Nick Chubb

28-Year-Old Running BackRB

Cleveland Browns

2024 Rush/Rec Stats

ATT

YDS

291

YDS

Rest-of-Season Projections

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Chubb's season-ending knee injury was one of the most upsetting moments of last season, somehow looking even worse than the ACL, MCL and meniscus tears he eventually was diagnosed with. Frankly, it would be a career-ending injury for many lesser backs in their late 20s. Chubb might not be human, however, with incredible athleticism potentially allowing for a faster-than-usual recovery and/or continued productivity even if he loses a step. Chubb tore three ligaments (MCL, PCL, LCL) in the same left knee in 2015 at Georgia, and he came back the next year with 1,130 rushing yards. The injury ended up being little more than a speed bump long term, as evidenced by Chubb's excellent NFL career. With all that said, Chubb is now 28 years old and faces a battle to meet his normal standards in the first year back from injury. Despite his Wolverine-like recovery from the first major knee injury, Chubb dropped to 5.0 YPC for the Bulldogs in 2016 -- a sharp contrast to the 6.8 YPC he averaged across his three other seasons. He accepted a pay cut from Cleveland this offseason, after the team added D'Onta Foreman to a backfield that still has Jerome Ford and Pierre Strong. Reading between the lines, the Browns believe Chubb can complete his recovery and return to a lead role... but they aren't necessarily counting on it. Fantasy managers should probably take the same approach, rather than depending on Chubb to be the lineup fixture he was for the past half-decade. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#103.39

ADP

Overall

Running Back

Bye Week 10

Height 5'11"

Weight 227

DOB 12/27/1995

College Georgia

Drafted 2nd Rd 2018 #35 Overall

Posts 48 yards in loss

RBCleveland Browns

December 8, 2024

Chubb rushed the ball 11 times for 48 yards in Sunday's 27-14 loss to the Steelers. He did not record a reception on one target.

ANALYSIS
Chubb was in an even split in the backfield with Jerome Ford for the entire day. While that limited his volume, Chubb did manage a 19-yard run -- his longest of the season. He's now gained between 48 and 59 yards on the ground in four of his seven games this season, though the ongoing split in the backfield will continue to limit his fantasy appeal.

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NFL Stats

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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats

See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.

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Advanced NFL Stats

How do Nick Chubb's 2024 advanced stats compare to other running backs?

This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.

Broken Tackle %
The number of broken tackles divided by rush attempts.
Positive Run %
The percentage of run plays where he was able to gain positive yardage.
% Yds After Contact
The percentage of his rushing yards that came after contact.
Avg Yds After Contact
The average rushing yards he gains after contact.
Rushing TD %
Rushing touchdowns divided by rushing attempts. In other words, how often is he scoring when running the ball.
Touches Per Game
The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) he is averaging per game
% Snaps w/Touch
The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) divided by offensive snaps played.
Air Yards Per Game
The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
Air Yards Per Snap
The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
% Team Air Yards
The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
% Team Targets
The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
Avg Depth of Target
Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
Catch Rate
The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
Drop Rate
The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
Avg Yds After Catch
The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
% Targeted On Route
Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
Avg Yds Per Route Run
Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.

Broken Tackle %

10.8%

Positive Run %

72.0%

% Yds After Contact

67.7%

Avg Yds After Contact

2.1

Rushing TD %

3.2%

Touches Per Game

14.0

% Snaps w/Touch

47.8%

Air Yards Per Game

-1.3

Air Yards Per Snap

-0.04

% Team Air Yards

-0.2%

% Team Targets

2.0%

Avg Depth of Target

-0.9 Yds

Catch Rate

50.0%

Drop Rate

10.0%

Avg Yds After Catch

6.2

% Targeted On Route

12.5%

Avg Yds Per Route Run

0.39

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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart

Snap Counts

Snap %

Browns 2024 RB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts

J.Jerome Ford

N.Nick Chubb

P.Pierre Strong

D.D'Onta Foreman

#% of Team Snaps

39946%

20524%

13916%

10813%

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#1 RB

Browns

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Receiving Alignment Breakdown

See where Nick Chubb lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.

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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense

How does the Chiefs pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?

The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is.

vs Chiefs

Sunday, Dec 15th at 1:00PM

Overall QB Rating Against

87.3

Cornerbacks

82.9

Safeties

85.3

Linebackers

102.4

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2024 Nick Chubb Split Stats

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Measurables Review View College Player Page

How do Nick Chubb's measurables compare to other running backs?

This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.

Height

5' 11"

Weight

227 lbs

40-Yard Dash

4.53 sec

Shuttle Time

4.25 sec

Cone Drill

7.09 sec

Vertical Jump

38.5 in

Broad Jump

128 in

Bench Press

29 reps

Hand Length

9.63 in

Arm Length

32.00 in

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

Chubb is arguably the league's best pure runner, but his fantasy upside had been limited by Kareem Hunt drawing targets at his expense. While effective as a pass catcher, Chubb hasn't been given the chance to accumulate volume, with his 49 targets from 2019 still a career high. It's possible that the Browns might give Chubb a little more work as a pass catcher with Hunt no longer on the team, as new backup Jerome Ford didn't draw a target in his rookie season. If Chubb sets a new career high in targets it could bring with it his best fantasy year yet, especially if Deshaun Watson can get his act together at quarterback. If Watson produces for the Browns anywhere near the level he did for the Texans, Chubb will be a threat to lead the league in touchdowns. While Chubb is the owner of an absurd career average of 5.2 yards per carry, he has yet to play in a truly good offense in the NFL. The biggest concern with Chubb might be durability given that he turns 28 in December, but it doesn't seem like anything else can stop him.

Another season, another strong performance from Chubb that makes you wonder what he would be capable of with a bell-cow workload. The Georgia product has run for 5.0 yards per carry or better in all four of his NFL campaigns, and his 3.0 yards after contact per carry in 2021 was second best in the league behind only Rashaad Penny. Chubb boasts exceptional power, speed and elusiveness, and while he doesn't get as many chances to show what he can do as a receiver as he maybe should, he hasn't been charged with a dropped pass in three straight seasons. Therein lies the problem. Kareem Hunt remains a Brown, and Hunt not only handles the majority of pass-catching duties but also poaches some carries, including in the red zone. D'Ernest Johnson also played well last year, so Chubb never took more than two-thirds of the snaps even when Hunt missed time. The Browns offense figures to look much different once quarterback Deshaun Watson is eligible to play, but for the first 11 games of the coming season the team figures to employ a run-heavy attack, with Jacoby Brissett slated to fill in while Watson is suspended.

A knee injury cost Chubb four games in the first half of 2020, but even if he had been healthy for all 16 contests, a timeshare with Kareem Hunt would have prevented him from matching his 2019 volume or production. It's hard to argue with the results on an efficiency basis, though, as Chubb set a career high with 5.6 YPC, and his 25.3 percent broken tackle rate led all backs with at least 100 totes. The 25-year-old combines elite speed with power and agility, allowing him to run around or through would-be tacklers with equal skill, and while he didn't get used much in that area last year, he's also a capable pass catcher. When both backs were healthy, Chubb was Cleveland's top option last season, averaging 17.2 touches to Hunt's 13.4 in the 12 games they played together. That's still not the kind of volume enjoyed by RBs around the league who have a backfield to themselves, but it wouldn't take much of a shift in that distribution to get Chubb to 300 touches over a full season. With the Browns finally looking like a serious contender, coach Kevin Stefanski won’t deviate too much from a successful formula. Chubb's upside running behind one of the NFL's best offensive lines would be massive should he find himself with a bigger workload, and his floor in the Browns' current arrangement is secure.

Chubb delivered on the promise of his rookie season, falling just short of a rushing crown last year while demonstrating he can be a capable three-down option in a Browns offense that otherwise fell well short of expectations. He showed impressive power and balance through contact, tying Aaron Jones with a league-high 32 broken tackles on rush attempts, though it was Chubb's speed that really opened eyes. On an 88-yard touchdown run in Week 4, Chubb hit a top speed of 21.95 mph, the fourth-fastest time recorded by a ball carrier in 2019 - the gear he lost when he suffered his devastating knee injury in college apparently has returned. All told, Chubb was fourth in the league with an average of 3.0 yards after contact. Despite his outstanding numbers, with Kareem Hunt still in the fold and around for a full season, it's possible Chubb doesn't match the touch volume he got last year. He averaged 19.3 carries and 22.4 touches in the first eight games of the season, but only 15.2 rushes and 16.4 touches in the final five weeks once Hunt was comfortable in the offense. Workload is the only real concern for Chubb, however, and if the Cleveland attack around him improves, he could see more scoring opportunities to make up for any lost volume.

Chubb opened his debut season buried on the depth chart behind Carlos Hyde, but after he exploded for 105 rushing yards and two TDs on three carries Week 4, it was only a matter of time before the rookie shoved the veteran aside. Chubb didn't see double-digit carries until Hyde was traded to the Jaguars in Week 7, but once he did he was a force, averaging 82.3 rushing yards per game and 4.7 YPC. The second-year pro didn't offer a lot as a receiver last year, though with Duke Johnson no longer around to handle passing-down assignments, Chubb and Dontrell Hilliard may need to step up some in that area. In his lead role, Chubb uses his power and surprising balance to stay on his feet through contact. Chubb's 29 broken tackles on rushes ranked fifth in the NFL, and he only saw nine carries inside the 5-yard line, a number that could rise significantly now that Cleveland knows what he's capable of. The offseason signing of Kareem Hunt raises questions, but he won't be eligible to return from suspension until Week 10. In any case, the trade for Odell Beckham Jr. should create a high-powered offense that gives Chubb plenty of carries near the goal line even if he eventually shares snaps.

The gruesome knee injury Chubb suffered on national television at Georgia as a sophomore still casts a shadow over his resume, but the 5-11, 227-pound power back proved the last two seasons that he still has plenty to offer an NFL club even if he doesn't quite have the same explosiveness he once did. Chubb's low center of gravity, pad level and outstanding balance allow him to plow through traffic and pick up yards after contact, so he could be a goal-line weapon in the pros. He doesn't have breakaway speed and hasn't shown much ability as a receiver, however, likely limiting his role to early downs and short yardage. Drafted 35th overall, he joins a crowded backfield that also has receiving specialist Duke Johnson and former 49ers lead back Carlos Hyde - a situation that likely will limit Chubb's touches as a rookie unless he significantly outplays Hyde. Chubb did show a great deal of improvement between his final two years at Georgia, and if he makes another leap heading into 2018 and regains more of the burst and quick-cut ability he flashed prior to his injury, he could push Hyde right out of the picture.

More Fantasy News

Records receiving TD in loss

RBCleveland Browns

December 2, 2024

Chubb rushed nine times for 21 yards and secured both targets for 24 yards and a touchdown in the Browns' 41-32 loss to the Broncos on Monday night.