Coby Mayo

Coby Mayo

22-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Baltimore Orioles AAA
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Mayo has a near-flawless track record as a hitter. The corner infielder's age-21 season was a tour de force across Double-A and Triple-A, as he slashed .290/.410/.563 with 29 homers, a 24.1 K%, 15.1 BB%, 35.1 Hard% and 15.7 Soft% in 140 games. His groundball rate was below 36% at both stops, and Mayo had an elite 106.6-mph 90th percentile exit velocity at Triple-A. He doesn't have the most aesthetically pleasing swing, but from an impact and swing-decision standpoint, Mayo passes any evaluation with high marks. The two biggest knocks on him for fantasy are things that are outside his control. He hits right handed and Oriole Park at Camden Yards was 34% worse than league average for righty homers in 2023 and 19% worse than league average in 2022, per Baseball Savant. Last year, it was the third-worst park for righty power. Additionally, Baltimore will likely need to clear room ahead of him on the organizational depth chart via a trade in order for Mayo to see MLB time early in 2024. He appears to be big-league ready but with nowhere to play, making him a high-variance option in draft-and-hold formats. For instance, a Ryan Mountcastle trade would significantly increase Mayo's short-term appeal, but no such move is guaranteed. He saw more time at third base than first base in 2023, but he profiles best with this team at first base and designated hitter long term. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#353
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in August of 2024.
Returns to Triple-A
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 21, 2024
The Orioles optioned Mayo to Triple-A Norfolk on Saturday, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
Mayo appeared in 10 games after coming up from the minors at the beginning of the month, going 3-for-24 with 12 strikeouts. He'll now be sent back to Triple-A, with Daniel Johnson coming up to fill the roster spot.
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Batting Stats
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2024
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+106%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+106%
OPS vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .437 17 1 0 0 0 .143 .294 .143
Since 2022vs Right .212 29 3 0 0 0 .074 .138 .074
2024vs Left .437 17 1 0 0 0 .143 .294 .143
2024vs Right .212 29 3 0 0 0 .074 .138 .074
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+63%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+63%
OPS at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .393 16 2 0 0 0 .143 .250 .143
Since 2022Away .241 30 2 0 0 0 .074 .167 .074
2024Home .393 16 2 0 0 0 .143 .250 .143
2024Away .241 30 2 0 0 0 .074 .167 .074
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Coby Mayo compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.18
 
BB Rate
8.7%
 
K Rate
47.8%
 
BABIP
.211
 
ISO
.000
 
AVG
.098
 
OBP
.196
 
SLG
.098
 
OPS
.293
 
wOBA
.153
 
Exit Velocity
84.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.6%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Expected BA
.170
 
Expected SLG
.204
 
Sprint Speed
25.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
47.4%
 
Line Drive %
26.3%
 
Fly Ball %
26.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
Mayo is a decent buy-low target in dynasty leagues this offseason, as his most recent stat line (.250/.331/.398, 34.5 K%, .148 ISO in 34 games at Double-A) undersells his realistic potential. The Orioles have flipped the switch to contention, so the days of them slow-cooking their best prospects in the minors are over. Mayo getting pushed from High-A, where he slashed .251/.326/.494 with a 21.5 K% and .243 ISO while getting a little unlucky (.275 BABIP) as a 20-year-old, to Double-A was an aggressive promotion from Baltimore. The player type matters here too, as the typical big (6-foot-5, 215 pounds) power-hitting corner infielders can be slower to develop than contact-oriented middle infielders. Strikeouts will be part of the package with Mayo over the next couple years against upper-level and big-league pitching, but he could eventually develop an above-average hit tool to go with his plus power. Additionally, Mayo could develop even more power as he continues to fill out his frame. The Orioles will have a stacked depth chart by the time Mayo is ready for the majors, so he may have to move to first base, right field or designated hitter.
Mayo, who received $1.75 million (over triple slot value) after the Orioles selected him in the fourth round in 2020, had essentially a perfect pro debut. He hit .319/.426/.555 with nine home runs, a 13.4 BB% and an 18.5 K% in 53 games split evenly between the Florida Complex League and Low-A. The 6-foot-5 third baseman has kept his body in great shape, maintaining strength without adding bad weight, and he was playing at appropriate levels for a 19-year-old slugger. Players who are as big, young and powerful as Mayo typically come with hit tool concerns, but so far that's looking like a major strength of his. While he is a good athlete for his size and position, Mayo's 11 steals on 11 attempts aren't very relevant, as he figures to slow down and lower-level stolen-base totals don't tell us much with any player. He seems to have an excellent eye at the plate, and when he chooses to swing, he typically hits it hard and in the air. Mayo is still at least a couple years away from the majors, but he is looking like a potential Austin Riley-esque middle-of-the-order staple.
More Fantasy News
Sitting again
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 14, 2024
Mayo is not in Saturday's lineup against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Riding pine Friday
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 13, 2024
Mayo is not in Friday's lineup against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Back on bench Wednesday
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 11, 2024
Mayo is absent from the lineup for Wednesday's game in Boston.
ANALYSIS
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Rare start Monday
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 9, 2024
Mayo will start at third base and bat eighth in Monday's game versus the Red Sox, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out opener
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 6, 2024
Mayo is not in Friday's lineup against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likelier to play infield
3BBaltimore Orioles  AAA
October 4, 2024
Orioles GM Mike Elias said Thursday that Mayo is less likely to play right field in 2025 than first or third base, reports Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com.
ANALYSIS
First base is the best defensive fit for the 22-year-old, but he's blocked at that position since Ryan Mountcastle and Ryan O'Hearn are under team control through at least 2025. Even the hot corner is blocked by Ramon Urias and potentially Jordan Westburg, which leaves Mayo, who is Baltimore's top prospect, with a difficult path to immediate playing time. Whether it's him or one of the Orioles' other position players, Mayo may not have a significant role in the majors next season without a trade.
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