Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

25-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#59.39
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Three catches in wild-card win
TEBuffalo Bills
January 13, 2025
Kincaid played 29 of the Bills' 76 offensive snaps and finished with three catches for 47 yards on three targets in Sunday's 31-7 wild-card win over the Broncos.
ANALYSIS
After being active but not playing in the Bills' Week 18 loss to the Patriots while Buffalo was locked into the AFC's No. 2 seed, Kincaid was back in action for the playoff opener, but he once again played second fiddle at tight end to Dawson Knox. For the fourth consecutive game in which both tight ends saw action, Knox outpaced Kincaid in playing time, taking the field for 46 snaps. While Kincaid brings more speed at the position and offers a more diverse route tree, Knox is the more trusted blocker and isn't a total zero as a receiver, as he caught two passes for 38 yards against Denver and finished the regular season with a 22-311-1 line on 33 targets over 16 games. As such, the more experienced Knox looks as though he could continue to play ahead of Kincaid when the Bills host the Ravens in the divisional round next Sunday.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
44.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.31
 
% Team Air Yards
14.3%
 
% Team Targets
15.2%
 
Avg Depth of Target
7.7 Yds
 
Catch Rate
58.7%
 
Drop Rate
5.3%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.4
 
% Targeted On Route
27.4%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
1.64
 
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2024
2023
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

62557%
6234%
47043%
4625%
21219%
7440%
404%
00%
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
274 routes   75 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
62%
274 routes   33 targets
47%
66 routes   8 targets
32%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Ravens pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
BAL
vs Ravens
Sunday, Jan 19th at 6:30PM
Overall QB Rating Against
75.6
 
Cornerbacks
66.9
 
Safeties
88.5
 
Linebackers
88.8
 
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
Sits out Week 18
TEBuffalo Bills
January 8, 2025
Kincaid didn't play any snaps during Sunday's 23-16 loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Just two catches in Week 17
TEBuffalo Bills
December 29, 2024
Kincaid caught both of his targets for 24 yards in Sunday's 40-14 win over the Jets.
ANALYSIS
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Does little with seven targets
TEBuffalo Bills
December 22, 2024
Kincaid recorded four receptions on seven targets for 15 yards in Sunday's 24-21 win over the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Four catches in return
TEBuffalo Bills
December 15, 2024
Kincaid secured four of seven targets for 53 yards in the Bills' 48-42 win over the Lions on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Active versus Detroit
TEBuffalo Bills
December 15, 2024
Kincaid (knee) is listed as active for Sunday's game against the Lions.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not available for Chiefs showdown
TEBuffalo Bills
November 15, 2024
Kincaid will sit out Sunday's Week 11 matchup against the Chiefs due to the knee injury he suffered in Week 10, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid sustained the left knee injury during the Week 10 win over the Colts, at one point trying to unsuccessfully play through it early in the second half before leaving for good. The absence will be Kincaid's first of the season and second of his young career, and it should thrust backup Dawson Knox into a larger role in the pivotal conference showdown.
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