Custom MLB Rankings

Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.

Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.

Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from the likes of Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.

Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.

Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that product was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. 2024 saw him finish as the top first baseman, the 7th-best hitter, and 8th overall in fantasy rankings for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.

After enjoying a career year in 2023 recording a 126 wRC+, Garcia turned in his worst season, posting a 92 wRC+. He continued to sting the ball with 87th percentile hard-hit rate and 85th percentile barrel rate, but both lagged the previous year's near-elite levels. Garcia fanned at the same clip, but he was less patient, perhaps from pressing. Garcia eclipsed triple digits in runs and RBI in 2023, buoyed by his success and the Rangers scoring the third most runs in the league. Last year, the club dropped to 18th with Garcia registering career lows in runs and RBI. Totaling 25 homers and 11 steals in an off year speaks towards Garcia's floor. Reverting to 2023 is a big ask, but splitting the difference and matching 2022's level is a reasonable expectation, plus the Rangers offense should be more productive.

Alvarez set career-high marks in games played (147) and plate appearances (635) while clearing 30 homers for the fourth consecutive year. He suffered a right knee sprain during the final week of the 2024 regular season, but Alvarez was able to return for the wild-card round. It's almost scary what Alvarez has been able to do with his strikeout rate, lowering it to just 15 percent last season while keeping his Statcast page crimson red with elite batted-ball numbers. He has a long history of knee problems, including double knee surgery in August of 2020, but Alvarez has few peers when on the field, ranking behind only Aaron Judge in wRC+ (165) over the past four seasons. Alvarez retains outfield eligibility after making 53 starts in left field, but he should continue to see most of his time at designated hitter. Taking advantage of the bigger bases and new rules limiting pickoff attempts, Alvarez added six steals last season, after coming into the campaign with two career steals. Fantasy managers would probably prefer he not run at all given his injury history.

After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.

Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was the third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive with a better walk rate. A career high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season where Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.

Pick a stat, any stat, it doesn't matter. Counting stat, ratio, whatever. It was a personal best for Rooker. His 28.8 percent strikeout rate was still too high and is a concern since it's rare for a player to repeat a career year. Moving out of the Coliseum and playing in Sutter Health Park, the home field for Triple-A Sacramento River Rats should help assuage regression. After the season, it was reported that Rooker experienced soreness in his right arm for most of the season, ostensibly explaining why Rooker appeared exclusively at DH after only 14 games in the outfield. Rooker is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. He'll start the season with UT-only designation but should pick up outfield eligibility. The initial UT-only status could render a buying opportunity, helping buffer the likely fall off from last season.

Devers delivered a typically productive season, albeit dampened by lingering soreness in both of his shoulders, costing him the last eight games of the year. The shoulder issues were not reflected in his numbers, with Devers nearly matching the previous season's performance. Though, he took a slightly different path, with his highest strikeout rate since 2020, but more walks and his highest barrel rate since 2021. Devers chased less; his contact in and out of the zone dipped, perhaps due to his aching shoulders. He's expected to be fully heathy in the spring. His glove at the hot corner remains an issue, with his -9 defensive runs saved marking eight straight seasons where Devers was a below average defender. Moving to first base, or even DH, could be in the works, but for at least one more season, Devers checks in as one of the most consistently productive third basemen.

Like many other Rangers hitters, Semien struggled last season. The difference between Semien and most of his teammates is Semien's game is subject to more variance, and his underlying metrics were nearly identical to his recent levels, he simply didn't enjoy the same outcomes. Barrel rate, hard-hit rate and strikeout rate were typical. The only small change was a small drop in launch angle, generating fewer fly balls, resulting in Semien's fewest homers in a full season since 2018. He also failed to steal double digit bases for the first time ever in a full season, but running often wanes in an off year. After missing just one game the prior three seasons Semien was out for a whooping three. Clearly that was tongue-in-cheek, but Semien is now 34 years old, so expecting a seventh consecutive full season with over 700 plate appearances is aggressive. He's still one of the best at a weaker position, but Semien can't get the same plaudits for durability and reliability as previously.

Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.

Bucking the traditional prospect path, Langford made the Rangers' Opening Day roster last spring and debuted in the big leagues after just 44 games in the minors. The fourth overall pick in 2023, Langford struggled out of the gates last season, posting a .588 OPS through his first 31 MLB games before a right hamstring strain put him on the injured list. He would go on to bat .300 or higher in two of the final fourth months while adding eight homers in September to bring him up to a 110 wRC+ for the season. On the strength of 98th percentile sprint speed, Langford stole 19 bases in 22 attempts. While it wasn't the Rookie of the Year campaign many expected, he showcased a highly advanced plate approach for a 22-year-old (20.6 K%, 9.2 BB%). His strong finish should renew excitement heading into 2025. There is no track record to stand on, but the foundation is there, and a step forward could easily vault Langford into the top 15 among fantasy outfielders.

Seager's tenure with the Rangers has been wildly successful so far, as he led the club to a championship in 2023, winning World Series MVP for a second time, and has now been an All-Star in all three seasons with Texas. However, he's done little to distance himself from the sketchy health reputation he developed during his time with the Dodgers. He underwent sports hernia surgery in September, which kept him from reaching 125 games played for the third time in four seasons. Granted, the shortstop played in even fewer games (119) in 2023 when he was the runner-up for regular-season MVP, and he still reached 30 homers last season despite the missed time. With a brilliant .290/.360/.512 slash line across his decade in the majors, Seager is well established as an absolute menace from the left side. Prospective fantasy managers will want to bake in an IL stint or two and may want to prioritize stolen bases with subsequent draft picks depending on the scoring format, given the 30-year-old is essentially a zero in the category.

Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.

Crochet's career trajectory has been anything but traditional as he made his MLB debut for the White Sox in 2020 without first playing in the minors, and he transitioned to the starting rotation in 2024 without having previously made a professional start. The left-hander was dominant despite being on the worst team in the history of MLB, and he finished the campaign with a 3.58 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 209:33 K:BB over 146 innings. Chicago elected not to trade him at the summer deadline and heavily monitored his workload across the final three months of the season, during which he never pitched more than four innings. He also labored in those final 14 starts with a 4.84 ERA, but those struggles aren't a major surprise given it was his first season as a professional starter. The Red Sox acquired Crochet for a package of prospects this winter, so he'll be pitching his home games in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the game but should also get much better run support and defense than the White Sox gave him a year ago.

Lopez's second year in Minnesota went much like his first, though he was a bit less effective overall with a 4.08 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 198:41 K:BB across 185.1 innings. He set a career high with 15 wins, but a 1.3 HR/9 was also the worst of his career. The right-hander isn't as dominant as a true ace with a 3.83 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across the past three seasons, though he's made 32 starts in each of those campaigns and has a 9.8 K/9. Lopez is a reliable fantasy asset but isn't likely to anchor most league-winning staffs unless he's able to produce closer to the 3.07 ERA he posted for Miami in 2021, which is the lone season in which he's produced an ERA below 3.60 through seven big-league campaigns. He'll turn 29 years old in March and just posted a career high average fastball velocity of 95 mph, so there shouldn't be major concerns for regression.

Gilbert is Exhibit A for changing the wins category to innings pitched. He led MLB with 208.2 frames, but despite a top five xFIP and SIERA, his nine wins matched the totals of James Paxton, Cole Sands and Jared Koenig. Gilbert's control remains his primary asset, with a 4.6 percent walk rate checking in as the fifth best among qualified pitchers last season. He was both lucky and unlucky with a fortunate .236 BABIP and snake bit 69.5 percent left on base mark. Gilbert throws six pitches, with a four-seam fastball and slider leading the way in both quality and quantity. In today's landscape where five-and-fly is a solid outing, Gilbert logged 26 of 33 starts of at least six stanzas. Durability is an ally with his 97 starts and 585 innings since 2022, both ranking as fourth most in MLB. Gilbert should be in play for those wanting an ace.

Valdez has settled in as the ace of Houston's staff over the past few years, and that trend continued in 2024 as he posted a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 innings. A 3.36 xERA and 3.08 xFIP indicate he may have been a bit fortunate with the results, but those numbers are still strong and aren't anything to be concerned about. The left-hander's 16.2 percent K-BB% is solid if not a bit underwhelming for a pitcher of his caliber, as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (60.6 percent groundball rate). Valdez's recent track record of availability and effectiveness give him a strong floor, but his ceiling is more limited than the top-tier fantasy pitchers due to the lower strikeout totals.

Cole missed nearly the entire first half with elbow nerve inflammation but came back to make 17 starts, albeit not at the same level of dominance he had pitched at from 2018 through 2023. Cole's 25.4 percent strikeout rate and 17.9 K-BB% were his lowest rates since leaving Pittsburgh and the strikeout rate has now worsened each of the past four seasons. Perhaps it was the rust of missing so much early time as his walk rate was also his worst since 2018. Most of Cole's other measures held up well enough, but seeing his average fastball velocity dip below 96.0 mph for the first time in seven seasons is a bit unsettling. The velocity dip and the health scare are the first two signs of Cole showing he is not a machine in recent memory, which could make him a bit of a bargain in non-Gotham markets this winter.

Castillo, for all his abilities, has been rather inconsistent in recent seasons. He has made 30 or more starts in three of the past four seasons and in five of the last six full seasons, but he has just twice won 12 or more games and his ERA has had a 1.3 run variance. 2024 was not his best effort as a hamstring injury shut him down for good in mid September. 16 of his 25 home runs were of the solo shot variety, yet he still pitched to his his highest ERA of the past three seasons. The related issue was a decline in strikeouts as the 24.3% strikeout rate was three full percentage points down from his 2022 and 2023 efforts and his lowest since that troublesome 2021 season with Cincinatti. A look at the numbers show the changeup, once his signature pitch, was arguable his worst pitch. Castillo is now primarily a fastball and slider guy, and while the four-seamer and slider duo has served him well the past two seasons, he needs a third pitch to re-emerge as lefties were entirely too comfortable against him in 2024. This is not the making of a fantasy ace.

Ragans proved he could handle a full-time workload as his 32 starts tied for ninth most while his 186.1 innings were 12th highest in MLB. His effectiveness did not suffer as demonstrated by the 15th lowest xFIP and 11th best SIERA among qualified hurlers. It may have been variance and not fatigue but Ragans' walk rate and xFIP in September were his highest monthly marks. He didn't change his repertoire from the previous season with his change-up again being one of the league's best. However, the change-up was Ragans' second best offering with his four-seam fastball rated a tick better according to Fangraphs Pitch Value. However, his slider lost effectiveness, yielding upside if Ragans can recapture its Pitch Value without dropping elsewhere. Just 27 years old, Ragans checks all the boxes for a fantasy ace.

Gausman had a health scare during spring training when he developed a shoulder problem, which caused him to slide in some fantasy drafts. The right-hander avoided the injured list, however, and ultimately made 31 starts and threw 181 innings for the Blue Jays. Unfortunately, Gausman didn't look like the same guy, with his strikeout rate plummeting nearly 10 percentage points down to 21.4 percent. His velocity fluctuated from start to start and was down almost a full mph overall, and Gausman also didn't have the same feel for his trademark splitter, seeing his whiff rate on the pitch drop to easily a career-low 33.5 percent. Gausman did have three 10-strikeout games in 2024, offering hope that the swing-and-miss is still in there. However, it's fair to wonder whether he can rediscover it on a consistent basis in his age-34 season.

All pitchers and catchers rely upon PitchCon to use their signals; Bassitt uses a full keyboard. The righty has yet to come across a pitch classification he does not like as he has thrown eight different pitch types over each of the past two seasons. What he lacks in velocity he makes up for with creativity as he will throw all eight offerings to both righties and lefties to keep them guessing. The problem for Bassitt in 2024 was that hitters were not as disrupted in their timing of his sinker (.327 BA) or changeup (.321 BA) as they were in 2023 when they hit .220 and .189 off those same pitches. Bassitt leaned on his sweeper to hold righties to a .234 batting average with 4 homers on the season, but his cutter was the only member of his octet arsenal which did anything to prevent lefties from doing even more damage than the .305 average and 14 homers inflicted onto Bassitt's stat line. He has made 30 or more starts in each of the lastt three seasons even as his ERA has worsened each of the last five seasons. 2024 was the first time his WHIP was an issue, but it was also the first time since his early years Bassitt was this hittable. He can still volume his way to strikeouts, but his fading fastball is becoming an increasing issue with each passing season.

For the second straight year, Kirby had the lowest walk rate among qualified starters. He got off to a rocky start with an eight-run blowup in his second outing of the year and a 4.33 ERA through his first 11 starts. However, Kirby then turned in nine consecutive quality starts from June 9 to July 26. Water usually finds its level, and Kirby's 3.53 ERA at the end of the year was pretty much right in line with the underlying skills (3.58 xFIP, 3.56 SIERA). He's now reached 190 innings in back-to-back seasons and is a huge piece of the best rotation in baseball. The only problem is that Kirby still has not shown any growth with his strikeout rate, which has hovered right around 23 percent in each of his three seasons in the majors so far. It's not out of the question that the right pitch-mix tweak could unlock another level with the punchouts, but that's purely conjecture at this point.

Berrios had us worried for awhile, but he ended up with a rather valuable fantasy season considering his surrounding circumstances. Berrios won 50 percent of his starts, which is outstanding considering he played for a last place team which won 74 games all season. He began the season with a phenomenal April in which he won four of his first seven starts never allowing more than two earned runs in any of them. He came back to Earth against Philadelphia where he allowed eight earned runs and then went on to have a rough close to the first half which saw him allow 11 homers over his last 8 starts before the break. Berriors sliced more than a full run off his 4.01 first half ERA by stepping up his strikeout rate nearly five full percentage points and ceased hitting batters as 12 of the 13 batters he hit in 2024 came before the break. The 30+ homers on the season predestined him to a higher ERA as only Robbie Ray has pitched to an ERA below 3.50 despite allowing 30 or more homers in recent seasons. Berrios is no longer the strikeout guy he was in his earlier years, but he is fifth in innings worked since 2021 trailing only Nola, Webb, Wheeler, and Burnes. We would be asking a lot of Berrios to go out and win another 50% of his starts for a team that is likely going to be a non-contender once again, but he hasn't missed a start in eons and you just cannot buy that type of volume these days. If you take some pitching upside risks early in the draft, Berrios is an excellent volume play to help offset the earlier risks.

No team allocated free agent starting pitching dollars more wisely than the Royals last offseason. Michael Wacha was great and Lugo was even better, winning 16 games and finishing with an even 3.00 ERA over a league-high 33 starts. A 21.7 percent strikeout rate left something to be desired, but Lugo provided so much volume with a surprising 206.2 innings that he accumulated 181 strikeouts, which tied him for 20th in baseball. It looked from July to August like the former reliever might be tiring as he put up a 4.86 ERA, but Lugo bounced back with a 2.28 ERA and 26:4 K:BB in 27.2 September innings. Perhaps the big workload increase will catch up with Lugo in 2025 instead, and some natural regression is likely either way, given his xERA of 3.72 in 2024.

Eight games in 2024, Brown was 1-4 with a 7.71 ERA, a 5.52 FIP, and had allowed 21 walks and 8 homers in 37.1 innings of work. Many, including the staffer writing this outlook, dropped him after the terrible start. Brown then went on to close the month of May with two quality starts with 12 strikeouts, 3 walks, and just a single homer against the Angels and Mariners. Brown then did for you what he wasn't doing the first third of the season and went 10-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP along with a 18.4% K-BB% the rest of ths season. Brown credited time spent with Ryan Pressly and Alex Bregman on approaching his game plan and batters, but the addition of a sinker in late May certainly helped as it gave Brown a pitch that moved into righties and away from lefties. By season's end, the sinker was Brown's primary pitch and the league struggled to square up most of his offerings after May. Only that sinker had an acutal batting average against over .250 and Brown used six different pitch types to righties and lefties keeping them on their toes. Houston has some changes to their overall roster, but Brown's significant step forward in 2024 in the face of some early statistical adversity has certainly raised his draft profile. Dare we say dark horse Cy Young candidate?

An artificially high ERA masks Kikuchi's best season since coming overseas. His 4.05 ERA is almost a run higher than estimated by a 3.20 xFIP and 3.30 SIERA. An MLB career-high 28.0 percent strikeout rate and career-low 6.0 percent walk rate generated the league's sixth best K-BB% among qualified hurlers. Kikuchi's 1.28 HR/9 was also a personal best in a full season since leaving Japan. He was especially impressive after being dealt to the Astros as Kikuchi registered a 2.70 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over 10 starts. Kikuchi didn't alter his pitch mix or distribution, but he did take a tick or two off his changeup and curveball, increasing the delta from his 95.5-mph four-seam fastball. Optimism is warranted, but Kikuchi will turn 34 years old in the middle of the season and is more likely to take a step back than repeat last year's exploits. He signed a three-year deal with the Angels -- a clear step down in team context -- so his fantasy price tag will be reasonable relative to how he pitched down the stretch in 2024.

Raleigh's 34 homers led all catchers. His 91 long balls since 2022 are 18 more than the next backstop. However, Raleigh's power comes at the expense of batting average. He's fanned at a 28 percent clip over the past two seasons, and his 50% fly ball rate in that span suppresses BABIP. Volume is usually a benefit, except with batting average. Still, playing more than most non-catchers is a huge boon to counting stats. Raleigh is one of the best in the league behind the plate, so he's going to continue to log more playing time than others at the position. Raleigh's skills are stable, so if you construct a roster to absorb his batting average, Raleigh's counting stats yield a huge edge. An above average walk rate boosts "Big Dumper" in points and OBP formats.

Perez has now hit at least 20 homers in each of the last eight full seasons, a run last seen by a cather when Brian McCann had a similar run from 2008-2016. McCann went onto hit 37 homers over the course of his final three seasons as all those years of volume catching caught up to him. It is a lesson which Kansas City has given credence to as Perez has kept his games played at catcher between 77 and 91 games since a recent peak of 124 games in 2021. Perez retains his first base eligibility from 2023 as the Royals look to keep his bat in the lineup while keeping him fresh as long as possible. The effort was well-intended, but the midwest summer heat is tough to beat and Perez saw his 125 first half wRC+ fall to 101 in the second half. William Contreras was the only catcher to outproduce Perez in fantasy value last season and we see little reason why Perez will not once again attempt to best that list in 2025. This time around, his ADP is not going to be a triple-digit number.

Baltimore efforted to have Rutschman's bat in their lineup as much as possible as Rutschman played in 90 of the 96 games before the break while hitting .275/.339/.441 and providing stalwart defense behind the plate when he was not DH'ing. Perhaps the volume of play caught up with him, as Rutschman limped to the finish line with a .207/.282/.303 second half and was non-existent in Baltimore's quick exit from the playoffs. It is troubling to see the young hitter's slugging percentage in decline each season he has been in the big leagues as well as a disturbing trend in his production against righties. His wRC+ against righties has declined roughly 40 points versus the prior season each of the last two seasons, and while we are not forecasting him slipping any further against righties, a 45.8 percent flyball rate against righties did him no favors in a dead-ball year and helps explain the 48-point drop in his batting average.

O'Hoppe was limited to 51 games in 2023 due to a torn labrum in his shoulder, but he stayed mostly healthy last season and played in a career-high 136 contests. He clubbed 20 homers and had a .244/.303/.409 slash line with 56 RBI and 60 runs scored, but he may have deserved some better results with a 46.3 percent hard-hit rate that led to a .256 xBA and .470 xSLG. O'Hoppe had reverse splits with a .743 OPS against right-handed pitching compared to a .592 OPS versus lefties, but there's reason for optimism he'll rebound there since he hit lefties well during his time in the minors. Now entering his age-25 campaign, O'Hoppe's offensive production isn't near the top of the position, but he's a solid fantasy option that carries upside while heading into just his second full MLB season.

Diaz took over as Houston's primary backstop in 2024 and hit 16 homers with a .299/.325/.441 slash line in 148 games, with 99 of those starts coming behind the plate. He was unable to recreate the 23 home runs and .846 OPS he posted in 2023, but the regression isn't a major surprise since he's now handling the most demanding defensive position after previously working as the secondary option. He was also much more productive in the second half of 2024 as he got more comfortable with the added defensive responsibilities. It wouldn't be surprising if Diaz cracks the 20-homer plateau in 2025, and there's plenty of potential for counting stats given Houston's strong lineup. He should again be a reliable fantasy catcher with enough upside to be one of the better producers at the position.

Langeliers was the Athletics bell cow catcher for the second straight season. His 137 games and 534 plate appearances were both career highs while his 131 appearances behind the plate were second most in MLB. Fewer strikeouts and more plate appearances from hitting higher in the order fueled personal bests in homers, runs and RBI. He features above average, but not elite quality of contact, but even with the improvement, his strikeout rate is high. Despite poor defense, the Athletics are committed to Langeliers with no one in the pipeline to challenge him for playing time. His power will play anywhere, though Langeliers could benefit from leaving The Coliseum. Just 27 years old, he could continue to improve his strikeout rate, but is best considered a plus power, low average backstop hitting in the meat of a less potent lineup.

Whether it was World Series hangover, simple regression or a combination of the two, Heim experienced a sharp decline in performance last season. The switch-hitting catcher easily led the position with 95 RBI in 2023 while adding 18 home runs, but those numbers fell off in 2024 to 59 and 13, respectively. Heim's hard-hit rate fell to a career-low 36.4 percent, his barrel rate dropped to a career-worst 5.9 percent and his pull rate dipped significantly to 38.3 percent last season. When you add in that he's a fly ball hitter and the ball didn't travel as well league-wide in 2024, that means lots of lazy flyouts. Heim was again much worse after the All-Star break (.527 OPS) than he was before it (.644 OPS) and now has a career .579 OPS in the second half versus a .732 OPS in the first half. A scaled back workload would make sense, and that's expected to happen after the Rangers brought in Kyle Higashioka to share time with Heim.

Wells had a breakout full season debut to the point where he was hitting cleanup for the Yankees down the stretch of the season. Wells had a history of strong strikezone judgement in the minors always willing to accept walks and pull homers, but his rookie debut in 2023 lacked the plate discipline. 2024 was a return to that discipline with stellar defense beind the plate led by stellar framing work. Wells did better at the plate as the season went on with a 113 wRC+ in the second half compared to a 97 wRC+ in the first half (100 is average.) 8 of his 13 homers came on the road, which dispels the assumption the lefty took advantage of the short porch at Yankee Stadium. The lefty did have extreme troubles against lefty pitchers though with a 59 wRC+. The Yankees did attempt to limit his exposure to lefties throughout the season, but 2 extra base hits in 77 plate appearances against lefties outlines the hard cap on Wells's upside. His defensive framing and blocking endears him to the pitchers, but overexposure to lefties will hurt his overall fantasy production. Wells is not another Matt Nokes, but there's also a case here where Wells follows a Kevin Maas path at the plate which was fun while it lasted.

Jeffers recorded career-highs in games played (122) and home runs (21) as he avoided previous injury issues and served as Minnesota's primary catcher. Jeffers stirred All-Star game talk with a hot start where he hit 12 home runs with a .892 OPS though his first 51 games. He faded in the second half by hitting seven home runs with a .632 OPS in his final 47 games. Jeffers had shown above-average power his previous few seasons, but his hard-hit, exit velocity and other power metrics declined despite his home run totals. He still had above-average bat speed (67th percentile per Baseball Savant), so there's hope for a rebound. Jeffers also took a step back behind the plate where his pitch framing and other defensive metrics were below average. Still, the Twins will count on his bat as power source as the team's primary catcher again. However, Minnesota is dogmatic about sharing playing time between two catchers behind the plate, which limits his counting stats upside.

Wong enjoyed a breakout in 2024, posting a career-best .280/.333/.425 line with 13 home runs, 52 RBI, eight steals while improving with runners in scoring position. Congratulations to all the fantasy managers who had Wong on their rosters, but they should prepare for a correction in 2025. Much of the catcher's improvement was fueled by a BABIP that hovered in the high 300s for the first half of the season. A correction began in the second half, when his .696 OPS was more in line with his career mark entering the season. The 28-year-old backstop far exceeded his expected line, but there was growth as a hitter; Wong chased fewer balls and made more contact in the zone. He's a good athlete and saw time at second (four starts) and first base (10 starts). Wong could be the long-term No. 1 after Boston traded highly regarded prospect Kyle Teel in the deal to acquire starter Garrett Crochet.

The veteran backstop filled a major role for Atlanta in 2024 due to starter Sean Murphy battling injury and ineffectiveness, though the organization still declined d'Arnaud's $8 million club option for 2025. It didn't take long for him to latch on with a new team, as his two-year, $12 million pact with the Angels was one of the first notable deals of free agency. Logan O'Hoppe is coming into his own as the Halos' primary backstop, but the 36-year-old d'Arnaud will provide veteran depth and stability. He clubbed 15 homers and had a .738 OPS in 99 contests during 2024, and he's likely to see more playing time than your typical No. 2 catcher in Anaheim. He likely couldn't handle an everyday role at this stage in his career anyway, but d'Arnaud could have some viability as a streaming option or for fantasy managers in two-catcher or deeper leagues.

Garver joined the Mariners on a two-year, $23 million contract in December of 2023, and he played in a career-high 114 games during his first year in Seattle. He's battled injuries for much of his career but was able to stay healthy in 2024, though his playing time was still limited due to a .172/.286/.341 slash line and 30.9 percent strikeout rate. Garver clubbed 15 home runs as he totaled double-digit long balls for the fourth straight campaign and had a 12.6 percent walk rate, but that was the extent of offensive positives for him in 2024. He made 25 appearances behind the plate and 83 at designated hitter, and he's unlikely to see much more action at catcher in 2025 with Cal Raleigh establishing himself as one of the best at the position. Garver had an .826 OPS in 209 games across the previous three seasons before the down year, but the inconsistent availability throughout his career limits the upside even if he rebounds at the plate in 2025.

It would be worrisome if 2022 ends up being Kirk's offensive peak, but it is is certainly looking that way after a second consecutive disappointing season at the plate. He did not hit his second homer of the season until June and his third did not come until August. By season's end, Kirk had managed to score just 23 times despite a .319 OBP and 386 plate appearances. The last player to score such few runs with that playing time was Miguel Cabrera over the last two seasons of his career as he scored a total of 46 times over that two-year span. Kirk continues to have excellent strike zone discpline and puts the ball in play which is why he is in the top 20 for grounding into double plays despite much fewer plate appearances than those in front of him on that list. Kirk remains an excellent defensive presence behind the plate with his framing and blocking abilities even as the league takes liberties running against him with 60 or more steals allowed in each of the last two seasons. The starting catcher job is his to keep as the organization does not have anyone banging down the door, especially with the departure of Danny Jansen. The opportunity is there for Kirk but needs to end this two-year run of disappointing production.

Jansen missed the first couple weeks of the 2024 season due to a fractured wrist but stayed mostly healthy for the rest of the campaign, though he played in just 92 games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox due to a .205/.309/.349 slash line and nine homers. It was just the second time in five full-length seasons in the big leagues that he's played in more than 90 games, and the offensive struggles were a major drop-off from the .805 OPS he posted from 2021-23. His track record both defensively and offensively prior to 2024 netted Jansen a one-year, $8.5 million deal with the Rays. He's atop the depth chart, but the Rays will likely manage him carefully throughout the season in an effort to keep him off the injured list. Even if he rediscovers his prior offensive form, Jansen has a limited realistic fantasy ceiling due to his proven inability to push for 400 plate appearances (career-high 384 in 2019).

Rogers has some clear holes in his game, but he's at least seen regular playing time the last two seasons, which has boosted his fantasy value. After a breakout 2023 in which he sported a .730 OPS and blasted 21 home runs across 107 games, the catcher's production took a step back in 2024. Rogers posted a .607 OPS with only 10 long balls across 102 contests. The glaring hole in his game is the ability to make consistent contact, as Rogers is a career .202 hitter with a nearly 33 percent strikeout rate. Rogers could offset that to some degree if he took more free passes, but he had just a 6.5 percent walk rate last season. As it stands, the 29-year-old profiles as a free swinger who can drive the ball over the fence on occasion but also endure long slumps. There are plenty of more well-rounded catching options in fantasy, though Rogers will maintain some fantasy appeal as long as he's playing most days. Right now, he only has Dillon Dingler around as competition, so Rogers still looks like the clear top option behind the plate in Detroit.

Toronto was once again a disappointing club, especially offensively, but the blame cannot be placed on Guerrero. His 2021 numbers were inflated by the minor-league parks Toronto played in that season, yet the combination of his reputation and that product was the perfect storm to push his valuation through the roof. 2024 saw him finish as the top first baseman, the 7th-best hitter, and 8th overall in fantasy rankings for a club that finished last in the division and led the league in stranding runners. Guerrero drove in 103 runs and nearly scored 100 runs despite the lack of a consistent supporting cast around him, and conditions are not likely to change heading into 2025 outside of potentially a healthy Bo Bichette in the lineup. Guerrero is a free agent after the 2025 season and could command a king's ransom in a trade this winter or on the open market a year from now. The rededication to his conditioning certainly helped him have a MLB-stadium career year in 2024 and there is no reason he cannot at least repeat that success in 2025.

Naylor had a wonderful season of volume as he has embraced the role of hitting cleanup for the Guardians behind the likes of Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez. Naylor rarely took a day of and remained in the lineup against righties and lefties to set career highest in the run production categories. The overexposure to lefties was part of the reason for his batting average tumble as he hit .224 against lefties in 174 plate appearances but the 70 point tumble in his batting average against righties hurt Naylor more. Naylor's contact rate remains one of the better ones for a slugging first baseman, and kudos to him for not falling into the trap of changing his approach once it was obvious the changes to Progressive Field made the wind patterns more favorable to homers from lefties. Naylor did hit 17 of his 31 homers at home, which was one more than what Naylor did over the entirety of the previous two seasons at home. Repeating 30+ homers will be tough for him given his historical HR/FB rates, but another season of 600+ plate appearances will make it possible.

Go ahead, pinch your thumb and index finger together and shake it in the air. Italian Breakfast was a big part of the surprising Kansas City offense until he broke his thumb attempting to catch a throw from Lucas Erceg which went into Jeremy Pena running to first. Pasquantino missed the rest of the regular season but still managed to drive in 97 runs with 19 homers. Pasquantino hit 19 homers in his first 558 major league plate appearances across 2022 and 2023 and then duplicated that effort in his third season while continuing an excellent approach at the plate. Fully solving lefties is the last piece of this puzzle because he is truly at his best when righties are on the mound. The concerns heading into 2024 coming off shoulder surgery were alleivated with his results, and the winter off should allow the thumb injury to fully heal. As long as Pasquantino can remain slotted behind Bobby Witt Jr and in front of Salvador Perez, he is in the best possible spot for this lineup and should easily drive in 100 runs and push to 30 homers. Despite the incomplete season, he finished in the top ten for first baseman, and his acquisition cost for 2025 drafts will be high.

Lowe boasts a .359 on-base percentage in his four seasons as the Rangers' primary first baseman, which is the sixth-best mark at his position over that time. He has not been a consistent fantasy contributor over that stretch, however. Lowe popped 27 home runs while batting .302 in 2022, but in his three other seasons with Texas he's hit between 16 and 18 home runs and batted between .262 and .265. The 29-year-old also saw his quality of contact diminish for the second year in a row in 2024. Lowe's on-base skills and quality glove should continue to afford him regular opportunities, but you can aim higher in shallower fantasy leagues.

After a slow first week, Casas found his stroke, batting .268/.359/.625 in the 16 games before being felled by torn cartilage in his left ribcage. He returned after missing nearly four months, posting a .239/.333/.433 line. A 33.3 percent strikeout rate in that span indicates Casas' timing was off from the extended absence while his 11.8 percent walk rate to end the season suggests he was less patient than usual. Casas' quality of contact was in sync with the previous season. Casas was supposed to record fewer strikeouts last season, but the injury derailed those plans. Instead of having evidence that Casas took the next step, we're still betting on the come. There's no denying potential power. It's still unclear whether Casas will be a four-category monster, or a batting average risk. He also needs to show he can play 150 games. Caveat emptor; the market isn't likely to discount Casas.

Diaz still hit the baseball harder than most players in the league did in 2024, but not at the same frequency he did during his career-best 2023 season. Even more concerning may be the fact his GB/FB ratio was its lowest of the past four seasons as he fell back into the familiar trap of too many groundballs. Diaz was at his best in 2023 when he hit .326 off fastballs and .387 off breaking balls but those measures fell to .287 and .278 respectively in 2024. Perhaps Diaz felt the pressure of needing to generate offense for a team which struggled to score runs most of the season as his O-Swing% was the worst of his career. The surrounding cast's struggles particularly ate into Diaz's runs scored, as he scored 40 fewer times in 2024 and drove in 13 fewer runs despite 21 extra plate appearances and a career-high 145 games played. Diaz is entering the final year of his three-year extension with Tampa Bay and could very well be dealt before the 2025 season begins if the club is confident enough in what Jonathan Aranda showed in September.

Torkelson had a good 2023 campaign and all of his expected stats suggested his numbers should have been better, leading to many predicting a true breakout in 2024 for the No. 1 overall pick. Instead, Torkelson took a huge step backward, getting demoted to Triple-A Toledo in early June following a .201/.266/.330 start. He rejoined the Tigers in August and flashed some promise that month, but a .677 OPS in September and a 45.8 percent strikeout rate in seven playoff games had fantasy managers scratching their heads again. All told, Torkelson's hard-hit rate went from the 94th percentile to the 45th percentile and his barrel rate went from the 89th percentile to the 37th percentile, all while his strikeout rate went up. He's still just 25, but anyone betting on a Torkelson bounce-back in 2025 would be making a bet purely on pedigree, as there wasn't much positive to glean from 2024.

Vaughn picked the wrong year to significantly up his fly ball percentage. The first baseman's 45.8 percent fly ball rate in 2024 was more than 10 percentage points higher than his career mark coming into the season and his barrel rate was also a three-year high. And yet, he still fell shy of the 20-homer mark and also sported a sub-.700 OPS. Vaughn was a victim of the average fly ball distance and home runs were down across baseball, and it's always possible those marks go back up in 2025. However, Vaughn reverting back to being a ground ball hitter is also a distinct possibility. Ultimately, we have more than 2,000 plate appearances of evidence that Vaughn is simply an average hitter at a position usually reserved for big bats, and he's also part of the worst offense in baseball.

After breaking out with a 33-homer season in 2021, Mountcastle has seen that total continue to fall every year since then down to just 13 in 2024. Part of the dip has been related to injuries, as he's made four trips to the injured list since the start of the 2022 campaign and has averaged fewer than 500 plate appearances across the last two seasons. Another culprit has been the cavernous left field at Camden Yards. Mountcastle has seen his fly ball and pull rates drop each of the last three years and for the first time in his career hit more balls to right field than left field in 2024. If it was a conscious change related to the dimensions at OPACY, Mountcastle can feel free to now revert back to his old swing after the Orioles elected to move the fence back in a bit. The new left-field dimensions still won't be as favorable as they were pre-2022, but they'll certainly give Mountcastle a better shot to bounce back in the power department.

Aranda's 2024 was a potpourri of events. He had a fantastic spring, but broke a finger near the end of it and that short-circuited his start to the season. He made it to the major league roster in May when the Rays were dealing with injuries, but went back down in early June and wasn't seen again until the end of August. His time in Triple-A Durham was unlike his previous season as han oblique strain there limited his playing time and his ability to hit for power. Even more concerning was he lost his contact abilities with a career-worst 32.6% strikeout rate. The only true upside to his season was how he closed it as he showed some surprising pop down the stretch with 5 doubles and 5 homers after his final promotion. Most of his batted ball metrics trended in a positive direction as the season closed, and the temporary home for the Rays in 2025 should be a good fit for Aranda. He is out of options, so he is a lock to make the team as long as he isn't traded in the offseason. The 1B-only eligiblity makes him truly only draftable in the draft and hold formats or deeper mono-league formats but there are enough late signs of growth to remain intrigued for 2025.

Schanuel's profile for a first baseman is unusual, much like his batting stance. He's displayed a mastery of the strike zone early on in his big-league career, having put up an 11.2 percent walk rate, 17 percent strikeout rate and 89.5 percent zone contact rate in 2024. On the flip side, Schanuel's 25.4 percent hard-hit rate and 3.5 percent barrel rate is more befitting of a backup middle infielder. It also doesn't help that many of Schanuel's batted balls are hit in the dirt, as his 30.6 percent fly ball rate ranked 119th out of 129 qualifiers. He can still be a useful player for the Angels given his on-base ability, but it's difficult to imagine Schanuel ever becoming a 20-homer hitter without a swing adjustment.

T-Mobile Park has swallowed up hitters in the past but Raley thrived there during his first season in Seattle, putting up a .901 OPS with 15 of his 22 long balls at home. The left-handed hitting Raley made just two starts versus southpaws all season, but he was a regular against righties and cranked 20 homers off them in just 373 plate appearances. With a career 31 percent strikeout rate, Raley is prone to droughts, and his counting stats will lag as a platoon player who will often be pinch-hit for late in games. That said, Raley does enough in the power and speed department versus righties to make him a handy deep-league option, especially with the added value of multi-position eligibility.

Soderstrom suffered an unfortunate wrist injury in early July which forced him to the sidelines for two months, but when he was on the field he did some really interesting things. The batted-ball data for Soderstrom in particular jumped off the page, as he boasted a 49.6 percent hard-hit rate and 14.6 percent barrel rate, numbers which would have put him in the top-20 in baseball had he seen enough action to qualify. One concern with Soderstrom is that he feasted on fastballs (.447 xwOBA) but did very little against breaking balls (.227 xwOBA) or offspeed pitches (.263 xwOBA), so some adjustments will be needed. The 23-year-old was able to cut his strikeout rate to 24.9 percent last season, but his track record pre-2024 suggests contact could be an issue. What's not in question is Soderstrom's power, and he should benefit from a move away from Oakland Coliseum. Soderstrom will not have catcher eligibility heading into 2025, and with Shea Langeliers around it's unclear whether he'll get it back.

O'Hearn has proven to be a nice fit in Baltimore over the past two seasons, and while his home-run rate dipped last year, he improved his strikeout and walk rates significantly. It was enough to convince the O's to bring him back for $8 million in 2025 -- not bad for a player that passed through waivers unclaimed less than two years prior. O'Hearn is eligible at first base and outfield, but he logged just 44 plate appearances against left-handed pitching last season and the strict platoon role limits his upside in the counting stats. While the late bloomer may not move the needle much, O'Hearn can be considered to help fill out a fantasy roster once the everyday players are off the board.

Like many other Rangers hitters, Semien struggled last season. The difference between Semien and most of his teammates is Semien's game is subject to more variance, and his underlying metrics were nearly identical to his recent levels, he simply didn't enjoy the same outcomes. Barrel rate, hard-hit rate and strikeout rate were typical. The only small change was a small drop in launch angle, generating fewer fly balls, resulting in Semien's fewest homers in a full season since 2018. He also failed to steal double digit bases for the first time ever in a full season, but running often wanes in an off year. After missing just one game the prior three seasons Semien was out for a whooping three. Clearly that was tongue-in-cheek, but Semien is now 34 years old, so expecting a seventh consecutive full season with over 700 plate appearances is aggressive. He's still one of the best at a weaker position, but Semien can't get the same plaudits for durability and reliability as previously.

Altuve was an everyday presence in the lineup last season after being limited to 90 games in 2023, though he wasn't as productive at the plate with a .789 OPS being his worst full-season mark since 2013. He still delivered 20 homers and 22 steals, which was his best work on the basepaths in seven years, but it's fair to wonder if Father Time is starting to catch up to him. Altuve will turn 35 years old in May, and it's worth noting that his .264 xBA and .406 xSLG were each 30-plus points lower than the actual figures. He has significantly outperformed those expected stats throughout his MLB career, but it's more of a concern as he moves through his mid-30s. Altuve is still a decent bet for a high batting average, another 20-20 campaign and strong counting stats in 2025, but the risk of a fall-off is increasing with each passing season.

Westburg had a solid sophomore campaign in the Charm City despite Lord Walltimore stealing some homers from him. Westburg, in fact, loved hitting at home where he hit .303 with half of his homers there compared to a .228 average on the road. Westburg was at his best at home against righties, which is the exact opposite of what we would expect from a righty hitter in Baltimore, but the numbers back it up. His percentile rankings are heavily red despite both his bat speed and chase rate being near the bottom third of the league along while his swing and miss rate and walk rate were in the bottom 20th percentile. Westburg suffered a broken hand after being hit by a pitch on July 31st which nearly cost him the rst of the season. Westburg made it back in spirit with a week left in the season, but went 5 for 32 with one extra base hit when factoring in the two games of the postseason. Westburg should be 100% this spring and should be hitting near the top of the lineup as he looks to build upon his successful 2024 campaign while remaining dual eligible at second and third on draft day.

Keith inked a six-year, $28.64 million contract extension with the Tigers last January, which ensured his spot on the Opening Day roster even as he had yet to play an inning in the big leagues. The youngster had stretches when he looked like one of Detroit's better hitters, specifically in May - when he had an .881 OPS - and July - when he collected a 1.048 OPS and clubbed seven homers. Keith was pretty dreadful in the four other months and also did very little during the Tigers' surprising postseason run. The 23-year-old's 87.8 mph average exit velocity and 5.6 percent barrel rate were both well below average, but a 19.8 percent strikeout rate and .305/.352/.366 line versus southpaws for the left-handed swinger was encouraging. Keith could take a step forward in 2025, but he'll always be held back to some degree by being a lefty hitter at Comerica Park.

After breaking out to the tune of 14 homers and 14 steals in just 69 games as a rookie, Gelof endured the dreaded sophomore slump last season. He struggled mightily with strikeouts, fanning an AL-worst 188 times, which resulted in a 56-point drop in batting average to .211. Gelof showed signs of recovery in June only to post OPS marks below .700 in each of the final three months. The Athletics had nothing to lose and kept Gelof on the field at second base, affording him the opportunity to rack up 17 homers and 25 steals across 547 plate appearances. Gelof and the rest of the A's will be playing their home games at Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento in 2025 -- home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats of the Pacific Coast League -- which would seem to bode well for the offense. The pressure will be on for Gelof to bounce back and prove he should be considered part of the organization's long-term future.

Gimenez has developed into one of the game's best defenders at any position. Unfortunately, he regressed at the plate in 2024 for the second straight season, managing a lousy .638 OPS and wRC+ of 83 while popping only nine home runs. He also ranked in the bottom 10 percent in baseball both in hard-hit rate (28.5 percent) and walk rate (4.1 percent) for the second year in a row. Gimenez was not a lost cause in fantasy, however, thanks to 30 stolen bases and a 15.3 percent strikeout rate which allowed him to keep his head above water in the average department. The left-handed hitting Gimenez was dreadful versus southpaws in 2024 (.574 OPS) and looks like more of a bottom-third of the lineup hitter, but his defense ensures his spot in the everyday lineup. For fantasy, think of him as a stolen-base specialist and consider anything else he might provide to be a bonus.

Lowe is entering a crossroads with Tampa Bay as the guaranteed years of his contract extension are over and he is now playing on a year-to-year basis on two club options. 2021 remains the high-water mark for Lowe's career, as he has struggled with injuries in each of the past three seasons. He has several measures in the 80th percentile or better but the swing and miss rates limit the batting average ceiling as Lowe has failed to hit over .250 since 2020. Lowe is about as steady as they come statistically, but his medical issues have included an oblique strain, a toe infection, a finger injury, a fractured kneecap, and a stress reaction in his back in recent seasons. The club did use him at first base while his foot bothered him this past summer and perhaps that becomes a new full-time home for him should Yandy Diaz get traded. Lowe's fantasy value would further decline moving off second base unless he solves his health troubles and/or finds a better home park.

Tampa Bay has long been infatuated with players who hit the ball hard, feeling they can perhaps coach them through their other flaws. Morel is the latest, if not most extreme of that archetype after they acquired him in the Isaac Paredes deal from the Cubs at the July deadline. Morel is a known-known in that he has plenty of power but struggles to make contact while struggling even more so in the field where he has yet to find a permanent defensive home. Morel's numbers plummeted after the deal with just three homers in 190 plate appearances, two of which came in his first week with the Rays. Morel's strikeout rate improved by five full percentage points while his walk rate also improved, yet those are the only positives to take away from what can only be viewed as a step back in his third full season. Many stars take the step forward in their third full year, so perhaps Morel can do so now in his first full season with Tampa Bay. The dual eligibility of second and third base is a nice added bonus for this high risk/high reward pick.

Holliday was not included on the Orioles' Opening Day roster even after a big spring, but he didn't have to wait long for a promotion, getting the call on April 10. He was back in the minors before the end of April after going 2-for-34 with 18 strikeouts in 10 games and stayed there for the next three months. Holliday experienced some initial success upon his return to the O's, but he was dreadful for the final six weeks and by the end of the regular season was no longer a regular. The skills which made Holliday arguably the top prospect in baseball were still on display at Triple-A Norfolk, but he simply looked overmatched in his first taste of the majors, with a 33.2 percent strikeout rate particularly worrisome. Holliday isn't the first top prospect to struggle in his first exposure to big-league pitching, and odds are things will click for him sooner or later. Less certain is whether he'll be handed a job out of spring training next year.

Rengifo's wRC+ increased for the second consecutive season, but he was limited to 78 games with three IL visits. The first was for an illness with the others due to wrist inflammation. He underwent season-ending surgery to correct the issue in early August but is expected to be 100 percent in the spring. Rengifo's game is putting the ball in play. By design or otherwise, last season Rengifo increased his contact, hitting more line drives and grounders. His average benefited, but at the expense of power. However, with new manager Ron Washington wanting the club to run, Rengifo obliged with 24 bags, six more than he totaled in his first 448 games. He qualifies at second base and third base with the chops to dabble at shortstop. Rengifo will likely focus on the keystone this season, hitting at or near the top of the order. He'll still run, but with 37th percentile sprint speed and a 77 percent success rate, Rengifo will be challenged to match last season's pace.

The Red Sox called up Hamilton from Triple-A Worcester early in April when Trevor Story sustained a shoulder injury. The utility infielder wasn't expected to be a regular, but Story's injury lingered, and Vaughn Grissom's groin/hamstring left a hole at second base that was never adequately filled. Hamilton answered the call, playing 56 games at shortstop and 36 at second base. His walk rate wasn't as good as in the minors, but an elevated BABIP allowed Hamilton to take advantage of his base-stealing prowess - he finished second on the team with 33 steals in 98 games. His season ended in late August due to a fractured finger, but Hamilton made a greater impact than his .248/.303/.395 line might suggest. The club is expected to go with a Story/Grissom middle infield, so Hamilton will have to win a utility backup role. Red Sox manager Alex Cora is unlikely to waste a roster spot on a pinch-running specialist.

Massey was plagued by a recurring ligament sprain in his back last season which held him to 100 games played for the Royals and limited him to designated hitter duty in others. When on the field, Massey produced new career highs with a .190 ISO and 102 wRC+ while cutting his strikeout rate down to just 15.7 percent. He also graded out well defensively for the second year in a row. Massey does his best to get the most out of his fairly limited power with a career 44.2 percent fly ball rate and 52.8 percent pull rate. Unfortunately, Kauffman Stadium is among the most difficult in baseball for left-handed power. The 27-year-old's lack of base stealing chops puts a lot of pressure on his bat, and there might not be enough juice there. When you add in the back problems and Jonathan India added to the second-base mix, you'd have to squint pretty hard to envision Massey having a major fantasy impact.

It was easy to miss it as the White Sox trudged toward a record-breaking 121 losses -- many turned away in horror -- but Sosa finished the season in impressive fashion, slashing .373/.398/.566 with four homers in September. He spent the first half up and down between Triple-A and the majors before getting the call for good at the end of July. Sosa has made steady progress with his strikeout rate and finally had something to show for it down the stretch. The South Side will be the land of opportunity again in 2025 and Sosa should get a chance to build on what he did at the end of last season. Dual eligibility (3B, 2B) helps his case as he enters his age-25 campaign.

Moore logged a career-high 441 plate appearances for the Mariners last season while moving all around the diamond. He earned a Gold Glove in recognition of his defensive versatility and enters 2025 with eligibility at shortstop, second base, third base and outfield. Add first base in leagues with a 10-game minimum. That kind of flexibility is quite rare and should keep Moore on the field in 2025, affording him more chances to rack up steals and the occasional home run. Strikeouts drag down his batting average, which fell to just .201 last season, but walks help boost his on-base percentage. Moore has reached 20 stolen bases in three of the last four years and provides just enough pop to make that versatility worthwhile in mixed leagues.

Ramirez shored up his Hall of Fame case with what very well could have been a 40-40 campaign if not for a rainout on the final day of the regular season. The third baseman was an All-Star for the fourth consecutive year (sixth overall) and helped lead Cleveland to the ALCS. He's as durable as they come; Ramirez played in 158 games in 2024 and has now reached at least 152 games in seven of the last eight full MLB seasons. While he's been in the majors for over a decade, Ramirez is still just 32 years old, so he's not at the age where one might suspect the skills could drop off the table. There was some giveback with his walk rate last season, which led to a 21-point drop in OBP, and the batted-ball numbers don't jump off the page. That said, Ramirez is great at pulling flyballs, and his run production improved significantly last season with help from the likes of Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor around him. Fantasy managers should be thrilled to have to settle for Ramirez in the first round.

Devers delivered a typically productive season, albeit dampened by lingering soreness in both of his shoulders, costing him the last eight games of the year. The shoulder issues were not reflected in his numbers, with Devers nearly matching the previous season's performance. Though, he took a slightly different path, with his highest strikeout rate since 2020, but more walks and his highest barrel rate since 2021. Devers chased less; his contact in and out of the zone dipped, perhaps due to his aching shoulders. He's expected to be fully heathy in the spring. His glove at the hot corner remains an issue, with his -9 defensive runs saved marking eight straight seasons where Devers was a below average defender. Moving to first base, or even DH, could be in the works, but for at least one more season, Devers checks in as one of the most consistently productive third basemen.

Chisholm enjoyed the healthiest season of his career as he finally broke the 125 games played total in a season while splitting his time between Miami and New York. The games played was not the only career high as he also set a new high in every counting category as well as batting average and strikeout rate. The change in venues from the spacious Marlins Stadium to the coziness of Yankee Stadium did wonders for Chisholm, as he hit 11 of his 24 homers in the 46 games with the Yankees while also stealing 18 of the 40 bases. We have known for some time what Chisholm is capable of while on the field, but the time lost in 2021-2023 due to multiple injuries impacted his value. He now gets to play the final two seasons of his arbitration years in a much better stadium and lineup than what he experienced in Miami and the cost of acquisition this winter will rise accordingly. The decision fantasy managers must make: Is the juice worth the squeeze given how much time the talented player has missed over the past four seasons? The 3B and OF eligibility is a nice added bonus.

Caminero's 2024 debut came much later in the season than fantasy managers had hoped for when drafting him prior to the season. Tampa Bay premier prospects are always delayed by service time manipulation, but Caminero's progress was twice disrupted by left leg injuries which led to him playing just 53 games in Triple-A and eventually 43 games at the big-league level. The overall numbers were not nearly as impressive as what he did in 2023, but the quad and hamstring injuries never allowed him to get into much of a rhythm. It is important to remember he already has over 200 plate appearances at the big-league level before his 22nd birthday, as he will not turn 22 until early July. The sample sizes remain too small to draw any conclusions, but Caminero has six of his seven homers against righties while his batting average against righties is nearly 100 points below what he has done against lefties. Caminero should be with the Rays for the entirety of the 2025 season as long as his body holds up, but expect more growing pains.

After playing just 70 games in his first two seasons due to a myriad of injuries, including two torn ACLs, Lewis looked set to become a star. Alas after hitting a home run on Opening Day, he pulled up with a hamstring injury and missed 58 games. He returned on fire at the plate by hitting nine home runs with a .984 OPS in 23 games when he returned. He then missed two weeks with adductor strain. When he returned in late July, he slumped at the plate for the first time of his career and had an underwhelming second half of the season. He hit just .207 with six home runs and a .620 OPS over his final 56 games. Whether it was not being used to the wear of a long season or bad luck (.248 BABIP over that stretch), Lewis looked mortal at the plate for the first time. He also struggled at third base (-2 Defensive Runs Saved) with the Twins giving him some time at second base for a likely move there in 2025. Lewis also did not attempt to steal any bases due to injury concerns despite decent speed. Still, he hit 16 homeruns in 82 games and posted a 108 wRC+ and was well above average in most advanced batted-ball metrics. He could bounce back with some better luck and a move to second base as he's enter his prime as he'll turn 26 next season.

Jung had a productive rookie campaign in 2023 with 23 home runs and a .782 OPS in 122 games, but his season was derailed by wrist issues in 2024. He was sidelined for four months after suffering a fracture in early April, and he underwent tendon release surgery in October after missing the final week-plus of the regular season. Jung played in just 46 games and had a .264/.298/.421 slash line with seven homers and 16 RBI, but the numbers are a secondary concern to the injury situation. He also missed about six weeks due to a thumb issue in 2023 and has played in just 168 of 324 possible regular-season games across the past two seasons. Jung is entering his age-27 campaign and still has plenty of upside -- his power potential is obvious with 35 long balls in his first 805 plate appearances -- but he's a risky fantasy asset until he can show an ability to stay on the field.

Garcia finished third in the American League in steals last season with 37 in 39 attempts. However, he managed just a .231 average, seven homers and 58 RBI in 626 plate appearances. The Royals' Opening Day leadoff man, Garcia ended up making 101 starts in the leadoff spot, but he fell to the bottom third toward the end of the year and it will be tough to justify returning him to the top of the order if he doesn't improve significantly upon his .281 on-base percentage. Garcia makes consistent contact but is allergic to walks, and his offense graded out as 31 percent worse than league average by wRC+ last season. His contributions on the bases make him very much relevant in fantasy leagues with rotisserie scoring, but less so in points and OBP leagues. Entering his age-25 season, Garcia has eligibility at both second base and third base.

Mayo has logged two seasons of excellence at Triple-A before turning 23 this December, but he failed in his first cup of coffee with the big club. A scouting and developmental success story that the organization takes a lot of pride in, Mayo has been on a steady incline as a dynasty asset since he received a seven-figure bonus after going in the fourth round of the 2020 draft. He is a passable defender at third base and moves well for his 6-foot-5 frame, but long-term in Baltimore, Mayo makes the most sense at first base. He slashed .293/.372/.592 with 25 home runs, four steals and excellent hard-hit data (33.7 Hard%, 13.3 Soft%) in 93 minor-league games but .098 with 22 strikeouts, four walks and zero extra-base hits in 46 MLB plate appearances. After logging a 71.5 percent contact rate in the minors, he made contact at just a 56.7 percent clip in the majors. It was a humbling debut for the hulking corner infielder, but his youth and track record scream "buy low" in dynasty and redraft.

Detroit has started to embrace a youth movement, and Jung's time to get in on the fun could be coming soon. The 24-year-old made his MLB debut in 2024, posting a .241/.362/.304 slash line across 34 games. He mostly served in a reserve capacity, however, as the Tigers used the likes of Matt Vierling, Andy Ibanez and Zach McKinstry at third base, which is where Jung figures to break in. The 2022 first-round pick posted a .939 OPS across 47 games for Double-A Erie in 2023, then recorded an .831 OPS in 91 games for Triple-A Toledo last season, so there is plenty of offensive upside here. Now that he's gotten his feet wet in the majors, Jung could be primed for a more regular role, depending on how the team wants to deploy the versatile Vierling. The Tigers have youngsters Spencer Torkelson, Colt Keith and Trey Sweeney already locked into infield roles, along with Riley Greene, Parker Meadows and Wenceel Perez in the outfield. Jung would give the team one more intriguing player with a high ceiling, and fantasy managers should keep a close eye on his playing time.

Between Josh Jung's wrist problems and Corey Seager getting nicked up, Smith finished third on the Rangers with nearly 600 plate appearances last season. He wound up winning the American League's Silver Slugger award at the utility spot, although the vast majority of Smith's production came in the first half when he collected an .861 OPS while slugging 10 of his 13 home runs. He had just a .565 OPS after the All-Star break, and Smith's .304 xwOBA versus his actual .323 wOBA suggests there was some good fortune involved. Smith should fill a super utility role again in 2025, although it's unlikely he'll play as much as he did in 2024. He'll be eligible at shortstop and third base out of the gate and could pick up additional eligibility, which is useful in deeper formats.ULL

Urias' 100 games and 301 plate appearances were his lowest since 2021. Part of the reason was an IL stint for a right ankle sprain, but he played less with the slew of young Orioles infielders taking over. Urias played primarily at third base, with short stretches as a regular. At the plate, his 115 wRC+ tied for his career best, fueled by an 18.3 percent strikeout clip, his lowest in the majors. A career high flyball rate helped him pop 11 homers, just the second time he's reached double-digits. Urias' quality of contact is below average, so he relies on volume. However, he's earmarked to serve in a reserve capacity, though he can play all four infield spots. Urias begins the season only eligible at third base, but he's likely to add others, putting him in play as a mixed league reserve.

LeMahieu has two more years left on the deal he signed after his amazing first two years with the Yankees, but those years feel like a distant memory to all involved at present time. LeMahieu went from a vital part of the Yankee offense to an afterthough whose skills have rapidly beclined these past few seasons, including his health. LeMahieu has battled a him problem that caused him to miss significant time last season and his numbers were easily the worst of his career when he was on the field. His days of playing in the middle infield are behind him, and he is now a dual-eligible corner man on draft day, but is projected to be in the first base rotation as the depth chart stands now. The Yankees are in the midst of a Plan B retooling with Juan Soto taking the B line with a transfer to the 7 over to Citi Field, and that retooling could come with the aquisition of a better bat at first which would marginalize LeMahieu to a corner utility role. Simply put, the aging curve has hit LeMahieu rather hard these past few seasons, and at age 36, that direction will very likely continue.

Be it by design or happenstance, Duran fanned at a career-low clip, but it came at the expense of exit velocity and the resulting drops in hard-hit rate and barrel rate. The declines cost Duran playing time as he was often eschewed, even with three-quarters of the Rangers infield missing chunks of action. After posting a .619 OPS, Duran was demoted to Triple-A Round Rock in late June, where he stayed for a month. Things got worse after returning with Duran recording a .591 OPS the rest of the way. Duran appeared everywhere but catcher, so his versatility is ideal for a Swiss army knife role. Dual eligibility (with the chance of more) is a plus, but unless Duran gets back to driving the ball, he's relegated to AL-only duty.

Progress is not always linear, but Witt has been on an upward trajectory since breaking into the big leagues as the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in baseball in 2022. He improved upon all three elements of his slash line once again in 2024, adding nearly 60 points to his batting average to lead the majors at .332. At age 23/24, Witt played in all but one game for the Royals, earning his first All-Star selection and leading Kansas City to its first postseason appearance since 2015. He totaled 234 runs-plus-RBI while reaching 30 homers for a second straight season. The one area of decline was in the stolen-base department, as he fell back to 31 steals after totaling 49 the year prior. He was caught stealing 12 times in 43 attempts, but Witt ranked at the top of the sprint speed leaderboard at 30.5 ft/sec. Amazingly, there's still upside if he can improve his efficiency on the basepaths, and regardless he's already an elite fantasy producer. Despite a modest supporting cast, Witt should arguably be considered right alongside Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge at the very top of 2025 fantasy drafts.

Henderson, through his age-23 season, already has more homers than Freddie Freeman, David Wright and Francisco Lindor had through their age-23 seasons. He has more runs scored at this age than Derek Jeter and Fernando Tatis Jr. Simply put, he has been everything that was expected of him and then some through two-plus seasons in Baltimore. Nearly every measure across the board has improved year over year with nary a hiccup to be found. Despite the unfriendly confines to the opposite field, Henderson had 23 of his 37 homers at home. The power waned in the second half of the season, as his slugging percentage dropped from .584 to .447. His struggles, along with Adley Rutschman's, were a big reason why Baltimore ended up in the wild-card spot and bounced in two games without a whimper. The second-half slump will likely be motivation for him as he works out all winter and prepares for another full season of play a taxing position. He is a first-round talent and will be one for the foreseeable future barring injury.

Seager's tenure with the Rangers has been wildly successful so far, as he led the club to a championship in 2023, winning World Series MVP for a second time, and has now been an All-Star in all three seasons with Texas. However, he's done little to distance himself from the sketchy health reputation he developed during his time with the Dodgers. He underwent sports hernia surgery in September, which kept him from reaching 125 games played for the third time in four seasons. Granted, the shortstop played in even fewer games (119) in 2023 when he was the runner-up for regular-season MVP, and he still reached 30 homers last season despite the missed time. With a brilliant .290/.360/.512 slash line across his decade in the majors, Seager is well established as an absolute menace from the left side. Prospective fantasy managers will want to bake in an IL stint or two and may want to prioritize stolen bases with subsequent draft picks depending on the scoring format, given the 30-year-old is essentially a zero in the category.

Pena has failed to build upon a promising rookie season from 2022 which also featured ALCS and World Series MVP honors. He's been a reliable stats accumulator from a fantasy perspective, however, making him a solid starting option even at a robust position in shortstop. Pena finally began to take advantage of that elite sprint speed in jumping up to 20 stolen bases in 2024, and it's possible there's more in the tank there if he's able to refine his technique (he has just a 69 percent success rate over the last two seasons). He also cut down on the strikeouts for the second year in a row with a rate of just 17.4 percent in 2024, making Pena a solid bet for batting average even as he's a super aggressive hitter. While not a standout in any area, Pena makes for a viable option at shortstop once the bigger names are off the board.

There were fewer high-profile busts in 2024 than Bichette. Bichette's 2024 season was ruined by a calf injury and later a finger injury which required offseason surgery, so even when he did play, the results were terrible. Bichette was coming off a three-year run of volume peaking with the nomadic 2021 ballpark situation which helped his overall numbers as every counting category for him has since declined each of the past four seasons. You know things were tough for Bichette when he hit .225 on the season after never hitting below .275 at any level of professional baseball. Bichette is entering the final year of full team control with Toronto. A fully healthy Bichette could hit leadoff in 2025 which could help him produce somewhere along his 2022-2023 span of production. 2021 simply is not repeatable because the run environments in Dunedin and Buffalo were contributing factors which are no longer in play as Rogers Centre, even with its new configurations, is much more neutral. 2024 was a terrible season, but you should look to pounce if you see his market value is too heavily coated in recency bias.

The 24-year-old shortstop took a major step forward during his sophomore campaign in 2024 and finished with 23 homers, 30 steals and a .761 OPS in 155 games. He also provided plus-11 Defensive Runs Saved, though his range was limited with minus-five Outs Above Average. Neto was drafted during the first round of the 2022 Draft and has only 287 professional games under his belt, so he could continue to improve as he matures. He's a cornerstone piece up the middle for the Angels and got more starts in the two-hole than any other spot in the lineup last year. Early-November shoulder surgery clouds his status for Opening Day, and it could prevent him from achieving what otherwise seemed likely to be another 20-20 season.

Volpe was a disappointment in his sophomore season losing more than a third of his homers despite nearly 90 more plate appearances on the season. His defense deservedly keeps him in the lineup everyday and his speed somehow allowed him to accumulate half of his plate appearances in the leadoff spot despite a .293 OBP both overall as well as when he hit first in the lineup. Who are we to judge since the club made it to the World Series? We only bring it up because Volpe's run scoring total will likely decline if the Yankees find a better fit for leadoff as Volpe's speed makes him a better fit to lead off a 1980's Yankee lineup than it does a modern day one. That would leave us with his steals as his most redeeming quality, and 12 of those came from the leadoff spot. Volpe did improve his strikeout rate, yet it, his walk rate, and his ability to lay off pitches out of the zone all remain below league average. Beware the Yankee tariff because the pinstripes make this player appear better than he actually is at this moment.

Correa showed last year he can still be a star at the plate as Minnesota's starting shortstop, but struggled again to stay healthy. Correa had just a 95 wRC+ in 2023 as he battled plantar fasciitis in his left foot. Fully healthy at the start of the season, Correa hit .308 with a .896 OPS in the first half and was named to the AL All-Star team. After struggling against fastballs for the first time in his career in 2023 (-5 Run Value per Baseball Savant), he bounced back with a .425 wOBA against fastballs (+5 run value). All his success came to a halt just before the All-Star break when Correa was sidelined with plantar fasciitis in his right foot. He was able to return in September, hitting .325 with a .960 OPS in 11 games. He was clearly not moving at full speed when he returned, but rest and rehab in the offseason should have him ready for spring training. He showed he still has above-average power (70th percentile in Avg. Exit Velocity and 71st in Hard-Hit Rate) and an outstanding eye at the plate (155 wRC+) along with premium defense. However, his foot issues along with long-term concerns about his ankle (a plate inserted in his ankle from a 2014 injury scared off teams from signing him in 2023) make him a major injury risk.

After appearing in 23 MLB games in 2023, Rocchio got more extended run with Cleveland in 2024 as the team's primary shortstop. The 23-year-old looked like a glove-first player who offered a little speed on the bases but was mostly inconsistent as a hitter. Rocchio ended up finishing the year with a .614 OPS, eight home runs and 10 stolen bases in 143 games. Looking ahead, he once again projects as the team's top option at short, and on a club that values defense and solid fundamentals, Rocchio should be able to hold onto the job. He has shown flashes of more offensive promise in the minors, so there may also be some room for growth in his game as well. For the time being, Rocchio isn't the most exciting fantasy option, but the playing time should be there and he's worth keeping an eye on if his production starts to trend upward.

Crawford was perhaps the biggest disappointment amongst a host of them in Seattle's position player group last season. Out of 169 players to accrue at least 450 plate appearances, Crawford ranked 163rd with a .625 OPS, which was nearly a 200-point drop from his .818 mark in 2023. Crawford's offensive performance in 2023 is the clear outlier in his career, particularly from a power perspective, so a repeat in 2024 wasn't expected. The fall was alarming, though, particularly against right-handers, with the left-handed batting Crawford slashing a paltry .173/.283/.282 versus righties. A modest bounceback in 2025 is likely, especially if the Mariners give Crawford another shot in the leadoff spot. That said, Crawford's fantasy ceiling is limited even if things break right.

Story endured a third consecutive injury-marred year and has played a season's worth of games (163) in a Red Sox uniform since signing with them in 2022. In 2024, it was a shoulder injury suffered in early April - it appeared to be season-ending - but the shortstop worked the rehab hard and returned in September. In 26 games, Story batted .255/.340/.394 with two home runs, 10 RBI and six steals. A.L. pitchers were still a puzzle for Story, whose 31.1 strikeout percentage was the third consecutive season north of 30 percent, and his hard-hit rate fell off the cliff to a career-low 29.5 percent. In addition to the toll injuries have taken, Story is entering his age-32 season, so expecting an appearance of the Colorado version of Story may be too much at this stage. However, he could still be an effective bat from the right side, which Boston desperately needs after Tyler O'Neill's departure.

Story endured a third consecutive injury-marred year and has played a season's worth of games (163) in a Red Sox uniform since signing with them in 2022. In 2024, it was a shoulder injury suffered in early April - it appeared to be season-ending - but the shortstop worked the rehab hard and returned in September. In 26 games, Story batted .255/.340/.394 with two home runs, 10 RBI and six steals. A.L. pitchers were still a puzzle for Story, whose 31.1 strikeout percentage was the third consecutive season north of 30 percent, and his hard-hit rate fell off the cliff to a career-low 29.5 percent. In addition to the toll injuries have taken, Story is entering his age-32 season, so expecting an appearance of the Colorado version of Story may be too much at this stage. However, he could still be an effective bat from the right side, which Boston desperately needs after Tyler O'Neill's departure.

Caballero comes into the 2025 season with eligibility at three infield positions as well as the American League stolen base crown. That is roughly where the good news of his 2024 season ends. Caballero also led the league in caught stealings (16), putting his stolen-base success rate below the league average. Caballero was allowed to run in this manner because Tampa Bay was not a serious contender and the club was desperate to generate offense as the club fell back into its previous offensive patterns after a surprising 2023 season. Caballero's defense will keep him in the lineup, but the remainder of his skills, or lack thereof, will keep him in the bottom of the lineup. Caballero already saw his playing time getting squeezed later in the season once Junior Caminero was promoted with Christopher Morel and Brandon Lowe taking time away at second base. Caballero would ideally be a utility player as the club's offensive issues were exacerbated with him and his statistically-flawed twin Jose Siri in the same lineup.

Baez's move to Detroit has been a disaster and 2024 may have marked the low point. The shortstop batted .184 with a career-worst .515 OPS and mustered only six home runs and 37 RBI across 80 games. A hip injury eventually shut Baez down, and he underwent surgery in early September. The veteran should be ready for 2025 and the organization has said he will have a role with the team, but it's possible that he shifts to the bench. Rookie Trey Sweeney took over when Baez went out, and though the former predictably endured some struggles as a young player, he's much more in line with the rest of Detroit's youth movement. Baez has three years and $73 million remaining on his contract, so he won't be cut, while a trade also feels unlikely unless Detroit is willing to eat a decent amount of salary. The most likely scenario has the 31-year-old back with the team, and it's also quite possible he starts again on Opening Day. However, the Tigers are unlikely to show much patience with Baez, and fantasy managers should look elsewhere until further notice.

Across five MLB seasons, McKinstry has pretty much settled in as a light-hitting utility player known primarily for his defensive abilities. The 29-year-old batted .286 across a small sample of four games as a rookie with the Dodgers back in 2020, but he's batted .231 or worse in each of his seasons since then. He's also never reached double figures in home runs, as he topped out at nine long balls two years ago with Detroit, when he had a career-best 464 at-bats. McKinstry's value from a real-life perspective comes from his versatility. He appeared at every infield position except for first base last season and also saw time in the corner outfield spots. That makes McKinstry a useful MLB bench player, but it doesn't translate to fantasy impact. Heading into 2025, McKinstry should once again be a utility option who has some flashes of offensive ability but no real consistent value in most fantasy leagues.

Judge had some noise surrounding his status during spring training around lingering pain from the toe injury after the incident with the right field wall at Dodger Stadium. Those concerns were not exactly assuaged when Judge had a .180/.315/.348 slash line a month into the regular season with three home runs. He hit three homers in one week toward the end of April and went on to hit 52 more the rest of the season and put up a Ruthian .349/.484/.768 slash line the rest of the season while driving in 133 runs and scoring 114 while chipping in nine steals. In a year where homers were down overall in the league, Judge nearly matched his 2022 season. About the only thing Judge has never done is have consecutive 50-plus homer seasons, but that is nitpicking. It will be interesting to see what happens should Juan Soto not return in free agency, as Soto's presence on base was a contributing factor in Judge setting a new career high in RBI.

After enjoying a career year in 2023 recording a 126 wRC+, Garcia turned in his worst season, posting a 92 wRC+. He continued to sting the ball with 87th percentile hard-hit rate and 85th percentile barrel rate, but both lagged the previous year's near-elite levels. Garcia fanned at the same clip, but he was less patient, perhaps from pressing. Garcia eclipsed triple digits in runs and RBI in 2023, buoyed by his success and the Rangers scoring the third most runs in the league. Last year, the club dropped to 18th with Garcia registering career lows in runs and RBI. Totaling 25 homers and 11 steals in an off year speaks towards Garcia's floor. Reverting to 2023 is a big ask, but splitting the difference and matching 2022's level is a reasonable expectation, plus the Rangers offense should be more productive.

Alvarez set career-high marks in games played (147) and plate appearances (635) while clearing 30 homers for the fourth consecutive year. He suffered a right knee sprain during the final week of the 2024 regular season, but Alvarez was able to return for the wild-card round. It's almost scary what Alvarez has been able to do with his strikeout rate, lowering it to just 15 percent last season while keeping his Statcast page crimson red with elite batted-ball numbers. He has a long history of knee problems, including double knee surgery in August of 2020, but Alvarez has few peers when on the field, ranking behind only Aaron Judge in wRC+ (165) over the past four seasons. Alvarez retains outfield eligibility after making 53 starts in left field, but he should continue to see most of his time at designated hitter. Taking advantage of the bigger bases and new rules limiting pickoff attempts, Alvarez added six steals last season, after coming into the campaign with two career steals. Fantasy managers would probably prefer he not run at all given his injury history.

After underwhelming throughout the vast majority of the regular season, Rodriguez caught fire again late to reach 20-20 for the third straight year to begin his MLB career. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Rodriguez sat with a .660 OPS, 11 homers and 40 RBI on the morning of Aug. 28. He would go on to slash .349/.386/.597 with nine homers and 28 RBI over his final 29 games, though it wasn't enough to drag the Mariners and their bottom-10 scoring offense to the postseason. He was efficient on the basepaths, but his attempts dipped, in particular after he returned from an IL stint due to a right ankle sprain. Rodriguez struggled against offspeed pitches to the tune of a .173 average and .199 xBA last season, but he made up for it to an extent by punishing fastballs. While his strikeout and walk numbers have not shown any tangible improvement in his three years in the league, and he looked more like a star than a superstar in 2024, it's important to remember he's still just entering his age-24 season.

Duran built on his breakthrough 2023 season by walking more while fanning less. It was the third straight season with an improved strikeout rate and second consecutive with a better walk rate. A career high barrel rate helped Duran lead MLB in both double and triples, elevating his stead in points and Best Ball formats. He faded down the stretch, posting a 61 wRC+ in September, after ranging between 102 and 193 the prior five months. Fatigue may have been the season considering the only games Duran missed were in August due to a two-game suspension for an audible homophobic slur. This was the only blight on a season where Duran captured down ballot MVP votes. He rebounded from adversity before and is likely to do it again. The safe play is pulling back from a career year, but Duran has the skill set to keep getting better.

Bucking the traditional prospect path, Langford made the Rangers' Opening Day roster last spring and debuted in the big leagues after just 44 games in the minors. The fourth overall pick in 2023, Langford struggled out of the gates last season, posting a .588 OPS through his first 31 MLB games before a right hamstring strain put him on the injured list. He would go on to bat .300 or higher in two of the final fourth months while adding eight homers in September to bring him up to a 110 wRC+ for the season. On the strength of 98th percentile sprint speed, Langford stole 19 bases in 22 attempts. While it wasn't the Rookie of the Year campaign many expected, he showcased a highly advanced plate approach for a 22-year-old (20.6 K%, 9.2 BB%). His strong finish should renew excitement heading into 2025. There is no track record to stand on, but the foundation is there, and a step forward could easily vault Langford into the top 15 among fantasy outfielders.

Last spring, Red Sox manager Alex Cora stated that Rafaela would make the opening day roster only if he earned an everyday job in the outfield. Injuries to multiple infielders softened Cora's stance, and then Rafaela's .896 OPS in the spring made the decision easy. Rafaela ended up missing only 10 games, seven in September. He doesn't hit the ball hard, and his plate discipline is poor. However, Rafaela is just 24 years old and plays Gold Glove level defense in center field while being able to fill in as a middle infielder. Rafaela's athleticism buys him time to improve on a 31st percentile hard hit rate, 46th percentile barrel rate and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. The hand-eye coordination possessed by elite defenders often translates to the batter's box. Rafaela has the physical tools and opportunity, it's up to him to translate them to better quality and quantity of contact.

The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but was terrible after it and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season and only he and Jose Ramirez has done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena is now has 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 triple-slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production situation and he hit 5 homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone but how his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost?

Cowser revamped his swing, specifically to better handle heat. The early returns opened eyes in the spring and Cowser broke camp. He continued mashing in early April, taking over every day in left field. Cowser experienced a couple of slumps, temporarily costing playing time, but he always recovered and posted a 120 wRC+ in his freshman campaign, finishing a close second for AL Rookie of the Year. A 90th percentile barrel rate and 77th percentile hard-hit rate covered up a high 30.7 percent strikeout rate. Cowser's splits facing southpaws need work, but his defense should fend off a platoon. There's still a logjam in the Orioles infield but Cowser's path is clear to continue chasing fly balls in left field. A fractured hand suffered in the playoffs is expected to be fine in the spring. The arrows are pointing up, with contact his main Achilles heel.

Thomas' power fell off significantly in 2024 following his 28-homer breakout in 2023, but he was still able to turn in a top-30 outfielder season for fantasy managers thanks in large part to a career-high 32 stolen bases. The 29-year-old notched 28 of those 32 thefts with the Nationals, a team which was one of the most aggressive in the league on the basepaths. Thomas stole just four bags in six tries following a trade to the Guardians, so his running game outlook is a little cloudy as he heads into his first full season in Cleveland. At the plate, Thomas got off to a horrid start after the trade to the point that he wasn't even an everyday guy anymore. However, he finished strong with seven homers in September and another two in the playoffs. He should be viable in deeper leagues either way, but Thomas' ultimate ceiling in 2025 could depend on how much he and the Guardians want to run.

There were signs that Springer was approaching a production cliff in his career, but nothing truly pointed to him having this type of fall-off. Springer posted the worst batting average of his full-season career but nearly 40 points and failed to reach 20 homers in a full seaosn for the first time since 2015 when he appeared in just 102 games. The walk rate and the contact rates remained constant, yet Springer's bat appeared at times as if it still had a weighted donut on it. Springer has made a career of feasting off fastballs, but hit just .241 against fastballs in 2024 and .192 against non-fastballs. He no longer has the juice to get into the elevate and celebrate crowd as his groundball to flyball ratio has dropped from 0.70 in 2021 to 1.54 this past season. His 50.7% groundball rate was the highest of his career while his 39.8% pull percentage was a continuation of the 2023 struggles. His contract will guarantee him playing time in Toronto, but where that playing time comes in the lineup is anyone's guess. He no longer profiles as a top of the lineup hitter, so his production could be further impacted hitting down in the lineup as Toronto either looks to make one final push in the Vlad era or begins a tear-down after multiple disappointing seasons. Springer is absolutely on his descent down the aging curve and appears to be in a rapidly accelerating phase at this time.

Trout had another season sabotaged by injury in 2024. This time it was a torn meniscus in late April which required surgery, and just as he seemed to be nearing a return, Trout suffered another tear in the same meniscus and needed season-ending surgery in August. Trout clubbed 10 home runs and also stole six bases - matching his total from the previous four seasons combined - in 29 games before getting hurt, showing that he's still capable of being a fantasy difference maker if he can stay off the IL. The three-time MVP has said he'd be fine with moving to an outfield corner or serving as a designated hitter in 2025 if it helps keep him healthy, and at this point such a move might be a necessity. Trout's fantasy draft price will never be lower, but so will the level of certainty.

Greene's quality of contact is borderline elite, but a 20th percentile strikeout rate keeps him from taking full advantage of 90th percentile barrel and 83rd percentile hard hit rates. Greene's contact on pitches out of the zone is his undoing, but there are harbingers for improved contact. His strikeout rate has dropped each of the past two seasons, albeit just slightly. More importantly, Greene doesn't chase, and he walks at an 11 percent clip. Together these bode well for better swing decisions. Greene's power metrics are also on the upswing with a career-high 34.6 percent fly ball rate, 10 points above his first two seasons. Greene doesn't run much, and he needs to establish durability after missing over three weeks with a hamstring issue. This could be the last year to draft Greene outside of the top 75; he has the makings of a four-category star.

Carpenter was affected by injury in 2024 for the second year in a row, this time missing almost three months of action with a lumbar spine stress fracture. He had collected a .914 OPS before getting hurt and didn't miss a beat after returning, putting up a .954 OPS and 10 home runs over his final 133 plate appearances before adding another homer in the playoffs. Carpenter again stood out for his quality of contact, boasting a 46.4 percent hard-hit rate and 17.7 percent barrel rate. The 27-year-old's big bugaboo is that he can't hit left-handed pitching (.408 OPS in 2024) and rarely gets the opportunity to do so. It certainly limits how much volume he's able to provide, and that's even before factoring in Carpenter's increasing injury concerns. That said, Carpenter's 149 wRC+ versus righties since the start of 2023 is the 11th highest in baseball among players with at least 500 plate appearances. When he's in the lineup, he's going to mash.