This article is part of our Soccer Picks series.
Happy Boxing Day.
Record: 33-38-1. Down $212 on $100 bets.
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EPL Best Bets for Nottingham Forest at Newcastle United
SGP: Newcastle to beat Nottingham Forest and Newcastle over 2.5 1H corners +130
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Are Nottingham Forest improved under Nuno Espirito Santo? That's yet to be determined, but his time as manager has been limited and his weird starting XI against Bournemouth almost worked despite being down a player. Still, playing at Newcastle is a little different than home against Bournemouth.
Newcastle are fresh off another away loss and will be primed to bounce back on Boxing Day. People doubted them against Fulham a week ago and I took them at -105 to win that game. Injuries and tired legs remain a concern, but the fans at St. James' Park continue to give them an extra boost and I think they come out strong yet again. The odds point to that and I was close to taking Newcastle over 2.5 goals, but I'll ride corners and ride a single-game parlay.
EPL Best Bets for Luton Town at Sheffield United
Sheffield United to beat Luton Town +145
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Luton Town are riding a high following Saturday's win against Newcastle. They battled through the Tom Lockyer situation all week and then came away with three points in a big spot at home.
I don't like Sheffield United, but this is a let-down spot for Luton Town. Under Chris Wilder, the Blades have been suffocating the midfield and limiting good opportunities, and I'm not sure Luton will find a way through. Of course, this bet means Sheffield United have to score, which is never guaranteed, but they're home and have some confidence from the Aston Villa result.
EPL Best Bets for Aston Villa at Manchester United
Under 2.5 goals between Man United and Aston Villa +130
Do Manchester United have anything left under Erik ten Hag? They've played better at home, but Aston Villa seemingly have a perfect set up to get past the United back line. United figure to have more possession at home and maybe more opportunities, but similar to teams like Bournemouth and West Ham in recent matchups, Villa could destroy the Red Devils off the counter with players like Leon Bailey and Ollie Watkins, among others.
I already took Sheffield United based on a let-down spot and this is a bounce-back spot. Ten Hag will want to play this one as safe as possible because he knows what Villa can do. Does he have the players to steal a 1-0 win on Boxing Day? Maybe not, but they'll definitely try.
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EPL Betting Picks for Boxing Day
- SGP: Newcastle to beat Nottingham Forest and Newcastle over 2.5 1H corners +130
- Sheffield United to beat Luton Town +145
- Under 2.5 goals between Man United and Aston Villa +130
Adam's Betting History (for this article)
2022: 79-58-2. Up $2,281 on $100 bets.
2021: 88-92-8. Up $222 on $100 bets.
2020: 78-91-1. Up $228 on $100 bets.
Visit RotoWire all season for exclusive sports betting picks and our weekly Kits & Wagers betting show. Remember that betting apps vary in terms of odds, so we have an easy-to-use odds page that allows you to shop for the best lines at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet. You can also use the WynnBET promo code for $100 in free bets.
