TheSix Fantasy Soccer: Saturday Premier League Value Plays

TheSix Fantasy Soccer: Saturday Premier League Value Plays

This article is part of our TheSix Fantasy Soccer series.

MATCHES (EST)

7:30 a.m: West Ham v. Chelsea
10:00 a.m: Burnley v. Watford
10:00 a.m: Crystal Palace v. Bournemouth
10:00 a.m: Huddersfield v. Brighton
10:00 a.m: Swansea City v. West Brom
10:00 a.m: Tottenham v. Stoke City
12:30 p.m: Newcastle v. Leicester City

STRIKERS

Elias Kachunga, HUD v. BHA (€8M): Kachunga has mostly lined up as an attacking midfielder when he starts this season, which gives him a much firmer floor than most other strikers. He has scored at least 7.35 fantasy points in back-to-back starts, and the matchup against Brighton surely isn't one that should be avoided. The upside isn't huge since he's only averaging 0.64 shots per 90 minutes, but he's still capable of winning plenty of duels.

Dwight Gayle, NEW v. LEI (€9M): Unlike Kachunga, Gayle has played much of this season as a forward, but he actually gets more touches and completes more passes than most players at the position, and particularly in his price range. He's scored more than 11 fantasy points in three of his past four games, two of which included a goal, but he showed his other upside by winning 10 duels against Bournemouth to start his streak of form. Meanwhile, only five expected starters have higher expected goal odds than Gayle, certainly putting hip upside in play.

MIDFIELDERS

Junior Stanislas, BOU at CRY (€5M): Stanislas' injury layoff helped push his price down, but he's fully fit again and expected to keep his spot in the starting XI. He's not a significant shot taker, nor does he have a ton of touches, but he's an integral part of the Bournemouth attack with a solid matchup against Crystal Palace. His floor isn't all that high, but he has a reasonable upside for the price, especially since he's likely to be on all set pieces.

Erik Lamela, TOT v. STK (€5M): Lamela hasn't gotten a start since returning from a long-term hip injury, and he missed a great chance Wednesday in the Champions League because he wasn't on the UEFA roster that was submitted back in August. However, with Spurs still needing to rotate, we have a fine situation to see Lamela get a full run-out. Playing 90 minutes may be asking too much, but Spurs are expected to dominate their home match against Stoke, giving Lamela plenty of chances on the ball.

Scott Arfield, BUR v. WAT (€4M): Arfield is expected to move into the starting XI in place of Robbie Brady (€11M), who will miss the rest of the season because of a serious knee injury. Arfield doesn't have the same attacking responsibilities as Brady, namely sole possession of set pieces, but his low salary will be hugely helpful with Burnley expected to have more possession than usual because they are at home. Burnley don't figure to cede a bunch of possession playing at Turf Moor, so we should see Arfield's touches and passes above his regular per-90 figures.

DEFENDERS

Ben Davies, TOT v. STK (€8M): With Danny Rose (€7M) getting the start in Wednesday's Champions League match against APOEL, Davies figures to slot back into the first XI at home against Stoke City. The total mismatch should allow Spurs plenty of possession, and Davies has shown to be a part of that, as seen when he completed 53 passes on 105 touches while winning six duels against West Brom last month.

DeAndre Yedlin, NEW v. LEI (€8M): Yedlin is a solid attacking fullback who gets enough touches per match to give him a solid floor, with decent upside thanks to his ability to win duels. Newcastle should be able to control the possession against a Leicester team that is happy to concede it, particularly on the road, which means Yedlin really won't have to do too much to make value.

Martin Kelly, CRY v. BOU (€6m): Kelly got a rare start last weekend against West Brom and put up a solid 7.45 fantasy points thanks to 15 passes on 40 touches and five duels won. With Crystal Palace still dealing with a plethora of injuries in central defense, he could be called upon again, giving us a nice floor player at a very reasonable price.

Sebastian Prodl, WAT at BUR (€7M): Watford playing away isn't necessarily a bad thing, especially against a Burnley side that is trying to figure out it's attacking identity without Brady. Prodl provides a nice floor thanks to his passes and touches, and the clean sheet bonus is certainly in play as well.

GOALKEEPER

Hugo Lloris, TOT v. STK (€8M): Tottenham are by far the biggest favorite on the slate, and they have the best clean sheet odds. It's a bit troubling that he hasn't had a clean sheet in any of his last nine starts, and while he's made just three saves in his last three matches combined, Stoke are good enough to get a few balls towards the net without actually hitting the back of it.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Andrew M. Laird plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: kingmorland, DraftKings: andrewmlaird, Yahoo: Lairdinho.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andrew M. Laird
Andrew is a former RotoWire contributor. He was the 2017 and 2018 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year. He is a nine-time FSWA award finalist, including twice for Football Writer of the Year.
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