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The Bold and The Beautiful: Stats, Seahawks & San Diego

Written by 
Keith Goldner
Published on August 31, 2011

The Bold

The Seattle Seahawks won't win more than 5 games this season. After making the playoffs at 7-9 last season and shocking the Saints in the first round of the playoffs, the Seahawks far outperformed expectation. Hasselbeck and crew were a train wreck on offense last year, averaging 0.12 points below average per play last season. That means in a typical game, the Seahawks would score 7-8 points less than an average team should in their situation. Only the Cardinals and Panthers were worse.

The Seahawks, however, went out and upgraded picked up Tarvaris Jackson. Jackson and Hasselbeck's passing efficiency numbers are eerily similar. In their most recent seasons with a large enough sample size of attempts, both contributed to a passing offense that was 0.14 points below average per play - right around where the Seahawks were last season. The only bright spot is Sidney Rice, who, when healthy posts similar receiving efficiency numbers to Calvin Johnson and Greg Jennings. That being said, Rice still needs a more efficient QB throwing him the ball.

The Beautiful

The San Diego Chargers will win at least 12 games. The Chargers lost ridiculous games last year, mostly due to Special Teams follies and sheer poor luck. The Chargers actually posted the 4th most efficient defense in the league, allowing 0.12 points below average per play last season. This equates to preventing 7-8 points per game that should have been scored by opponents.

Add in the most efficient tight end in the league - who added over 1.4 points to his team's production with every reception - the second most efficient passer in Philly The Kid, and you've got a team poised for great things. The Chargers will be heavy favorites in almost every game this season, with the exception of Week 2 at New England and Week 9 vs Green Bay.

The most accurate weekly projections from numberFire.com based on wall-street style analytics. numberFire outpredicted two of the most trafficked fantasy sites 70|PERCENT| of the time and are 54-55|PERCENT| against the spread over the last 3 seasons.