David Peterson

David Peterson

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Peterson was needed for 27 appearances (21 starts) for the Mets last season as the team battled numerous injury issues in their rotation. On the positive side, Peterson struck out 128 batters across his 111 innings, marking the second year in a row he's fanned well over a batter per frame. On the negative side, Peterson also had a walk rate over 10 percent for the second straight year and wound up finishing with an ERA over 5.00. The left-hander underwent left hip surgery in early November and a rough timetable has him returning around June. Pitchers that can miss bats and get groundballs like Peterson are usually ones you want to bet on. The southpaw has yet to throw strikes consistently in the big leagues, though, and isn't necessarily guaranteed a rotation spot once healthy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $2.15 million contract with the Mets in January of 2024.
Drawing Game 5 start
PNew York Mets
October 17, 2024
Peterson will start Game 5 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Friday, Pat Ragazzo of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Peterson last pitched in Game 1 of the NLCS, though he's appeared exclusively out of the bullpen throughout the playoffs. He has yet to complete more than three innings in any of his six postseason appearances, and Kodai Senga sounds likely to also play a significant part of the Mets' plans Friday.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
80
Last 10 Games
62
Last 5 Games
40
How many pitches does David Peterson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does David Peterson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .229 341 105 24 71 6 1 13
Since 2022vs Right .264 1115 250 120 256 54 5 22
2024vs Left .218 128 38 6 26 1 0 3
2024vs Right .251 382 63 40 84 21 1 5
2023vs Left .283 117 35 9 30 3 1 5
2023vs Right .288 375 93 41 94 14 3 11
2022vs Left .176 96 32 9 15 2 0 5
2022vs Right .252 358 94 39 78 19 1 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-63%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-26%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.50 1.41 159.1 11 6 0 9.8 4.0 0.8
Since 2022Away 4.24 1.39 178.1 9 10 0 9.2 3.7 1.1
2024Home 3.35 1.43 48.1 4 2 0 9.5 3.7 0.7
2024Away 2.60 1.20 72.2 6 1 0 6.2 3.2 0.5
2023Home 2.79 1.38 58.0 2 2 0 10.1 4.3 0.8
2023Away 7.47 1.77 53.0 1 6 0 10.7 3.7 1.9
2022Home 4.42 1.42 53.0 5 2 0 9.7 3.9 0.8
2022Away 3.25 1.25 52.2 2 3 0 11.8 4.3 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does David Peterson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.20
 
K/9
7.5
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
92.5 mph
 
ERA
2.90
 
WHIP
1.29
 
BABIP
.298
 
GB/FB
2.00
 
Left On Base
77.3%
 
Exit Velocity
82.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.3%
 
Spin Rate
2111 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.0%
 
Swinging Strike
11.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring David Peterson See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
2019
2018
Peterson had middling results in 15 starts for the Mets in 2021, but he was much better as a swingman last season with a 3.83 ERA across 105.1 innings. The lefty started in 19 of his 28 appearances and was effective in both roles. He added a tick to his fastball and more heavily mixed in his off-speed pitches, which helped lead to a 27.8 percent strikeout rate. New York is looking to bolster its rotation during the offseason -- whether it's by re-signing Jacob deGrom or bringing in a new face remains to be seen -- but Peterson pitched well last year and should have a chance to lock down a rotation spot during spring training. He has yet to show he can produce consistently year-to-year but is trending toward fantasy utility after a strong 2022.
Marcus Stroman's injury paved the way for Peterson's early promotion from the Mets' alternate training site. He remained in the rotation all year, save for a 10-day stint on the IL with shoulder inflammation and a brief trip to the bullpen. Peterson appeared in 10 games, starting nine while supplying the Mets with much-needed innings. While his 3.44 ERA appears impressive, his 5.26 xFIP and 5.11 SIERA disagree. Peterson benefited from a .233 BABIP, which helped to offset a bloated 11.7 BB%. The lefty's strikeouts have been inconsistent, with last season's 19.5% mark being low in today's landscape. Peterson should have an Opening Day spot in the Mets' revamped rotation. His minor-league history portends an improved walk rate, but he'll need to miss more bats to fend off impending ERA correction. Consider Peterson in formats conducive to streaming as Citi Field is the league's best pitching venue.
In an era where strikeouts are king, Peterson gets it done the old-fashioned way: command, control and groundballs. That said, if he maintains the punchout gains of the past couple of seasons, Peterson has mid-rotation upside. The southpaw sits around 90 mph with his fastball, touching 93. It has good sinking action, helping to record one of the highest groundball rates in the minors. Peterson's slider is his strikeout pitch while he also works in a changeup and curveball. None are dominant, but he throws each for strikes. Peterson spent 2019 with Double-A Binghamton, posting a 4.19 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, giving up 119 hits in 116 innings while fanning 122 with 37 walks and nine homers. The high WHIP is characteristic of a groundball pitcher and should improve with better infield defense. Peterson should open the season with Triple-A Syracuse and could be a candidate for a callup if the Mets need a starter.
Other than a truly elite groundball rate (over 62% as a pro) and a frame (6-foot-6, 240 pounds) that should allow him to chew up innings, there is not a ton to get excited about with Peterson at first glance. The big lefty commands a four-pitch mix, with his heavy, low-90s fastball and above-average slider grading out as his two best offerings. A knee injury cost him a few weeks early in the year, but he still amassed 128 frames. Over his final five starts, he gave up two runs, allowed 21 baserunners and struck out 32 over 29 innings. His groundball rate was also a ridiculous 71% over that stretch. That success in a small sample might mean nothing. After all, he was a 22-year-old southpaw with command and pitchability facing High-A hitters at the end of a long season. However, if he somehow maintains that late-season strikeout rate at Double-A, it would warrant quick action in dynasty leagues, as his ability to generate weak contact is already outstanding.
A big 6-foot-6 southpaw, Peterson has the potential to have three above-average pitches and and above-average command down the road, hinting at a future role as a No. 4 starter. His low-90s fastball isn't much of a bat-misser, but he should excel at generating groundballs. His slider and changeup both have the potential generate whiffs, and while neither is a plus pitch right now, both have a chance to get there. The key for Peterson will be carrying over the excellent control he showed in his junior season at Oregon, where he posted a 1.4 BB/9. Surgery to remove an ingrown toenail limited him to just three starts for a total of just 3.2 innings in his pro debut. He is advanced enough to head to Low-A or High-A this season. If he were to experience a slight uptick in velocity, Peterson's secondaries and command profile could allow him to project as No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but for now his upside appears capped.
More Fantasy News
Tosses gem to earn 10th win
PNew York Mets
September 29, 2024
Peterson (10-3) earned the win Sunday, allowing one hit and three walks over seven scoreless innings against the Brewers. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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New York-Atlanta postponed
PNew York Mets
September 25, 2024
Peterson won't pitch as scheduled Wednesday against Atlanta after the game was postponed due to inclement weather, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles against Phillies
PNew York Mets
September 20, 2024
Peterson (9-3) took the loss Friday against Philadelphia, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits and no walks over 3.2 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Rebounds against Phillies
PNew York Mets
September 15, 2024
Peterson didn't factor into the decision Sunday against Philadelphia, allowing one run on four hits and a walk across 7.2 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Tough night in Toronto
PNew York Mets
September 11, 2024
Peterson (9-2) took the loss Tuesday, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits and two walks over 4.1 innings as the Mets were downed 6-2 by the Blue Jays. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rotation frontrunner?
PNew York Mets
March 18, 2023
Peterson could slot in as a regular starter with teammate Jose Quintana expected to be out until July.
ANALYSIS
Dating back to the end of last season, Peterson was an incumbent favorite to rejoin the rotation, per Will Sammon of The Athletic. Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Kodai Senga and Carlos Carrasco are currently locks, but Peterson and Tylor Megill represent a thin cast to fill Quintana's spot. Peterson pitched to mixed results last season, but with a potent lineup to support him, he could be a decent source of wins and strikeouts.
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