DraftKings Fantasy Soccer: Tuesday UEFA Euro 2020 Picks

MATCHES (ET)

• 12:00 pm: England vs. Germany
• 3:00 pm: Sweden vs. Ukraine

For detailed stats and odds, check out the

DraftKings Tuesday UEFA Euro 2020 Cheat Sheet

FORWARDS

Emil Forsberg, SWE v. UKR ($8,900): I never envisioned starting an article with an $8,900 Emil Forsberg, but that's what we get Tuesday. He has a split role on sets and has been Sweden's best goal-scorer through the group stage. He's hit the back of the net on his last three shots on target, and more importantly, his floor has been serviceable. His floor was near 10 fantasy points against Poland and near seven against Slovakia. If you throw out the Spain match, spending $8,900 on Forsberg may actually make sense. He doesn't have the best odds to score for Sweden, but there's a chance he starts as a forward if Dejan Kulusevski moves into the starting XI and plays on the wing. Alexander Isak ($6,400) has the best odds to score for Sweden, but he has two shots on goal in three matches and isn't as likely to go a full 90. Forsberg is also a play against Ukraine, who may have the worst back line of the Round of 16 teams. They gave up 33 combined shots to Netherlands and Austria, and even allowed North Macedonia to get five looks on net with 1.30 expected goals. This feels like a lot of money to spend on Forsberg, but everything points to him hitting a floor near 10 points, going a full 90 and being most likely to hit the back of the net for Sweden.

Raheem Sterling, ENG v. GER ($7,700): I'm done suggesting Harry Kane ($8,600), which means he'll brace unassisted in a 2-0 win against Germany. Kane has the best odds to score on the slate and I don't like Germany's defense, but I could've said the same for England's prior three opponents. If you want to save money, I'd rather back Sterling, who seems just as likely to score as Kane, even if the odds don't say that. Sterling doesn't have a floor, but that's kind of the situation for every forward on this slate outside of Forsberg. If this game is scoreless entering the 80th minute, I think Kane is more likely to be subbed and, more relevant, is that Sterling has England's only two goals in the tournament. Thomas Muller ($7,100) probably has the best floor for the Germans, but I'm still not sure I'd back him in cash games, though I'd rather use him than the more expensive Andriy Yarmolenko ($7,800). There's a chance Isak is the cheapest forward, as Robin Quaison ($6,300) and Marcus Berg ($5,100) could both open on the bench if Kulusevski starts.

MIDFIELDERS

Toni Kroos, GER v. ENG ($7,300): Kroos isn't an exciting play, but he seems to hit 10 fantasy points no matter the matchup. He's benefited from Germany being down multiple times in the group stage, which has led to more set pieces, but even if this match is scoreless through 90 minutes, it's hard to see him completely busting. The main reason I'm going Kroos is because the situation for England is unclear. Mason Mount ($7,900) could start, but he hasn't trained with the team over the past week. If he starts, he's slightly more viable, mainly because he's taken the majority of sets when in the team, and England are favored. If Jack Grealish ($7,000) starts, he's cheaper, but he doesn't have the majority of sets and would likely be subbed early, especially if Mount is on the bench. As for Kroos, you know he's going 90-plus minutes and will add in a few other stats to get his 10 points.

Dejan Kulusevski, SWE v. UKR ($6,100): Kulusevski was going to be my first pick, but without a role on sets, the guaranteed points aren't there. Still, if he starts, he's under-priced for what he does in the team. He gives Sweden another element in their attack, which led to two assists in 35 minutes last match. If he doesn't start, you'll at least have some wiggle room to move down to Sebastian Larsson ($5,400), who has less upside but probably a higher floor. Larsson is viable because of set pieces, but he has one shot on target and two chances created in three matches. Kulusevski created three chances in 35 minutes and his upside is worth backing over Larsson if they both start. Otherwise, below Larsson, there aren't a ton of options. It's mostly a bunch of defensive midfielders with low floors; there was a time when Kalvin Phillips ($3,900) was a cash option, but that lasted one match.

Ruslan Malinovskyi, UKR v. SWE ($7,200): Expect the unexpected. Sweden are favored and I've already written about a couple of their players, but it wouldn't be surprising if Ukraine bagged three goals and won. If you're betting on that to happen, Malinovskyi makes the most sense with an exclusive role on set pieces. His numbers are somewhat juiced because of an 18-point floor against North Macedonia, but he'll likely be in a front three as a set-piece taker, something that usually produces a solid floor. Because he's on sets, you don't need Yarmolenko or Roman Yaremchuk ($6,800) in cash lineups, but it could help in GPPs. The downside is that Malinovskyi is more expensive than Grealish and all of the Sweden midfielders. That means he's unlikely to be popular, sitting in the same range as Kroos, so if you're looking for a move to separate, he could be it.

DEFENDERS

Joshua Kimmich, GER v. ENG ($6,000): If you're spending on a defender, you should probably correlate him with the rest of your lineup, at least in GPPs. Correlation doesn't matter as much for cash games and Kimmich gets the slight nod for me over Luke Shaw ($5,800). Kimmich loses some set pieces to Kroos, but he's still getting forward a ton, highlighted by a 15-point floor against Hungary. That won't happen again, but he's been better than Shaw, who could lose sets to Mount if he starts. Both are safer than one-game hero Robin Gosens ($5,700) and whoever else starts for England. If you're into Ukraine, Oleksandr Karavaev ($5,000) has been solid the last couple matches, and while he doesn't have set pieces, he's producing as much as Kroos and Shaw from open play.

Vitalii Mykolenko, UKR v. SWE ($3,400): Mykolenko is the cheapest expected starting full-back on the slate and as I always say, that has to mean something. He's not as good as Karavaev, but he at least sends some crosses in, and if Sweden go up a goal early, you know Ukraine will push forward. The decision may come down to if you want to bank on a clean sheet for John Stones ($3,300) or Victor Lindelof ($2,900), or hope Mykolenko can reach five fantasy points from open play.

GOALKEEPER

Robin Olsen, SWE v. UKR ($5,100): Every team has an implied goal total over one, so all four goalkeepers are in play. If you aren't taking the Ukraine route, Olsen makes the most sense, as the only goals he allowed in the group stage were to Robert Lewandowski. And since Ukraine love to pressure and attack, Olsen should be set for a few saves. Even as the favorite, he's only $600 more than Georgiy Bushchan ($4,500). If you're looking at the other match, take the goalkeeper for whichever team you're backing the most in your lineup.