Last week I raised the debate of whether you would rather have Marcus Camby or Chris Kaman for the rest of the season. Basically, would you rather have a potent young player on the rise or an (arguably) more potent veteran with a history of injury? This week, let's have a similar discussion about Baron Davis vs. Deron Williams.
On most player raters, Baron Davis is ranked ahead of Deron Williams with Davis most likely in the top-10 overall and Williams somewhere around the top-25. On the other hand, Williams is a young player on the rise who has played in 80 games in each of his two seasons thus far while Davis is a veteran that has missed at least 15 games in each of the last five seasons with an average of 26 missed games per year over that stretch. Davis' combination of scoring, assists, steals, and 3-pointers is unmatched in the NBA, but Williams is no slouch as an almost 20-point/10-assist player that also shoots 50% from the field.
Just like Camby last week, the thought that Davis has yet to miss a game this season almost feels like a ticking time-bomb when he has been so consistent an absentee over the years. But also like Camby, the fact that Davis is the more elite player makes me tend to rank him higher with the thought that you'd rather have 'elite' in the playoffs than 'very good'. But if Davis has his injury during the playoffs, you could very easily be stuck with nothing at the most important time of the season. Dilemmas, dilemmas…
In the end, in a keeper league or a rotisserie league I probably play it safe and go with Williams since health and games count more in roto leagues than head-to-head. But in a head-to-head league with playoffs…call me a gambler, but I believe that Davis is not going to sit out down the stretch for a Warriors team that has post-season aspirations. So in that situation, I rank Davis ahead of young Deron.
That is my stance…what is yours?