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The sharpest MMA bets, top DFS picks across multiple sites, and predictions for this weekend's UFC 309 card are live on RotoWire before Saturday's pay-per-view event.
The top MMA betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC 309 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.
UFC 309 takes place Saturday, so it's time to break down the top fights, plus make DFS picks and predictions for the key matchups on the card.
The sharpest MMA bets, top DFS picks across multiple sites, and predictions for this weekend's UFC Edmonton card are live on RotoWire before Saturday's pay-per-view event.
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Lewis fight scrapped
Diniz will no longer fight Derrick Lewis (undisclosed) at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, Nolan King of USA Today reports.
ANALYSIS
Lewis was forced to drop out of the bout due to a medical issue, so the UFC canceled the fight, and Diniz will now need to wait a bit longer for his chance to improve to 3-0 within the promotion.
Lewis was forced to drop out of the bout due to a medical issue, so the UFC canceled the fight, and Diniz will now need to wait a bit longer for his chance to improve to 3-0 within the promotion.
Showdown with Lewis scheduled
Diniz will take on Derrick Lewis in a heavyweight bout at UFC Edmonton on Nov. 2, Nolan King of USA Today reports.
ANALYSIS
Diniz is 2-0-0 in the UFC and has yet to lose professionally, but he's about to walk into the biggest fight of his career against Lewis. This should be a fascinating co-main event for the difference in experience alone. Lewis is of course an elite heavyweight, but he has yet to string together back-to-back victories since 2020. Diniz will hope he can continue that streak.
Diniz is 2-0-0 in the UFC and has yet to lose professionally, but he's about to walk into the biggest fight of his career against Lewis. This should be a fascinating co-main event for the difference in experience alone. Lewis is of course an elite heavyweight, but he has yet to string together back-to-back victories since 2020. Diniz will hope he can continue that streak.
Remains undefeated as pro
Diniz defeated Karl Williams via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
Aided by the suspicious inactivity of his opponent, Diniz picked up the biggest victory of his brief MMA career. The Brazilian, as expected, had a massive edge on the feet. He landed plenty of effective low kicks and continued to push forward throughout the course of the bout. That pressure resulted in Williams all but abandoning his grappling game until Round 3, at which point Diniz had already piled up an insurmountable lead on the scorecards. Diniz's grappling is a major, long-term concern, even if Williams wasn't able to take advantage of it here. That said, he's a perfect 2-0 in the UFC, in addition to picking up a win on Dana White's Contender Series.
Aided by the suspicious inactivity of his opponent, Diniz picked up the biggest victory of his brief MMA career. The Brazilian, as expected, had a massive edge on the feet. He landed plenty of effective low kicks and continued to push forward throughout the course of the bout. That pressure resulted in Williams all but abandoning his grappling game until Round 3, at which point Diniz had already piled up an insurmountable lead on the scorecards. Diniz's grappling is a major, long-term concern, even if Williams wasn't able to take advantage of it here. That said, he's a perfect 2-0 in the UFC, in addition to picking up a win on Dana White's Contender Series.
Next fight scheduled
Diniz is scheduled to compete against Karl Williams in a heavyweight fight at UFC Vegas 95 on Aug. 10, per Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl.
ANALYSIS
Only a month after landing a knockout win for his UFC debut, Diniz will look to go 2-0 across 2024 by defeating Williams. Unlike Diniz, Williams has multiple wins across his undefeated streak in the UFC.
Only a month after landing a knockout win for his UFC debut, Diniz will look to go 2-0 across 2024 by defeating Williams. Unlike Diniz, Williams has multiple wins across his undefeated streak in the UFC.
Knockout win in UFC debut
Diniz defeated Austen Lane via KO (punches) at 2:12 of Round 2 at UFC on ESPN 55 on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
It goes in the record books as a knockout win for Diniz in his UFC debut, but the truth of the matter is that Lane gassed out badly and handed him the win. Either way, the result is the same, and Diniz will walk away with a $50,000 Performance of the Night bonus. A pure striker with zero grappling game to speak of, Diniz gave up an early takedown and was floored almost all of Round 1. He managed to stay upright in Round 2, which was all it took to defeat Lane. Diniz is 7-0 as a professional with seven knockout wins. The power is clearly legitimate, but the secondary skills are concerning, as is his lack of pro experience at age 32.
It goes in the record books as a knockout win for Diniz in his UFC debut, but the truth of the matter is that Lane gassed out badly and handed him the win. Either way, the result is the same, and Diniz will walk away with a $50,000 Performance of the Night bonus. A pure striker with zero grappling game to speak of, Diniz gave up an early takedown and was floored almost all of Round 1. He managed to stay upright in Round 2, which was all it took to defeat Lane. Diniz is 7-0 as a professional with seven knockout wins. The power is clearly legitimate, but the secondary skills are concerning, as is his lack of pro experience at age 32.