Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso

29-Year-Old First Baseman1B
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Alonso is a well-established asset in real baseball and fantasy baseball at this point. Amidst trade rumors, Alonso hit 46 home runs in 2023, third in MLB behind only Matt Olson (54) and Kyle Schwarber (47), and drove in 118 (second behind Olson). His batting average plummeted to a career-low .217, but most of that was BABIP-driven (.205 BABIP, .244 xBA). Alonso hit the ball hard and cleared 150 games played for the fourth time in as many full seasons -- slugging carries his game, but Alonso deserves credit for that durability as well. He's been at least 20 percent better than league average by wRC+ in every season of his career. His defensive and baserunning limitations ding him in real life, but Alonso is a counting-stat machine and should enjoy some positive regression in the BA department. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#44
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $20.5 million contract with the Mets in January of 2024.
Rejects qualifying offer
1BFree Agent  
November 19, 2024
Alonso rejected the Mets' one-year, $21.05 million qualifying offer Tuesday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Alonso's rejection of the offer was a formality, as he is in line for a big payday this winter. The Mets are interested in retaining the first baseman, but should he sign elsewhere, the club will receive a draft pick as compensation.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
13
78
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
11
5
27
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .833 538 84 31 77 2 .236 .344 .489
Since 2022vs Right .824 1500 194 89 260 10 .246 .329 .494
2024vs Left .803 179 26 9 24 1 .237 .335 .468
2024vs Right .783 516 65 25 64 2 .241 .328 .456
2023vs Left .859 183 30 13 28 1 .224 .333 .526
2023vs Right .807 475 62 33 90 3 .214 .312 .495
2022vs Left .836 176 28 9 25 0 .247 .364 .473
2022vs Right .880 509 67 31 106 5 .279 .348 .532
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .833 997 138 57 173 7 .244 .345 .488
Since 2022Away .820 1041 140 63 164 5 .242 .322 .498
2024Home .846 339 48 18 50 2 .251 .351 .495
2024Away .735 356 43 16 38 1 .230 .309 .426
2023Home .772 324 47 22 64 3 .203 .302 .470
2023Away .869 334 45 24 54 1 .230 .332 .537
2022Home .878 334 43 17 59 2 .280 .380 .498
2022Away .859 351 52 23 72 3 .264 .325 .535
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Pete Alonso compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
10.1%
 
K Rate
24.7%
 
BABIP
.276
 
ISO
.219
 
AVG
.240
 
OBP
.329
 
SLG
.459
 
OPS
.788
 
wOBA
.344
 
Exit Velocity
89.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.8%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Expected BA
.242
 
Expected SLG
.461
 
Sprint Speed
21.5 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
42.1%
 
Line Drive %
15.7%
 
Fly Ball %
42.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Pete Alonso See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Since 2020, only Aaron Judge has more homers than Alonso. If you go back a year, Alonso heads the list. Last season, he posted his best season since 2019, fueled by a career high .271 batting average. Alonso's 18.8 percent strikeout rate dropped for the third straight season. His fly ball exit velocity dropped, but a tick more fly balls and him missing only two games allowed him to reach the 40-homer level for the second time in his career. Other than stolen bases, Alonso checks all boxes. Missing only 18 games in his four-year career shows durability while a wRC+ between 120 and 144 each season indicates reliability. A low strikeout rate offers a solid batting average floor for one of the top sluggers in the league. Alonso also hits in a prominent spot in a productive lineup. For pure power, it doesn't get any better.
While Alonso has improved parts of his game, he hasn't come close to repeating the 53 homers he hit in 2019. His strikeout rate has dropped to under 20%. Meanwhile, his maxEV has been steady at around 118 mph. He's still walking roughly 10 percent of the time. His launch angle hovers around 15 degrees. With all that constant, his HR/FB has dropped from 30.6% to 24.6% to just 19.7% last season. He's just not hitting any home runs to center or right field. In 2019, he hit 28 homers to center and right field (25 to left). While he hit 30 homers to left in 2021, only seven went over the center-field or right-field fence. If he's just going to have 30-40 homers, a .250 average and no stolen bases, it's nothing special. Several first baseman fit this profile (Joey Votto and Max Muncy for example). That power upside we've seen is tantalizing, but 2019 was a historic juiced ball year and it's unwise to project Alonso for a return to that level of power production in 2022.
Alonso had an amazing rookie season in Queens, which we knew was going to be exceedingly tough for him to repeat. It does not mean he did not try to repeat those lofty numbers, but the first baseman ultimately left managers wanting more. The thing with his metrics is most of them were right in line with his 2019 numbers, from his average exit velocity to his launch angle, but the little wiggle in his HR/FB - from 31% to 25% - cut into his homer ability. Perhaps the 2020 baseball was not as bouncy, though one thing that really stands out is his struggles against the fastball last season. Alonso had a .294 AVG and .669 SLG against the fastball as a rookie, but those numbers fell to .243 and .513 in his sophomore campaign. The power is still ridiculous, but 2020 was a humbling experience. Bank on a rebound toward his 2019 numbers in 2021, but expecting a repeat of those numbers is not the mindset to take here.
Alonso's 80-grade power plays in any environment, but the juiced ball made him especially lethal in his debut season. After breaking camp with the Mets, Alonso immediately justified his top-prospect billing early on, notching 12 extra-base hits and 17 RBI in his first 12 games. His power pace only slowed moderately from there, as the 25-year-old went on to lead MLB with 53 homers, breaking Aaron Judge's two-year-old rookie record. Almost just as encouragingly, Alonso kept his strikeout rate at an acceptable level (26.4%), something that had been a concern as he made the jump from Triple-A. Since he doesn't steal bases, Alonso would probably need to trade more pop flies for line drives to emerge as anything more than a neutral asset in batting average, but the high floor he offers in three categories makes him a comfortable early-round fantasy selection in 2020, and likely, many years to follow.
When factoring in his Arizona Fall League exploits, Alonso hit 42 home runs in 159 games last year, cementing himself as the top slugger in the minors. The 24-year-old first baseman has no problem squaring up elite velocity -- he took a 104-mph fastball out to center field in the Fall Stars game -- but can still be eaten up by good offspeed pitches. While the other top prospects expected to be called up in mid-to-late April, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Eloy Jimenez, project to be positive contributors in batting average and power right away, Alonso’s batting average will likely be closer to .230 than .270 in his first big-league season. That said, he has 80-grade power and should have no trouble posting big home run and RBI totals from day one. It is very rare that a R/R first base prospect emerges as a valuable dynasty-league asset, and the fact that Alonso has done so is a testament to his work ethic, which gets rave reviews.
A fairly easy player to evaluate, Alonso has a couple very clear strengths, and a couple very clear weaknesses. He has huge raw power -- his .231 ISO, which ranked second in the Florida State League, represented his career low in that metric. Alonso is also excellent at making contact, relative to most power hitters. His 18.5 percent strikeout rate at High-A was a career worst, and he struck out just 14.9 percent of the time in a brief 11-game run at Double-A to close the season. However, the right-handed slugger has dramatic splits. He absolutely obliterates left-handed pitching but is pretty mediocre against righties, especially for a first baseman. Additionally, he is a subpar defender, even at first base. The Mets have a better internal option in Dominic Smith, who is basically big-league ready, yet the organization is still entertaining ideas of getting a veteran placeholder there. If they follow through with that, Alonso would be a distant third on the organizational depth chart. He is probably best suited for the short side of a platoon in the American League.
As a right-handed first baseman who has yet to play in a full-season league, Alonso will not be showing up on real life prospect lists anytime soon. However, he should already be on the radar of dynasty league owners. Double-plus raw power is his calling card. That power was always on display at Florida, leading the Mets to select him with the 64th overall pick in 2016. His .266 ISO and 184 wRC+ illustrate how much damage he did in his brief 30-game run in the New York-Penn League, and his .969 OPS would have easily led the league if he had enough plate appearances to qualify. Alonso's hit tool, particularly his ability to hit right-handed pitching, will be what makes or breaks his ability to profile as a cleanup-hitting everyday player. Despite his gaudy overall numbers, he hit just .262/.306/.415 with a 4:15 BB:K in 65 at-bats against righties. Elite power makes him worth a flier in deeper formats, and it should become clear in a year if he is still worth a roster spot.
More Fantasy News
Handed $21.05M qualifying offer
1BFree Agent  
November 4, 2024
The Mets extended Alonso a one-year, $21.05 million qualifying offer Monday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, plates five in win
1BNew York Mets  
September 17, 2024
Alonso went 3-for-5 with a three-run home run, a two-run single, a double and an additional run scored in Tuesday's 10-1 victory over Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches 30-homer mark
1BNew York Mets  
August 31, 2024
Alonso went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and an additional run scored Saturday in a 5-3 victory versus the White Sox.
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Closing in on 30 homers
1BNew York Mets  
August 30, 2024
Alonso went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Thursday's win over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in Tuesday's win
1BNew York Mets  
August 28, 2024
Alonso went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not expected to be pursued by Yanks
1BFree Agent  
November 13, 2024
The Yankees are not expected to heavily pursue Alonso this offseason, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Alonso has been mentioned as a possible target of the Yankees should they fail to re-sign Juan Soto, and while Kirschner acknowledges there's a "slim chance" that happens, the club is likely to go in another direction at first base. Kirschner lists Christian Walker, Carlos Santana and Paul Goldschmidt as potential free-agent targets for the Yankees, while Josh Naylor, Yandy Diaz, LaMonte Wade and Nathaniel Lowe are seen as possible trade options.
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