Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy

35-Year-Old Golfer
2025 Fantasy Outlook
It was a good year by any measure with win wins at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans and the Wells Fargo Championship in back-to-back starts, but it could have been a great year by McIlroy standards had a couple short putts gone in down the stretch at the U.S. Open. It's still a bit unfathomable that a player as great as McIlroy has not won a major since 2014, but here we are heading into 2025. The Northern Irishman was third in SG: Total in 2024 (+1.41), but significantly behind both Scottie Scheffler (+2.50) and Xander Schauffele (+1.94). You know he's going to be motivated to close that gap and prove why he still deserves to be the top player on the PGA Tour. To do that he will need to improve his iron play in which he ranked 55th in SG: Approach and 131st in GIR percentage, down from 8th and 79th in 2023, respectively. Read Past Outlooks
Clinches sixth Race to Dubai title
November 18, 2024
McIlroy fired a three-under 69 on Sunday to win the DP World Tour Championship by two shots at 15-under-par overall.
ANALYSIS
McIlroy, who tied for third in the penultimate event of the season one week prior at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, clinched his sixth career Race to Dubai title with the victory in Dubai. He remains well behind Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele atop the Official World Golf Ranking, but McIlroy closes out his 2024 campaign with four wins, including two on the PGA Tour where he qualified for The Sentry in early 2025.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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2023
2022
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2012
2011
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2009
After his initial victory at the CJ Cup in South Carolina to kick off the 2022-23 season, McIlroy faced early challenges in 2023 on the PGA Tour, with five finishes outside the top-25 over seven starts. However, the Northern Irishman hit his stride in the summer, securing 10 consecutive top-10 finishes to end the season, including a win at the Scottish Open. Statistically, McIlroy's performance was strong across all aspects of his game last season. The key for him is maintaining mental focus for four rounds, especially at majors, where he hasn't triumphed since 2014. Despite this, McIlroy's potential remains high, making him a top pick, though he tends to play fewer events than some other leading contenders. Given his caliber, a five-win 2024 season for the future Hall-of-Famer wouldn't be surprising at all.
McIlroy will be more remembered in 2022 by the role he played in helping the PGA Tour grow and stave off the LIV threat, but the golf he played was also among the best of his Hall of Fame career. McIlroy's 2.12 strokes gained total per round led the PGA Tour and was the fourth-highest mark for a season in McIlroy's PGA Tour career. A lot of that was thanks to his best putting season ever. The Northern Irishman won the CJ Cup, RBC Canadian Open, and FedExCup for a third time, but he would have likely traded all that for his first major championship since 2014. McIlroy went 2nd-8th-T5-3rd at the majors in 2022. He's really not that far away from dropping a five or six win season with multiple major championships.
McIlroy has never had a problem winning Tournaments, it's just a certain type of Tournament that he can't seem to win anymore, but that hasn't prevented him from producing some huge numbers in the last decade. McIlroy may never win another major, but there's no reason to think his production overall will slow. If anything, after just a decent season (relatively), there's reason to think he'll be better this upcoming season. McIlroy is only two years removed from a $7 million season and he's historically had no problem getting above $5 million in a given season. All of this makes McIlroy an interesting salary cap option entering this season.
While many golfers benefitted from the mid-season break, McIlroy struggled to find his pre-COVID-19 form. Prior to the break, McIlroy racked up six top-5s in six starts. After the break however, McIlroy failed to score a single top-10 in his first seven starts. There's no reason to panic however as McIlroy still has plenty of game. The biggest question now is his closing ability as he's shown cracks while trying to finish off wins in recent years.
If not for Brooks Koepka, McIlroy's season would be the talk of the golf world. Though he didn't win a major, he was the best golfer from beginning to end. Majors however are what elite golfers are measured by and McIlroy hasn't won one since 2014. McIlroy was extremely consistent last season and he finished with a bang and yet there are still question marks surrounding his ability to win another major. Those aren't going to go away anytime soon and the longer he goes without another major, the more the pressure will build. McIlroy will continue to play at a high-level this season, but asking a repeat of last year's performance, may be a bit too much.
McIlroy has gone from one of the most consistent forces on the PGA Tour to one of the most confusing. McIlroy set the bar impossibly high by picking up four majors early in his career and he's struggled to live up to heightened expectations ever since. McIlroy has all the physical tools, but there seems to be a mental aspect that his holding him back. He has no problem getting into contention during the biggest events, but he struggles when expectations rise, like when he's in the lead. It isn't going to get any easier to close as the longer it takes to get another major, the more the pressure grows, but whether or not he wins another major, he should still continue to produce big numbers. The problem is, he's only topped $5 million just once in the past four seasons and that's the number he must attain in order to be of value in salary cap leagues.
It's not often that a guy makes $2.4 million on the PGA Tour and it's considered a huge disappointment, but that was exactly the case for McIlroy's 2016-17 season. McIlroy was dealing with an injury for much of the season, which could explain his struggles, but it could be something more than that as well. It's yet to be seen if McIlroy is up to the challenge that guys like Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas are providing, but even if he's not going to regain his spot atop the golfing world, he shouldn't have much difficulty topping his numbers from last season. McIlroy is a must have in salary cap formats because there's too much risk in not having him this season.
The lone member of the "big-three" that underperformed most of the year, McIlroy was the only one who ended the season in-style, capturing the TOUR Championship and the FedEx Cup. Leave it up for McIlroy to perform his best as everyone is about to give up on him. Well, "give up on him" is a bit of a stretch, but as Spieth and Day continued to trend upward early last season McIlroy spun his wheels. That ended as the playoffs started though as McIlroy looked like his old self and once again boosted his stock heading into the off-season. Last summer the question was, "does Rory belong in the "big-three," now it's, "is Rory back on top of the golf world?" That question can't be answered right now, but he is the lone member of the top-5 on the money list that can be considered a decent pick in a salary cap format. In draft leagues he should go anywhere from first to fourth.
What a year for McIlroy. After years of peaks and valleys, McIlroy put it all together during the second-half of the 2014 season and he's now unquestionably the top-player in the world. The problem here, as is usually the case for anyone ranked number-one on the money list, is that his price is just too much to tackle in the salary cap league. In any other format he's the top-pick, no questions asked. He's the only player that you can pencil at least one major in for the 2015 season.
McIlroy's struggles were well documented last year, so much so that it's easy to forget that at the end of the 2012 season he was unquestionably the best player in the world. A lot has happened since then, an equipment change most notably and although he never resembled the best player in the world last year and new year can turn everything around. The question is not if he'll improve on his 2013 number, but how much? Expect him to improve quite a bit and as such, he's the highest "must-have" player on the 2013 money list. In salary cap formats he'll likely be taken in the top-10, and rightly so.
After a midseason rough patch last year, McIlroy re-asserted himself as the best golfer in the world. The question now is whether he will be the best golfer of his generation. He has the talent, there's no question about that. What's left to be seen is whether he has the drive. For parts of 2012 it appeared as though he did not. He finished the season in style, though, and now it again looks like he's ready to dominate. The resurgence of Tiger Woods should only help him along in his journey to legendary status. There's no reason to think he'll regress this year; however, as is often the case with golfers who finish atop the money list, it will be difficult to improve much, if any, on his earnings from last season. Expect another great season from McIlroy, but his number is too high to be selected in salary cap leagues. He's the unquestioned top pick in draft leagues, though.
Last season was quite a year for McIlroy. He went from budding superstar, to choke artist, to the next Tiger all the in the span of a few months. The chatter quieted over the second half of the season, but as soon as this season begins, the talk will start again about just how high the ceiling is for McIlroy. One thing is certain, McIlroy will be a factor at all the majors, not necessarily in contention, but he'll be one of a handful of players who are considered favorites.
It didn't take long for McIlroy to adjust to life on the PGA TOUR. In his first full season on the PGA TOUR last year, McIlroy earned one victory and five top-10s in only 16 starts. McIlroy is a special player, and his youth should not be an issue. The only problem is his limited schedule. Just like his elders, Ernie Els and Retief Goosen, he'll likely play the minimum required to retain his PGA TOUR privileges. In other words, he needs to make every event count. His 2010 number is pretty hefty, but one good outing at a major or the Players Championship can make up a big chunk, so McIlroy is still a good selection in salary cap leagues. It's a wonder how McIlroy succeeds on the course considering he's ranked lower than 100 on three of the four core measures, but he finds a way somehow.
McIlroy took the golf world by storm last season when he carded five top-20s in his first five events on the PGA TOUR. He hit a mid-season lull, but finished strong with three top- 4s to close out the season. McIlroy should improve on his numbers from last season and even if he doesn't play full time on the PGA TOUR, he'll play enough to make a difference on your team. McIlroy, who ranked 39th at the end of 2008, moved up to ninth place in the final 2009 Official World Golf Rankings.
McIlroy has all the markings of "comer". A strong performance at the 2007 British Open was followed by an impressive full-season 2008. Right now his tee-to-green game is well ahead of his putting. His surge from 232nd to 39th in the final 2008 Official World Golf Rankings was the most significant move of any of the top-50 players.
More Fantasy News
Nearing sixth Race to Dubai title
November 11, 2024
McIlroy surged into a share of third place at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship following an eight-under 64 in the final round.
ANALYSIS
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T25 finish at Dunhill Links
October 7, 2024
McIlroy shot a four-under 68 in the final round to finish in a tie for 25th place at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.
ANALYSIS
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Another runner-up finish
September 23, 2024
McIlroy was defeated in a playoff by Billy Horschel after shooting a five-under 67 in the final round of the BMW PGA Championship.
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Unable to close out Irish Open
September 17, 2024
McIlroy finished one shot shy of forcing a playoff with Rasmus Hojgaard at the Amgen Irish Open after a two-under 69 in the final round.
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Doesn't factor at TOUR Championship
September 3, 2024
McIlroy settled for a share of ninth place at the TOUR Championship after a five-under 66 in the in final round.
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