This article is part of our DraftKings EuroLeague DFS Picks series.
Slate Overview
We've got a small three-game slate with some teams that run hefty rotations. The major injuries we're monitoring are Gabriel Deck and Rudy Fernandez. If both are out again I'd suspect Real Madrid's rotation to look a lot like the one they utilized Tuesday, which brings both Eli Ndiaye and Alberto Abalde into play as punt plays. If either or both of Deck and Fernandez suit up, I think they make for fine dart throws instead. As always my favorite game stack will be the game involving Maccabi, but there seem to be more red flags than usual. All in all, good luck, everyone!
Guards to Go After
Players listed in order of confidence
Preferred Plays
Wade Baldwin IV, Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv ($10,400)
Lorenzo Brown, Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv ($10,800)
One or the other is usually in the winning lineup -- but I didn't say always! Both finished below 25.0 DraftKings points Tuesday, and the balanced build ended up being the path to victory. However, with a short slate Thursday and limited options, I'd say it's more likely than not that the winning team will have one of these guys.
Facundo Campazzo, Real Madrid ($10,100)
We pointed it out before Real Madrid's last game, but with Sergio Rodriguez back in the lineup Campazzo's minutes are worse and honestly so is the production. Rodriguez has just been outplaying him as far as an eye test goes, so Campazzo will not be needed for 30 minutes unless his jumper is true.
Nemanja Nedovic, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade ($8,800)
Milos Teodosic, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade ($9,200)
With Shabazz Napier out of the equation, one of these two or Yago Dos Santos will run the show for Red Star at all times. This is a great matchup for anyone in Red Star's backcourt. Although he hasn't done this often, if Nedovic stays out of foul trouble and is making shots, he could earn around 30 minutes. Teodosic will likely be capped around 25 minutes, but he possesses a pretty elite average of 1.10 fantasy points per minute.
Marco Belinelli, Virtus Segafredo Bologna ($8,400)
He's priced down again, and on a short slate I think the ol' bucket-getter is definitely in play. Like Teodosic he's prolly capped around 25-to-27 minutes -- especially with everyone healthy -- but his shot rate percentage is elite.
Valuable Values
Xabi Lopez-Arostegui, Valencia Basket ($5,900)
He returned from a brief absence in Round 15, and despite only seeing 13 minutes he still reached double digits in DraftKings points. The thought here is that Lopez-Arostegui gets around 18-to-22 mintues Thursday, as with Victor Claver joining Semi Ojeleye and Jared Harper on the sidelines, I think we see more three-guard lineups from Valencia.
Sergio Rodriguez, Real Madrid ($5,800)
Rodriguez is playing good ball right now and looks healthy. His usage is pretty elite when he's on the court, and I think 18.0 DraftKings points could more than suffice.
Yago Dos Santos, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade ($6,100)
With Napier gone he's most likely locked into 18-to-22 minutes -- and he checks in at a rather cheap rate. He hasn't shot the ball well in a while, but that makes him an under-the-radar candidate -- particularly in an uptempo game.
Frontcourt in Focus
Players listed in order of confidence
Preferred Plays
Kevin Punter, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade ($9,800)
Since he returned and shook a little rust he has been shooting lights out and in such a big game I don't see him being hesitant to let them fire all game long. Punter is also helped but what should be a solid paced game .
Tornike Shengelia, Virtus Segafredo Bologna ($11,200)
He joined almost all the other studs on Tuesday by having a floor game but now looks to bounce back vs a VBC team that is running out of PFs. This will be a snail paced game but the only other team in league as slow as Valencia is FBD whom he dropped 34 FPTS against.
Luka Mitrovic, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade ($8,900)
The minutes last game despite not having any foul trouble issues was really tilting as it looks like we won't ever truly know when he'll get pushed minutes wise. Good matchup here for the 4 but MTA is great at drawing fouls so I'm aware of the risk he possesses.
Bonzie Colson, Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv ($9,600)
He's in play more so in mini game stacks or even pivot off of the guards if you think they have another less than stellar game .
Brandon Davies, Valencia Basket ($8,100)
For those of you who have been playing all year you know what I'm about to say. great floor but abysmal ceiling . Matchups never matter with him and throughout his career I've never been able to pinpoint when a Davies game is coming. I just know the ceiling is always there looming.
Valuable Values
Damien Inglis, Valencia Basket ($7,200)
If Valencia decides to go with 2 Bigs all game Inglis could benefit from these front court injuries and he has 10-10 upside .
Adam Hanga, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade ($6,200)
He returned from extended absence last match but didn't look rusty at all. I love the upside . He can sometimes have games where he doesn't look interested at all but he's sub 6.5k and starting in a good game environment.
James Webb III, Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv ($6,400)
I have no idea what has gotten into Webb, but ever since he's returned he's been torching. He had a similar stretch like this when he played for VBC and the best advice is to just ride it until the wheels fall off or the price raises to 7k.
Boubacar Toure, Valencia Basket ($5,700)
With the frontcourt injuries to Valencia, if they do decide to play two bigs Toure is another guy who could benefit alongside Inglis. I'd set a rule to not play Davies, Toure, Inglis together, but I feel like one of the three is going to return the needed value.
Bryant Dunston, Virtus Segafredo Bologna ($6,300)
Dunston will start for Virtus, and at this price while playing 20 minutes most games and on a three-game slate, those credentials are more than enough.
