Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#285
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Inefficient in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
September 25, 2024
Bello came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's 6-5 extra-inning win over the Blue Jays, giving up two runs on two hits and two walks over four innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
While the right-hander didn't pitch poorly, Bello needed 75 pitches (42 strikes) to record his 12 outs, putting extra pressure on the Boston bullpen in a contest that eventually went to 10 innings. Bello wraps up his campaign with a career-high 14 wins, a 4.49 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 153:64 K:BB through a career-high 162.1 innings, and the 25-year-old figures to be a key part of the team's 2025 rotation plans.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .288 809 135 76 207 43 3 27
Since 2022vs Right .253 829 205 60 190 41 1 17
2024vs Left .262 379 72 43 86 19 0 13
2024vs Right .241 323 81 21 71 12 0 6
2023vs Left .313 322 44 21 93 19 2 13
2023vs Right .229 346 88 24 72 17 0 11
2022vs Left .295 108 19 12 28 5 1 1
2022vs Right .329 160 36 15 47 12 1 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.29 1.43 186.2 12 15 0 7.9 3.4 1.0
Since 2022Away 4.55 1.40 190.0 16 12 0 8.3 3.1 1.1
2024Home 4.81 1.46 76.2 6 4 0 8.2 4.1 1.1
2024Away 4.20 1.27 85.2 8 4 0 8.7 3.0 1.1
2023Home 3.86 1.35 81.2 5 7 0 7.5 2.6 1.2
2023Away 4.66 1.33 75.1 7 4 0 7.6 2.5 1.6
2022Home 4.13 1.59 28.1 1 4 0 8.3 3.5 0.0
2022Away 5.28 1.97 29.0 1 4 0 9.0 5.0 0.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.39
 
K/9
8.5
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
95.7 mph
 
ERA
4.49
 
WHIP
1.36
 
BABIP
.312
 
GB/FB
2.05
 
Left On Base
70.5%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.1%
 
Spin Rate
2060 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
After dominating at Double-A Portland and Triple-A Worcester, Bello was promoted in early July and immediately inserted into the Red Sox rotation. The righty was overmatched and sent back to Triple-A in early August. Bello was recalled three weeks later and gathered much better results. He registered a 3.12 ERA down the stretch, albeit with an inflated 1.56 WHIP, stemming from a .336 BABIP over that 36.1 inning sample. Bello needs to work on his control, but he throws 97-mph and possesses a plus changeup. With some fine tuning and seasoning, Bello could be a rotation staple. It remains to be seen if Bello makes the necessary adjustments and breaks camp in Boston's rotation.
More Fantasy News
Gets no run support in loss
PBoston Red Sox
September 19, 2024
Bello (14-8) took the loss against Tampa Bay on Thursday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Stingy in Saturday's win
PBoston Red Sox
September 14, 2024
Bello (14-7) picked up the win Saturday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks in 5.1 innings in a 7-1 victory over the Yankees. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Wild in 13th win
PBoston Red Sox
September 9, 2024
Bello (13-7) picked up the win Monday against Baltimore, allowing two runs on three hits and five walks across 5.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Start pushed to Monday
PBoston Red Sox
September 7, 2024
Manager Alex Cora said after Saturday's 7-5 win over the White Sox that Bello will make his next start in Monday's series opener against the Orioles, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes step back against Mets
PBoston Red Sox
September 2, 2024
Bello (12-7) took the loss against the Mets on Monday, allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out four batters over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Season turned around?
PBoston Red Sox
August 21, 2024
Bello has a 3.57 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 38:15 K:BB in 40.1 innings across his past seven starts.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander had a 5.55 ERA and 1.47 WHIP at the end of June, but he's pitched better of late and has lowered those figures to 4.80 and 1.41, respectively. Bello hasn't lost a start since June 25, but walks and homers continue to be a concern, as he has a 3.3 BB/9 and seven homers allowed in those last seven outings.
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