The spread in the Super Bowl started at 3.5 and got as high as 5.5 last week, but now is mostly at 5. Unless the sharps suddenly moved in on the Saints, I assume the half point drop is due to Freeney's uncertain status.
How many players on the Colts move the line? Obviously Peyton Manning being out would move it by about 13 points. But Joseph Addai wouldn't register, nor would anyone else on the defense. Maybe Jeff Saturday would move it half a point, but I'm not even sure about that. Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark? Maybe a half, too. But after Manning, Freeney might be the No. 2 guy on the team. (Saturday would be difficult in the near term, also).