Opening Thoughts
Stephen Strasburg owners shouldn't be too worried about his injury as far as panicking and selling low. Further, the oblique injury has nothing to do with him being shut down by the Nats last season.
Accounting for the likelihood of a couple missed starts, Strasburg now falls just behind Justin Verlander, Felix Hernandez and Adam Wainwright (sixth among starting pitchers) for the rest of the season.
Matt Harvey is definitely a top-10 pitcher now as well. His innings ceiling is still unknown, but he's worthy of being up there.
Behind the Dish
Evan Gattis is struggling against right-handed pitching, so he's not a top-10 catcher yet, especially with Brian McCann still in Atlanta. He still has value in his limited role since the Braves will likely use him against lefties when possible and as a regular pinch hitter.
Jesus Montero is out four-to-six weeks after surgery for a torn meniscus, and the Mariners aren't sure when the injury occurred. Could this, at least partially, explain his disappointing season?
Guest Segment: Paul Sporer
Brandon McCarthy is out again with his annual shoulder problems, and Tyler Skaggs looks like the pickup as McCarthy's replacement. Paul mentioned that his podcast co-host Doug Thorburn has concerns about Skaggs' delivery being too complicated, which may lead to inconsistent command.
Ubaldo Jimenez had another good start Saturday, but Paul, Thorn and DVR are all very hesistant to buy in given the poor recent track record.
Patrick Corbin is on fire, but given the unsustainable 1.71 ERA and that he's pitched well for the first two months of the season, it may be a good idea (and actually possible) to sell him high.
Thinking about buying low on Kris Medlen? Paul said that he was overrated coming into this season (check out his ADP) and is a middle of the rotation starter at best. Look elsewhere for pitchers that are candidates to rebound.
Given the choice between Jose Fernandez and Michael Wacha for the rest of the season, Paul would take Wacha given the significantly better team context despite how impressive Fernandez has been with the rapid ascent to the big leagues.
Guest Segment: Jason Collette
Yu Darvish would be the first pitcher off the board if the draft was today. Darvish leads all pitchers in strikeouts over the past calendar year.
During that same span, Allen Craig has more RBI than Buster Posey, Robinson Cano, and Albert Pujols.
Hisashi Iwakuma is pitching great, but still flying under the radar in a lot of leagues. He's also been consistent with 10 quality starts in his last 12 outings.
Over last calendar year, Mike Minor has a top five ERA and leads all qualified starting pitchers in WHIP.
Marco Scutaro is hitting .330 over the past 365 days, which puts him fifth in the majors over that span.
The list of saves leaders serve as yet another reminder that the category has a lot more to do with opportunities than anything else. Collette still prefers passing on getting a big name closer. There are overqualified pitchers in deep bullpens around the league who just aren't getting shots.
Market Watch
Recalculating the value of Shelby Miller, he now slots in just behind Mat Latos and Cole Hamels the rest of the way.
Thorn prefers Yovani Gallardo as a buy-low option over R.A. Dickey.
Domonic Brown would be a good sell-high if the return is high enough, based on the fact that his plate discipline during his recent surge has remained poor. Most likely, dealing him away won't return enough value to completely a trade.
Cole Hamels has had some bad luck recently - see his third inning against the Brewers on Friday night, but his fastball velocity is in line with last season's norms, he's still missing bats, and there's little reason to panic (a caller asked if he should cut Hamels to make a speculative pickup on Brandon Beachy).
Tim Lincecum appears permanently broken, and Edwin Jackson, though he's struggling, looks like a better option at this point.
Wily Peralta is inconsistent, but will continue to get starts because the Brewers don't have anybody to replace him with. His struggles are often tied to poor command, which is the byproduct of his delivery. Peralta falls off the mound in a big way toward first base when finishing his pitches.
Guest Segment: Andrew Martinez
Gordon Beckham is a risky pickup in leagues where he's been cut loose given that many players lose their power after a wrist injury like his.
Chris Archer looks like he could take over the last spot in the Rays' rotation if he outperforms Roberto Hernandez until David Price returns from the disabled list.
Corey Kluber is pitching well, and should be owned in all AL-only leagues along with deeper mixed formats. Including his rain-shortened outing Friday, Kluber has a 26:2 K:BB over his last 21 innings.
Wil Myers will be called up soon by the Rays with the projected Super Two deadlines (between June 11-15) coming up in the near future.
On the Farm
Anthony Rendon is making the transition to second base following his promotion to Triple-A, and could be up with the Nationals soon as his bat already appears to be ready and Danny Espinosa continues to struggle while playing through a torn labrum in his shoulder and a fractured bone in his wrist.
Mike Olt is having vision problems in the Texas farm system, and the Rangers don't know why. He's back in action at Double-A, where he homered in his return to the lineup Friday.
Closing Thoughts
Carter Capps looks like Tom Wilhemsen's eventual successor in Seattle, though it will likely take a trade or an injury for the Mariners to make a change in the closer spot.
Although it was Dale Thayer who had the first opportunity last season, Luke Gregerson looks he'll close in the absence of Huston Street. Street missed six weeks with a similar calf injury in the second half last season.
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