Streaming Defenses: Week 5 Fantasy Options for Team Defenses

Streaming Defenses: Week 5 Fantasy Options for Team Defenses

This article is part of our Streaming Defenses series.

This is one of those weeks when it might make sense to use FAAB on a defense. The top two in my weekly rankings, Detroit and Washington, are unrostered in a comfortable majority of fantasy leagues ahead of matchups with the Panthers and Bears, respectively. And then we have Miami, fresh off a humiliating loss at Buffalo but nonetheless holding fantasy appeal thanks to upcoming home games against the Giants and Panthers. 

If you can't get your hands on those three, the backup plan involves two games with close spreads and low over-unders Jets-Broncos and Texans-Falcons

Note: These recommendations are limited to team defenses that are rostered on less than 60 percent of teams on Yahoo or 45 percent on ESPN. Any references to fantasy points are based on Yahoo standard scoring, which doesn't include yards allowed.

Top Streaming Options for Week 5

1. Detroit Lions (vs. CAR)

  • 12% Yahoo, 5% ESPN
  • Team implied total: 27.0     Opponent implied total: 18.0
  • Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 6: 15th (at TB),  Week 7: 18th (at BAL)

Giants-Dolphins and Panthers-Lions (#KittyBowl) were the only Week 5 games that opened with spreads of more than a touchdown. In the first case it's largely because Miami has a prolific offense and thus the largest implied total on the slate, though the Giants' struggles (especially on offense) are also a factor. In the second case it's mostly because Carolina looks completely hopeless on offense and thus has the smallest implied total.

Detroit's strong

This is one of those weeks when it might make sense to use FAAB on a defense. The top two in my weekly rankings, Detroit and Washington, are unrostered in a comfortable majority of fantasy leagues ahead of matchups with the Panthers and Bears, respectively. And then we have Miami, fresh off a humiliating loss at Buffalo but nonetheless holding fantasy appeal thanks to upcoming home games against the Giants and Panthers. 

If you can't get your hands on those three, the backup plan involves two games with close spreads and low over-unders Jets-Broncos and Texans-Falcons

Note: These recommendations are limited to team defenses that are rostered on less than 60 percent of teams on Yahoo or 45 percent on ESPN. Any references to fantasy points are based on Yahoo standard scoring, which doesn't include yards allowed.

Top Streaming Options for Week 5

1. Detroit Lions (vs. CAR)

  • 12% Yahoo, 5% ESPN
  • Team implied total: 27.0     Opponent implied total: 18.0
  • Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 6: 15th (at TB),  Week 7: 18th (at BAL)

Giants-Dolphins and Panthers-Lions (#KittyBowl) were the only Week 5 games that opened with spreads of more than a touchdown. In the first case it's largely because Miami has a prolific offense and thus the largest implied total on the slate, though the Giants' struggles (especially on offense) are also a factor. In the second case it's mostly because Carolina looks completely hopeless on offense and thus has the smallest implied total.

Detroit's strong showings on defense the past two weeks are also a factor — as is a three-day rest advantage though I'm not quite ready to buy in beyond this week given the lack of premium talent beyond DE Aidan Hutchinson and continued injury woes in the secondary. Road trips to Tampa and Baltimore will provide better tests Weeks 6-7 after the Lions feast on their feline cousins this weekend.

     

2. Washington Commanders (vs. CHI)

  • 26% Yahoo, 19% ESPN
  • Team implied total: 25.75     Opponent implied total: 18.75
  • Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 6: 14th (at ATL),  Week 7: 13th (at NYG)

Chicago's offense has already yielded 17 sacks, eight turnovers and three defensive touchdowns, with all four opponents to date (GB, TB, KC, DEN) scoring 11 or more fantasy points. As we saw this past Sunday, even the good version of Justin Fields makes big mistakes at an astronomical rate relative to other starting QBs. The Commanders figure to take advantage, just as they did Weeks 1 and 2 in favorable matchups against the Cardinals and Broncos. I wouldn't worry too much about Washington getting run over by the Bills and Eagles the past two weeks, considering Fields gives up sacks and turnovers at about twice the rate of those teams' QBs.

          

3. Miami Dolphins (vs. NYG)

  • 48% Yahoo, 61% ESPN
  • Team implied total: 29.75    Opponent implied total: 19.25
  • Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 6: 2nd (vs. CAR),  Week 7: 25th (at PHI)

As much as the offense has carried them this year, the Dolphins mostly played respectable defense prior to Sunday's full-on meltdown in Buffalo. It was one of those games that created questions for January, but in terms of the immediate future we should be able to get plenty of fantasy points from the Miami D/ST in upcoming home games against two teams (CAR, NYG) that are a combined 1-7 and both averaging less than 17 points.

The Dolphins still have a solid group of defensive starters on paper, especially if they get OLB Jaelan Phillips (ankle) and/or S DeShon Elliott (ankle) back in the lineup after Week 4 absences. Even without those two, Miami's defense might be healthier than a Giants offense that not only got embarrassed by the Seahawks on Monday but also lost starting center John Michael Schmitz (shoulder) and top interior OL backup Shane Lemieux (hip) to injuries and that's in addition to RB Saquon Barkley (ankle) and LT Andrew Thomas (hamstring) already being out.

        

4. Denver Broncos (vs. NYJ)

  • 40% Yahoo, 7% ESPN
  • Team implied total: 22.75     Opponent implied total: 20.75
  • Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 6: 30th (at KC),  Week 7: 16th (vs. GB)

Denver's defense came up big in the second half of Sunday's 31-28 win over Chicago, but only after a six-quarter stretch of play that was one of the worst by any unit (offense or defense) in NFL history. I don't really have any great analysis here, other than basically agreeing with the betting odds. Just hold your nose and hope Zach Wilson does what he does best. His career INT rate of 2.9 percent and sack rate of 9.3 percent are borderline Fieldsian, and Wilson doesn't rip off long runs to partially atone for his brutal mistakes.

          

5. Atlanta Falcons (vs. HOU)

  • 4% Yahoo, 3% ESPN
  • Team implied total: 21.25     Opponent implied total: 20.25
  • Upcoming Ranks (Projected) — Week 6: 9th (vs. WAS),  Week 7: 17th (at TB)

I debated listing the Texans rather than Falcons here, as C.J. Stroud is already far better than Desmond Ridder. On the other hand, Atlanta's defense and running game have been better than Houston's and we know the Falcons will hide Ridder unless they fall behind by multiple scores (and sometimes even then). It makes the Falcons a slightly better bet to come away with sacks and turnovers in the event of a close game, and they get a second tiebreaker going in their favor because I like Atlanta's Week 5 matchup (vs. WAS) a bit better than Houston's (vs. NO).

     

Week 5 Rankings

  1. Lions (vs. CAR)
  2. Commanders (vs. CHI)
  3. Ravens (at PIT)
  4. Patriots (vs. NO)
  5. Bills (vs. JAX)
  6. Dolphins (vs. NYG)
  7. 49ers (vs. DAL)
  8. Broncos (vs. NYJ)
  9. Falcons (vs. HOU) 
  10. Jets (at DEN)
  11. Texans (at ATL)
  12. Packers (at LV)
  13. Saints (at NE)
  14. Colts (vs. TEN) 
  15. Bengals (at ARZ)
  16. Titans (at IND)
  17. Eagles (at LAR)
  18. Chiefs (at MIN)
  19. Steelers (vs. BAL)
  20. Cowboys (at SF)

          

Looking Ahead to Week 6

  1. Eagles (at NYJ)
  2. Dolphins (vs. CAR)
  3. 49ers (at CLE)
  4. Vikings (at CHI)
  5. Bills (vs. NYG)
  6. Rams (vs. ARZ)
  7. Chiefs (vs. DEN)
  8. Ravens (at TEN)
  9. Falcons (vs. WAS)
  10. Patriots (at LV)
  11. Texans (vs. NO)
  12. Cowboys (at LAC)
  13. Saints (at HOU)
  14. Commanders (at ATL)
  15. Lions (at TB)
  16. Jaguars (vs. IND)
  17. Raiders (vs. NE)
  18. Bengals (vs. SEA)
  19. Colts (at JAX)
  20. Buccaneers (vs. DET)

    

Rest-of-Season Rankings

  1. San Francisco 49ers
  2. Dallas Cowboys
  3. Buffalo Bills
  4. Philadelphia Eagles 
  5. Baltimore Ravens  
  6. Cleveland Browns 
  7. Miami Dolphins
  8. New Orleans Saints 
  9. New England Patriots
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 
  11. Kansas City Chiefs  
  12. New York Jets  
  13. Detroit Lions  
  14. Tennessee Titans 
  15. Green Bay Packers 
  16. Pittsburgh Steelers  
  17. Cincinnati Bengals 
  18. Los Angeles Rams
  19. Houston Texans
  20. Atlanta Falcons 

           

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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