2024 Stats
AVG
.246
HR
15
RBI
75
R
70
SB
19
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Last spring, Red Sox manager Alex Cora stated that Rafaela would make the opening day roster only if he earned an everyday job in the outfield. Injuries to multiple infielders softened Cora's stance, and then Rafaela's .896 OPS in the spring made the decision easy. Rafaela ended up missing only 10 games, seven in September. He doesn't hit the ball hard, and his plate discipline is poor. However, Rafaela is just 24 years old and plays Gold Glove level defense in center field while being able to fill in as a middle infielder. Rafaela's athleticism buys him time to improve on a 31st percentile hard hit rate, 46th percentile barrel rate and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. The hand-eye coordination possessed by elite defenders often translates to the batter's box. Rafaela has the physical tools and opportunity, it's up to him to translate them to better quality and quantity of contact. Read Past Outlooks
Will focus primarily on CF
Red Sox chief baseball officer Craig Breslow said earlier this week that the plan is to keep Rafaela in center field next season "as much as possible," Sean McAdam of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela made 72 starts in center field, 71 starts at shortstop and four starts at second base in 2024. Center field is his best defensive position, and he will no longer be needed at shortstop, provided the Red Sox get a healthy season out of Trevor Story. The Red Sox have an opening at second base, but the club wants Rafaela to focus on one position, believing his production could have been affected in 2024 because he was bouncing around to different spots. There could be a potential outfield playing time crunch on the horizon, however, with Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu on the roster and top prospect Roman Anthony nearly big-league ready. Rafaela might see fewer starts at that point, or Boston could reconsider using him in the infield.
Rafaela made 72 starts in center field, 71 starts at shortstop and four starts at second base in 2024. Center field is his best defensive position, and he will no longer be needed at shortstop, provided the Red Sox get a healthy season out of Trevor Story. The Red Sox have an opening at second base, but the club wants Rafaela to focus on one position, believing his production could have been affected in 2024 because he was bouncing around to different spots. There could be a potential outfield playing time crunch on the horizon, however, with Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu on the roster and top prospect Roman Anthony nearly big-league ready. Rafaela might see fewer starts at that point, or Boston could reconsider using him in the infield.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
3
14
82
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
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#8
#9
1
2
11
29
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+14%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .610 | 179 | 4 | 14 | .208 | ||||
| Since 2022vs Right | .684 | 481 | 13 | 66 | .259 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .603 | 152 | 3 | 11 | .211 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .685 | 419 | 12 | 64 | .259 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .645 | 27 | 1 | 3 | .192 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .675 | 62 | 1 | 2 | .263 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+6%
OPS at Home
2024
+1%
OPS on Road
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | .684 | 332 | 8 | 36 | .250 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | .644 | 328 | 9 | 44 | .241 | ||||
| 2024Home | .661 | 286 | 6 | 32 | .247 | ||||
| 2024Away | .667 | 285 | 9 | 43 | .245 | ||||
| 2023Home | .838 | 46 | 2 | 4 | .268 | ||||
| 2023Away | .494 | 43 | 0 | 1 | .214 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.10BB Rate
2.6%K Rate
26.4%BABIP
.312ISO
.143AVG
.246OBP
.274SLG
.390OPS
.664wOBA
.290Exit Velocity
86.6 mphHard Hit Rate
25.6%Barrels/PA
5.3%Expected BA
.229Expected SLG
.368Sprint Speed
25.1 ft/secGround Ball %
42.0%Line Drive %
21.1%Fly Ball %
36.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready.
More Fantasy News
Getting rest Saturday
Rafaela isn't in Boston's lineup Saturday versus the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Absent from lineup
Rafaela is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game in Toronto, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat Thursday
Rafaela is absent from the lineup for Thursday's contest in Tampa Bay, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Saturday's lineup
Rafaela isn't in the Red Sox's lineup for Saturday's game against the Yankees, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Plays second base
Rafaela started at second base and went 1-for-4 with an RBI in Wednesday's 5-3 extra-inning win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to start 2024 in minors
Rafaela is likely to start next season as the center fielder at Triple-A Worcester, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela played regularly down the stretch for the Red Sox and showed flashes but wound up finishing with a .666 OPS and 28:4 K:BB over 89 plate appearances. With Jarren Duran expected to be recovered from toe surgery for the start of next season and slated to reclaim his center field job, Rafaela can return to the minors for more seasoning.
Rafaela played regularly down the stretch for the Red Sox and showed flashes but wound up finishing with a .666 OPS and 28:4 K:BB over 89 plate appearances. With Jarren Duran expected to be recovered from toe surgery for the start of next season and slated to reclaim his center field job, Rafaela can return to the minors for more seasoning.