Yahoo DFS Soccer: Saturday EPL Picks

Yahoo DFS Soccer: Saturday EPL Picks

This article is part of our Yahoo DFS Soccer series.

MATCHES (ET)

10:00 am: AFC Bournemouth vs. Fulham

10:00 am: Huddersfield Town vs. Watford

10:00 am: West Ham United vs. Leicester City

10:00 am: Wolverhampton vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

12:30 pm: Newcastle United vs. Southampton

FORWARDS

Callum Wilson, BOU v. FUL (£21): Fulham concede the most goals, shots, shots on goal and accurate crosses per 90 minutes of any team on the slate. They are by far the worst defensive side in the league and still haven't won a match away from home, conceding a league-high 44 goals. Wilson, WHO has the highest goal-scoring odds followed by Jamie Vardy (£18) and Joshua King (£17), provided a goal and two assists in last Saturday's demolition of Brighton and will have another favorable matchup. King is also an option for Bournemouth but has been held fewer than two fantasy points in four of his past six outings, with one match coming over six points (24.5 on Mar. 16 against Newcastle). Aleksandar Mitrovic (£20) is another player in this match and price range that is worthy of consideration, especially since he's taken 13 shots (six on target) in his past two outings.

Jamie Vardy, LEI at WHU (£18): As mentioned, Vardy has the second-best goal scoring odds and is coming off a dud in Friday's 1-0 loss to Newcastle. Prior to Friday's match, he had scored eight goals in eight matches. West Ham have conceded two goals in each of their past five matches, which includes three goals to attack-challenged sides like Huddersfield and Cardiff City. Vardy will look to bounce back against a Hammers side that allow the second-most shots on goal per match among teams on the slate.

Andre Gray, WAT v. HUD (£13): Troy Deeney was sent off in Monday's loss to Arsenal, which should keep Gray in the starting XI. Saturday's slate is void of cheap options at forward on favored teams besides Gray, and Watford will be at full strength after returning Gerard Deulofeu (£18) and Roberto Pereyra (£19, midfielder) from injury. They'll play at the friendly confines of Vicarage Road and have the second-highest implied goal total. Gray is unlikely to be highly owned and could be a solid contrarian pick that won't need to contribute a ton to make value.

MIDFIELDERS

James Maddison, LEI at WHU (£19): Maddison is the first player on my team sheet. He's an automatic five points and has scored at least 10 in five of his past eight starts. Plug him in your lineup and continue the rest of your build. Youri Tielemans (£25) has plenty of upside but hasn't show the consistency of Maddison, but you should have enough in the budget to get both players in the lineup if a Leicester stack is on your radar.

Ryan Fraser, BOU v. FUL (£17): Another week, another Fraser recommendation. Similar to Maddison, Fraser's base value is something I have trouble steering clear of. His set-piece monopoly certainly doesn't hurt, while a matchup against Fulham gives him an even bigger boost. Bournemouth are heavy favorites and Fulham are a juggernaut at allowing big fantasy days. Selecting both Maddison and Faser takes some of the decision making out of lineup construction and should be two players heavily considered.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, SOU at NEW (£15): Southampton's pass master will have a good opportunity to rack them up against Newcastle, a team that consistently allows possession. Hojbjerg averages 58.61 passes per 90 minutes, which could easily go up against Newcastle, and he also averages 1.83 interceptions and 1.5 tackles won. This match has the second-lowest implied goal total, so an attacking output will be difficult to depend on. James Ward-Prowse (£14) has a higher attacking upside and takes nearly all of Southampton's set pieces, giving him a slight edge as an attacker.

DEFENDERS

Jonny, WOL v. BRI (£13): Truthfully, you could compare all of Wolverhampton's backline and come out at the end with no differing factors. Jonny and Matt Doherty (£15) operate as wing-backs and therefore have higher attacking upside, but neither have enough upside to make one particularly better. Jonny hits five points more consistently, while Doherty showed earlier in the season that he's more attack-minded. Of their three center-backs, I prefer Willy Boly (£13) because he passes more. In all reality, I'm targeting their backline because Brighton have been in a slide over the past three weeks that has seen them shut out by the likes of Southampton, Bournemouth and Cardiff City.

Maya Yoshida, SOU at NEW (£13): Southampton have won three of their past four matches (their lone loss was to Liverpool) as they inch closer to Premier League safety. Yoshida has played a big part in their recent success and their ability to crawl out of the relegation scrap. In his past seven starts, the Japanese international has scored at least 4.25 points while hitting at least seven four times. Due to Southampton's playing style, Yoshida doesn't accumulate a ton of passes, though they'll face a Newcastle side that are typically content to concede possession, giving Yoshida a slight boost in the passing category. Over the past six weeks, he's third in blocked shots behind Angelo Ogbonna (£13) and Nathan Ake (£16). Both teams are evenly matched and I don't have much confidence in a clean sheet, but Yoshida does enough elsewhere.

Jon Stankovic, HUD v. WAT (£10): Taking a defender on the biggest underdog on the slate? Have I gone mad? Slightly. Huddersfield's season-long slide has allowed Stankovic to see a lot more playing time over the back half of the season, which he's taken advantage of with defensive stats. He won't get involved in the attack, not that they have much of an attack, but he does produce on the defensive side. In his six starts since Feb. 26, he's made won at least two tackles in four of his six starts, while also making two interceptions in half. A £10 investment in a player with a floor around four points takes very little risk out of the decision. If you want to spend up, Terence Kongolo (£16) is a safer play, while the majority of his value also comes from defensive work.

GOALKEEPER

Rui Patricio, WOL v. BRI (£10): Surely Patricio being minimum priced is an oversight, as he's started 32 of 33 matches for Wolverhampton this season. Generally, a minimum-priced goalkeeper doesn't necessarily mean you need to find space for him in your lineup, but in this case Patricio and Wolverhampton have the highest clean-sheet odds on the slate by a sizable margin as they host a Brighton side that were shut out in their past five matches. There's minimal risk in this play at a position that's so volatile. If Wolves win or draw, the investment was well worth it. If Patricio keeps a clean sheet, you're a genius. Lukasz Fabianski (£14) has a matchup against Leicester at home, which is advantageous given the Foxes take the most shots and shots on goal of any team on the slate. Leicester were shutout in last week's loss to Newcastle and could give Fabianski value as long as Leicester don't put up multiple goals.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Christopher Owen plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: owenc8888 (DraftKings, FanDuel), RotoCrook (Yahoo!).
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Christopher Owen
Chris covers fantasy soccer for RotoWire. In his free time he enjoys watching Jurgen Klopp celebrate goals on the touchline and beyond.
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