Lucas Erceg

Lucas Erceg

29-Year-Old PitcherRP
Kansas City Royals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Erceg began his career as an infielder, but converted to pitching a few years ago while he was a member of the Brewers organization. After struggling in the minors as a reliever, Erceg was traded to Oakland last May, where he was given an opportunity to perform at the big league level for the first time. Expectedly, the 28-year-old worked around control issues (14.3% walk rate), but he earned the manager's trust amidst an unsettled Oakland bullpen. Erceg primarily flashed his 98 mph sinker that he complemented with a fastball, changeup, slider and occasional cutter. His change was his best pitch (.190 BA, 38.4% whiff), but he only threw it 22.1% of the time, so it will be interesting to see if he tosses it more often. Erceg's ratios weren't great, but he only permitted one home run across 55 innings, with his 0.16 HR/9 best in the league among qualified relievers. He's a dark horse candidate for save chances, but there could still be growing pains. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#130
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Athletics in March of 2024. Traded to the Royals in July of 2024.
Snags 14th save
PKansas City Royals
September 26, 2024
Erceg earned the save in Thursday's 7-4 win over the Nationals, striking out one in a perfect ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
Erceg's now converted his last six save opportunities, allowing just one earned run while striking out 13 over 10.2 innings in that span. The 29-year-old right-hander's ERA is down to 3.36 with a 1.05 WHIP and 72:16 K:BB across 61.2 innings between the A's and Royals this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
20
How many pitches does Lucas Erceg generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Lucas Erceg generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .221 213 64 27 40 10 1 3
Since 2022vs Right .233 291 76 25 60 18 1 1
2024vs Left .215 121 37 11 23 4 1 2
2024vs Right .210 132 35 5 26 6 0 1
2023vs Left .230 92 27 16 17 6 0 1
2023vs Right .254 159 41 20 34 12 1 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.13 1.31 56.2 2 4 7 11.8 3.7 0.2
Since 2022Away 3.90 1.30 60.0 4 6 7 9.9 4.4 0.5
2024Home 4.40 1.21 30.2 1 3 7 11.2 2.3 0.3
2024Away 2.32 0.90 31.0 1 3 7 9.9 2.3 0.6
2023Home 3.81 1.42 26.0 1 1 0 12.5 5.2 0.0
2023Away 5.59 1.72 29.0 3 3 0 9.9 6.5 0.3
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Lucas Erceg compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.50
 
K/9
10.5
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
98.6 mph
 
ERA
3.36
 
WHIP
1.05
 
BABIP
.311
 
GB/FB
1.60
 
Left On Base
64.1%
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.6%
 
Spin Rate
2037 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.7%
 
Swinging Strike
14.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
Erceg sputtered in his time at Double-A last season, hitting an unimpressive .248/.306/.382 with 16 homers in 123 games. The third baseman avoided strikeouts well, striking out just 16.1% of the time, but he simply hasn't done enough damage when he makes contact. He has the arm to stick at the hot corner (unless the Brewers give up on his bat and move him to the mound, where he had success as an amateur), but his fielding is mediocre and his bat hasn't been good enough for a corner position. The Brewers are better and deeper than they've been for a long time, so it's unlikely Erceg will find a path to the big leagues this season. He'll need a significant step forward at the plate in the minors this year if he's to recapture some of his previous prospect shine and get back on track.
Erceg's power rates dipped in his second season as he got his first taste of High-A action, but he did do a better job putting the bat on the ball, cutting his strikeouts while making more contact. The results from his refined approach were not promising for most of the season as he owned just a .688 OPS at the end of July, but things all came together in August, when he posted a .296 batting average, .864 OPS and 14:20 BB:K over 26 High-A games. That showing, plus the fact he will turn 23 next May, puts him on track to earn an assignment to the Double-A ranks to kick off the 2018 campaign, and if he can carry over his late-season success, he could find himself comfortably listed on most top-100 prospect lists when they are revised around the midway point in 2018.
Erceg, Milwaukee's 2016 second-round pick, destroyed rookie ball and earned a quick promotion thanks to a 1.004 OPS in his first 26 professional games. He continued to flash power to all fields after promotion to the full-season Midwest League, as he mashed seven home runs in just 42 games for Low-A Wisconsin. At 6-foot-3, Erceg has the frame to be a big-time power hitter in the major leagues and should continue to improve his power if he can bulk up in the next few years. He has the arm to play third base, so if he can continue to develop his power, he could be Milwaukee's third baseman of the future.
More Fantasy News
Earns 13th save
PKansas City Royals
September 25, 2024
Erceg struck out one in a perfect ninth inning to earn the save in Wednesday's 3-0 win over the Nationals. He struck out one batter.
ANALYSIS
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Secures save in extras
PKansas City Royals
September 24, 2024
Erceg picked up the save Tuesday against the Nationals, pitching a clean inning with two strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Takes extra-inning loss
PKansas City Royals
September 18, 2024
Erceg (2-6) allowed two runs (one earned) on three hits and a walk while striking out two over 1.2 innings, taking the extra-inning loss versus the Tigers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Secures save Sunday
PKansas City Royals
September 8, 2024
Erceg allowed a hit and struck out one in a scoreless inning while earning a save against the Twins on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Perfect inning for 10th save
PKansas City Royals
September 7, 2024
Erceg struck out one in a perfect inning to earn the save in Saturday's 4-2 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential trade piece?
POakland Athletics
June 12, 2024
The Athletics may be willing to trade Erceg this summer, per Jim Bowden of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Oakland isn't expected to deal dominant closer Mason Miller this summer, but the organization is likely more willing to part with Erceg, who has been working as a setup man. Erceg surrendered two runs during Wednesday's loss to San Diego in his first outing back from a forearm injury, but prior to that he had a 2.86 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 27:8 K:BB over 22 innings. The 29-year-old still has two more seasons with a pre-arbitration salary, so the Athletics could be patient while evaluating trade options.
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