This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.
So much for an increase in run scoring. As demonstrated in the most recent Z Files, homers are stable, but runs are down due to more strikeouts and a dip in BABIP. As we've learned over the past season and a half, notes like this are strictly descriptive, not predictive. The data suggests it's still safe to stream, but streaming this season is all about picking on the weaker lineups, focusing on how the team performs against the handedness of the starting pitcher.
To that end, here are the best targets against which to stream.
Left-Handed Starters
Team | K% | BB% | HR% | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians | 21.3% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.269 |
Miami Marlins | 27.7% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.273 |
Oakland Athletics | 22.5% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.279 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 25.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.284 |
Los Angeles Angels | 24.9% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.292 |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 23.4% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.293 |
Baltimore Orioles | 25.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.295 |
The Guardians and the Athletics sport the lowest and third-lowest wOBA against southpaws, but they make good contact, so don't expect your lefty to rack up a bunch of punch outs. As is usually the case, context drives the better options.
Right-Handed Starters
Team | K% | BB% | HR% | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics | 23.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.258 |
Detroit Tigers | 24.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.265 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.287 |
Chicago White Sox | 20.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.290 |
Texas Rangers | 23.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.291 |
Cincinnati Reds | 24.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.291 |
Tampa Bay Rays | 24.8% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.293 |
Oakland and Pittsburgh are the only teams populating both lists. The White Sox
So much for an increase in run scoring. As demonstrated in the most recent Z Files, homers are stable, but runs are down due to more strikeouts and a dip in BABIP. As we've learned over the past season and a half, notes like this are strictly descriptive, not predictive. The data suggests it's still safe to stream, but streaming this season is all about picking on the weaker lineups, focusing on how the team performs against the handedness of the starting pitcher.
To that end, here are the best targets against which to stream.
Left-Handed Starters
Team | K% | BB% | HR% | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians | 21.3% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.269 |
Miami Marlins | 27.7% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.273 |
Oakland Athletics | 22.5% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.279 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 25.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.284 |
Los Angeles Angels | 24.9% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.292 |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 23.4% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.293 |
Baltimore Orioles | 25.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.295 |
The Guardians and the Athletics sport the lowest and third-lowest wOBA against southpaws, but they make good contact, so don't expect your lefty to rack up a bunch of punch outs. As is usually the case, context drives the better options.
Right-Handed Starters
Team | K% | BB% | HR% | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics | 23.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.258 |
Detroit Tigers | 24.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.265 |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.287 |
Chicago White Sox | 20.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.290 |
Texas Rangers | 23.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.291 |
Cincinnati Reds | 24.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.291 |
Tampa Bay Rays | 24.8% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.293 |
Oakland and Pittsburgh are the only teams populating both lists. The White Sox are the only team with a low wOBA versus righties along with a low strikeout rate. The White Sox low HR clip drives the limited production, so using righties with high home run rates make sense against the Pale Hose, as well as the punchless Tigers.
For those curious, all of this is factored into the formulaic rankings.
Please keep in mind the schedule is taken from the Probable Pitchers page, so please direct rotation question to that space. As always, I'm happy to address specific ranking questions below.
UPDATED: Monday July 11 1:15 AM ET
Week of July 11-17
Mixed
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comments | MIX12 | MIX15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | CIN, BOS | |||
2 | Aaron Nola | PHI | @STL, @MIA | |||
3 | Logan Webb | SF | ARI, MIL | |||
4 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | PHI | A true throwback | ||
5 | Max Scherzer | NYM | @ATL, @CHC | 11K in 6 IP his first game back | ||
6 | Corbin Burnes | MIL | @SF | |||
7 | Max Fried | ATL | NYM, @WAS | |||
8 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | PHI, KC | |||
9 | Shane Bieber | CLE | CWS, DET | Good pair to get back on track | ||
10 | Shane McClanahan | TB | BOS | |||
11 | Alek Manoah | TOR | KC | |||
12 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | @LAA | |||
13 | Pablo Lopez | MIA | PIT | |||
14 | Miles Mikolas | STL | PHI, CIN | |||
15 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @LAA | |||
16 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL | @SF | |||
17 | Justin Verlander | HOU | OAK | |||
18 | Shohei Ohtani | LAA | HOU | Last earned run against June 9, 30.2 IP scoreless since | ||
19 | Julio Urias | LAD | @LAA | |||
20 | Dylan Cease | CWS | @CLE, @MIN | Strikeouts galore, but ratios at risk | ||
21 | Yu Darvish | SD | ARI | |||
22 | Luis Severino | NYY | CIN | |||
23 | Carlos Rodon | SF | MIL | |||
24 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @TOR | |||
25 | Spencer Strider | ATL | NYM, @WAS | 30 K, 3 BB last 18 IP | ||
26 | Tony Gonsolin | LAD | @STL | |||
27 | Triston McKenzie | CLE | DET | |||
28 | Cristian Javier | HOU | @LAA | |||
29 | Alex Cobb | SF | ARI, MIL | 2.35 ERA, 1.11 WHIP over last 15 IP | ||
30 | Cal Quantrill | CLE | CWS, DET | |||
31 | Zac Gallen | ARI | @SF | |||
32 | Corey Kluber | TB | BOS, BAL | |||
33 | Jordan Montgomery | NYY | BOS | |||
34 | Eric Lauer | MIL | @SF | |||
35 | Zach Plesac | CLE | DET | |||
36 | Luis Garcia | HOU | @LAA | |||
37 | Jon Gray | TEX | OAK | |||
38 | Brady Singer | KC | DET | |||
39 | Chris Sale | BOS | @TB, @NYY | Welcome back! | ||
40 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | CIN | |||
41 | Charlie Morton | ATL | NYM | |||
42 | Tyler Wells | BAL | @TB | |||
43 | Tyler Anderson | LAD | @STL | |||
44 | Shane Baz | TB | BAL | |||
45 | Jose Urquidy | HOU | OAK | |||
46 | Martin Perez | TEX | SEA | |||
47 | Frankie Montas | OAK | @HOU | |||
48 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | @SF, @SD | |||
49 | Alex Wood | SF | MIL | |||
50 | Beau Brieske | DET | @KC, @CLE | On the road, but soft pair | 1% | 11% |
51 | Ranger Suarez | PHI | @MIA | |||
52 | Luis Castillo | CIN | @NYY | |||
53 | Adam Wainwright | STL | LAD | |||
54 | Robbie Ray | SEA | @TEX | |||
55 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | @TEX | |||
56 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | BOS | |||
57 | Ross Stripling | TOR | KC | |||
58 | Kyle Wright | ATL | @WAS | |||
59 | Michael Pineda | DET | @KC, @CLE | 7% | ||
60 | Lance Lynn | CWS | @CLE, @MIN | |||
61 | Devin Smeltzer | MIN | CWS | 32% | ||
62 | Sonny Gray | MIN | CWS | |||
63 | Jameson Taillon | NYY | BOS | |||
64 | Josh Winder | MIN | MIL, CWS | 7% | 19% | |
65 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | PIT, PHI | |||
66 | Josiah Gray | WAS | SEA, ATL | |||
67 | Joe Ryan | MIN | MIL | |||
68 | Tarik Skubal | DET | @KC | |||
69 | Kyle Gibson | PHI | @MIA | |||
70 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | PIT | 5% | 38% | |
71 | Dean Kremer | BAL | @TB | |||
72 | Kutter Crawford | BOS | @TB | 0% | 0% | |
73 | Keegan Thompson | CHC | BAL | |||
74 | MacKenzie Gore | SD | ARI | |||
75 | Lucas Giolito | CWS | @CLE | |||
76 | Jake Odorizzi | HOU | OAK | 26% | ||
77 | Nathan Eovaldi | BOS | @NYY | |||
78 | Sam Long | SF | ARI | 0% | 0% | |
79 | Mix 12 Reliever | |||||
80 | Taijuan Walker | NYM | @CHC | |||
81 | Noah Syndergaard | LAA | HOU | |||
82 | Brad Keller | KC | DET, @TOR | 21% | 40% | |
83 | Marcus Stroman | CHC | NYM | 38% | ||
84 | Aaron Civale | CLE | CWS | Showing signs of returning to form | 22% | |
85 | Zach Thompson | PIT | @MIA | 1% | 0% | |
86 | Mitch White | LAD | @STL | |||
87 | Mix 15 Reliever | |||||
88 | Sean Manaea | SD | @COL, ARI | |||
89 | Joe Musgrove | SD | @COL | |||
90 | Chris Bassitt | NYM | @ATL | |||
91 | Hunter Greene | CIN | @STL | |||
92 | Jose Berrios | TOR | PHI | |||
93 | Tyler Gilbert | ARI | @SD | 0% | 0% | |
94 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | LAD | |||
95 | Bailey Falter | PHI | @TOR | 0% | 6% | |
96 | Konnor Pilkington | CLE | CWS | 1% | 0% | |
97 | JT Brubaker | PIT | @MIA | 17% | ||
98 | Dane Dunning | TEX | SEA | |||
99 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | @STL | |||
100 | Josh Winckowski | BOS | @TB | 7% | ||
101 | Daniel Castano | MIA | PIT, PHI | 0% | 13% | |
102 | Chris Flexen | SEA | @WAS, @TEX | 25% | ||
103 | Andre Pallante | STL | CIN | 13% | ||
104 | Jordan Lyles | BAL | @CHC, @TB | 1% | 17% | |
105 | Madison Bumgarner | ARI | @SD | |||
106 | David Peterson | NYM | @ATL, @CHC | |||
107 | Glenn Otto | TEX | OAK, SEA | 3% | ||
108 | Paul Blackburn | OAK | @TEX | |||
109 | Dylan Bundy | MIN | CWS | 16% | ||
110 | Michael Kopech | CWS | @MIN | |||
111 | Justin Steele | CHC | NYM | 15% | ||
112 | Cole Irvin | OAK | @HOU | 19% | ||
113 | Roansy Contreras | PIT | @MIA, @COL | |||
114 | Carlos Carrasco | NYM | @CHC | |||
115 | Johnny Cueto | CWS | @MIN | |||
116 | Steven Matz | STL | CIN | 19% | ||
117 | Reid Detmers | LAA | HOU | 20% | 15% | |
118 | Josh Fleming | TB | BOS, BAL | 0% | 0% | |
119 | Max Castillo | TOR | KC | 1% | 4% | |
120 | Mark Leiter Jr. | CHC | NYM | 0% | 0% | |
121 | Paolo Espino | WAS | ATL | 0% | 2% | |
122 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | @NYY | |||
123 | Zack Greinke | KC | @TOR | 26% | ||
124 | Drew Smyly | CHC | NYM | 2% | 4% | |
125 | James Kaprielian | OAK | @TEX | 3% | 32% | |
126 | Adrian Sampson | CHC | BAL | 1% | 9% | |
127 | Brayan Bello | BOS | @TB | 0% | 0% | |
128 | Matthew Liberatore | STL | LAD | 4% | 45% | |
129 | Aaron Ashby | MIL | @MIN | |||
130 | Dakota Hudson | STL | LAD | 47% | ||
131 | Adrian Martinez | OAK | @TEX, @HOU | 0% | 0% | |
132 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN | @NYY, @STL | 47% | ||
133 | Daniel Lynch | KC | @TOR, DET | 4% | 26% | |
134 | Marco Gonzales | SEA | @TEX | |||
135 | German Marquez | COL | PIT | 33% | ||
136 | Drew Hutchison | DET | @CLE | 0% | 0% | |
137 | Mike Clevinger | SD | @COL | |||
138 | Spencer Howard | TEX | OAK, SEA | 2% | 38% | |
139 | Jose Suarez | LAA | LAD | 1% | 15% | |
140 | Alex Faedo | DET | @KC | 8% | 43% | |
141 | Mike Minor | CIN | @NYY | 0% | 11% | |
142 | Kris Bubic | KC | DET | 0% | 2% | |
143 | Ian Anderson | ATL | @WAS | |||
144 | Blake Snell | SD | @COL | |||
145 | Mitch Keller | PIT | @MIA, @COL | 16% | ||
146 | Erick Fedde | WAS | SEA | 3% | 19% | |
147 | Dallas Keuchel | ARI | @SF | 0% | 0% | |
148 | Jason Alexander | MIL | @MIN, @SF | 1% | 26% | |
149 | Anibal Sanchez | WAS | ATL | 0% | 0% | |
150 | Patrick Corbin | WAS | ATL | 22% | ||
151 | Jose Quintana | PIT | @COL | 24% | ||
152 | Elvin Rodriguez | DET | @CLE | 0% | 0% | |
153 | Tommy Milone | SEA | @WAS | 0% | 0% | |
154 | Spenser Watkins | BAL | @CHC | 0% | 6% | |
155 | Kyle Freeland | COL | SD | 7% | 36% | |
156 | Austin Gomber | COL | SD | 3% | 4% | |
157 | Carlos Hernandez | KC | @TOR | 1% | 2% | |
158 | Antonio Senzatela | COL | PIT | 0% | 0% | |
159 | Chad Kuhl | COL | SD | 20% | ||
160 | Jose Urena | COL | SD, PIT | 0% | 0% | |
161 | Davis Martin | CWS | @CLE | 0% | 0% |
American League
Rank | Pitcher | TM | OPP | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | CIN, BOS | |
2 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | PHI, KC | |
3 | Shane Bieber | CLE | CWS, DET | Good pair to get back on track |
4 | Shane McClanahan | TB | BOS | |
5 | Alek Manoah | TOR | KC | |
6 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @LAA | |
7 | Justin Verlander | HOU | OAK | |
8 | Shohei Ohtani | LAA | HOU | Last earned run against June 9, 30.2 IP scoreless since |
9 | Dylan Cease | CWS | @CLE, @MIN | Strikeouts galore, but ratios at risk |
10 | Luis Severino | NYY | CIN | |
11 | Triston McKenzie | CLE | DET | |
12 | Cristian Javier | HOU | @LAA | |
13 | Cal Quantrill | CLE | CWS, DET | |
14 | Corey Kluber | TB | BOS, BAL | |
15 | Jordan Montgomery | NYY | BOS | |
16 | Zach Plesac | CLE | DET | |
17 | Luis Garcia | HOU | @LAA | |
18 | Jon Gray | TEX | OAK | |
19 | Brady Singer | KC | DET | |
20 | Chris Sale | BOS | @TB, @NYY | Welcome back! |
21 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | CIN | |
22 | Tyler Wells | BAL | @TB | |
23 | Shane Baz | TB | BAL | |
24 | Jose Urquidy | HOU | OAK | |
25 | Martin Perez | TEX | SEA | |
26 | Frankie Montas | OAK | @HOU | |
27 | Beau Brieske | DET | @KC, @CLE | On the road, but soft pair |
28 | Robbie Ray | SEA | @TEX | |
29 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | @TEX | |
30 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | BOS | |
31 | Ross Stripling | TOR | KC | |
32 | Michael Pineda | DET | @KC, @CLE | |
33 | Lance Lynn | CWS | @CLE, @MIN | |
34 | Devin Smeltzer | MIN | CWS | |
35 | Sonny Gray | MIN | CWS | |
36 | Jameson Taillon | NYY | BOS | |
37 | Josh Winder | MIN | MIL, CWS | |
38 | Joe Ryan | MIN | MIL | |
39 | Tarik Skubal | DET | @KC | |
40 | Dean Kremer | BAL | @TB | |
41 | Kutter Crawford | BOS | @TB | |
42 | Lucas Giolito | CWS | @CLE | |
43 | Jake Odorizzi | HOU | OAK | |
44 | Nathan Eovaldi | BOS | @NYY | |
45 | Noah Syndergaard | LAA | HOU | |
46 | Brad Keller | KC | DET, @TOR | |
47 | Aaron Civale | CLE | CWS | Showing signs of returning to form |
48 | Jose Berrios | TOR | PHI | |
49 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | LAD | |
50 | Konnor Pilkington | CLE | CWS | |
51 | Dane Dunning | TEX | SEA | |
52 | Josh Winckowski | BOS | @TB | |
53 | Chris Flexen | SEA | @WAS, @TEX | |
54 | Jordan Lyles | BAL | @CHC, @TB | |
55 | Glenn Otto | TEX | OAK, SEA | |
56 | Paul Blackburn | OAK | @TEX | |
57 | AL Reliever | |||
58 | Dylan Bundy | MIN | CWS | |
59 | Michael Kopech | CWS | @MIN | |
60 | Cole Irvin | OAK | @HOU | |
61 | Johnny Cueto | CWS | @MIN | |
62 | Reid Detmers | LAA | HOU | |
63 | Josh Fleming | TB | BOS, BAL | |
64 | Max Castillo | TOR | KC | |
65 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | @NYY | |
66 | Zack Greinke | KC | @TOR | |
67 | James Kaprielian | OAK | @TEX | |
68 | Brayan Bello | BOS | @TB | |
69 | Adrian Martinez | OAK | @TEX, @HOU | |
70 | Daniel Lynch | KC | @TOR, DET | |
71 | Marco Gonzales | SEA | @TEX | |
72 | Drew Hutchison | DET | @CLE | |
73 | Spencer Howard | TEX | OAK, SEA | |
74 | Jose Suarez | LAA | LAD | |
75 | Alex Faedo | DET | @KC | |
76 | Kris Bubic | KC | DET | |
77 | Elvin Rodriguez | DET | @CLE | |
78 | Tommy Milone | SEA | @WAS | |
79 | Spenser Watkins | BAL | @CHC | |
80 | Carlos Hernandez | KC | @TOR | |
81 | Davis Martin | CWS | @CLE |