Trey Lance

Trey Lance

24-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Dallas Cowboys
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The Cowboys took a flyer on Lance just before Week 1 last year, trading a fourth-round pick to the 49ers for the 2021 third overall pick. Lance, though, not only never took a snap, he never made the active roster, suiting up only as the emergency third-sting QB every game. If his accuracy and anticipation have caught up to his physical gifts, perhaps Lance can beat out Cooper Rush to back up Dak Prescott this season. At 6-4, 226, Lance has both size and a strong arm, and his rushing ability adds to his potential. Lance, 24, is still young -- younger than rookie QBs Bo Nix and Michael Penix, n fact -- which is also why the Cowboys were willing to pay his $4.25 roster bonus for 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#1207.59
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $34.11 million contract with the 49ers in July of 2021. Traded to the Cowboys in August of 2023. Cowboys declined $22.4 million team option for 2025 in May of 2024.
No TDs or turnovers in spot start
QBDallas Cowboys
January 5, 2025
Lance completed 20 of 34 passes for 244 yards while rushing six times for 26 yards in Sunday's 23-19 loss to the Commanders.
ANALYSIS
Making his first start since Week 2 of the 2022 season with the 49ers, Lance came out hot, producing back-to-back completions over 30 yards to Jalen Tolbert and KaVontae Turpin to set up a field goal on the first drive. Lance continued to move the offense well and didn't turn the ball over, but the Cowboys frequently stalled in scoring range, settling for four field goals prior to a two-yard Rico Dowdle rushing touchdown in the fourth quarter. The third overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft is set to become a free agent in the offseason, and it's unclear if Dallas will make an effort to retain him.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Trey Lance's 2024 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
17.1%
 
Avg Target Depth
8.0 Yds
 
Sack Rate
8.9%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
6.2 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
0.0%
 
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2024 NFL Game Log
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2023 NFL Game Log
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2022 NFL Game Log
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2021 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Dallas CowboysCowboys 2024 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

53949%
11359%
46942%
00%
948%
7841%
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2024 Trey Lance Split Stats
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Measurables Review
How do Trey Lance's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
* All metrics are from his Pro Day (not the combine).
Height
6' 4"
 
Weight
226 lbs
 
Hand Length
9.13 in
 
Arm Length
31.50 in
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Lance’s season ended 15 snaps into Week 2 last year when he snapped his right ankle. There’s not much to take from his 31 pass attempts -- Week 1 was played in a torrential downpour in Chicago and he threw just three times the following week before suffering the injury. Suffice to say, he’s still developing as a passer. At 6-4, 224, Lance is big and strong with the arm strength to match, while accuracy and anticipation remain works in progress. Perhaps that’s not surprising, considering the 23-year-old is younger than 10 of the 14 QBs taken in *this year’s* draft and has attempted a mere 420 passes since high school. If his passing game develops even modestly, he’ll have plenty of fantasy value thanks to his rushing ability. He seemingly has enough upside for the 49ers to be patient, but the team traded him in late August to Dallas after it became evident that Brock Purdy will be ready for Week 1 following offseason elbow surgery. Purdy so dazzled at the end of the last season that Lance had little shot of remaining the starter, as long as Purdy was healthy. So with Sam Darnold already the backup, the 49ers turned the three first-round picks and a third it gave to move up to draft Lance in 2021 into a ... fourth-round pick from the Cowboys. In Dallas, Lance will compete with Cooper Rush to back up Dak Prescott.
After a year as understudy, Lance has been named as the starter for his second season with the 49ers. Jimmy Garoppolo is still on the roster, but he's sticking around as a backup. Lance attempted passes in four games last year, including two starts, and struggled with accuracy at every level. On attempts of less than 10 yards, he completed just 60.5 percent (23 of 38). On attempts of more than 10 yards, he was 15 of 30. But he showed progress in his final game, a Week 17 start against Houston in which he went 16 of 23 for 249 yards, with a 78.6 percent on-target rate on 14 attempts longer than 10 yards. That at least gives him something to build on for this season, in addition to his strong arm. Lance's fantasy value is tied to his rushing anyway. In his two starts last season, he rushed 24 times for 120 yards (5.0 YPC), a 1,000-yard pace over 17 games. Even if he lost a third of those rushes as a full-time starter, he'd still be in the 700-yard range, which gives him considerable upside if his passing game develops even modestly. And with George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and Elijah Mitchell on hand, Lance has plenty of weapons to carry him until that happens.
Lance was the answer to the biggest mystery of the draft — which QB the 49ers would select after trading three first-round picks and a third to move up to No. 3. Lance played only one game last season at North Dakota State, but in 2019 he led the Bison to the FCS title, throwing 28 TD passes and no interceptions. He also rushed for 1,100 yards (and that's with sack yardage deducted) and 14 TDs. That dual-threat ability combined with prototypical size (6-4, 228) and a cannon arm give Lance tremendous upside, both as a pro prospect and as a fantasy asset. Coach Kyle Shanahan said in May he views Jimmy Garoppolo as the starter. The rookie will get time to develop in a system to which he seems well suited — Lance is excellent off of play-action and throwing on the move, and is accurate both in the quick passing game and when challenging defenses downfield. Even if he isn't the Week 1 starter, Lance's time could come sooner than later, considering Garoppolo has missed 23 of 48 games the last three seasons. In that scenario, Lance's rushing ability would give him a decent floor while he works out the rough edges as an NFL passer.
More Fantasy News
Drawing Week 18 start
QBDallas Cowboys
January 5, 2025
Lance will start at quarterback in Sunday's game against Washington, Jane Slater of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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In line for work in Week 18
QBDallas Cowboys
January 3, 2025
Lance is expected to see "significant" snaps during Sunday's season finale against the Commanders, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sees snaps in garbage time
QBDallas Cowboys
December 30, 2024
Lance completed his only pass attempt for one yard and gained one yard on his only carry in Sunday's loss to the Eagles.
ANALYSIS
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Takes field for two plays Week 12
QBDallas Cowboys
November 26, 2024
Lance carried once for minus-3 yards while playing two of the Cowboys' 66 snaps on offense Sunday in Dallas' 34-26 win over Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Sees action in blowout loss
QBDallas Cowboys
November 11, 2024
Lance completed four of six passes for 21 yards with an interception and added 17 rushing yards on three carries in Sunday's 34-6 loss to the Eagles.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May get chance to start
QBDallas Cowboys
November 5, 2024
The Cowboys could turn to Lance to start in the absence of Dak Prescott, Jeff Howe of The Athletic suggests.
ANALYSIS
Prescott is expected to go on injured reserve with a hamstring issue, shaking up the quarterback room in Dallas. Cooper Rush will almost certainly inherit the starting job in the short term, but if the Cowboys continue to fall out of playoff contention, Howe believes Lance could get a chance to lead the offense. The case against Lance is that the team may have little incentive to showcase him given that he's set to hit free agency, making it less likely that it could retain him as a backup option if he takes the field and performs well.
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