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Early Shortstop ADP

Thin. Meager. Emaciated.Slight. However you want to word it, the meaning is all the same and it is what best describes the shortstop position for fantasy baseball purposes. If you don't land yourself a top five shortstop, then there's really no rush to make it happen. The talent level just isn't there. Sure, there are a small handful of guys who can contribute well in a category or two, but because of their shortcomings in the other areas, the demand for them isn't great enough where you need to bump anyone up on your draft board.

One caveat though – if you are playing in a deep league, say a mixed league of 20 teams or an AL or NL-only league of 15 or more and your roster requires a middle infielder as well as a shortstop (and second baseman), then you need to pay attention as the player pool continues to thin out. Even though the contribution from some of the weaker starting shortstops may be minimal, you still want to make sure you have as close to an everyday player as you can find. Or, at least a part-timer who has a specialty, whether it's power or speed. Getting stuck with a guy who maybe sees action once or twice a week with a small handful of pinch-hitting appearances is about as close to worthless as you can get and you basically have a hole in your lineup.

So with that, let's take a look at some of the early shortstop ADP numbers and let's see exactly where and when your best course of action needs to take place.

Shortstop ADP – Top 50

RankPlayerTeamAvg PickMin PickMax Pick
1Hanley RamirezLAD10.57526
2Troy TulowitzkiCol14.49468
3Jean SeguraMil28.911645
4Ian DesmondWas37.032557
5Jose ReyesTor37.092184
6Elvis AndrusTex51.633574
7Everth CabreraSD85.6950109
8Starlin CastroChC122.8366194
9J.J. HardyBal141.74110183
10Jed LowrieOak142.6698192
11Andrelton SimmonsAtl143.0659194
12Alexei RamirezCWS153.8358223
13Xander BogaertsBos161.06109216
14Asdrubal CabreraCle173.46118277
15Brad MillerSea190.40119247
16Jimmy RollinsPhi193.03164283
17Jhonny PeraltaStL204.23149384
18Jonathan VillarHou215.46148281
19Erick AybarLAA219.37188334
20Alcides EscobarKC241.69178292
21Zack CozartCin284.77221358
22Derek JeterNYY300.23128417
23Stephen DrewBos311.74206366
24Jose IglesiasDet341.29218434
25Chris OwingsAri354.26227506
26Javier BaezChC358.51264425
27Yunel EscobarTB358.88209444
28Jordy MercerPit371.60310461
29Pedro FlorimonMin423.31315501
30Marcus SemienCWS430.14332543
31Brandon CrawfordSF430.24315511
32Mike AvilesCle434.09271507
33Dee GordonLAD436.94342532
34Eduardo NunezNYY449.74339611
35Didi GregoriusAri452.06354534
36Adeiny HechavarriaMia481.59365550
37Francisco LindorCle562.79399703
38Addison RussellOak595.00420707
39Ruben TejadaNYM596.23333733
40Nick PuntoOak603.71514746
41Ryan GoinsTor617.17515750
42Hak-Ju LeeTB621.18457744
43Jonathan HerreraBos652.75502738
44Zach WaltersWas654.50464729
45Jayson NixTB655.83488749
46Alen HansonPit659.04524736
47Willie BloomquistSea676.50545739
48Eduardo EscobarMin677.73608739
49Pete KozmaStL679.24478749
50Brendan RyanNYY684.37599743

Just to touch back on the "thin" aspect of the position for a second, it's even more evident when you're looking at the top five or six guys. Their ADP suggests that you need to act immediately to grab one, and while position scarcity is a notion that tends to be exaggerated, you have to account for those panicky owners who feel they must have one of these guys immediately. But as you do, look at some of the risks you are taking. Hanley Ramirez had a bounce-back season last year, but is he a lock to continue that trend? Both Troy Tulowitzki and Jose Reyes are huge injury risks and those who have drafted them in the past can attest to how tough it is to recover from when one of your top three picks is lost for half of the season. Jean Segura was an awesome find for many last year, but one season does not a track record make.

You see where I'm going with this. Crazy thin and it simply might not be in your best interest to rush out and grab one of these guys. Yes, if they have a huge season, there's a distinct advantage. But if they don't, then really, where does that leave you? You might just be better off waiting on J.J. Hardy rather than running out to grabIan Desmond.

Now here are a few names whose ADP you might want to keep tabs on for the next several weeks…

Andrelton Simmons, ATL – So far off people's fantasy radar last season that I remember grabbing Simmons somewhere around the 20th round in many drafts. Now look at him. Seventeen home runs and all sorts of accolades later and suddenly he's almost a top 10 shortstop. Last season's .248 average was a stinker, but we can blame a ton of that on his horrifying .247 BABIP. But the power is for real. There's been a little talk of him working on his basestealing during the offseason, so if we start to see that this spring, you can bet that his ADP is going to start to climb.

Xander Bogaerts, BOS – Here's one of the trendiest of the trendy these days. The questions regarding drafting Bogaerts are abundant already here in the offseason and the more people talk about this guy, the higher his ADP will climb. The increase may not even be based on talent as much as it will be based on name recognition and lofty expectations. His minor league numbers dictate a high average and decent 15-20 home run power, but that's not always the case when you step into the batter's box in the big leagues. Strikeouts have been an issue for him throughout his time as a pro, so if he starts buying into his own hype, then he could start pressing at the plate early on.

Jonathan Villar, HOU – If speed is your desire, then look no further than Villar who should be walking into the season with the starting job in-hand, right? Last year he swiped 18 bases over just 241 plate appearances and if you look at his minor league totals each year we see multiple seasons of 20 or more steals at a variety of stops along the way. But be careful as he is still an inexperienced player and if that success rate (just 69.2-percent in 2013) doesn't head north in a hurry, his green light may just get a bit dimmer. Fantasy owners who may panic during a draft for fear of not landing a shortstop or that they need a stolen base guy may take him a bit sooner than they should, but for now, his ADP seems about right.

Zack Cozart, CIN – He's like the Rodney Dangerfield of the shortstop position as his ADP remains as low, if not lower than it's been over the last two seasons. He's got a low batting average, a weak OBP, and power in the 12-15 home run range, but that's actually middle of the road for the position, is it not? Yet no one wants to draft him. Remember, he's been in place for the Reds for two seasons and the team has traded away Didi Gregorius and movedBilly Hamilton to the outfield. If this guy is so bad, then why do the Reds keep sticking with him? Watch his ADP hover right around that 285 range and possibly even get lower. I'd be more than happy to have him in the later rounds if it means bulking up everywhere else without concern.

Chris Owings, ARI – The interesting thing here is that his ADP (354.26) is actually higher than Arizona incumbent shortstop, Didi Gregorius' (452.06), by a significant margin, and neither of them has been given the job. The two will compete this spring and there's a very strong chance that Owings ends up a utility guy rather than a starter. Both of their ADP's should be tracked this spring as you don't want to assume anything by these early returns.

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Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for nearly two decades on a variety of web sites. You can follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or email him directly at [email protected]