I had trouble finding good up-to-date win-totals lines. This link on Covers.com from August 11 was okay, but the vig was pretty big (average of -115). You'd be better off with one where the spread was -110 on both sides when the action was split. (-120/EVEN would be the same thing, but as you can see below, it's -130/EVEN on a lot of them).
Since 8/11, the biggest news is probably the injuries to Shawne Merriman and Osi Umenyiora, so you could probably get better odds on the Chargers and Giants.
Also, I don't like what they've done here - move the line, not the odds. Because too often teams I like to beat the number (Denver, SF, NYG) have terrible odds. So instead of just picking how you think a team will do, you're juggling whether you feel strongly enough to pay far more if you lose. That's not the game I'd like to play - prefer just getting a total, and picking a side, knowing there's a reasonable (-110) vig. But it is what it is, so I'll make a couple picks.
Finally, RW Staff, before you go crazy offering me the other side, remember, I'm not going to pay you the vig - we'd have to split it down the middle.
Team | Over | Under |
Arizona | 7.5 (-145) | 7.5 (+115) |
Atlanta | 4.5 (-125) | 4.5 (-105) |
Baltimore | 6.0 (-130) | 6.0 (Even) |
Buffalo | 7.5 (-145) | 7.5 (+115) |
Carolina | 7.5 (-165) | 7.5 (+135) |
Chicago | 8.0 (+120) | 8.0 (-150) |
Cincinnati | 7.0 (-130) | 7.0 (Even) |
Cleveland | 8.0 (-115) | 8.0 (-115) |
Dallas | 10.5 (-140) | 10.5 (+110) |
Denver | 7.5 (-175) | 7.5 (+145) |
Detroit | 6.5 (-130) | 6.5 (Even) |
Green Bay | 8.5 (-115) | 8.5 (-115) |
Houston | 7.5 (-130) | 7.5 (Even) |
Indianapolis | 11.0 (+120) | 11.0 (-150) |
Jacksonville | 10.0 (-115) | 10.0 (-115) |
Kansas City | 5.5 (-160) | 5.5 (+130) |
Miami | 5.5 (Even) | 5.5 (-130) |
Minnesota | 8.5 (-150) | 8.5 (+120) |
New England | 12.0 (-190) | 12.0 (+155) |
New Orleans | 8.5 (-155) | 8.5 (+125 |
NY Giants | 8.5 (-165) | 8.5 (+135) |
NY Jets | 7.5 (-125) | 7.5 (-105) |
Oakland | 6.0 (-120) | 6.0 (Even) |
Philadelphia | 8.5 (-190) | 8.5 (+150) |
Pittsburgh | 9.0 (-115) | 9.0 (-115) |
San Diego | 10.5 (-175) | 10.5 (+145) |
San Francisco | 6.0 (-155) | 6.0 (+125) |
Seattle | 8.5 (-170) | 8.5 (+140) |
St. Louis | 6.5 (-130) | 6.5 (Even) |
Tampa Bay | 8.0 (-145) | 8.0 (+115) |
Tennessee | 8.0 (+110) | 8.0 (-140) |
Washington | 7.5 (-145) | 7.5 (+115) |
I like Seattle +140 under 8.5. They're okay, but getting 7:5 that they don't win 9 games is pretty good.
I'd take under 7.5 for WAS at +115 - tough division, unproven QB, new coach, new system.
I'd probably take GB over 8.5 in that division at -115.
And roll the dice on Tennessee over 8.0 at +110 despite a tough division.
If we lose the odds, I love:
Over on the Giants at 8.5 despite the Osi injury, under on the Bears at 8, over on the Broncos at 7.5 (but not for -175!) and over on the Niners at 6.