This article is part of our DraftKings College Football series.
Welcome into our final regular-season main slate article. I'd like to start by saying I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving and I'd like to thank you all for following along this season. We'll keep this series rolling through bowl season, so be on the lookout for that.
Regarding this slate, it's a fascinating one thanks to the rivalry wrinkle baked into each contest. And, interestingly enough, the Purdue-Indiana tilt has the highest implied total and has several options to consider. Who would have thunk that back in August? Looking elsewhere, the Baylor-Texas Tech and Arizona-Arizona State matchups profile as high-scoring affairs while the Miami-Pittsburgh and Florida-Florida State games may set offensive football back a decade. Listed below are our tools to help you build your lineups, along with my cheat sheet and write-ups for each position.
Lineup Optimizer
Weekly Rankings by Position
Target Share
Team Trends
Odds
Defense vs. Position
Quarterback
Peyton Ramsey, Indiana ($6,900) vs. Purdue
Several of the elite quarterbacks on this slate have tougher matchups than you'd like, so I'm dropping down and going cheaper at quarterback this week. Ramsey is a dicey play at times, but this sets up as a favorable situation for him. He's facing the worst pass defense of any team on this slate and he's at home, where he completes 70.1 percent of his passes (60.5 on the road). Ramsey is also athletic enough to make plays with his legs, so there is some rushing upside baked in as well.
Welcome into our final regular-season main slate article. I'd like to start by saying I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving and I'd like to thank you all for following along this season. We'll keep this series rolling through bowl season, so be on the lookout for that.
Regarding this slate, it's a fascinating one thanks to the rivalry wrinkle baked into each contest. And, interestingly enough, the Purdue-Indiana tilt has the highest implied total and has several options to consider. Who would have thunk that back in August? Looking elsewhere, the Baylor-Texas Tech and Arizona-Arizona State matchups profile as high-scoring affairs while the Miami-Pittsburgh and Florida-Florida State games may set offensive football back a decade. Listed below are our tools to help you build your lineups, along with my cheat sheet and write-ups for each position.
Lineup Optimizer
Weekly Rankings by Position
Target Share
Team Trends
Odds
Defense vs. Position
Quarterback
Peyton Ramsey, Indiana ($6,900) vs. Purdue
Several of the elite quarterbacks on this slate have tougher matchups than you'd like, so I'm dropping down and going cheaper at quarterback this week. Ramsey is a dicey play at times, but this sets up as a favorable situation for him. He's facing the worst pass defense of any team on this slate and he's at home, where he completes 70.1 percent of his passes (60.5 on the road). Ramsey is also athletic enough to make plays with his legs, so there is some rushing upside baked in as well. In a game with the highest implied total on the slate, going after at least one of the quarterbacks is a worthy strategy.
Khalil Tate, Arizona ($8,500) vs. Arizona State
The spread in this game is suspiciously small, sitting at just 1.5 points in favor of the Sun Devils. For as bad as Arizona has been this season, it says a lot that the Cats are getting this level of respect. Tate, as much as his season-long owners don't want to admit it, is a huge reason why Arizona isn't a major dog here. Over his last three games, Tate is completing 63 percent of his passes with a 9.8 YPA to go with a 12:3 TD:INT. Let bygones be bygones and embrace this version of Tate, because he has been electric of a passer of late and is facing a Sun Devil defense that's 95th against the pass.
Running Back
Jonathan Taylor, Wisconsin ($10,600) vs. Minnesota
The $10,600 price tag will scare people off of Taylor, which is fine by me as the Badger running back brings his 1,869 yards and 15 touchdowns into Saturday's finale. I don't need to sell you on Taylor's talent or role in the offense, nor should I need to pitch you on the shakiness of Minnesota's run defense. Many will see the $1,600 in savings they can get by rostering AJ Dillon, and that's fine, but if that keeps Taylor's ownership down below 30 percent, it'll be a boon for those who take the $10,600 plunge.
D.J. Knox, Purdue ($5,600) at Indiana
Knox's productivity has admittedly fallen off a cliff of late with 37 carries for 158 yards (4.3 YPC) and zero scores over this last four games. We know what Knox can do when he gets into a rhythm (see: the Ohio State game) and Indiana has -- by yardage -- the worst run defense of any team on the slate. Look for Purdue to attack Indiana via the ground game (the Boilermakers will still air it out) by using Knox. At $5,600, Knox represents an upside play that might be flying under the radar.
Others to consider: Cam Akers, Florida State ($5,800) vs. Florida
Wide Receiver
Jalen Hurd, Baylor ($7,100) vs. Texas Tech
Hurd leads the Bears in targets with 104 through 11 games and averages a rock-solid 8.7 YPT. He's a chain-mover in the Baylor offense and is a physical mismatch against a shaky Texas Tech secondary that gives up 286.5 passing yards per game -- the highest mark of any team on the slate. Hurd also gets the occasional goal line carry, and, like I mentioned, Texas Tech would have a hard time stopping him in a short-yardage situation.
Terry Godwin, Georgia ($4,200) vs. Georgia Tech
Georgia doesn't have a pass-happy offense, and Georgia Tech's option offense could limit the Bulldogs' time of possession. With that, Godwin is mostly a tournament-only consideration. What can be said for Godwin is that he's making the most of his opportunities of late, averaging 15 YPT over his last four games. In his final game between the Hedges, Godwin will be a featured part of the Georgia passing attack and brings explosive upside.
Josh Hammond, Florida ($4,100) at Florida State
The 'Noles seemingly have a pulse, but they're still shaky on the back end, allowing 270 passing yards and 2.45 passing touchdowns per game. Now, is Florida competent enough at quarterback to take advantage of that? That's one of life's great mysteries. If you're on the 'yes' side of that question, Hammond should be your guy. Yes, Van Jefferson has a team-high in targets, but he's been woefully inefficient at 6.1 YPT while Hammond checks in at 9.55 YPT with three touchdowns. Hammond also led the team in targets in their most recent FBS matchup, so he's trending in the right direction in terms of his rapport with quarterback Feleipe Franks.
Others to consider: Rondale Moore, Purdue ($8,700) at Indiana