2024 Stats
W-L
2-11
ERA
4.92
WHIP
1.58
K
97
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rogers carried a strong spring into the season, but his hopes of rebounding from a poor 2022 campaign were dashed after four starts. First, Rogers was shelved with a biceps strain, and when he appeared ready to return, the southpaw was diagnosed with a partial tear in his right lat, shutting him down for the season. In his four starts, Rogers was showing signs of improvement, including the introduction of a sinker. It was only 18 innings, but his peripherals were much closer to 2021 than 2022. Because the second injury was to his non-throwing arm, Rogers was able to play catch down the stretch, with plans on continuing to throw into the offseason. He'll enter 2024 as a wild card. Even if Rogers demonstrates 2022 is the outlier, durability is an issue after making only four starts last season and 23 the prior campaign. Rogers is best drafted as a fungible starter, with streaming upside and replaceable if he struggles. Read Past Outlooks
Sent packing to minors
The Orioles optioned Rogers to Triple-A Norfolk on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
Baltimore obviously saw something in Rogers to the point that it surrendered a surprisingly hefty trade package to acquire him at the deadline, but the club has been unable to fix him. In fact, Rogers has been much worse for the Orioles than he had been with the Marlins this season, collecting a 7.11 ERA and 12:10 K:BB over 19 innings covering four starts since joining his new team. With Rogers out of the picture, Cole Irvin and Cade Povich will continue getting starts for the Orioles, at least until Zach Eflin (shoulder) and/or Grayson Rodriguez (lat) return from the injured list.
Baltimore obviously saw something in Rogers to the point that it surrendered a surprisingly hefty trade package to acquire him at the deadline, but the club has been unable to fix him. In fact, Rogers has been much worse for the Orioles than he had been with the Marlins this season, collecting a 7.11 ERA and 12:10 K:BB over 19 innings covering four starts since joining his new team. With Rogers out of the picture, Cole Irvin and Cade Povich will continue getting starts for the Orioles, at least until Zach Eflin (shoulder) and/or Grayson Rodriguez (lat) return from the injured list.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Trevor Rogers generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Rogers generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-12%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .253 | 63 | 30 | 57 | 3 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .283 | 159 | 77 | 215 | 28 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .313 | 25 | 16 | 35 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .277 | 72 | 40 | 105 | 12 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .200 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .236 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 2 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .194 | 33 | 13 | 19 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .298 | 73 | 32 | 97 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-8%
ERA on Road
2024
-8%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 5.30 | 1.54 | 124.0 | 9.2 | 3.6 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 4.88 | 1.50 | 125.1 | 6.8 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 5.15 | 1.65 | 57.2 | 8.3 | 4.4 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.73 | 1.52 | 66.2 | 5.9 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.38 | 1.20 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.79 | 1.29 | 4.2 | 9.6 | 3.9 | ||||
| 2022Home | 5.94 | 1.51 | 53.0 | 10.2 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2022Away | 5.00 | 1.50 | 54.0 | 7.7 | 4.5 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Trevor Rogers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.73K/9
7.0BB/9
4.1HR/9
1.0Fastball
91.8 mphERA
4.92WHIP
1.58BABIP
.332GB/FB
1.52Left On Base
69.2%Exit Velocity
83.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.5%Spin Rate
2178 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.5%Swinging Strike
9.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2018
What...was...that? Rogers was one of the more wide awake sleepers heading into the 2022 draft season who many targeted in the late rounds after watching his growth in 2021 only to watch him aggressively backslide statistically in 2022 in many areas. His K-BB% dropped 40% while he specialized in filling the basepaths either by hits (.278) or walk rate (9%) and the first half splits were as poor as the second half splits. He allowed just 1 homer and a .194 average to lefties on the seasons while righties sprinted to the bat rack to hit 14 homers off him with a .298 average. Over three seasons, he has 14 quality starts in 55 career starts (25% rate) showing the risks with taking his upside too early in a draft. We cannot pretend 2021 is the real deal when 2020 and 2022 happened as well because the both sample sizes happened in nearly the same amount of innings. The biggest difference in the two samples was how well his fastball performed in 2021 when he most pitched up in the count (.222 avg; .334 SLG) vs 2022 when he was behind too often (.312 avg; .553 SLG.)
More Fantasy News
Can't complete five innings
Rogers didn't factor into the decision Monday against the Mets, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks across 4.2 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Allows five runs in loss
Rogers (2-11) took the loss against the Nationals on Tuesday, allowing five runs on seven hits and two walks with two strikeouts over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in second start with new club
Rogers came away with a no-decision in Wednesday's 7-3 win over the Blue Jays, giving up three runs (two earned) on seven hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Labors in Baltimore debut
Rogers (2-10) took the loss against Cleveland on Thursday, allowing five runs on six hits and three walks while striking out three batters over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Making team debut Thursday
Rogers was added to the Orioles' 26-man active roster and will start Thursday's game against the Guardians in Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Plan being formulated
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said Thursday that the coaching staff is putting together a pitching plan for Rogers after he was demoted to Triple-A Norfolk on Thursday, reports Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander was acquired by the Orioles at the trade deadline but struggled in four starts with a 7.11 ERA, 1.84 WHIP and 12:10 K:BB across 19 innings. Rogers indicated shortly after the trade that he was receiving more feedback and analytical information from Baltimore than he had at any point in his career, and he may have been overwhelmed by the volume. The 26-year-old is a likely bet to rejoin the big club before the end of the season given the rotation's injury issues.
The left-hander was acquired by the Orioles at the trade deadline but struggled in four starts with a 7.11 ERA, 1.84 WHIP and 12:10 K:BB across 19 innings. Rogers indicated shortly after the trade that he was receiving more feedback and analytical information from Baltimore than he had at any point in his career, and he may have been overwhelmed by the volume. The 26-year-old is a likely bet to rejoin the big club before the end of the season given the rotation's injury issues.