DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown

DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

Wednesday's 10-game main slate is a bit top-heavy in the pitching department, but we can still find three quality arms to choose from, including a big-armed prospect priced under $7,000. The upshot of this is that we can find some nice bats to plug into our lineups, including two very attractive looking stacks.

Pitching

Walker Buehler, LAD vs. ARI ($10,200): Buehler is making his return from the injured list in his start against the D-Backs on Wednesday, but he was only dealing with a blister, which should allay fears that he will be affected by the short layoff. Buehler's 4.32 ERA this season is a bit high for someone in this price range, but I'm focused on his fastball (7.8 RAA) due to the fact that Arizona holds the second-lowest RAA against the pitch in the league this year.

Kyle Hendricks, CHC at PIT ($8,700) :The Pirates remain the worst team in the league against right-handers according to wOBA (.251) so we should feel fortunate whenever we can roster a quality pitcher against them at a reasonable price. Hendricks will have at least one other big advantage Wednesday, as he will take his 46 percent groundball rate into a matchup against a club that has hit grounders at the third-highest clip this year.

Triston McKenzie, CLE at KC ($6,700): McKenzie announced his presence with authority by notching 10 strikeouts in his major league debut against the Tigers last month, and while he struggled in his sophomore effort, the 23-year-old is still worth a strong look against the Royals at this price. McKenzie kept a strikeout rate just short of 30 percent in his minor league career and has backed that up with a 34 percent rate in his two starts at this level. The Royals, who hold the fourth-lowest wOBA against right-handed pitching, fall just outside the top-10 in strikeouts against righties (24 percent).

Top Hitters

Nelson Cruz, MIN vs. CWS ($6,100): We've often spoken of Cruz in terms of his numbers against left-handed pitching, but he has brought plenty of power against righties, as we can see from the .275 ISO he has logged in 91 at-bats. Meanwhile, Reynaldo Lopez has been hit hard by same-handed opposition in 2020, allowing a .625 slugging percentage in four innings (18 batters faced).

Fernando Tatis SD at LAA ($5,200): All things considered, this is actually a nice price for Tatis, who has logged a .368 ISO and .457 wOBA in 114 at-bats against right-handed pitching. It should be all aboard against Julio Teheran as he makes his return to the rotation after keeping a 9.17 ERA in his first five appearances (four starts) this year.

Yuli Gurriel, HOU vs. TEX ($5,000): Gurriel should be near the top of our player pools whenever a mediocre lefty takes the hill due to the .406 ISO and .517 wOBA he has logged against his opposite hand in 32 at-bats. Kolby Allard has done well to limit damage against right-handed hitters to this point, but the 6.47 xFIP he owns in 13.1 frames tells us that major regression is coming.

Best Values

Marcell Ozuna, ATL at BOS ($4,300): Ozuna has had a representative season against right-handers in 2020 but has really shined versus southpaws, against whom he has logged a .630(!) ISO in 27 at-bats. Meanwhile, Michael Kickham logged an ERA north of 4.00 in 835 minor league innings and hasn't thrown the ball at this level since 2014.

Willy Adames, TB at NYY ($3,900): Adames may not be the first name that comes to mind when foregrounding hitters, but DFS players owe it to themselves to give him serious consideration, as he has tallied a .433 wOBA against lefty pitchers in 31 at-bats. Jordan Montgomery has thrown the ball well overall this year but has still allowed a .471 slugging percentage against righty hitters in 17 innings.

Bobby Dalbec, BOS vs ATL ($2,500): We can go way down into the basement to roster the prospect, who finished his minor league career with a .362 wOBA and .505 slugging percentage. Robbie Erlin hasn't fared well against either side of the platoon, but we have a bit more of a sample size against righty bats, against whom he has allowed a .529 slugging percentage in 13.1 frames.

Stacks to Consider

Padres against Julio Teheran: Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5,200) Eric Hosmer ($4,200) Jake Cronenworth ($3,800)

This eminently affordable stack should be considered a gift from the DFS gods against Teheran, who has allowed a stunning .839 slugging percentage against lefty bats in 8.1 frames. This opens the door for basically any left-handed hitter, but Cronenworth is the real prize at his price due to the .342 ISO and .454 wOBA he has logged in 76 at-bats against right-handers.

Twins against Reynaldo Lopez: Nelson Cruz ($6,100) Max Kepler ($4,200) Eddie Rosario ($4,000)

Cruz's price is a bit of an eyesore in this stack, but all three players have an opportunity to put up big points against Lopez, who has kept a 9.00 ERA in his three starts. Both Kepler and Rosario bring good power at their respective prices, as they have logged ISOs over .250 against righty pitching.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Christopher Olson plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: Sommerset, FanDuel: Christop, Yahoo: Martins.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Christopher Olson
Christopher Olson writes DFS articles and blogs for a variety of sports including MLB, NFL and MMA. Follow him on Twitter @RealChrisOlson
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