Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

24-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#59.58
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Strong PPR performance
TEBuffalo Bills
October 14, 2024
Kincaid corralled six of seven targets for 51 yards in Monday's 23-20 win over the Jets.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid set a new high-water mark in both receptions and single-game yardage this season in Monday's tight win. The sophomore tight end had a better fantasy performance when he caught his lone touchdown of the season Week 3 against the Jaguars. Kincaid hasn't broke out with a big performance quite yet, but the 2023 first-round pick deserves consideration ahead of a Week 7 contest against Tennessee.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
37.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.83
 
% Team Air Yards
17.0%
 
% Team Targets
18.9%
 
Avg Depth of Target
7.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
48.4%
 
Drop Rate
12.9%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
7.9
 
% Targeted On Route
28.7%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
2.01
 
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2024
2023
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
D.Dalton Kincaid
#% of Team Snaps

22466%
15465%
18454%
12754%
3510%
2310%
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
108 routes   31 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
62%
59 routes   6 targets
40%
2 routes   0 targets
6%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Titans pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
TEN
vs Titans
Sunday, Oct 20th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
66.1
 
Cornerbacks
77.3
 
Safeties
13.6
 
Linebackers
92.4
 
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dalton Kincaid See More
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
Two catches in Week 5 loss
TEBuffalo Bills
October 6, 2024
Kincaid caught two of six targets for 34 yards in Sunday's 23-20 loss to Houston.
ANALYSIS
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Seven targets in Week 4 loss
TEBuffalo Bills
September 29, 2024
Kincaid caught five of seven targets for 47 yards in Sunday's 35-10 loss to the Ravens.
ANALYSIS
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Scores TD as volume ticks up
TEBuffalo Bills
September 23, 2024
Kincaid caught three of five targets for 41 yards and a touchdown in Monday's 47-10 win over the Jaguars.
ANALYSIS
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Four grabs in Week 2 win
TEBuffalo Bills
September 12, 2024
Kincaid secured all four targets for 33 yards in the Bills' 31-10 win over the Dolphins on Thursday night.
ANALYSIS
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Just one catch Week 1
TEBuffalo Bills
September 8, 2024
Kincaid caught one of two targets for 11 yards in Sunday's 34-28 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Breakout candidate for 2024
TEBuffalo Bills
July 6, 2024
Gilberto Manzano of SI.com believes Kincaid is the most likely player on the Bills to have a breakout season in 2024.
ANALYSIS
With the Bills sending All-Pro pass catcher Stefon Diggs to the Texans in the offseason, Buffalo's wide receiver corps is headlined by Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir and 2024 second-round pick Keon Coleman. Kincaid began 2023 as the backup tight end to Dawson Knox, but the former blossomed in the second half of the season and became a go-to option for quarterback Josh Allen. Kincaid had 73 catches for 673 yards and two touchdowns in 2023 during the regular season, and the second-year tight end out of Utah should draw plenty of attention from opposing defenses, particularly in the red zone with his 6-foot-4, 240-pound frame.
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