Thursday was more or less a planned day off, but given how bad the week has gone I took Friday as well, mostly a mental break. As I've mentioned before, tilt management is an issue for me, and if passing one day's card keeps me sane for the next 120 days, it's a good trade-off. Especially if it means I miss yet another Rockies' one-run loss.

Houston -113, one unit. Jumping on Roy Oswalt at a good number. The Astros' offense is not ever going to be good, but it isn't really a three-runs-per-game offense, either. We're starting to see it perform closer to expectations.

Cincinnati/Washington over 9 (+100), three units. Mike Leake, whatever his talent, has opened his career with a baby-soft slate of opponents. Two starts each against the Pirates and Astros make up nearly half his career. He's had just two starts against average or better offenses. The Nats will be the third-toughest test he's faced. I'd just do a straight fade, except that Luis Atilano is terrible.

San Diego/Philadelphia over 9 (-110), one unit. "Due" is a myth. Regression, however, isn't, and these Phillies home totals are slipping a bit too much during their extended slump. The true talent level here, even without Jimmy Rollins, is five runs per game. Against Jon Garland, higher. The flip side is Jamie Moyer and his tales of the Reconstruction.

Colorado -123, two units. I just never learn. The combination of fading Dontrelle Willis and getting the best team in the NL...the real surprise here is that I haven't started a 900 number today just to tout this pick.

Oakland +112, one unit. Trevor Cahill. And can I just say how bitter I am that I missed being on him against Verlander last time out?