third in DVOA vs. TE)

Key stat: HOU 30th in third-down conversions at 31.0 percent; WAS seventh in third-down defense at 34.7 percent

The Scoop Robinson leads the WAS backfield with 80 yards, while Gibson adds 50 yards. Heinicke throws for 220 yards and a TD to McLaurin but gets picked off twice. Pierce manages 60 yards. Davis Mills throws for 250 yards and a score to Collins. Texans 16-10

Philadelphia at Indianapolis (+6.5), o/u 43.5 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

Say what you want about the Eagles, but I bet there are a lot of fans of a lot of other teams that saw Howie Roseman run out and sign Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph after the Commanders jacked up Philly's front seven and thought, "Hey, why doesn't my GM do stuff like that?" Last week's loss was not just disappointing, it was baffling, although another abysmal display of officiating and general NFL incompetence didn't help. I mean, someone will have to explain to me why a facemask call wasn't already something that could be reviewed – especially when the defender is dragging down Dallas Goedert like a steer at a rodeo. Anyway, they're still 8-1, still have a credible claim to being the best team in the league, still have Jalen Hurts at quarterback, still have skill players coming out the wazoo, and still have the best pair of corners on the planet (Darius Slay has a QB rating in coverage of 30.3, and that's higher than James Bradberry's 25.2). Oh, and now they're mad, too.

What the Eagles don't have, though, is the only undefeated coach in the NFL. Jeff Saturday's win in his debut was a remarkable bit of business, and I mean that in the con artist/magician sort of sense. The Colts got to welcome him into the fold with a game against a team that's full-on imploding, and Saturday then did a bait-and-switch at QB by initially smiling and nodding at the idea Sam Ehlinger was still the guy and then immediately going back to Matt Ryan once Jim Irsay's back was turned. To be fair, I assume Irsay had to approve the decision at some point – Saturday isn't going to be the guy paying the rest of Ryan's 2023 salary if it locks in due to injury – but it's not like Irsay could do anything about it if he didn't like it, after going out on a limb to pick the first-time coach. What was he going to do, fire him for winning? The offense did look a little more lively with Ryan at the helm, and Jonathan Taylor got going, but again, it all happened against the Raiders. A win over Las Vegas at this point means something between diddly and squat – and squat just lost all its money at the blackjack table and left town.

The Skinny

PHI injuries: TE Goedert (IR, shoulder), DE Derek Barnett (IR, knee)
IND injuries: RT Braden Smith (questionable, back), DE Kwity Paye (out, ankle), LB Zaire Franklin (questionable, illness), LB Shaquille Leonard (IR, back)

PHI DFS targets: Jack Stoll $2,500 DK / $4,400 FD (IND 28th in DVOA vs. TE), Eagles DST $3,900 DK / $4,800 FD (t-4th in sacks, first in takeaways, IND t-31st in sacks, t-30th in giveaways)
IND DFS targets: none

PHI DFS fades: Miles Sanders $6,900 DK / $7,300 FD (IND fifth in rushing DVOA, second in YPC allowed), Quez Watkins $3,700 DK / $5,300 FD (IND first in DVOA vs. WR3)
IND DFS fades: Ryan $5,200 DK / $7,100 FD (PHI first in passing DVOA, second in passing yards per game allowed, second in YPA allowed), Michael Pittman $6,100 DK / $6,700 FD (PHI third in DVOA vs. WR1), Parris Campbell $4,300 DK / $5,800 FD (PHI first in DVOA vs. WR2)

Key stat: PHI third in red-zone conversions at 72.7 percent; IND 21st in red-zone defense at 59.3 percent

The Scoop: Sanders gains 70 yards. Hurts throws for 280 yards and two TDs, finding A.J. Brown and Stoll, while also running for 40 yards in a score of his own. Taylor churns out 100 yards and a touchdown. Ryan throws for 250 yards and gets picks off twice, one of which Slay returns to the house. Eagles 31-13

N.Y. Jets (+3) at New England, o/u 38.5 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

It's not often you see a team improve their positioning for a division title on their bye, but that's what happened for the Jets when the Bills dropped another one. Gang Green is now second in the AFC East, a half-game behind the Dolphins – and oh, by the way, they beat Miami in their first meeting this season too. The Jets defense continues to lead the way, holding six straight opponents to 22 points or less (the Patriots hold the high-water mark during that stretch.) The offense hasn't scored more than 20 in three straight though, so their margin for error seems pretty slim at the moment. The loss of Breece Hall will loom large for the club in the second half, but Michael Carter looked pretty good against Buffalo with a 12-76-1 line on the ground, and James Robinson got into the end zone too. The duo should be competent, at the very least. That's more than can be said for Zach Wilson, who's headed for his second straight second with a sub-60 percent completion rate and an underwater TD:INT. Joe Flacco isn't the answer either, but this could be a very attractive destination for a free-agent Jimmy GQ in the offseason. Err, I mean free-agent QB.

The Patriots are in the AFC East basement, but they're far from out of the playoff picture at 5-4. New England had won four of five heading into last week's bye, and like the Jets, it was on the strength of the defense – the Pats have won every game this season in which they've held their opponent to 17 points or less, but are 0-4 when they don't. The backfield was drifting back toward a timeshare as Damien Harris got healthier, with Rhamondre Stevenson seeing 18 touches to Harris' 13 in Week 9, but Stevenson still looks like the 1A option based on performance. Mac Jones also wasn't doing much to quell Zappemania, posting a tepid 5.2 YPA over his last two starts, but Bill Belichick would probably prefer his quarterback not do too much anyway. I mean, it's the Jets. He's got this. Basically, these are two very similar teams on the field, but while the Jets have a good head coach in Robert Saleh, the Pats have the necromancer that gets young New York QBs seeing ghosts.

The Skinny

NYJ injuries: RB Hall (IR, knee), WR Corey Davis (out, knee), RG Alijah Vera-Tucker (IR, triceps), RG Nate Herbig (questionable, shin), RT Mekhi Becton (IR, knee), RT George Fant (IR, knee), RT Max Mitchell (IR-R, knee)
NE injuries: WR DeVante Parker (questionable, knee), RT Marcus Cannon (IR, concussion)

NYJ DFS targets: none
NE DFS targets: Patriots DST $3,700 DK / $5,000 FD (t-2nd in sacks, t-3rd in takeaways)

NYJ DFS fades: Garrett Wilson $4,900 DK / $6,200 FD (NE fourth in DVOA vs. WR1)
NE DFS fades: Jones $5,100 DK / $6,500 FD (NYJ third in YPA allowed, t-2nd in passing TDs allowed), Parker $4,100 DK / $5,200 FD (NYJ fifth in DVOA vs. WR2)

Key stat: NYJ 13th in red-zone conversions at 57.1 percent; NE ninth in red-zone defense at 51.9 percent

Head-to-head record, last five-plus years: 11-0 NE, average score 31-12 NE, average margin of victory 19 points. NE has won 13 straight in this rivalry, including a 22-17 victory in Week 8

Weather forecast: clear, temperature in the high 30s, 14-16 mph wind, zero percent chance of rain

The Scoop: Robinson leads the NYJ backfield with 60 yards and a TD, while Carter adds 50 yards. Wilson throws for under 200 yards. Stevenson leads the NE backfield with 80 yards and a score, while Harris chips in 40. Jones throws for under 200 yards and gets picked off twice, but does find Jonnu Smith for a touchdown. Patriots 14-13

L.A. Rams (+4.5) at New Orleans, o/u 39 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

The Rams' Super Bowl hangover has turned into a Lost Weekend, if not unending Days of Wine and Roses. They've lost three straight and five of six to fall to the bottom of the NFC West, with the offense scoring 17 points or less in all five losses. Remember when Sean McVay was an offensive genius? The defense hasn't been quite as bad, but it's also generated zero turnovers in those five losses, so there's plenty of blame to go around. Now Cooper Kupp's out, so the team really just seems kind of pitiful, to the point that I'd feel like I was kicking a puppy if I made a callback to my early-season Lance McCutcheon gags. They might as well take a look at guys like him and Kyren Williams, though. Nothing else (aside from throwing the ball to Kupp) has worked.

The Saints are also an injury-riddled three-win team, but at least they're in a division where no one is above .500. Andy Dalton continues to get the nod under center, but it's increasingly unclear why. Toss out his one big game against the Cards in Week 7, and he's got a 7:4 TD:INT in his six starts, but three of those picks have come in his last two, with New Orleans scoring a combined 23 points in those two outings. His ceiling is being merely competent, but Dennis Allen seems to prefer that to Jameis Winston's more volatile spread of potential performances. That's not helping the team's skill players, though. Alvin Kamara's managed 107 scrimmage yards over those two games – that's total, not per game – while Chris Olave is seeing his volume dwindle and a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year Award slip through his fingers. The only team they've beat since Week 5 is the Raiders, which means they haven't beaten a real team since Week 5. The Rams might barely qualify right now too, but a victory here could catapult into second place in the NFC South, which would be kind of hilarious. Chaos season doesn't just apply to individual games, after all.

The Skinny

LAR injuries: WR Kupp (IR, ankle), LT Joe Noteboom (IR, Achilles), LT Alaric Jackson (IR, illness), C Brian Allen (out, thumb), RG Tremayne Anchrum (IR, lower leg), RG Logan Bruss (IR, knee), S Jordan Fuller (IR, hamstring)
NO injuries: RB Mark Ingram (out, knee), WR Michael Thomas (IR, toe), LT Trevor Penning (IR-R, toe), LT James Hurst (out, concussion), LG Andrus Peat (questionable, triceps), C Erik McCoy (IR, calf), DE Cameron Jordan (out, eye), DE Marcus Davenport (out, calf), LB Pete Werner (out, ankle), CB Marshon Lattimore (out, abdomen), CB Bradley Roby (IR, ankle)

LAR DFS targets: Ben Skowronek $3,900 DK / $5,300 FD (NO 29th in DVOA vs. WR3)
NO DFS targets: none

LAR DFS fades: Tyler Higbee $4,000 DK / $6,200 FD (NO first in DVOA vs. TE)
NO DFS fades: Kamara $7,600 DK / $7,500 FD (LAR fourth in rushing DVOA, fourth in rushing yards per game allowed, fourth in YPC allowed), Kevin White $3,000 DK / $4,700 FD (LAR third in DVOA vs. WR3)

Key stat: LAR 25th in red-zone conversions at 50.0 percent; NO fifth in red-zone defense at 48.3 percent

The Scoop: Darrell Henderson leads the LAR backfield with 80 combined yards. Matthew Stafford throws for 230 yards and a TD to Allen Robinson, but also throws a pick-six to Paulson Adebo. Kamara grinds out 70 scrimmage yards. Dalton throws for 250 yards and two touchdowns, hitting Olave and Juwan Johnson. Saints 21-16

Detroit (+3) at N.Y. Giants, o/u 45.5 – Sunday, 1 p.m. EST

Six times this season, including two of the last three games, the total in a Lions game has gone over 50 points. Just sayin'. Detroit's offense is getting healthier too, and while D'Andre Swift has been kept in bubble wrap the last couple weeks, Amon-Ra St. Brown was back in form against the Bears, and both DJ Chark and rookie Jameson Williams are closing in on returns/debuts. The defense deserves plenty of credit for the consistent pinball numbers on the scoreboard, of course, and so far this season only the Packers have failed to score at least 24 points against the Lions. Even in chaos season, few things have been as predictable as frequent trips to the end zone in Detroit games.

Another week, another one-score game for the Giants. The only time the gap in a Big Blue game has been more than eight points was when they got beat by 14 in Seattle. At 7-2, the top of the NFC East is tantalizingly close after the Eagles' Monday stumble, and you know Brian Daboll has them believing they can climb that hill. Saquon Barkley's somehow fallen behind Tyreek Hill for the league lead in scrimmage yards, but the last time a wide receiver paced the NFL in that category was 2015 (a weird year in which Julio Jones and Antonio Brown were first and second ahead of Adrian Peterson), and that's the only time it's happened in the Super Bowl era. In short, I like Saquon's chances. (Or Derrick Henry's.) If you want no further proof of Daboll's magic, it's that he's turned Daniel Jones into a reliable quarterback. The fourth-year pivot committed two turnovers in Week 1 (an INT and a lost fumble), and he's committed only three since. Jones has gone six games without being picked off, and while his five passing TDs over that stretch doesn't jump off the page, his 66.9 percent completion rate and 7.1 YPA are solid, and he's added three scores on the ground. It's entirely possible to imagine this team continuing to win with that level of performance under center, combined with Barkley in top form and a stout, if not exactly elite, defense. Who knows, maybe they'll even get a Kenny Golladay revenge game here.

The Skinny

DET injuries: WR Josh Reynolds (questionable, back), WR Chark (IR-R, ankle), WR Williams (NFI-R, knee), WR Quintez Cephus (IR, foot), C Frank Ragnow (questionable, foot), RG Halapoulivaati Vaitai (IR, back), RG Tommy Kraemer (IR, back), DE Romeo Okwara (PUP-R, Achilles), DE Josh Paschal (out, knee), DE Charles Harris (out, groin), LB Malcolm Rodriguez (questionable, elbow), S Tracy Walker (IR, Achilles), S DeShon Elliott (questionable, concussion)
NYG injuries: WR Wan'Dale Robinson (questionable, hamstring), WR Golladay (questionable, hamstring), WR Sterling Shepard (IR, knee), TE Daniel Bellinger (out, eye), LG Ben Bredeson (IR, knee), LG Joshua Ezeudu (questionable, neck), RT Evan Neal (doubtful, knee), DE Azeez Ojulari (IR, calf), NT Dexter Lawrence (questionable, back), S Xavier McKinney (NFI-R, hand), S Dane Belton (questionable, collarbone)

DET DFS targets: Brock Wright $3,000 DK / $4,600 FD and James Mitchell $2,700 DK / $4,200 FD (NYG 30th in DVOA vs. TE)
NYG DFS targets: Jones $5,700 DK / $7,800 FD (DET 27th in passing yards per game allowed, 32nd in YPA allowed), Barkley $8,900 DK / $9,700 FD (DET 31st in rushing yards per game allowed, 30th in YPC allowed, t-30th in rushing TDs allowed), Robinson $4,600 DK / $5,700 FD (DET 28th in DVOA vs. WR2)

DET DFS fades: Lions DST $2,700 DK / $3,600 FD (t-28th in sacks, NYG third in giveaways)
NYG DFS fades: none

Key stat: NYG 15th in third-down conversions at 40.8 percent; DET 32nd in third-down defense at 51.4 percent

Weather forecast: clear, temperature in the high 30s, 16-17 mph wind, zero percent chance of rain

The Scoop: Jamaal Williams leads the DET backfield with 90 yards and a score, while Swift adds 50 yards and a receiving touchdown. Jared Goff throws for 280 yards and two more TDs, hitting St. Brown (whop tops 100 yards) and Mitchell. Barkley erupts for 140 combined yards and two touchdowns. Jones throws for 300 yards and two scores, finding Darius Slayton and Golladay. Giants 34-28

Las Vegas (+2.5) at Denver, o/u 41.5 – Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EST

I was just going to nope out of this writeup entirely, but looking ahead at the Raiders' remaining schedule, they might actually screw up their draft position too, which would be the ultimate capper on this dumpster fire of a season. Vegas has at least three winnable games left (this one, Week 14 against the Rams, and Week 16 against the Steelers) in addition to whatever wacky upset Chaos Season might grace us with. Imagine this team finishing with, like, six wins and falling out of the top 10 in the 2023 draft. Perfection. In the meantime, Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs will rack up whatever meaningless numbers they can.

The Broncos are another team that my algorithm keeps over-rating, but unlike the Texans I can at least point to their elite pass defense for an explanation. Denver has only scored more than 20 points twice all year though, with a high of 23, and no matter how stingy the secondary is, that kind of offensive futility isn't going to lead to many wins. Seriously – these guys have kept five straight opponents below 20 points, and have gone 1-4. That's brutal. The one team that's hung a crooked numbers on them? The Raiders, of course, who piled 32 points in a Week 4 win thanks to Jacobs going beast mode. That game was also the last time Russell Wilson completed more than 60 percent of his passes, and while he keeps teasing a return to the kitchen – he's completed a pass of at least 40 yards in five straight games – his cooking in Denver so far has been decidedly of the microwaved leftovers variety. He's missing a big chunk of his receiving corps this week too, so it might be too much to expect any kind of culinary renaissance this week.

The Skinny

LV injuries: WR Adams (questionable, abdomen), WR Hunter Renfrow (IR, oblique), TE Darren Waller (IR, hamstring), LT Kolton Miller (questionable, shoulder), LB Divine Deablo (IR, forearm), LB Denzel Perryman (questionable, hip)
DEN injuries: RB Javonte Williams (IR, knee), WR Jerry Jeudy (out, ankle), WR KJ Hamler (out, hamstring), WR Tim Patrick (IR, knee), WR Kendall Hinton (questionable, shoulder), LT Garret Bolles (IR, leg), C Graham Glasgow (questionable, shoulder), RT Tom Compton (questionable, back), EDGE Randy Gregory (IR, knee), CB Ronald Darby (IR, knee)

LV DFS targets: none
DEN DFS targets: Wilson $5,800 DK / $6,900 FD (LV 32nd in passing DVOA, t-28th in passing TDs allowed), Jalen Virgil $3,200 DK / $4,900 FD (LV 32nd in DVOA vs. WR3)

LV DFS fades: Derek Carr $5,600 DK / $7,000 FD (DEN third in passing DVOA, first in passing yards per game allowed, first in YPA allowed, first in passing TDs allowed), Adams $8,700 DK / $8,500 FD (DEN second in DVOA vs. WR1), Raiders DST $2,500 DK / $3,200 FD (32nd in sacks, 32nd in takeaways)
DEN DFS fades: none

Key stat: LV 22nd in red-zone conversions at 51.9 percent; DEN first in red-zone defense at 28.6 percent

Head-to-head record, last five-plus years: 8-3 LV, average score 24-18 LV, average margin of victory eight points. LV has won five straight meetings by an average score of 30-21

Weather forecast: clear, temperature in the mid-40s, less than 10 mph wind, zero percent chance of rain

The Scoop: Jacobs totes up 90 yards and a touchdown. Carr throws for under 200 yards. Melvin Gordon leads the DEN backfield with 70 yards and a score, while Chase Edmonds catches a TD pass. Wilson throws for 240 yards and a score to Courtland Sutton. Broncos 24-10

Dallas at Minnesota (+1.5), o/u 47.5 – Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EST

It was so very Cowboys to give away a victory in Lambeau. Yeah, yeah, Aaron Rodgers, blah blah blah... Dallas lost, Green Bay didn't win. They're now third in the NFC East and two games back of the Eagles, but they're still in good shape for a wild-card spot if they don't completely collapse in the second half. Ezekiel Elliott might be back this week, which would be a shame because Tony Pollard has killed it in the lead role, piling up 246 rushing yards and four TDs over the last two games. Zeke is basically Jamaal Williams at this point in his career – he's still got a valuable three-down skill set, can grind out tough yards, catch a pass now and then, pass protect, etc. -- but he should not be top dog in a backfield. Dak Prescott also hasn't quite found his mojo since returning a few games ago, but he also doesn't have anyone to really throw to other than CeeDee Lamb. Michael Gallup hasn't looked the same since his ACL tear, and Dalton Schultz is solid but doesn't move the needle. Jerry Jones is probably just getting used again to jack up the contract a free agent lands from someone else, but he's not wrong when he says Odell Beckham would look good with a star on his helmet.

The Vikings' amazing run continued last week in Buffalo, and if this does end up being a magical season for Minnesota and not just another heartbreaking near miss, The Catch is probably going to be looked at in hindsight as the moment when everyone went, "Oh, wait, this is really happening." The Vikes have won seven straight to all but sew up the NFC North title, and while they've taken advantage of a soft-ish schedule during that stretch, wins over the Bills and Dolphins are nothing to sneeze at. Justin Jefferson's been unreal, of course (six straight games with at least 98 receiving yards) but Dalvin Cook's been right there with him, getting into the end zone six times in the last five contests. Kirk Cousins could be better, as could the defense – 28th in yards per play allowed, just ahead of dregs like the Raiders and Texans, but making up for it with takeaways – but this team can hang with anyone when it comes to scoring points.

The Skinny

DAL injuries: RB Elliott (questionable, knee), WR James Washington (IR, foot), LT Tyron Smith (IR, knee), DE DeMarcus Lawrence (questionable, foot), CB Anthony Brown (questionable, concussion), CB Jourdan Lewis (IR, foot)
MIN injuries: EDGE Za'Darius Smith (questionable, knee), CB Cameron Dantzler (IR, ankle), S Lewis Cine (IR, leg)

DAL DFS targets: Prescott $6,600 DK / $7,500 FD (MIN 29th in passing yards per game allowed, 31st in YPA allowed)
MIN DFS targets: none

DAL DFS fades: none
MIN DFS fades: Cousins $6,100 DK / $7,600 FD (DAL fourth in passing DVOA, fourth in passing yards per game allowed, fifth in YPA allowed), K.J. Osborn $4,000 DK / $5,300 FD (DAL sixth in DVOA vs. WR3)

Key stat: DAL 25th in third-down conversions at 37.2 percent; MIN t-9th in third-down defense at 36.8 percent

The Scoop: Pollard leads the DAL backfield with 80 combined yards and a touchdown, while Elliott adds 40 yards. Prescott throws for 270 yards and a score to Lamb. Cook racks up 120 scrimmage yards and two TDs. Cousins throws for 250 yards and a touchdown to T.J. Hockenson, and Minnesota escapes when Brett Maher misses a long field goal attempt late in the fourth quarter. Vikings 21-20

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (+4), o/u 41 – Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EST

The Bengals had become pretty predictable heading into last week's bye. Any team with a troublesome pass rush that could get in Joe Burrow's grill would give them fits; otherwise, he was probably going to torch them. To be fair, Burrow hasn't torched anybody since Ja'Marr Chase went down, but he didn't need to in Week 9 with Joe Mixon being completely ridiculous. Why air it out, when Mixon's going to get into the end zone every fifth touch or so? It's just science. Cincy's going to be looking for revenge here against the Pittsburgh team that stole a win from them in Week 1, but Burrow got sacked seven times in that one, and T.J. Watt's back for the Steelers. If the Bengals' offensive line didn't figure some things out during their break, they could produce another long afternoon for the guy they hypothetically are supposed to be protecting.

Watt's return last week didn't exactly kick-start the pass rush – he didn't get a sack, and the unit as a whole only brought down Andy Dalton twice – but they still got the win. Twenty points has been the magic numbers for the Steelers this year. When they score that many or more, they're 3-1. When they don't, they're 0-5. It's been a tough mark for Kenny Pickett to hit, though, and while the rookie QB has completed 66.7 percent of his passes so far, that's because he's been restricted to dinking and dunking. His 6.0 YPA good and he has zero completions so far that have gone for 40 yards or more, but that's downright dazzling next to his 2:8 TD:INT. Maybe Pittsburgh could get away with those numbers if Najee Harris were tearing it up, but he's in danger of losing work to undrafted rookie Jaylen Warren. With just a little more offense, the Steelers might even make a late run for a wild-card spot, as their second-half schedule includes such powerhouses as the Colts, Falcons, Panthers and Raiders, but until Pickett shows something, that seems like a pipe dream.

The Skinny

CIN injuries: WR Chase (out, hip), CB Chidobe Awuzie (IR, knee)
PIT injuries: K Chris Boswell (IR, groin), CB Ahkello Witherspoon (out, hamstring), CB William Jackson (IR, back)

CIN DFS targets: Burrow $6,800 DK / $8,300 FD (PIT 30th in passing yards per game allowed, t-30th in passing TDs allowed)
PIT DFS targets: none

CIN DFS fades: Hayden Hurst $3,500 DK / $5,200 FD (PIT fourth in DVOA vs. TE)
PIT DFS fades: none

Key stat: CIN third in third-down conversions at 49.6 percent; PIT 21st in third-down defense 41.6 percent

Head-to-head record, last five-plus years: 8-3 PIT, average score 21-18 PIT, average margin of victory 13 points. CIN had won three straight meetings by a combined score of 31-12 prior to PIT's 23-20 overtime victory in Week 1

Weather forecast: clear, temperature in the mid-20s, less than 10 mph wind, zero percent chance of snow

The Scoop Mixon picks up 80 yards and a score. Burrow throws for 280 yards and three touchdowns, hitting Tee Higgins (who tops 100 yards) twice and Tyler Boyd once. Harris ekes out 50 yards, while Warren adds 50 combined yards. Pickett throws for under 200 yards and gets picked off twice. Bengals 28-6

Kansas City at L.A. Chargers (+6.5), o/u 50 – Sunday, 8:20 p.m. EST

A win here probably secures an AFC West crown for Kansas City, as it would put Andy Reid's crew three games up on the Bolts with a series sweep as the cherry on top. Patrick Mahomes has been a little loose with the ball again – after throwing a career-high 13 INTs last year, he's on pace to match that total in 2022 – but that's nitpicking. He's also on pace for an NFL record 5,546 passing yards and 47 TDs. He's already tossed 25 touchdowns, and Josh Allen is the only other QB who's even got 20. Travis Kelce's been dominant as usual, either getting into the end zone or hauling in at least 80 yards (or both) in all but one game this season, but the team has otherwise deployed a dizzying array of pass-catchers, leaving defenses scratching their heads trying to figure out which one's worth covering on any particular play. Backup tight ends like Noah Gray, other teams' cast-offs like Kadarius Toney... it hasn't mattered, one of them will be open if Kelce is getting extra attention, and Mahomes will find him. (And if you only have single coverage on Kelce, what the heck are you thinking?) Isiah Pacheco is also coming off a career-best performance last week and has usurped the top job in the backfield from Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and the rookie could be useful later in the year if Kansas City wants to appease the pundits who are only happy when teams run the ball.

The one team to stifle Kelce this season? The Chargers, back in Week 2. The price they paid for it was to watch Jerick McKinnon and Justin Watson catch TD passes, because of course they did. That wasn't even the Watson that did the most damage, though, as the difference in the game was a 99-yard interception return by seventh-round rookie Jaylen Watson. That's got to give the Chargers at least some confidence coming into this one. Injuries are still the story of their season though, and it remains kind of amazing they're even above .500 given some of the big names that have missed significant time. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams could both be back Sunday night though, giving Justin Herbert a lot more to work with than the lackluster receiving group he's been throwing to lately. No offense to Joshua Palmer, but he's not a WR1. It'll also take some pressure off Austin Ekeler, who's seen a whopping 48 targets (against 43 carries) over the last four games.

The Skinny

KC injuries: WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (out, concussion), WR Mecole Hardman (IR, abdomen)
LAC injuries: WR Allen (questionable, hamstring), WR Williams (questionable, ankle), LT Rashawn Slater (IR, biceps), K Dustin Hopkins (doubtful, hamstring), EDGE Joey Bosa (IR, groin), CB J.C. Jackson (IR, knee)

KC DFS targets: Pacheco $5,300 DK / $6,000 FD (LAC 29th in rushing DVOA, 30th in rushing yards per game allowed, 31st in YPC allowed), Toney $5,400 DK / $5,800 FD (LAC 30th in DVOA vs. WR3)
LAC DFS targets: Allen $6,400 DK / $7,000 FD (KC 32nd in DVOA vs. WR1)

KC DFS fades: Justin Watson $3,000 DK / $4,800 FD (LAC second in DVOA vs. WR2), Kansas City DST $2,600 DK / $3,800 FD (t-27th takeaways, LAC first in sacks allowed)
LAC DFS fades: Ekeler $8,500 DK / $9,100 FD (KC fifth in rushing yards per game allowed, t-3rd in rushing TDs allowed)

Key stat: KC second in third-down conversions at 51.9 percent; LAC 25th in third-down defense at 43.2 percent

Head-to-head record, last five-plus years: 8-3 KC, average score 28-23 KC, average margin of victory nine points. KC has won eight straight road meetings in this rivalry, with the Chargers' last home win coming in Week 17 of the 2013 season at Qualcomm Stadium

The Scoop: Pacheco scampers for 100 yards and a TD, while McKinnon adds a receiving score. Mahomes throws for 310 yards and two more touchdowns, hitting Kelce (who tops 100 yards) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Ekeler manages 70 scrimmage yards and catches a TD pass. Herbert does his best to keep pace, throwing for 290 yards and two more TDs – one each to Allen and Gerald Everett – but it's not enough. Kansas City 31-27

Tennessee (+3) at Green Bay, o/u 41 – Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EST

The Titans look like they've pretty much won the AFC South already — even if you think Jeff Saturday is the next Vince Lombardi, the Colts are 2.5 games back, and they're the only other team in the division that seems remotely like a threat — but their second-half doesn't do Mike Vrabel's crew any favors, as this is the only remaining game against a sub-.500 opponent that isn't a division rival. Derrick Henry was held to less than 80 yards and without a touchdown last week for the first time all year (he's done one or the other in every other game), but the Titans won anyway thanks to (checks notes) Nick Westbrook-Ikhine? Really? Wow. The offense hasn't scored more than 19 points in four games since the team's bye, and Ryan Tannehill's return to action last week didn't exactly jumpstart the unit, but the defense also hasn't allowed more than 20 points in six straight. That really feels like smoke and mirrors to some extent — they're eighth in points per game allowed, but 17th in yards per play allowed — but the key to the Titans' stinginess has been an uncanny ability to get off the field, as they are first in third-down defense and top 10 in first downs allowed. The fact that they've done that despite key injuries at all three levels of the defense is even more remarkable ... and creates even more skepticism they can keep it up.

I don't know that I'd go so far as to say the Packers saved their season last week by defending Lambeau against the Cowboys — they can barely see the Vikings' taillights at this point in the NFC North, and at 4-6 their wild-card chances aren't looking so hot — but there's always a feeling of relief when you end a five-game losing skid. Aaron Jones ran all over the Dallas front seven, as he and AJ Dillon combined for more than 200 rushing yards. Aaron Rodgers also may have found his new Davante Adams in Christian Watson, who finally got healthy and figured out how to hang onto a football en route to a three-TD performance. It took overtime, but last week's 31 points was a season high for Green Bay, though so was the team's 28 points allowed. Given this week's opponent, and a classic frozen tundra game, this one probably won't be a shootout — even so, you might not want to rush out and dump money on the under.

The Skinny

TEN injuries: LT Taylor Lewan (IR, knee), C Ben Jones (out, concussion), K Randy Bullock (out, calf), DE Jeffery Simmons (questionable, ankle), LB Zach Cunningham (IR, elbow), EDGE Harold Landry (IR, knee), EDGE Bud Dupree (out, hip), CB Caleb Farley (IR, back), S Amani Hooker (out, shoulder)
GB injuries: WR Romeo Doubs (out, ankle), WR Randall Cobb (IR-R, ankle), LT David Bakhtiari (questionable, knee), LG Elgton Jenkins (questionable, knee), LB De'Vondre Campbell (out, knee), EDGE Rashan Gary (IR, knee), CB Eric Stokes (IR, ankle)

TEN DFS targets: Henry $11,600 DK / $17,000 FD (GB is 30th in rushing DVOA, 26th in rushing yards per game allowed, 28th in YPC allowed)
GB DFS targets: Watson $7,400 DK / $10,500 FD (TEN is 30th in DVOA vs. WR2)

TEN DFS fades: Treylon Burks $5,200 DK / $8,000 FD (GB is third in DVOA vs. WR2)
GB DFS fades: Jones $11,200 DK / $14,500 FD and Dillon $6,600 DK / $12,000 FD (TEN is first in rushing DVOA, second in rushing yards per game allowed, third in YPC allowed, first in rushing TDs allowed)

Key stat: TEN t-28th in third-down conversions at 33.6 percent; GB t-2nd in third-down defense at 32.7 percent

Weather forecast: cloudy, temperature in the mid-20s, 11-12 mph wind, 1-5 percent chance of snow

The Scoop: Henry gashes the Packers for 130 yards and two TDs. Tannehill throws for less than 200 yards and commits two turnovers, one of which is a fumble that Preston Smith returns to the house. Jones leads the GB backfield with 60 yards and a score. Rodgers throws for 210 yards and a touchdown to Allen Lazard. Packers 24-20

Last week's record: 4-10, 4-10 ATS, 5-9 o/u
2022 regular-season record: 77-72-1, 63-82-5 ATS, 71-78-1 o/u
2021 regular-season record: 174-97-1, 146-125-1 ATS, 125-143-4 o/u
Lifetime record: 1365-841-8, 1068-1074-72 ATS, 806-865-31 o/u (o/u not tracked in 2015)