If you're new here...sorry about that. You've arrived during one of the least dramatic downswings of the season, just a pretty steady run of negative nights, some caused by variance, some just caused by being wrong. Vets of this space will tell you that we've run from 12 units down (in the first week of the season) up to +30 (just a few weeks ago) and have been in the black for all but a day since April.

Listening to ESPN's Chad Millman, who has a new podcast -- check it out through iTunes -- brought it home, though. He had longtime Las Vegas bookmaker Jimmy Vaccaro on, and Vaccaro related a story about being a young guy starting out in Vegas, meeting a veteran who told him, "You're only as good as your last number, and don't ever forget it." As a writer, my self-worth tends to rise and fall with the caliber of my last column, so I get what he's saying, and heaven knows I've been betting my ego four times a week here at Rotowire. Losing money hurts; losing pride hurts worse.

Knowledge is my reward, sir.

Toronto +180, one unit. A little bit of Brandon Morrow here, as well as a sense that A.J. Burnett's high-variance act makes the opposition a good investment at this price. Holding me back a little is that this line seems low for the hype surrounding the Yankees.

Tampa Bay -118, two units. Better pitcher (yup) and better team at home.