Carlos Rodon

32-Year-Old PitcherSP

New York Yankees

2024 Stats

W-L

16-9

ERA

3.96

WHIP

1.22

195

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Rodon bounced back from a terrible 2023 debut with the Yankees with a respectable 2024 season. It is a rarity these days to see a pitcher earn a decision in 78% of their starts, but Rodon earned 16 wins and 9 losses in 32 starts while nearly matching his career high for innings set in 2022. Rodon's 16 wins and 195 strikeouts were welcomed contributions to both the Yankees' roster and many fantasy rosters, but the ratios were not nearly as welcomes. The 1.22 WHIP was not as bad as the 3.96 ERA, and the latter can be directly tied to the 1.6 HR/9 Rodon pitched to last season. The popular thought is Yankee Stadium punishes him, when in fact he has permitted more homers on the road (24) than at home (22) since joining the Yankees. The home run issue was extremely prevalent in 2024 off his fastball as 21 of his 31 homers came off a fastball that has become much more hittable these days than it was before him joining the Yankees. Rodon added a cutter in 2024 while dialing back the fastball to help offset that damage, but the fact remains Rodon's fastball is not what it once was. He needs a usable third pitch against righties because they are inflicting nealry all the home run damage of late hitting 40 of the 46 homers off the southpaw. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Overall Rank

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 250

DOB 12/10/1992

Born Miami, FL

College North Carolina State

Drafted 1st Rd 2014 CWS

Blister issue considered manageable

PNew York Yankees

Finger

October 28, 2024

Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Monday that the blister issue Rodon dealt with during his World Series Game 2 start is "manageable" and is not expected to prevent him from making another start, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
The blister might have affected Rodon's command against the Dodgers, particularly with his slider. However, it does not appear he's in danger of missing a start, which is tentatively slated for Friday in Game 6, if necessary. Rodon yielded three home runs and four runs in total in his Game 2 loss.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Carlos Rodon generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Carlos Rodon generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-13%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-6%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-29%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-14%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.201	322	101	28	58	10	1	8
Since 2022vs Right	.231	1410	395	109	295	67	4	50
2024vs Left	.224	135	38	10	28	5	1	3
2024vs Right	.238	601	157	47	129	27	3	28
2023vs Left	.195	50	14	6	8	1	0	3
2023vs Right	.274	236	50	22	57	13	0	12
2022vs Left	.179	137	49	12	22	4	0	2
2022vs Right	.207	573	188	40	109	27	1	10
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-33%

ERA at Home

2024

-34%

ERA at Home

2023

-19%

ERA at Home

2022

-48%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	3.13	1.11	198.2	18	8	0	10.7	2.9	1.2
Since 2022Away	4.69	1.23	218.2	15	17	0	10.7	3.0	1.3
2024Home	3.11	1.09	81.0	9	2	0	10.1	3.0	1.7
2024Away	4.69	1.34	94.0	7	7	0	10.0	2.9	1.5
2023Home	6.15	1.37	33.2	1	4	0	6.7	3.2	1.9
2023Away	7.63	1.53	30.2	2	4	0	11.4	4.7	2.3
2022Home	1.93	1.04	84.0	8	2	0	13.0	2.8	0.5
2022Away	3.73	1.02	94.0	6	6	0	11.1	2.5	0.7
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Stat Review

How does Carlos Rodon compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

3.42

K/9

10.0

BB/9

2.9

HR/9

1.6

Fastball

95.5 mph

ERA

3.96

WHIP

1.22

BABIP

.297

GB/FB

0.79

Left On Base

78.0%

Exit Velocity

83.3 mph

Barrels/BBE

5.8%

Spin Rate

2383 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

22.6%

Swinging Strike

14.2%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

Year 1 of Rodon's six-year, $162 million pact with the Yankees was a disaster, as he missed a large portion of the season due to injury and struggled to a 6.85 ERA in his 64.1 innings on the mound. He suffered a forearm strain in spring training before later dealing with back and hamstring injuries. The back remains a concern moving forward after Rodon revealed in May that it's a chronic issue. Of course he's also battled a myriad of elbow and shoulder trouble in his career, so the lefty has to be considered a giant health risk. He was trending in a positive direction in 2021-22 -- he ranked second among pitchers in fWAR across those two seasons behind only Gerrit Cole and Zack Wheeler -- and his breaking stuff was still effective last season. Pitchers don't tend to get healthier in their 30s, but Rodon should be in the Yankees' rotation when available and the results should be better on a per-start basis.

The White Sox declined to extend Rodon the qualifying offer last winter and that decision backfired in a big way as the lefty was a top-10 starter in baseball by most measures. Rodon's 2.25 FIP with San Francisco last season was in fact the best among qualified starters while his 26.1 K-BB% ranked third. He established a new career high with 178 innings -- a 45.1-inning increase over 2021. Now a two-time All-Star, Rodon's stuff is as good as ever despite the injuries earlier in his career. Corbin Burnes and Zack Wheeler are the only pitchers to have racked up more fWAR than Rodon over the past two seasons, and he'll now work atop the Yankees' rotation alongside Gerrit Cole after inking a six-year, $162 million contract with New York.

Rodon entered last season mustering only 42.1 innings the previous two seasons. He missed most of 2019 following Tommy John surgery and much of 2020 with shoulder soreness. In one of the bigger surprises of the 2021 campaign, Rodon logged 24 starts and 132.2 innings, both his most since 2016. He posted personal best ratios, fueled by a career high 34.6% K-rate and career low 6.7% BB-rate. He benefited from a low .267 BABIP and high 82.2% LOB mark. Rodon's 95.4 mph four seam velocity was another new career best. The lefty didn't escape injury, missing some time in August with left shoulder fatigue, which recurred in late September despite the White Sox trying to keep him fresh down the stretch. The late season shoulder woes combined with the White Sox declining to extend a qualifying offer left a shroud of uncertainty with the southpaw's health, but the Giants signed him to a two-year, $44 million contract after the lockout. It's a big upgrade in home ballpark, and the Giants should win plenty of games, but Rodon's health will be the determining factor of his value this season.

The oft-injured southpaw underwent Tommy John surgery in May of 2019. With the delayed start to the 2020 campaign, he was able to break summer camp in the White Sox's rotation. Cleveland blasted him in his first start then he had to leave his next outing early with a sore shoulder. His velocity was way down in the second start, but examinations revealed no structural damage. Rodon was able to return in a relief role during the last week of the season, and his velocity returned to normal. Even though Rodon appeared healthy to end the season, the White Sox decided to cut bait and non-tender the left-hander. Some team will take a chance on Rodon, perhaps as a reliever. Even if he looks good in the spring, it's probably best to resist the temptation and pass.

Rodon opened up 2019 showing a new affinity for his slider, and at times, looked great with that approach, but poor fastball command still held him back. He went down with an elbow injury after seven starts and underwent Tommy John surgery on May 19. Rodon won't be ready to rejoin the big-league rotation until at least sometime in the second half, and the White Sox may opt to play it even safer than that, potentially limiting him to rehab outings in the minors or pitching him exclusively out of the bullpen down the stretch. He has now had both elbow and shoulder issues the past couple of years, so his long-term future could be in relief. However, Chicago will likely give the No. 3 overall pick from 2014 at least one more chance to make it as a starting pitcher.

Rodon enters 2019 as one of the game’s biggest wild cards. His 2018 was delayed as he rehabbed from shoulder surgery performed the previous September, debuting in early June. He struggled a bit out of the gate, sporting a 4.55 ERA after five starts, albeit with a solid 1.18 WHIP. Rodon then got on a roll, posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in nine starts, covering 63.2 frames. Unfortunately, Rodon fell apart in September, recording a 9.22 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 27.1 stanzas. Rodon truthers will highlight the middle stretch, writing off the early struggles to rust and the late ones to running out of gas. But here’s the thing: a 20 K% and 11.1 BB% in the middle set is rather pedestrian. His xFIP in that span was 4.77. The success was driven by an unsustainable .175 BABIP. The early market is expressing optimism, assuming not only will Rodon avoid injury, but that he’ll return to previous strikeout levels while honing his spotty control. That’s a risky bet.

Planning on ramping up Rodon's workload last season, the White Sox took it slow in the spring. It turned out their concerns were warranted as Rodon left a March 28 spring game with a tight bicep, later diagnosed as left shoulder bursitis, keeping him out until June 28. Rodon's throwing shoulder started barking again down the stretch, shutting him down for the season on Sept. 2. In between, the lefty was typically inconsistent, largely a result of spotty control, walking 31 in 69.1 innings. Homers also contributed, as he served up a dozen long balls. The saving grace was 76 punchouts. Rodon's trend has been to finish with a flourish, but there's no telling if his 4.15 ERA and 1.37 WHIP would have improved with another month of starts. Rodon had arthroscopic surgery in late September, with a six-to-eight month timetable, putting Opening Day in jeopardy. Expect the White Sox to again treat their prized southpaw with kid gloves.

Rodon's 2016 wasn't too different from 2015: low-4.00 ERA through the first four months before a sprint of quality work to the finish line that featured the upside that made him the No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 draft. One major difference between the two seasons was a big improvement in his walk rate, but it came at the expense of his command as he allowed more hits and nearly twice as many home runs. The season still stands as a worthy building block for a 24-year-old lefty trying to fulfill his frontline upside. His elite slider was even better in 2016, and his changeup took a big step forward, but not enough to offset his fastball getting less effective. Velocity is great, but a good fastball requires much more (namely, command). His walk gains came via the fastball, but it was also responsible for the home run troubles. This is exactly the kind of profile you want to bet on, though: The cost doesn't require major gains to pay off, but the upside is massive.

Rodon’s transition to the majors was rocky, and while he struck out 64 through his first 60 innings as a starter, he also walked 37 over that same stretch. However, he learned on the job and was stellar in the season’s final two months - he posted a 1.81 ERA and .198 BAA over his final eight outings. Rodon entered the big leagues with a big league-ready slider, and the pitch was as good as advertised. Ninety-seven of his 139 strikeouts came off the slider, and his upper-90s fastball was also impressive. He could take the jump if he polishes a third pitch. Rodon should slot behind Chris Sale and Jose Quintana in the White Sox’s rotation.

Rodon entered his junior year at North Carolina State as the prohibitive No. 1 overall pick. However, concerns about his workload budged him from the top spot in the 2014 June draft, and he fell to the White Sox at No. 3. It took much of the summer for the two sides to agree on a contract, which may have worked out better for his overworked arm. His plus fastball and slider blew away college batters, and the White Sox want him to add a changeup to the mix. Even without a refined third pitch, he ranks as one of the top prospects in the system and could be in the mix for a rotation spot out of camp, though vice president of baseball operations Ken Williams said in December that a multi-innings bullpen role is more likely for Rodon in 2015.

More Fantasy News

Taking ball in Game 2

PNew York Yankees

October 24, 2024

Rodon will start Saturday in Game 2 of the World Series against the Dodgers, Brendan Kuty of The Athletic reports.