This article is part of our NL FAAB Factor series.
This is our weekly look at National League free agents. We have two goals for this article:
1. Identify likely free agents and discuss their strengths and weaknesses.
2. Estimate how much of your $100 starting free-agent budget you should bid on them.
This year, we are again using grids into the FAAB articles, so users can easily see at a glance how certain players stack up against others and how much they should command in a variety of formats.
The grids, which are sortable by column (click on the header), include a very basic 'player grade' column. This serves as a reflection of a player's skills and role on an A-E scale. Cody Bellinger would have been an "A" grade player last year - that mark will be reserved for similar high-impact prospects stepping into an everyday role.
As always, if there is a player that was not discussed in the article that you would like to know about, feel free to ask about the player in the comments.
This is the first column of the season. If you have any additional comments or suggestions, please include in the section on the blog or email [email protected] or [email protected].
PLAYER | TEAM | POS | GRADE | 12-Team Mixed $ | 15-Team Mixed $ | NL-Only $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Logan Allen | SD | SP | C | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Chris Paddack | SD | SP | B | 2 | 7 | 11 |
Matt Strahm | SD | SP | C | 1 | 4 | 7 |
Chad Bettis | COL | SP | E | No | 0 | 3 |
Corbin Burnes | MIL | SP | C | 1 |
This is our weekly look at National League free agents. We have two goals for this article:
1. Identify likely free agents and discuss their strengths and weaknesses.
2. Estimate how much of your $100 starting free-agent budget you should bid on them.
This year, we are again using grids into the FAAB articles, so users can easily see at a glance how certain players stack up against others and how much they should command in a variety of formats.
The grids, which are sortable by column (click on the header), include a very basic 'player grade' column. This serves as a reflection of a player's skills and role on an A-E scale. Cody Bellinger would have been an "A" grade player last year - that mark will be reserved for similar high-impact prospects stepping into an everyday role.
As always, if there is a player that was not discussed in the article that you would like to know about, feel free to ask about the player in the comments.
This is the first column of the season. If you have any additional comments or suggestions, please include in the section on the blog or email [email protected] or [email protected].
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Allen/Chris Paddack/Matt Strahm, Padres: San Diego has a raft of elite arms in the system. Allen is far from the best, but he may be the first to reach the majors. Allen threw 148 innings between Double and Triple-A last season, using a 92-94 mph fastball, change up and curveball to retire hitters. The Padres could opt to have Allen open the year in the minors and then join the big-league rotation in May. He started Sunday in the Padres' Cactus League finale versus the Cubs, which might put him on track to break camp as a member of the Opening Day rotation. Cal Quantrill is also still in the mix, but looks to be the favorite to head back to Triple-A El Paso. Keep an eye on Allen and add him when he is promoted. Paddack looks like he will break camp as a member of the Padres' rotation with Robbie Erlin moved to the bullpen. His 93-94 mph fastball - for which he gets great extension and has plus command - along with possibly the best changeup in the minors, has enabled him to log a 1.82 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 230:20 K:BB in 177.2 career innings while holding opposing hitters to a .193 AVG. Strahm also looks like he will break camp as a starter after pitching out of the bullpen last season. The southpaw has had durability concerns in the past, but his stuff presents the ability for him to join the starting rotation. The opportunity is there, if Strahm continues to pitch well this spring, he should open the season in the SD rotation. Allen - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4 (stash bid); Paddack - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11; Strahm - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7;
Chad Bettis, Rockies - Bettis will likely open the season as a member of the Colorado rotation with Antonio Senzatela (heel) sidelined indefinitely with an infected blister. After an okay 2016 campaign, Bettis missed more of 2017 with injury and posted a poor 5.01 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 6.0 K/9 in 120.1 innings. Bettis is likely just a stopgap until Senzatela is healthy. 12 team Mixed: No, 15-team Mixed: $0; 12-team NL: $3
Corbin Burnes/Zach Davies/Freddy Peralta/Brandon Woodruff, Brewers: Burnes got his feet wet as a reliever last season, posting a solid 2.61 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 38 innings. He is now working with a five-pitch mix by adding a changeup and sinker in an effort to win a rotation spot out of camp, after using just a fastball/slider as a reliever. Burnes, Davies, Peralta and Woodruff all made the Brewers' rotation to begin the season with Chase Anderson shifted to the bullpen. With Jimmy Nelson (shoulder) making his spring debut Saturday and unlikely to be ready for Opening Day, the aforementioned four pitchers should retain their spots until Nelson is ready with Davies the most at risk. Burnes - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Davies - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $0; 12-team NL: $2; Peralta - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4; Woodruff - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Wei-Yin Chen/Pablo Lopez/Caleb Smith, Marlins: Chen and Lopez are battling for the fifth spot in the Miami rotation. Chen was brilliant at Marlins Park last season, recording a 1.62 ERA over 13 starts but a 9.72 ERA on the road. With two years left on his deal, Chen will pitch somewhere for Miami. However, his $16 million 2021 option automatically vests if he throws 360 total innings the next two seasons, meaning that Miami is likely to limit his workload and use him in long relief. Lopez rose from High-A to the majors last season, despite stuff that profiles more as a back-end starter. His strong spring and return of his fastball velocity may earn him the starting role over Chen, despite Chen's hefty salary. Smith posted an 88:33 K:BB ratio along with a 4.19 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 77.1 innings before lat and shoulder injuries cut short his season. Now healthy again, Smith is penciled in as the Marlins #2 starter. His flyball tendencies make him dangerous to use on the road, but remains a nice fit at Marlins Park. Chen - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $0; 12-team NL: $2; Lopez - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Smith - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
Jerad Eickhoff/Zach Eflin, Phillies: Eflin, thanks to a rise in fastball velocity and strikeout rate, finished with a 4.36 ERA and a 3.80 FIP. He is not guaranteed a rotation spot with Eickhoff (wrist) - who missed five months last season with a lat strain and making just three appearances - having made his first start of the spring on March 11. On Saturday, Philly announced Eflin earned the job with Eickhoff optioned to the bullpen. However, Vince Velasquez's spring struggles may cost him his rotation spot, which would go to Eickhoff if a change is made early in the season. Eickhoff - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $0; 12-team NL: $2; Eflin - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
Max Fried/Touki Toussaint/Bryse Wilson/Kyle Wright, Braves – Fried struggled at Triple-A last season but turned into a different pitcher in the majors. His issue with walks is a major impediment to success, but he has the stuff to stick at this level. The left-hander has been impressive all spring and now boasts a 16:5 K:BB across 15.1 innings. As we noted in our March 20 update, Fried's path to breaking camp in the rotation is complicated by the fact the Braves won't need a fifth starter until April 7, which gives Kevin Gausman more time to build up his pitch count after a late start to his spring. But based on performance alone, Fried would seem to have earned a spot. However, the same could be said for Touki Toussaint and Kyle Wright. The club could well keep all three young arms on the 25-man roster by using whoever isn't starting in long relief, but a demotion to Triple-A Gwinnett to stay stretched out also remains on the table. A decision on Fried's status might not happen until March 27. Toussaint's out pitch is a split-fingered fastball that generates copious amounts of groundballs. By struggling with his fastball, he essentially became a one-pitch pitcher. And with his high BB rate, it will make success in the majors difficult after a strong minor-league campaign. Toussaint is not having the best spring, but he should break camp in the team's rotation with Mike Foltynewicz (elbow) and Mike Soroka (shoulder) sidelined to start the season. But with both pitchers getting healthier, Toussaint might only have until the end of April or so to prove he deserves to keep that spot. Wilson rose through three levels last year, capped by a brief stint in the majors. As we noted in our outlook, His 95-mph four-seam fastball is his best offering - it touches 97 mph and has excellent late life, generating far more whiffs than the average four-seamer. His low-80s slider and upper-80s changeup are useful, due largely to the quality of his fastball, but they could use more refinement. He has posted a 3.29 ERA with 13 strikeouts and two walks across 13.2 innings but might be on the outside for a rotation spot, though that is not yet set in stone. Wright's sinking 94-mph fastball generates groundballs at a high clip that enables him to succeed, despite a less than optimal K-rate in the past. His 85-mph cutter with heavy sink, 80-mph slider and developing changeup round out his repertoire used to retire hitters. Wright, selected in the first round by Atlanta out of Vanderbilt, projects to be a third starter in the majors. He has turned heads this spring, boasting an amazing 16:2 K:BB through his first 12 spring innings and has likely earn a spot in Atlanta's starting rotation based on performance. However, he didn't make it out of the first inning Thursday and allowed six runs on four hits - including two home runs - and two walks while striking out two in 0.2 innings, which might prevent him from breaking camp. Fried - 12 team Mixed: No, 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $2; Toussaint - 12 team Mixed: $0, 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4; Wilson - 12 team Mixed: No, 15-team Mixed: $0; 12-team NL: $3; Wright - 12 team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
John Gant/Dakota Hudson/Adam Wainwright, Cardinals: Gant and Hudson were in a battle for the final rotation spot in St. Louis. Last season, Gant made a spot start in May, but went 6-4 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 16 starts once he came up for good in the rotation by late June. Hudson, the 2018 Pacific Coast League Pitcher of the Year, was promoted to the majors in late July after posting a 2.63 ERA in 111 innings with Triple-A Memphis. He worked out of the bullpen last season, which might be his best landing spot. Due to the lack of an effective off-speed offering, he's better suited for relief work where his hard sinker generates groundballs. Hudson, despite a 19:18 K:BB ratio but with a 2.63 ERA this spring, has been named the fifth starter with Gant filling a 'hybrid' or swingman role out of the bullpen., Each earned a spot with Carlos Martinez possibly out until May or June. Wainwright signed a one-year deal to return to the Cardinals for a 15th season. Despite missing much of the season, Wainwright posted a 4.84 ERA in four starts down the stretch, but a 1.16 WHIP supported by 25 strikeouts with just four walks in 22.1 innings offers hope something's left in the tank. He uses a 90-mph fastball and mid-70s curveball to retire hitters and is penciled in as the third or fourth starter for St. Louis. Gant - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $2; Hudson - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $5. Wainwright - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4
Sonny Gray, Reds: Gray imploded in New York, resulting in the Yankees shipping him to Cincinnati. He struggled to a 6.98 home ERA but improved when he got out Yankee Stadium, posting a 3.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, .223 BAA and 0.38 HR/9 on the road. However, Gray is moving to another bandbox by shifting to Great American Ballpark. The right-hander has been reunited with his college pitching coach Derek Johnson, which hopefully bodes well for a rebound for Gray as he will open the season as Cincy's #2 starter by recovering from an early elbow injury. Cincinnati is clearly banking on this having agreeing to a three-year, $30.5 million extension along with a $12 million club option for 2023 with Gray. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Merrill Kelly/Luke Weaver, Diamondbacks: Kelly, an eighth-round draft pick by Tampa Bay, got as far as Triple-A where he had a 2.76 ERA and 8.5 K/9 in 2014 before going overseas. Kelly thrived in the KBO with a 3.80 ERA in four seasons while leading the SK Wyverns to the 2017 championship, improving the velocity of his fastball. Kelly signed a two-year, $5.5 million contract with the Diamondbacks in December of 2018. The contract includes a $4.25 million club option for 2020 and a $5.25 million club option for 2021. Kelly is in the mix to open the season in the Arizona rotation, though he has struggled this spring and could lose that spot to Matt Koch. Weaver flamed out last year in St. Louis, ending up in a mop-up role and arrived from Arizona in the Paul Goldschmidt deal. Weaver still lacks a quality third pitch (opposing batters slugged .589 against his curveball) and his command and control regressed last season. But with a new lease on life, coupled with departures of Patrick Corbin and Clay Buchholz, look for Weaver to open as the D-Backs' #4 starter. Kelly - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4; Weaver - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Jeremy Hellickson, Nationals: Hellickson will open 2019 as the Nationals' fifth starter. Last season, he signed with Washington in mid-March and compiled a 3.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP to go with a 65:20 K:BB in 91.1 innings - although he produced a 2.28 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in his first nine starts before he was injured. Hellickson is unlikely to repeat his 2018 success, but an era in the low-4s should be more than attainable in Washington. 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
Jordan Lyles, Pirates: Lyles is the favorite to break camp as the Pirates' fifth starter. He compiled a 4.11 ERA in 87.2 innings last year switching between relieving and starting for the Padres before moving to the Brewers. Despite making only 18 starts out of 113 appearances since 2016, Pittsburgh has Lyles penciled into the rotation although Nick Kingham, who may open in long-relief, and Steven Brault remain in the mix. 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3
Tyler Mahle, Reds: Mahle may slide into the back-end of the Cincy rotation while Alex Wood (back) is sidelined. The Reds won't need a fifth starter until April 6 due to scheduled days off, allowing Mahle to either pitch in relief or open the year in the minors until then. Mahle made 23 nondescript starts last season and is likely just a stopgap until Wood is healthy enough to return. 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3
Joe Musgrove/Trevor Williams, Pirates: Musgrove was limited by injuries in 2018 but performed at a high level between DL stints, raising expectations coming into this season. He lasted more than seven innings only once in 19 starts last season, but recorded a 3.41 ERA in his first 12 starts before struggling down the stretch with a 5.23 ERA over his final seven appearances. His issues late in the year were believed to be injury related. If fully healthy, Musgrove could have a breakthrough campaign. Williams only poses a 90-mph fastball, but generates weak contact as his opponents' 85.6 mph average exit velocity ranked among the lowest in baseball. The sustainability of that number is severely in question, and coupled with his low 7.9 percent swinging strike rate puts repeating his recent success in doubt. Expect a certain amount of regression in 2019 for Williams, although the possibility exists he can repeat his prior-year positivity due to the drivers. Musgrove - 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14; Williams - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
Drew Pomeranz/Dereck Rodriguez, Giants: Pomeranz began 2018 in the rotation, but went a horrendous 1-3 with a 6.81 ERA over eight starts before hitting the disabled list with a biceps strain. That issue along with a neck injury were the likely causes of his decline, as he went from a 3.32 ERA in 2016 and 2017 to 6.08 last year. Pomeranz has the potential for a bounce-back campaign with his strikeout stuff moving to pitcher-friendly AT&T Park. Rodriguez, the son of Hall of Fame catcher Pudge Rodriguez, seemingly came out of nowhere to post a 2.81 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 2.5 K/BB ratio over 118.1 innings. His hard-hit, low strikeout rates are concerning, but he benefits from pitching at Oracle Park. In addition, his fastball velocity is up two miles per hour this spring, which also may bode well for success this year. Expect some regression, but D-Rod still should post solid numbers. 12-team Pomeranz - Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $5; Rodriguez - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Ross Stripling/Julio Urias, Dodgers: Stripling will begin the season as part of the Dodgers' starting rotation due to the injuries to Clayton Kershaw (back) and Rich Hill (sprained MCL in left knee) and might be joined by Urias. In over 122 innings in split duty between the rotation and the bullpen last season, Stripling posted a 3.02 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Stripling pitched well in the first half but struggled the second half of the season, beset by lower-body injuries and also benefitted from an 86 percent strand rate. Urias, who slated to open the year in the bullpen, might now move into the rotation due to the aforementioned injuries. Working his way back from 2017 anterior capsule surgery, Urias made three relief appearances for the Dodgers in September and seven more appearances in the postseason. He will have his innings limited this season, so he might remain in the rotation for only a few turns. Stripling - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11; Urias - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
RELIEF PITCHER
Archie Bradley/Yoshihisa Hirano/Greg Holland, Diamondbacks: Holland, who was brilliant as Colorado's closer, flamed out in St. Louis but pitched well after coming to Washington last year by posting a 0.84 ERA with a 25:10 K:BB in 21.1 innings. He signed a one–year deal with Arizona, where he will battle Bradley, who set up Brad Boxberger last season, to serve as the team's closer. Holland's velocity is down again this spring and all signs point to Bradley earning the closer role, in line with what manager Torey Lovullo said in December - but a final decision may not be made until just before the season starts. Hirano, who closed in Japan before serving as a set-up man last season, is also in the mix. A groundball pitcher, Hirano had a K-rate of just eight batters per nine innings, but Lovullo and GM Mike Hazen are considering Hirano for the closer role. Bradley - 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $14; 12-team NL: $22; Hirano - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Holland - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4;
Steve Cishek/Carl Edwards Jr./Pedro Strop, Cubs: With Brandon Morrow (elbow) sidelined for at least April, Strop - presuming his hamstring is healed - should open the season as the Cubs' closer. As we noted in our outlook, Strop comes in as one of the rare relievers using a true four-pitch mix (fastball, splitter, sinker, slider) with his split and slider both thrown about 30 percent of the time. If Strop is unavailable, Edwards might be next in line, though Joe Maddon could turn to Cishek and his prior closing experience without the same type of stuff as Edwards. For now, the one to own is Strop short-term and Morrow long-term. Cishek - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Edwards - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4; Cishek - 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Adam Conley/Sergio Romo/Drew Steckenrider, Marlins: Conley thrived following his transition from starting to relieving by upping his fastball velocity. He boosted his strikeout rate, but hit a rough patch the last two months of the season. Conley won't close, but serves as a viable set-up option that could rack up holds and possibly be used in an Andrew Miller-like fashion. Romo led Tampa with 25 saves but also 'started' five contests. He landed with Miami on a one-year deal, presumably with assurances he will close for a stretch before being traded. However, as of now, Romo may cede the closer role to Steckenrider - but a final decision has yet to be made. Steckenrider worked his way into the closer role last season, partially aided by reducing his walk rate by one per game but must find a way to consistently retire lefty batters in order to retain the spot. He is having a rough spring, which might result in Romo beginning the year as the closer and replaced at some point in Steckenrider. Conley - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4; Romo - 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14; Steckenrider - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Seranthony Dominguez/David Robertson, Phillies – Dominguez blasted through Double and Triple-A, finishing the season at Philly's closer and posted 16 saves and a 2.95 ERA in 58 major-league innings. He did level off down the stretch, but still recorded fine overall numbers. Manager Gabe Kapler employs an untraditional bullpen, with nine different players recording saves. Philly brought in David Robertson this offseason and Kapler wants to use him, like Dominguez, in a versatile, high-leverage role. Since Dominguez was once a starter, he could be used as a multi-inning reliever, leaving saves for D-Rob, though the roles have yet to be confirmed. Dominguez - 12 team Mixed: $2, 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11; Robertson - 12 team Mixed: $3, 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14.
Josh Hader/Jeremy Jeffress, Brewers: Hader's and Jeffress' value each take a tick upward with the news Corey Knebel is dealing with a UCL issue. Hader also benefits from Jeffress' shoulder injury and could open the season as the Brewers' closer. Milwaukee reportedly had preliminary discussions with Craig Kimbrel, who would easily fill their closer role. But if the team opts not to go in that direction, Hader and his 12 saves/22 holds last season pitching as a multi-inning reliever, might shift to focus on just ninth inning. Jeffress closed down the stretch last season, but is working his way back from a shoulder injury and may not be ready until mid-to-late April. If healthy then and if Kimbrel has not been signed along with Knebel remaining sidelined, Jefrress could end up closing for the Brewers, Hader - 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $16; 12-team NL: $24; Jeffress - 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Jordan Hicks/Andrew Miller, Cardinals: Hicks bypassed Double and Triple-A, going straight to the majors last season. His 63 strikeouts in 78 innings are below what someone with his stuff should provide, though his K-rate kicked up the last two months, offset by a rise in his BB rate. Hicks likely won't notch every save following the signing of Miller this offseason. Injuries wrecked Miller's 2018 season after he posted four straight dominant campaigns. Despite that, he projects to be the left-handed tandem to Hicks, racking up a handful of saves along with a copious amount of holds - although Hicks is slated to be the primary closer. Hicks - 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $16; 12-team NL: $24; Miller - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
Mark Melancon/Will Smith, Giants: Melancon, signed to a four-year, $62 million contract with the Giants in December of 2016, has failed to remotely match his production from 2015-16 as a result of injuries. With his lowest K/9 since his 2009 rookie year and his highest BB/9 since 2010, Melancon is projected to begin the year as a setup man behind Smith, who took over the team's closer last season. He went 14-for-17 in save situations, and along the way posted a career-best ERA while improving his K/9 by 1.4 and BB/9 by 1.5 from 2016 and has a stranglehold on the role this season. Melancon - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3; Smith - 12-team Mixed: $5; 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $18
A.J. Minter/Arodys Vizcaino, Braves: The Braves were planning on having Minter and Vizcaino share closing duties based on matchups this season. That may still be the case, but Minter (shoulder) will likely open the season on the injured list. Once healthy, Minter could see a large portion of the closer responsibilities with Vizcaino used in the eighth inning, especially if a tough lefty is due up in the ninth. However, with all that said, Vizcaino has shown he can be a solid closer when healthy. But his low BABIP, an FIP more than a run-and-a-half above his ERA and declining K rate coupled with a high strand rate raises some concerns. His hold on the job may depend on how long Minter is out. Minter - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11; Vizcaino - 12-team Mixed: $5; 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $16
Alex Reyes, Cardinals – Reyes will break camp as a member of the Cardinals' bullpen and will not be used as a starting pitcher at this time. Look for him to be used as a multi-inning reliever with scheduled days off. Reyes, coming off Tommy John surgery, pitched just 27 competitive innings last year before he was shut down with a tendon tear in his lat in his one major-league start that necessitated season-ending surgery. Reyes could be a closer down the role or possibly shift back to starting, but this season, he likely will be a long-inning reliever. 12 team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
Trevor Rosenthal, Nationals – Rosenthal, the former Cardinals' closer, spent the entire 2018 campaign rehabbing his elbow after undergoing Tommy John surgery in August of 2017. As we noted in our preseason outlook, he signed a one-year deal with the Nationals in October after holding a showcase in California, where scouts said his fastball topped out at 98 mph while his slider and changeup sat in the high-80s. Rosenthal will set up Sean Doolittle and should notch at least a handful of saves given Doolittle's injury history. 12 team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
CATCHER
Jorge Alfaro, Marlins: Alfaro was traded from the Phillies to the Marlins in February along with Sixto Sanchez, Will Stewart and international bonus slot money in exchange for J.T. Realmuto. Last season in Philly, Alfaro slashed .262/.324/.407 with 10 homers in 377 plate appearances, although it's worth noting he benefitted from a .406 BABIP and struggled mightily with strikeouts (36.6 percent strikeout rate). He was also boosted from hitting at Citizens Bank Park, which won't be the case this season at Marlins Park. After bruising his knee, Alfaro just received clearance to resume baseball activities, which might restrict his duty to begin the season. If that happens, Chad Wallach is likely to see more action. 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7.
Austin Barnes/Russell Martin, Dodgers – Barnes took over as the No. 1 during the 2017 postseason, starting 13 of 14 games after Yasmani Grandal started Game 1 of the NLDS. He failed to build off that performance last season, regressing across the board by posting a .619 OPS over 200 at-bats. The presence of Martin provides Barnes with some competition for starts but Barnes is the unquestioned starter for LA and will see at least 60 percent of the starts behind the plate. Martin, whose batting average has declined for five straight years and production cratered the last two, will back up Barnes and also could see the occasional game at third base. Barnes - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9; Martin - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team NL: $0; 12-team NL: $3
Tyler Flowers/Brian McCann, Braves – Flowers, who split time with Kurt Suzuki last season, will split time with McCann this year. He excelled versus LHP in 2018, hitting .348/.511/.606 over 88 plate appearances but struggled mightily against RHP, resulting in a decline in his numbers compared to and 2017. McCann would seem to be the better option versus righties, but his age, impact by the shift and drop in batting average coupled with an inability to hit lefties, all point to McCann being on the shorter side of the platoon. Flowers - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; McCann - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team NL: $1; 12-team NL: $4
Alex Avila/Curt Casali/Kyle Farmer/Aramis Garcia/Andrew Knapp/Tom Murphy/Tomas Nido/Jacob Stallings/Chad Wallach/Matt Wieters/Tony Wolters – The above have earned backup catcher roles in Arizona, Cincinnati, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Philadelphia, Colorado, New York, Pittsburgh, Miami, Washington and St. Louis and will mostly see minimal action. Garcia beat out Rene Rivera and Stephen Vogt for the role and could see more action if San Francisco opts to give Buster Posey additional days off. Wallach might play more if Jorge Alfaro (knee) is limited to start the season. All save for Garcia and Wallach – 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $0; Garcia and Wallach - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team NL: $0; 12-team NL: $2
Austin Hedges/Francisco Mejia, Padres – Hedges' main value is in his defense, as he is one of the premier pitch framers in the major leagues with a strong and accurate throwing arm behind the plate. He also possesses power, evidenced by his 14 home runs and .188 ISO, though that's offset by his low batting average and high strikeout rate. Hedges will battle Mejia, who came over from Cleveland last season, for playing time behind the plate. Mejia has a big time bat but major questions exist as to whether or not he can play passable enough defense at catcher to stick behind the plate or needs to move to third base/outfield. His strong spring so far has likely earned him at least a timeshare with Hedges. If he continues to hit and plays decently on defense, he could wrest the job away from Hedges. Hedges - 12 team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Mejia - 12 team Mixed: $3, 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
FIRST BASE
Pete Alonso/Dominic Smith, Mets: Alonso blasted a combined 36 home runs with 119 runs batted in between Double and Triple-A last season. That performance garnered notice, augmented by blasting a 104-mph fastball out to center field in the Fall Stars game as well as his home run in the Futures Game. One major concern regarding Alonso has been his defense, but he has made tremendous strides in that regard, so he is now passable at first base. New York could have opted to play the service time game with Alonso, which could have allowed Smith to open the season as the starting first baseman until Alonso was up 2-3 weeks later. Alonso will be in the Opening Day lineup, although Smith still could still break camp thanks to the injuries to Jed Lowrie (knee) and Todd Frazier (oblique). Now that his sleep apnea has been resolved, Smith is quicker to the ball at the plate and has lost additional weight, improving his all-around game. His strong spring makes him a candidate to open the year in the majors. Alonso - 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $14; 12-team NL: $22; Smith - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
Brandon Belt, Giants: Belt fell short of 115 games for the second straight season. In 2017, a concussion cost him the last two months, while a knee injury cost him a major chunk of last season. Even when healthy, Belt is adversely impacted by playing at AT&T Park. But if you're looking for a cheap, somewhat-productive first baseman late in your draft, you could do worse than Belt. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Garrett Cooper/Neil Walker, Marlins – Cooper was originally battling for playing time at first base. He has middling power, save for one year in the minors, and no speed but could parlay a good spring into some at-bats when Walker shifts around the diamond. However, the surprising demotion of Peter O'Brien on Saturday means Cooper could open the season as the Marlins' starting right fielder. Walker disappointed at the dish in 2018 with the Yankees, hitting just .219 with 11 home runs and 46 RBI over 113 games - all career-lows. Those numbers came after he posted an .801 OPS between the Mets and Brewers in 2017. Walker's advanced numbers fell across the board last season, contributing to his decline. He signed a one-year deal with the Marlins, where he is penciled in to start at first base while also seeing time at second and third base. Cooper - 12 team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Walker - 12 team Mixed: $0, 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $5
Matt Adams/Daniel Descalso/Derek Dietrich/David Freese/Jose Osuna/Mark Reynolds/Pablo Sandoval/Eric Thames – The above have earned the backup first baseman job in Washington, Chicago, Cincinnati, Los Angeles, Pittsburgh, Colorado, San Francisco and Milwaukee and will mostly see minimal action. Adams will back up Ryan Zimmerman at first base and could see time in left field. He slammed 21 home runs but registered a career-worst .245 BABIP resulting in a 35-point drop in batting average. Adams could see time against right-handed pitchers. Dietrich bolsters the Cincy bench, where he should serve as a bat throughout the infield and also in left field, especially against right-handed pitching. Freese will back up Max Muncy, seeing most of his at-bats versus lefties. All save for Adams, Dietrich and Freese – 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $0; Adams/Dietrich/Freese - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team NL: $0; 12-team NL: $3
Wilmer Flores, Diamondbacks: Flores signed a one-year $4.25 million deal with a $6 million team option with the Diamondbacks in January. At the time of the signing, he was penciled in Arizona's starting second baseman. The D-Backs signing of Adam Jones pushed Ketel Marte into a utility role, with a good portion of his playing time possibly coming at the keystone where he may already qualify in certain leagues with 13 games played there last season. Look for Flores to also see time at first base, especially against lefties, if Jake Lamb scuffles against southpaws. But as of now, Lamb is slated to be the full-time starter. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Jose Martinez, Cardinals: Martinez is in need of a change of scenery. The acquisition of Paul Goldschmidt pushed Martinez to the outfield. He is competing with Dexter Fowler and Tyler O'Neill for time in right field, but his defensive shortcomings make him best suited to serving as a designated hitter. Martinez may see time at first and both corner outfield positions, depending on if he is able to keep his gains against righties and revert to prior form against lefties, St. Louis may live with his fielding liabilities to keep his bat in the lineup. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Christian Walker, Diamondbacks: Walker, a Quad-A player, is having a strong spring training, and possibly earned himself a roster spot to start the season. However, the addition of Adam Jones puts that in question. As we noted in our March 14 update, there was room for Walker and outfielder Socrates Brito prior to signing Jones but both may be out of options with the club possibly carrying three catchers. However, if the Diamondbacks retain two catchers, they can keep both Walker and Brito. 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3
SECOND BASE
Adam Frazier, Pirates: Frazier posted similar batting and on-base averages last season compared to 2017, but upped his slugging average by over 50 points. While his steals declined from nine to one, his power spiked - although that gain due to the advanced metrics may be unsustainable. Frazier, who hasn't accumulated more than 406 at-bats in any of his three seasons, will open the season as Pittsburgh's starting second baseman and leadoff hitter. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Garrett Hampson/Ryan McMahon, Rockies – Hampson entered spring training as the favorite to earn the second base job in Colorado. Daniel Murphy was brought in to play first base with Hampson sliding into replace DJ LeMahieu. Hampson, a third round pick in 2016, has elite speed, a solid eye at the plate and excellent contact skills but lacks power. Despite a solid camp, Hampson may be second in line behind McMahon, who is having a strong camp for the second straight season. Last year, he broke camp playing first base against right-handed pitching, but struggled the first month of the season and was sent to the minors. He was better after his late-July call up and has built off his solid second half to wrest the starting role away from Hampson. At a minimum, Hampson may be limited to duty against LHP and McMahon seeing most of time versus RHP. But be aware he has had issues with strikeouts in the past, which could land him back on the bench. Hampson - 12 team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; McMahon - 12 team Mixed: $5, 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $18
Enrique Hernandez/Chris Taylor, Dodgers: Manager Dave Roberts originally said that Taylor and Hernandez would share the starts at second base during the regular season. However, all signs now point to Hernandez being the starter at the position. Taylor will also see time at shortstop, third base and all three outfield spots, affording him close to regular playing time. Hernandez can fill a similar role, though his underwhelming numbers versus right-handed pitching (.221/.288/.377 slash line - 82 wRC+ - in 733 plate appearances) place him at greater risk than Taylor of settling into a short-side platoon role with most of his at-bats coming against left-handed pitching if a change is made following the start of the season. Hernandez - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9; Taylor - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Alen Hanson/Howie Kendrick/Scott Kingery/Yairo Munoz/Jose Pirela/Yangervis Solarte/Luis Urias – The above have earned the backup second base job in San Francisco, Washington, Philadelphia, St. Louis, San Francisco and San Diego (2x) and will mostly see minimal action. Solarte could see time at all four infield spots as well as in left field. Barring injury, he is unlikely to see 400 plate appearances again, but could end up over 300 for the Giants. Kingery has struggled this spring, carrying forward his issues from his regular season numbers. He is still projected to see time at second and third base. If he gets hot and Maikel Franco hits as he did the first 63 games last season and not the rest of the way, Kingery could see more playing time at the hot corner. All save for Kingery – 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $0; Solarte/Kingery - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $5
Ian Kinsler, Padres: Kinsler, who spent his entire career in the AL, signed a two-year, $8 million deal with San Diego this past offseason. After solid production in Detroit, Kinsler's output declined in 2017 and continued that trajectory downward last season. Kinsler will see most of his playing time at the keystone due to the recent signing of Manny Machado, pushing Luis Urias to shortstop and Jose Pirela into a utility role. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Jeff McNeil, Mets: McNeil's .329 average after his late-July call up was a top-10 mark among second-half qualifiers. The acquisitions of Robinson Cano and Jed Lowrie pushed McNeil from second base likely to left field with Brandon Nimmo in center and Michael Conforto in right. But with Lowrie (knee) and Todd Frazier (oblique) both sidelined for Opening Day, McNeil may start at the hot corner, with one of Keon Broxton, Juan Lagares or Rajai Davis sliding in for McNeil in the outfield, unless J.D. Davis starts at third to begin the season. Regardless of where he plays, look for the McNeil Hit Show to be on full display thanks to his ability to make consistent contact and foil good two-strike pitches for hits. 12-team Mixed: $4; 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $16
Nick Senzel, Reds: Senzel, the Reds' first round pick in 2016, appeared ready for a promotion last season. Vertigo was an issue for the second straight season - he missed the final week of 2017 with the condition and it cost him most of May last year. He also missed the final two months of 2018 with a broken right index finger. Senzel, drafted as a five-tool third baseman, saw time at second last season and worked in left field during instructs. He was battling Scott Schebler, who is having a solid spring, for the starting center field job and was assigned to minors on Friday. The Reds might just be playing with Senzel's service time and he may be promoted in the middle of April, enabling Cincy to retain Senzel's rights for at least one more year. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14 (keeper league bid)
Ben Zobrist, Cubs: Zobrist, who looked close to done in 2017, rebounded nicely last season to post a .270/.361/.420 line, aided by a rise in BABIP from .251 to 331. He will open the season as the Cubs' starting second baseman, but will also see time at first base as well as in left and right field. Zobrist should lead off against right-handed pitching while playing 5-6 times per week. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
THIRD BASE
Brian Anderson, Marlins: Anderson is the unquestioned starter at third base for Miami. He had 34 doubles but only 11 homers, partially hurt by his home park. But Anderson has a decent eye at the plate, despite striking out more than expected for someone with little power. Anderson's value is mainly tied to deeper or single-leagues. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Johan Camargo, Braves: The Braves are planning to use Camargo in a 'Marwin Gonzalez-type role' in 2019 following the signing of Josh Donaldson this past offseason. With 19 home runs and 76 runs batted in, Camargo provided the Braves and his owners way more than they could have expected from him last season. Look for him to see time at second, third, shortstop and potentially all three-outfield positions. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
J.D. Davis, Mets: Davis, traded by the Astros to the Mets this offseason, should see an uptick in at-bats in New York. After hitting well in Triple-A, Davis has struggled in the majors, due to his inability to catch up to premium velocity. With Jed Lowrie (knee) and Todd Frazier (oblique) possibly sidelined for Opening Day, Jeff McNeil could start at the hot corner, unless Davis and his solid spring starts there to begin the season. Once the team is healthy, Davis could see time at multiple positions. 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $0; 12-team NL: $2
Maikel Franco, Phillies: Franco hit just .240/.284/.409 through his first 63 games, he hit .298/.342/.520 the rest of the way, finishing with a .270/.314/.467 line and 22 homers in 465 plate appearances. That rebound likely saved his job with Scott Kingery looming. Franco's year-end numbers look very similar to his 2015 rookie campaign before he fell off the next two seasons. He may be undervalued in leagues, making him a nice buy-low, possible high-reward option. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Jung Ho Kang/Colin Moran, Pirates: Pirates' GM Neal Huntington said this past week Kang would serve as the Pirates' starting third baseman to begin the season. Kang, who missed all of 2017 due to legal woes and was limited in 2018 by the same and an injury, signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Pirates in November of 2018. Once he scrapes off the rust, Kang could post numbers similar to 2016, where he his 21 home runs and drove in 62 runs. Moran will be on the short-side of the platoon. While serving as the Pirates' primary starter at the position last season, Moran didn't build on the power gains he had demonstrated at the Triple-A level in 2017, which is why he is now the backup. One other option is that Kang shifts to shortstop, opening the season as the starter there with Moran getting the nod at the hot corner. Kang - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11; Moran - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3.
Jake Lamb, Diamondbacks: Lamb's 2018 season ended on July 26 after he injured his shoulder, which needed surgery to correct. Prior to getting injured, Lamb failed to build or even approach his 2016 and 2017 breakthrough campaigns. The trade of Paul Goldschmidt to St. Louis opened up first base, which is where Lamb will play this season, ceding the hot corner to Eduardo Escobar. Manager Torey Lovullo confirmed Lamb will be the everyday first baseman, starting against both right-handers and left-handers. His play against the latter, against whom he has struggled in the past, will determine if he remains in that role. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Jed Lowrie, Mets: Lowrie, oft-injured throughout his 11-year playing career, played 153 and 157 games the past two seasons. Signed to a two-year deal by the Mets, Lowrie is currently sidelined with a left knee sprain and will not be ready for Opening Day. Once finally healthy, Lowrie, a switch-hitter who is stronger from the left side, should see most of his playing time at the hot corner with the occasional game at second game. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Mike Moustakas, Brewers – Moustakas, who was traded to the Brewers at last year's trading deadline, re-signed with Milwaukee in February. He inked a one-year, $10 million contract that includes an $11 million mutual option ($3 million buyout) for 2020. Moose played third last season after arriving in Milwaukee, pushing Travis Shaw to second base and finished the year with 28 home runs and 95 runs batted in. This season, Shaw will shift back to third with Moustakas playing second base, adding to his fantasy value. Even if that experiment proves unsustainable, Moustakas likely will see enough games to retain eligibility for this season and possibly into 2020. 12-Team Mixed: $7, 15-team Mixed: $14; 12-team NL: $22
Max Muncy, Dodgers: Muncy started 2017 in the minors but raked after his April 17 promotion, finishing with the fifth-best wRC+ among 183 players with at least 450 plate appearances. He crushed right-handed pitchers while qualifying at first and third base. Muncy will open 2018 as the Dodgers' starting first baseman with Cody Bellinger in right field. Maybe Muncy turns back into a pumpkin, but I expect him to post numbers just slightly below last season. 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $16; 12-team NL: $24
Martin Prado, Marlins – Prado, who was known durability, playing at least 128 games every season from 2009-2016, suited up for just 91 games the past two seasons. Even when healthy, his production was suboptimal those two seasons, resulting in Prado now limited to a utility role. Look for him to see some time behind Brian Anderson at third base and maybe a few games at first base and left field. 12-Team Mixed: No, 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3
SHORTSTOP
Nick Ahmed, Diamondbacks – Ahmed will lose playing time to Ketel Marte, who will play over him. But he still should see plenty of at-bats, as he tries to repeat his surprising 2018 season when he blasted 16 home runs - a new career-high - scored 61 runs and drove in 70 despite a .234 batting average. In addition, Ahmed won his first Gold Glove at shortstop, living up to his defensive reputation. 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team NL: $4; 12-team NL: $7
Wilmer Difo/Luis Guillorme/Jose Iglesias/Hernan Perez – The above have earned the backup shortstop job in Washington, New York, Cincinnati and Milwaukee will mostly see minimal action. Iglesias was to back up Jose Peraza, but with Scooter Gennett out 8-12 with a strained right groin, Iglesias will start at short with Peraza moving to second base. That might only last until Nick Senzel is promoted, as Senzel can play second base, though Cincinnati president of baseball operations Dick Williams said Saturday that Senzel will continue to be developed as a center fielder at Triple-A Louisville to begin the season rather than transitioning back to an infield role. Igleisas might provide double-digit steals as a starter. Difo will be a super-utility player in the Nation's Capital, playing at second, short, third and in center field. He likely won't see 466 plate appearances, but could top 350, giving him value, especially in NL-only leagues. All save for Difo/Iglesias – 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $0; Difo - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $4; Iglesias - 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $2; 12-team NL: $7
Erik Gonzalez/Kevin Newman, Pirates – Pirates' GM Neal Huntington said Monday that Gonzalez will open the season as the Pirates' starting shortstop. Defense earned Gonzalez the job over Newman, who is now slated to open the season as a utility man. Gonzalez had a strong 2016 season at the plate for Triple-A Colorado Springs but has done very little at the dish in his brief playing time in the majors. With only 16 games played at shortstop last season, he may not qualify, so check your league settings. In addition, Jung Ho Kang might shift from third to shortstop, which then would result in Gonzalez possibly starting the year in the minors. Newman seemed set to break camp as the starter. He has shown the ability to hit for average and steal bases at a decent clip in the minors, but his dearth of power and a lack of high-end speed may always put him at risk of losing playing time. In addition, it's also possible Pittsburgh chooses Pablo Reyes as a super-utility man, relegating Newman to Triple-A Indianapolis to open the year. Gonzalez - 12-Team Mixed: No, 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $3; Newman - 12-Team Mixed: No, 15-team Mixed: No; 12-team NL: $2
Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks – Marte, after failing to produce his first three years in the Desert, took a major leap forward last season. He improved his K and contact rates, resulting in a spike in power and overall production. The signing of Adam Jones originally put the role of Marte, who had moved to center field following the signing of Wilmer Flores, somewhat in doubt. But manager Torey Lovullo clarified the comments made by general manager Mike Hazen, envisioning Marte rotating among center field, second base and shortstop on a near-daily basis as dictated by need or matchup. The bottom line is that Marte, who had 580 plate appearances over 153 games in 2018, will not see a noticeable reduction in playing time, enabling him to retain his value. 12-Team Mixed: $3, 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
OUTFIELD
Harrison Bader, Cardinals: Bader is opening the season as the Cardinals' starting center fielder. He improved his numbers across the board last season in his first full season in the majors as compared to his cup of coffee during his rookie campaign. Bader, who's already renowned for his defensive prowess, is also being lauded by manager Mike Shildt for his improvement as a hitter and is viewed as a 'five-tool player'. Look for double-digit home runs and steals from Bader, who will be in the lineup just about every day. 12-team Mixed: $4; 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $16
Lewis Brinson/Curtis Granderson, Marlins: Brinson had a season to forget in his first Miami year. After raking at Triple-A Colorado Springs and coming to the Marlins in the Christian Yelich deal, Brinson posted a .199/.240/.338 slash line in his first full year of big-league action. For the power-speed combo player to succeed, he must improve his plate discipline despite a solid spring. Granderson looks likely to open the season as the Marlins' starting left fielder. He is still productive against righties, which might allow him to see the lion's share of the playing time at that spot. Peter O'Brien, who hit 30 homers between Double- and Triple-A last year, struggled this spring and was sent down to the minors Saturday. Garrett Cooper is likely to open the season as the team's starting right fielder. If he falters, Austin Dean, who was sent down to Triple-A, could be recalled and shift to right field as the starter there. Brinson - 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11; Granderson - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
Keon Broxton/Melky Cabrera/Ben Gamel/Scott Schebler/Raimel Tapia - The above have earned the fourth outfielder roles New York, Milwaukee, Cincinnati and Colorado. Broxton went 20-20 in Milwaukee in 2017 but lost playing time last season following the acquisitions of Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Traded to the Mets in January, Broxton should serve as a right-handed complement to lefty starters Michael Conforto, Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil. Cabrera hit .310 in 42 spring at-bats and is expected to see time in the outfield, especially with starting right fielder Gregory Polanco (shoulder) not expected back until May. Once Polanco returns, Cabrera's playing time could be cut, since Lonnie Chisenhall is also in the mix. Gamel has a good eye at the plate and raked last year against righties but may not see much time behind Ryan Braun, Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Schebler is still battling for the center field job, but if he fails to beat off Nick Senzel, he could see some time in left field. He was having a career year before shoulder surgery landed him on the DL in July and limited his output when he returned. Schebler looks like he will start the season as the Reds' center field with Nick Senzel sent down. But Senzel may be promoted by mid-April once the service time date has passed. Tapia has good speed and looked to be in line for close to full time playing time in Colorado after CarGo went unsigned. But the Rockies signed Daniel Murphy, moving Ian Desmond to the outfield, limiting Tapia's upside and at-bats. All except Schebler - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $3; Schebler - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
Lonnie Chisenhall, Pirates: Chisenhall, who missed most of 2018 with a lingering calf issue, signed a one-year, $2.75 million deal with Pittsburgh this past November. At that time, he was expected to see a healthy amount of action due to Gregory Polanco's September shoulder surgery. With Polanco recovering faster than expected, Chisenhall will see less playing that first anticipated. He is still worthy of a look in NL leagues, but his mixed league value - save for deeper leagues - is drastically reduced. 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $5
Yoenis Cespedes, Mets: Cespedes was limited by injuries again, as he played just 38 games last season. It was determined he was dealing with calcification in both of his heels, and two separate surgeries were required to treat the issue - the first in August and the second in October. Cespedes began a throwing program Monday, though he is still likely to be sidelined until mid-season. Right now, the Mets' outfield is to be Jeff McNeil-Brandon Nimmo-Michael Conforto, but whenever Yo is back, he will start in left field. 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7 (stash candidate)
Franchy Cordero/Franmil Reyes, Padres: Cordero's chances to break camp improved due to Travis Jankowski's wrist surgery. He has yet to produce much this spring but appears likely to earn a roster spot. As we noted in our pre-season outlook, Cordero hasn't had a strikeout rate below 25 percent above A-ball. And despite his athleticism, his defense graded out poorly last year as he routinely misread balls off the bat. But his power/speed combo makes him an attractive stash candidate. Over the final two months of the season, Reyes hit .318/.385/.548 with six doubles and 10 homers in 49 games (157 at-bats). His strikeout rate and poor production against righties are concerning, but Reyes is penciled in as the starting right fielder as of now. If both numbers don't improve, Reyes could lose at-bats especially when Travis Jankowski returns from his injury. Cordero - 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Reyes - 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $16; 12-team NL: $24
David Dahl, Rockies: With Gerardo Parra and Carlos Gonzalez no longer impediments to playing time, Dahl has a clear path to full time duty. Injuries have allowed Dahl to only see more than 400 plate appearances twice in six seasons. With a clear path to at-bats and health, Dahl could post 30 home runs and double-digit steals while playing half his games at Coors Field. Invest heavily. 12-team Mixed: $14; 15-team Mixed: $24; 12-team NL: $34
Ian Desmond, Rockies – Desmond, who played first base last season, will mostly play center field while also seeing time in left. He failed to fully take advantage of the Coors Field altitude, posting a 62 percent groundball rate. Despite that number, he still notched 22 homers and 88 RBI and 20 stolen bases with a .236 batting average through 160 games. A slight rise in batting average and mild decline in production across the board would not be surprising for Desmond, who qualifies at first and the outfield. 12-team Mixed: $4; 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $16
Steven Duggar/Gerardo Parra/Mac Williamson, Giants – Williamson/Duggar/Parra should open the season as the Giants' Opening Day outfield. A strong spring training solidified the role for Duggar, who opened camp as the favorite to earn the spot. With San Francisco in a rebuild, he could get a long leash. If Duggar can improve his walk rate, he would receive more opportunities to show off his speed, which is what presents most of his fantasy value. Parra is a bit of an empty hitter, as most of his value is tied into his solid batting average. Now outside of Coors, his power numbers will likely decline even further, cutting into his fantasy value. Williamson has by far the most raw power of the group, with the potential to hit 20+ home runs. Unfortunately to date, the 27-year-old has been your typical 'Quad-A' player, destroying Triple-A pitching last year (.269/.372/.533) while struggling in the majors (.213/.295/.383). Cameron Maybin and Austin Slater are candidates to take away playing time from Williamson. But look for the Giants to give Williamson a legitimate chance to hold onto the job. Duggar - 12-Team Mixed: $0, 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4; Parra - 12-Team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7; Williamson - 12-Team Mixed: $1, 15-team Mixed: $5; 12-team NL: $9
Brandon Nimmo, Mets – Nimmo entered 2018 as a backup outfielder, but injuries to the Mets' starting outfielder provided him the chance to see regular at-bats. He ran with that opportunity, earning an everyday role while leading off for much of the season, finishing fourth among qualified hitters with a .404 OBP and sixth in MLB with a 149 wRC+. The 17 longballs were the most unexpected aspect of his campaign, but look for him to once again post an excellent OBA and get back into double-digits in steals while manning center field most days. 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $14; 12-team NL: $22
Tyler O'Neill, Cardinals: O'Neill flashed his power potential, blasting nine home runs in only 142 at-bats while also playing solid defense. After posting an 1.078 OPS at Triple-A, O'Neill is clearly ready for the next level. Right now, Marcell Ozuna, Harrison Bader and Dexter Fowler are penciled in as the starting outfielders. But if Fowler struggles as he did last season, O'Neill should slide in as the team's full-time right fielder and receive a major spike in value. 12-team Mixed: $3; 15-team Mixed: $9; 12-team NL: $14
Gregory Polanco/Pablo Reyes, Pirates: Polanco had a very up-and-down 2018, posting three months in which he hit below .235 and three months in which he hit over .300, including .409 in September before going down with his injury. That injury to his shoulder, which required surgery, was originally supposed to sideline him until mid-season. Polanco hit 19 of his 23 home runs vs. righties but was still somewhat productive vs. lefties. He is already throwing from 120 to 150 feet and will likely play defense in a minor-league spring game next week, putting on pace for an early-May return. Those who pounced on him cheap in early-drafts may reap the rewards of an earlier than expected return. Reyes' chances of breaking camp in a super-utility role may have been bolstered by the team's decision to pick Erik Gonzalez as its starting shortstop over Kevin Newman. Pittsburgh could send Newman down to the minors, allowing Reyes to see time as the backup center fielder while also see time in the infield. Polanco - 12-team Mixed: $8; 15-team Mixed: $14; 12-team NL: $22; Reyes - 12-team Mixed: No; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $5
Victor Robles, Nationals: Robles endured a difficult 2018, missing over three months with a hyperextended left elbow suffered April 9 and struggling a bit at the plate. He projects to possibly hit 15 or so home runs while the speed to steal 30 bases and hit over .270 while playing stellar defense in center field. With Bryce Harper gone to Philly, Robles seemed to have a clear path to playing time. That became even clearer with Michael Taylor (knee/hip) out for the beginning of the season, meaning the Nats' #1 prospect has no real competition for the starting center field job. In addition, when Adam Eaton sits, Robles will likely lead off. 12-team Mixed: $5; 15-team Mixed: $11; 12-team NL: $18 (up in keeper leagues)
Steven Souza, Diamondbacks - Souza followed up his breakout 2017 campaign by dealing with several injuries, limiting him to 272 plate appearances. Other than his power stroke, which cratered, the rest of his advanced metrics last season were in line with 2017. Presuming that his issues last season were just health related, he'll be penciled in as Arizona's starting right fielder and makes for a nice cheap investment as a mild rebound candidate. 12-team Mixed: $2; 15-team Mixed: $7; 12-team NL: $11
Alex Verdugo, Dodgers: Verdugo looked to be in line to start for LA when Matt Kemp and Yasiel Puig were dealt to Cincinnati. But the Dodgers signed A.J. Pollock and are moving Cody Bellinger to right field, making room for Max Muncy at first base. Verdugo, who has an excellent eye at the plate with strong contact skills along with decent power and speed, should break camp as a left-handed hitting fourth outfielder seeing time at all three outfield spots. If he gets off to a strong start, he could carve out a bigger role. 12-team Mixed: $1; 15-team Mixed: $4; 12-team NL: $7
Nick Williams, Phillies: Williams will open the season as the Phillies' fourth outfielder due to the acquisitions of Andrew McCutchen and Bryce Harper. McCutchen and Harper are unlikely to cede many at-bats in the outfield corners, which are Williams' best positions. Odubel Herrera's grip on the center-field job appears to be less firm, but that's not Williams' most optimal spot. Williams may then be limited to DH duty in AL parks and when Cutch or Harper needs a day off. 12-team Mixed: $0; 15-team Mixed: $1; 12-team NL: $4