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The top MMA betting and DFS plays for this weekend's UFC 309 card are up, as well as breakdowns of betting and lineup strategy, plus predictions for the entire event.
UFC 309 takes place Saturday, so it's time to break down the top fights, plus make DFS picks and predictions for the key matchups on the card.
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Takes decision in St. Louis opener
Hardy defeated JJ Aldrich via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in St. Louis.
ANALYSIS
This was a classic example of work rate helping earn a fighter a victory. Hardy wasn't particularly effective over the course of the bout and spent north of a full round (5:09) being controlled by Aldrich, but she was the far more active woman on the feet, attempting 113 total strikes compared to just 76 from her opponent. That ended up being the difference in what were three tight rounds. Hardy has fought three times in the past 14 months, winning each of those bouts via decision.
This was a classic example of work rate helping earn a fighter a victory. Hardy wasn't particularly effective over the course of the bout and spent north of a full round (5:09) being controlled by Aldrich, but she was the far more active woman on the feet, attempting 113 total strikes compared to just 76 from her opponent. That ended up being the difference in what were three tight rounds. Hardy has fought three times in the past 14 months, winning each of those bouts via decision.
Added to St. Louis card
Hardy will take on JJ Aldrich in a flyweight matchup at UFC St. Louis on May 11th, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Hardy last competed in December when she picked up a split-decision victory over Jamey-Lyn North -- her third win in her last four trips to the Octagon. Hardy has quietly bounced back from her three consecutive defeats to start her time with the company, and Aldrich -- who has won back-to-back fights as well -- represents a slight step up in competition. Hardy will be giving up height and reach advantages when the cage doors close. Aldrich has a slight edge in volume striking, while Hardy gets the nod in terms of offensive wrestling volume.
Hardy last competed in December when she picked up a split-decision victory over Jamey-Lyn North -- her third win in her last four trips to the Octagon. Hardy has quietly bounced back from her three consecutive defeats to start her time with the company, and Aldrich -- who has won back-to-back fights as well -- represents a slight step up in competition. Hardy will be giving up height and reach advantages when the cage doors close. Aldrich has a slight edge in volume striking, while Hardy gets the nod in terms of offensive wrestling volume.
Takes decision in Austin opener
Hardy defeated Jamey-Lyn Horth via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Austin, Texas.
ANALYSIS
Entering as a +165 underdog, Hardy dominated for ten minutes using her speed and quickness before Horth was able to slow the pace and generate some offense in the final frame. All told, both women landed exactly 43 significant strikes and one successful takedown. It's hard to believe one of the judges scored the fight for Horth given how effective Hardy was early on, but we've seen some weird decisions in Texas over the years. Hardy returned from a three-year layoff to take a unanimous decision from Juliana Miller last March, and now she has another victory here over Horth. It will be interesting to see how the 28-year-old fares when the competition level improves a bit.
Entering as a +165 underdog, Hardy dominated for ten minutes using her speed and quickness before Horth was able to slow the pace and generate some offense in the final frame. All told, both women landed exactly 43 significant strikes and one successful takedown. It's hard to believe one of the judges scored the fight for Horth given how effective Hardy was early on, but we've seen some weird decisions in Texas over the years. Hardy returned from a three-year layoff to take a unanimous decision from Juliana Miller last March, and now she has another victory here over Horth. It will be interesting to see how the 28-year-old fares when the competition level improves a bit.
Returning in December
Hardy will take on Jamey-Lyn Horth at the UFC event scheduled for December 2, Marcel Dorff of Eurosport.nl reports.
ANALYSIS
Hardy has bounced back well from losing her first three fights in the UFC, having now picked up a victory in two of her last three trips to the cage. She now draws Horth, who has relatively little MMA experience for a 33-year-old, although her endeavors have been successful. Horth improved to 6-0 as a pro following a unanimous decision victory over Haily Cowan in April. She landed 76 significant strikes over those 15 minutes, but was also taken down twice. Hardy, meanwhile, averages 3.35 significant strikes per minute, though she does absorb significantly more than that (4.38). She also averages 1.34 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time, bolstered by her four-takedown effort in her victory over Juliana Miller in March.
Hardy has bounced back well from losing her first three fights in the UFC, having now picked up a victory in two of her last three trips to the cage. She now draws Horth, who has relatively little MMA experience for a 33-year-old, although her endeavors have been successful. Horth improved to 6-0 as a pro following a unanimous decision victory over Haily Cowan in April. She landed 76 significant strikes over those 15 minutes, but was also taken down twice. Hardy, meanwhile, averages 3.35 significant strikes per minute, though she does absorb significantly more than that (4.38). She also averages 1.34 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time, bolstered by her four-takedown effort in her victory over Juliana Miller in March.
Easy win in return from layoff
Hardy defeated Juliana Miller via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) at UFC 286 on Saturday in London.
ANALYSIS
Returning from a layoff of more than three years, Hardy couldn't have looked any better. She consistently landed significant strikes on the feet, while racking up plenty of control time on the mat as well. Hardy made some technical mistakes in terms of defending on the ground, but Miller -- who looked positively dreadful -- couldn't take advantage. Hardy is still just 27 years of age despite all the time away, so there's plenty of time for her to get her career back on track.
Returning from a layoff of more than three years, Hardy couldn't have looked any better. She consistently landed significant strikes on the feet, while racking up plenty of control time on the mat as well. Hardy made some technical mistakes in terms of defending on the ground, but Miller -- who looked positively dreadful -- couldn't take advantage. Hardy is still just 27 years of age despite all the time away, so there's plenty of time for her to get her career back on track.