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The top MMA betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC 309 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.
UFC 309 takes place Saturday, so it's time to break down the top fights, plus make DFS picks and predictions for the key matchups on the card.
The sharpest MMA bets, top DFS picks across multiple sites, and predictions for this weekend's UFC 307 card are live on RotoWire before Saturday's pay-per-view event.
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Not competitive in Rio loss
Martinez lost to Jose Aldo via unanimous decision (27-30, 27-30, 27-30) at UFC 291 on Saturday in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
ANALYSIS
Entering on a six-fight winning streak and as a -140 favorite, Martinez was completely neutralized by a guy who was previously retired and inducted into the UFC Hall of Fame last summer. Of course, Aldo is one of the greatest fighters in the history of the sport. Martinez was out of sorts the entire bout. Perhaps worried by the speed of his veteran opponent, he seemed hesitant to let his hands go. He finally got Aldo backtracking in the latter half of Round 2 and early in Round 3 but was never able to land any notable offense of his own in the process. The obvious concern at this point is that Martinez never defeated any true top-flight guys during his winning streak, so perhaps we overrated him just a bit.
Entering on a six-fight winning streak and as a -140 favorite, Martinez was completely neutralized by a guy who was previously retired and inducted into the UFC Hall of Fame last summer. Of course, Aldo is one of the greatest fighters in the history of the sport. Martinez was out of sorts the entire bout. Perhaps worried by the speed of his veteran opponent, he seemed hesitant to let his hands go. He finally got Aldo backtracking in the latter half of Round 2 and early in Round 3 but was never able to land any notable offense of his own in the process. The obvious concern at this point is that Martinez never defeated any true top-flight guys during his winning streak, so perhaps we overrated him just a bit.
Will fight Jose Aldo
Martinez will fight Jose Aldo at UFC 301 on May 4, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Martinez will come into this fight with a ton of momentum, as he has six straight wins to his name to improve to an overall record of of 19-4-0. His opponent just came out of retirement and is a two-time UFC featherweight champion with an all-time record of 31-8.
Martinez will come into this fight with a ton of momentum, as he has six straight wins to his name to improve to an overall record of of 19-4-0. His opponent just came out of retirement and is a two-time UFC featherweight champion with an all-time record of 31-8.
Secures sixth straight win
Martinez defeated Adrian Yanez via TKO (leg kicks) at 2:26 of Round 2 at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
It's Martinez's sixth straight win and arguably his most impressive to date. Facing a tough opponent and entering as a very slight (-115) favorite, Martinez recognized a massive hole in Yanez's defense and exploited it. Simply put, Adrian couldn't defend a leg kick. Jonathan responded by firing off 41 of them in a fight that lasted seven-plus minutes. 29 of them landed, with the final one crumbling Yanez to the mat and forcing referee Kerry Hatley to step in. It would also earn Martinez a $50,000 Performance of the Night bonus. Set to turn 30 years of age next April, Martinez appears to be one of the rare fighters that has gotten legitimately better as he's aged. The Texan is quickly moving up the rankings at 135 pounds.
It's Martinez's sixth straight win and arguably his most impressive to date. Facing a tough opponent and entering as a very slight (-115) favorite, Martinez recognized a massive hole in Yanez's defense and exploited it. Simply put, Adrian couldn't defend a leg kick. Jonathan responded by firing off 41 of them in a fight that lasted seven-plus minutes. 29 of them landed, with the final one crumbling Yanez to the mat and forcing referee Kerry Hatley to step in. It would also earn Martinez a $50,000 Performance of the Night bonus. Set to turn 30 years of age next April, Martinez appears to be one of the rare fighters that has gotten legitimately better as he's aged. The Texan is quickly moving up the rankings at 135 pounds.
Scheduled against Yanez
Martinez will fight Adrian Yanez in a bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 81 on Oct. 14, according to Carlos Contreras Legaspi of ESPN Deportes.
ANALYSIS
Martinez-Yanez will be a fight between two bantamweights currently in the bottom third of the UFC division's top 15. Martinez has won each of his last five fights, while Yanez is fighting a lower-ranked opponent after suffering defeat from No. 7 Rob Font in April.
Martinez-Yanez will be a fight between two bantamweights currently in the bottom third of the UFC division's top 15. Martinez has won each of his last five fights, while Yanez is fighting a lower-ranked opponent after suffering defeat from No. 7 Rob Font in April.
Runs winning streak to five
Martinez defeated Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
Whether or not you feel Martinez deserved to win this fight is up for debate, but he most certainly performed well as a +180 underdog and responded in a major way following a poor opening round. Martinez was less active than Nurmagomedov in terms of total strikes landed (101-78), but he connected on a whopping 69 percent of his significant strikes (38-of-55). Said likes to fight with plenty of physicality, and for the most part, Martinez handled it well. Somehow still just 28 years young, Martinez has now won five in a row dating back to October 2021.
Whether or not you feel Martinez deserved to win this fight is up for debate, but he most certainly performed well as a +180 underdog and responded in a major way following a poor opening round. Martinez was less active than Nurmagomedov in terms of total strikes landed (101-78), but he connected on a whopping 69 percent of his significant strikes (38-of-55). Said likes to fight with plenty of physicality, and for the most part, Martinez handled it well. Somehow still just 28 years young, Martinez has now won five in a row dating back to October 2021.