Target Breakdown: WR & TE Usage Report + Week 13 Waivers Preview

Box Score Breakdown

Backfield Breakdown

Target Breakdown ⬇️   

Weekly Injury Report 🚑

New Injuries

• WR Josh Downs (shoulder / week-to-week)
• WR Cedric Tillman (concussion / day-to-day)
• WR Romeo Doubs (concussion / week-to-week)
• TE Ja'Tavion Sanders (neck / week-to-week)

Downs was injured in the final minutes of Sunday's loss to Detroit and is considered unlikely to play Week 13 at New England. The Colts have a Week 14 bye, so holding Downs out until Week 15 wouldn't be a bad idea even if his shoulder injury isn't serious.

Tillman has a shot to avoid missed time, with the Browns having extra recovery time after a Thursday win. Doubs, on the other hand, has a quick turnaround, playing just four days after suffering a concussion, which means he'll almost certainly miss the Thanksgiving matchup with Miami.

Missed Week 12

• WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring / week-to-week)
• WR Jalen Coker (quad / day-to-day)
• WR Brandin Cooks (IR - ankle / eligible since Week 10)
• WR Josh Reynolds (IR - finger / eligible since Week 10)
• WR Treylon Burks (IR - knee / eligible since Week 11)
• WR Roman Wilson (IR - hamstring / eligible Week 13)
•   WR Bub Means (IR - ankle / eligible Week 14)
• WR Allen Lazard (IR - chest / eligible Week 14) 
• WR Simi Fehoko (IR  / eligible Week 14) 
• WR Chris Olave (concussion / eligible Week 15)
• WR Gabe Davis (knee / out for season)

• TE Jake Ferguson (concussion / week-to-week)
• TE Josh Oliver (ankle / week-to-week)
• TE Noah Fant (groin / week-to-week)

Stock Report 📊

I'm focusing on role/usage more so than results/performance here, although there are certainly cases where the two are related or poor per-target efficiency can't just be written off as a small-sample or matchup problem. Unless otherwise specified, statistics shown below are from Week 12.  'SZN' is used to denote full-year stats.

• TPRR = Targets per Route Run
• YPRR = Yards per Route Run
• TS = Target Share
• AYS = Air Yardage Share

Trending Up 📈

Wide Receivers 📈

Courtland Sutton - 8-97-2  /  fifth straight game with 8+ tgts, 70+ yards, 14.8+ PPR

Jerry Jeudy - led team in targets, air yards and receiving yards back-to-back weeks

Jordan Addison - 9 tgts, 100 AY (8-162-1), after W11 w/ 8 tgts, 129 AY (3-61-1)

Keenan Allen - 15 tgts, 120 AY (9-86-1)  /  30% TS, 33% AYS under new OC Thomas Brown

Jakobi Meyers - 15 tgts, 129 AY (10-121-0)  /  29% TS, 38% AYS sans Davante Adams

Jaylen Waddle - 86% routes, 9 tgts, 97 AY (8-144-1), still good

Jameson Williams - three straight games of 5+ targets, 53+ yards since suspension

Rome Odunze - 26% TS, 41% AYS in two games under new OC Thomas Brown

Devaughn Vele - career-high 9 tgts, 95 AY (6-80-0)  /  three straight w/ 10+ PPR, 4+ catches

Noah Brown - 79% routes, 10 tgts, 114 AY (6-71-0)  /  26 tgts past 4 games (McLaurin: 17)

David Moore - 95% routes, 10 tgts, 148 AY (6-81-1)

Adonai Mitchell - Josh Downs shoulder injury  /  SZN: 30% TPRR, 1.8 YPRR

 Dontayvion Wicks - Romeo Doubs concussion

Tight Ends 📈

T.J. Hockenson - 66% snaps, 84% routes (both season highs), 9 tgts, 90 AY (7-114-0)

Trey McBride - 15 tgts, 81 AY (12-133-0)  /  SZN: 30% TPRR, 2.5 YPRR

Jonnu Smith - 71% routes, 11 tgts (9-87-1)  /  SZN: 26% TPRR, 2.2 YPRR

Trending Down 📉

Wide Receivers 📉

DeAndre Hopkins - back-to-back games with <50% snaps and<55% routes

Ricky Pearsall - two tgts on 39 routes the past two weeks

Quentin Johnston - five tgts, three drops, no catches

Darius Slayton - 50% route share, 2 tgts on 18 routes (no catches)

Kayshon Boutte - 10 tgts, 39 yards over past two weeks

Tight Ends 📉

Cade Otton - 3 tgts on 24 routes with Mike Evans back in action

Davis Allen - 39% routes, 1 tgt (0-0-0)

Waivers Look-Ahead ±

*Only includes players rostered in 60 percent or less of Yahoo Leagues

Wide Receivers

Potential Starters

1. Jerry Jeudy - 60%
2. Cedric Tillman - 56% (concussion)
3. Rashod Bateman - 32% 
4. Christian Watson - 59%
5. Devaughn Vele - 5%
6. DeMario Douglas - 31%
7. Xavier Legette - 27%
8. Adam Thielen - 25%
9. Dontayvion Wicks - 15%
10. Marquez Valdes-Scantling - 24%
11. Alec Pierce - 21%
12. Joshua Palmer - 17%
13. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 12%
14. Elijah Moore - 11%
15. Noah Brown - 10%
16. Kayshon Boutte - 7%
17. Tutu Atwell - 3%

Bench Stashes

1. Keon Coleman - 54% (wrist)
2. Adonai Mitchell - 6%
3. Xavier Legette - 27%
4. Jalen Coker - 4% (quad)
5. John Metchie - 2%

Potential Drops

1. Diontae Johnson - 56%
2. Tyler Lockett - 56%
3. Ricky Pearsall - 33%
4. Darius Slayton - 12%
5. Jalen Tolbert - 11%

Tight Ends

Recommended Adds

1. Hunter Henry - 48%
2. Zach Ertz - 48%
3. Cole Kmet - 47%
4. Will Dissly - 53% 
5. Noah Gray - 4%
6. Luke Schoonmaker - 11%
7. Theo Johnson - 2%
8. Tommy Tremble - 0%

Potential Drops

1. Dalton Schultz - 66%
2. Isaiah Likely - 30%