Jeff (11:08 PM PT, Thursday, April 30):
Yes, that's right, I'm the world's worst at replying. Really, I thought that I had replied to you, but instead all I did was my own inventory blog. And while that was a helpful exercise, it was totally non-responsive. So in the interest of reviving this feature (and to bring in our mystery guest - stay tuned!), here goes.
I have 13 leagues, plus I've also gone from dipping my toes into DFS to taking swimming lessons, playing both on FanDuel and Draft Kings. My increased participation in the DFS world has both taken away some of my attention in season-long leagues, but also informed my opinions there, particularly with my FAAB decisions. I pay a lot more attention to batting orders, plus I'm acutely aware of pitcher splits, I look ahead at pitcher matchups better, and I think I just have a better feel for emerging playing time.
Even with as many leagues as we play, the baseball universe is vast, and there are tons of players that I don't own that I wanted to own. Sometimes the market chases up a player like Mookie Betts, other times it's a structural issue (that maybe I should change!) like solid second-tier starters such as Gerrit Cole. I'd like to say that allowed me to miss out on the Adam Wainwright injury disaster or some bad starts from Jordan Zimmermann, but disaster lurks among every tier.
Now that we're a month removed from draft season, do you have any significant regrets? Is there anyone you wished that you had and don't? Or more importantly, is there anything you would change about your draft strategy? Do you wish you blocked out certain voices heading into your drafts, or heeded others?
I look at my NFBC Main Event team, and I do regret not getting my second starting pitcher sooner. Not just because Taijuan Walker has been a mixed bag (at best) and Brandon McCarthy is out for the season. But I also miss the strikeout floor, and I missed out on a tier of pitchers (Chris Archer, Collin McHugh are two names that come to mind) in that particular draft. I care most about that team among my season-long leagues, and it's time that I fully admit that. I want to do well in all of my leagues, but it nags me that I haven't cashed there yet.
I don't find the wide ownership detracts from my joy of watching live baseball. But I do notice that my viewing priorities now are skewed because of DFS. I watch my Daily players first, almost to the exclusion of my season-long leagues. Of course there's a lot of crossover - players that I like are players that I like. But that's been a far bigger impediment/hurdle to my viewing enjoyment - having to constantly sweat multiple players at all times. Typically I like to watch full innings on a big screen, then switch at a commercial to the next game, with my first priority being on the Reds. Now? I'm watching the grid channel first, constantly checking to see if one of my DFS batters is up or how my pitchers there is doing. It's insane in a way - I can't control these events, and I'm not really getting a full feel for the games I'm watching. And yet, that's how I gravitate.
Further, I don't have your discipline. I'm playing daily games virtually every day - it's so rare that I take a day off - mostly Saturdays, but there I was last Saturday entering three lineups on one site and two on another. I don't have the football magazine to complete, so it's a little different, but it's so consuming. I can't see this lasting six months, let alone playing DFS football or any other sport avidly.
Chris (7:29 PM PT, Wednesday, April 1):
The last of my drafts - "Beat Chris Liss 2" - took place Monday night, and I didn't realize, but it was my 10th league this year, and that's not counting our Scoresheet League which you basically run, and for which I occasionally consult. Ten is an all-time record for me, and I'm not proud of it. Ideally, I'd have 3-4 good leagues, and live and die with their results. With 10, it's too easy to write off the ones with bad injury luck or where things don't break your way, and nearly impossible to do well in all of them. And whichever ones in which you do poorly - even if you kill eight others - there will always be some ******* who can hold it over you. Moreover, with so many players in play - and with my increased participation in DFS this year - I'll probably be rooting for and against everyone in every game at the same time which diminishes the joy of watching live baseball.
Mitigating that to an extent, I typically wind up investing in many of the same players - at least where it makes sense. This year, I didn't set out to do that as much as in years past, but you like who you like at certain draft slots, and you wind up with quite a bit of overlap. Here's my overall portfolio in case you're interested.
For God knows what reason, I have five shares of John Lackey. Of all the possible players of whom one could have five shares, Lackey strikes me as a bizarre choice. I'm fine with where I got him obviously, and I think he'll have a good year, but I never would have predicted or selected him before draft season as one of my most commonly owned players. This is even stranger given I'm in two AL-only leagues, so it's really five out of eight, and one three-sport league-of-leagues where Dalton Del Don and I didn't draft any major league starting pitching, so it's actually five out of seven.
I have five shares of Miguel Cabrera, on the other hand, and I could have probably told you that in advance. I was actually quite close to having two more, having barely resisted saying "36" to top Larry Schechter's bid in AL LABR and narrowly picked Clayton Kershaw over him at No. 2 overall in the NFBC Main Event.
On the flip side, there are actually quite a few prominent players in whom I have zero shares including Mike Trout, Andrew McCutchen, Giancarlo Stanton and Jose Abreu. This isn't because I don't like those players - I'd actually love to have any of them, but I never got the first pick, and I just happen to like Kershaw and Cabrera more.
But there are some players I intentionally passed on - ones who I never once was even tempted to draft including: Adam Jones, Anthony Rendon (pre-injury), Ian Desmond, Corey Dickerson, Albert Pujols, Todd Frazier, Carlos Gonzalez, Kole Calhoun, James Shields, Mike Fiers, Nelson Cruz, Wil Myers, Neftali Feliz, Jay Bruce, Mark Trumbo, Drew Hutchison, Jedd Gyorko, Mat Latos, Evan Gattis, Salvador Perez and Albert Pujols.
I'm sure at least a few of them will be good - perhaps even the majority - but whenever they got taken it was a relief: one more player I wasn't going to take off the board, one fewer owner between me and my targets for that round. I'm sure some people reading this will think "What do you have against Dickerson or Calhoun? He's in a great situation, he did x, y and z last year, and now he'll get more opportunities..."
My first inclination when someone dislikes my players is to make a case for them too. But you can make a case for or against just about anyone at his particular ADP, so I've tried to avoid getting into that too much this year. While you risk mis-pricing a player out of ignorance this way, you also avoid getting talked into players whom your instincts rightly told you to avoid. I think the latter might be more important than the former - at least in my case where I know something about all the prominent players, and I have a good deal of experience evaluating skill sets for fantasy purposes. Maybe I'll miss a few, but they'll be my misses, and I can re-evaluate those in the offseason.