In my last post, I used the Steamer projections, run through my formula, to create an overall list for the NFBC format and compared it to NFBC ADP. Here I want examine the players about which there's the most disagreement on the two lists:
Steamer Rk | Player | Steamer $ | NFBC ADP | NFBC $ | $ Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 | Eric Thames | 20.96 | 178 | 4.50 | 16.46 |
86 | Shawn Kelley | 14.87 | 211 | 3.02 | 11.85 |
91 | Victor Martinez | 14.28 | 229 | 2.43 | 11.85 |
36 | Andrew Miller | 21.27 | 115 | 9.65 | 11.62 |
106 | Matt Shoemaker | 13.05 | 222 | 2.64 | 10.41 |
122 | Melky Cabrera | 11.97 | 261 | 1.65 | 10.32 |
102 | Tommy Joseph | 13.18 | 214 | 2.91 | 10.27 |
100 | Mike Moustakas | 13.35 | 206 | 3.20 | 10.15 |
49 | Adam Jones | 19.56 | 117 | 9.42 | 10.14 |
51 | Carlos Santana | 19.02 | 120 | 9.08 | 9.94 |
114 | Michael Pineda | 12.54 | 203 | 3.32 | 9.22 |
90 | Lance McCullers | 14.53 | 162 | 5.46 | 9.07 |
105 | Kole Calhoun | 13.09 | 186 | 4.08 | 9.01 |
123 | Robbie Ray | 11.95 | 213 | 2.94 | 9.01 |
155 | Shin-Soo Choo | 8.89 | 328 | 0.00 | 8.89 |
79 | Albert Pujols | 15.93 | 136 | 7.48 | 8.45 |
87 | Dallas Keuchel | 14.86 | 145 | 6.71 | 8.15 |
97 | Kendrys Morales | 13.55 | 160 | 5.59 | 7.96 |
128 | Jeff Samardzija | 11.41 | 198 | 3.53 | 7.88 |
133 | Cam Bedrosian | 10.84 | 210 | 3.05 | 7.79 |
70 | Maikel Franco | 16.70 | 121 | 8.97 | 7.73 |
56 | Eric Hosmer | 18.34 | 106 | 10.76 | 7.58 |
117 | James Paxton | 12.24 | 166 | 5.20 | 7.04 |
160 | Matt Holliday | 8.51 | 262 | 1.63 | 6.88 |
148 | Yasiel Puig | 9.40 | 220 | 2.70 | 6.70 |
82 | Adam Eaton | 15.12 | 126 | 8.44 | 6.68 |
130 | Kevin Kiermaier | 11.02 | 179 | 4.44 | 6.58 |
188 | Josh Reddick | 6.55 | 299 | 0.00 | 6.55 |
189 | Gio Gonzalez | 6.50 | 291 | 0.00 | 6.50 |
134 | Marcell Ozuna | 10.77 | 181 | 4.34 | 6.43 |
145 | Aaron Nola | 9.84 | 200 | 3.45 | 6.39 |
22 | Carlos Gonzalez | 24.14 | 64 | 17.89 | 6.25 |
194 | Collin McHugh | 6.19 | 284 | 0.00 | 6.19 |
151 | Stephen Vogt | 9.27 | 204 | 3.28 | 5.99 |
68 | Evan Longoria | 17.01 | 104 | 11.02 | 5.99 |
120 | Jameson Taillon | 12.09 | 151 | 6.24 | 5.85 |
199 | Curtis Granderson | 5.80 | 279 | 0.00 | 5.80 |
107 | Dustin Pedroia | 13.02 | 137 | 7.39 | 5.63 |
67 | Khris Davis | 17.32 | 99 | 11.71 | 5.61 |
47 | Justin Upton | 19.82 | 83 | 14.22 | 5.60 |
143 | Dellin Betances | 9.94 | 177 | 4.55 | 5.39 |
173 | Greg Bird | 7.47 | 241 | 2.10 | 5.37 |
126 | Aledmys Diaz | 11.61 | 150 | 6.31 | 5.30 |
99 | Justin Turner | 13.45 | 128 | 8.24 | 5.21 |
164 | Marcus Semien | 8.27 | 207 | 3.17 | 5.10 |
169 | Carlos Beltran | 7.92 | 216 | 2.84 | 5.08 |
207 | Brett Gardner | 5.06 | 285 | 0.00 | 5.06 |
161 | Nomar Mazara | 8.45 | 201 | 3.40 | 5.05 |
208 | Corey Dickerson | 5.03 | 290 | 0.00 | 5.03 |
186 | David Peralta | 6.60 | 265 | 1.57 | 5.03 |
154 | Yadier Molina | 8.91 | 190 | 3.89 | 5.02 |
209 | Martin Prado | 5.01 | 340 | 0.00 | 5.01 |
135 | Steven Matz | 10.70 | 157 | 5.80 | 4.90 |
147 | Matt Moore | 9.43 | 176 | 4.61 | 4.82 |
187 | Domingo Santana | 6.60 | 254 | 1.79 | 4.81 |
142 | Jonathan Schoop | 10.00 | 165 | 5.26 | 4.74 |
179 | Garrett Richards | 6.89 | 238 | 2.17 | 4.72 |
213 | Josh Bell | 4.71 | 293 | 0.00 | 4.71 |
172 | Drew Smyly | 7.58 | 215 | 2.87 | 4.71 |
163 | Joc Pederson | 8.36 | 195 | 3.66 | 4.70 |
165 | Ryon Healy | 8.26 | 197 | 3.57 | 4.69 |
146 | Raisel Iglesias | 9.46 | 173 | 4.78 | 4.68 |
216 | Kevin Pillar | 4.66 | 304 | 0.00 | 4.66 |
178 | Max Kepler | 6.94 | 234 | 2.28 | 4.66 |
103 | Rich Hill | 13.16 | 125 | 8.55 | 4.61 |
174 | Logan Forsythe | 7.29 | 219 | 2.74 | 4.55 |
166 | Rajai Davis | 8.26 | 194 | 3.71 | 4.55 |
138 | Tim Anderson | 10.40 | 156 | 5.87 | 4.53 |
219 | Denard Span | 4.47 | 356 | 0.00 | 4.47 |
54 | Adrian Beltre | 18.48 | 84 | 14.04 | 4.44 |
221 | Cesar Hernandez | 4.36 | 283 | 0.00 | 4.36 |
144 | Brad Miller | 9.87 | 161 | 5.53 | 4.34 |
222 | Justin Bour | 4.26 | 302 | 0.00 | 4.26 |
152 | Adrian Gonzalez | 9.00 | 172 | 4.84 | 4.16 |
60 | Wade Davis | 18.04 | 85 | 13.88 | 4.16 |
229 | Brandon Moss | 4.09 | 315 | 0.00 | 4.09 |
171 | Ender Inciarte | 7.67 | 196 | 3.62 | 4.05 |
181 | Mike Napoli | 6.83 | 217 | 2.80 | 4.03 |
112 | Danny Salazar | 12.62 | 124 | 8.65 | 3.97 |
233 | Joe Mauer | 3.93 | 409 | 0.00 | 3.93 |
18 | Kenley Jansen | 26.46 | 45 | 22.53 | 3.93 |
95 | Jose Bautista | 13.87 | 112 | 10.00 | 3.87 |
125 | Stephen Piscotty | 11.84 | 130 | 8.04 | 3.80 |
43 | Andrew McCutchen | 20.62 | 69 | 16.84 | 3.78 |
64 | DJ LeMahieu | 17.44 | 86 | 13.71 | 3.73 |
236 | Austin Hedges | 3.73 | 297 | 0.00 | 3.73 |
52 | Edwin Diaz | 18.69 | 78 | 15.10 | 3.59 |
129 | Salvador Perez | 11.26 | 133 | 7.76 | 3.50 |
204 | Didi Gregorius | 5.25 | 253 | 1.81 | 3.44 |
31 | Jose Abreu | 21.75 | 62 | 18.33 | 3.42 |
203 | Neil Walker | 5.28 | 247 | 1.95 | 3.33 |
153 | John Lackey | 8.95 | 159 | 5.66 | 3.29 |
244 | Mike Zunino | 3.28 | 278 | 0.00 | 3.28 |
247 | Lance Lynn | 3.23 | 282 | 0.00 | 3.23 |
149 | Carlos Gomez | 9.37 | 152 | 6.16 | 3.21 |
62 | Chris Davis | 17.74 | 81 | 14.56 | 3.18 |
167 | Brandon Belt | 8.15 | 169 | 5.02 | 3.13 |
198 | Randal Grichuk | 5.92 | 212 | 2.98 | 2.94 |
250 | Nick Markakis | 2.94 | 374 | 0.00 | 2.94 |
215 | Jason Heyward | 4.69 | 256 | 1.75 | 2.94 |
121 | Odubel Herrera | 12.05 | 119 | 9.19 | 2.86 |
214 | Jacoby Ellsbury | 4.71 | 250 | 1.88 | 2.83 |
20 | Aroldis Chapman | 25.54 | 44 | 22.80 | 2.74 |
210 | Starlin Castro | 4.94 | 236 | 2.23 | 2.71 |
177 | Vince Velasquez | 6.94 | 182 | 4.29 | 2.65 |
226 | Wilson Ramos | 4.12 | 269 | 1.49 | 2.63 |
230 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 4.07 | 271 | 1.46 | 2.61 |
176 | Jon Gray | 6.95 | 180 | 4.39 | 2.56 |
223 | Jung Ho Kang | 4.23 | 258 | 1.71 | 2.52 |
253 | Francisco Cervelli | 2.45 | 310 | 0.00 | 2.45 |
254 | Travis Jankowski | 2.43 | 287 | 0.00 | 2.43 |
113 | Gerrit Cole | 12.62 | 110 | 10.25 | 2.37 |
127 | Miguel Sano | 11.59 | 118 | 9.30 | 2.29 |
255 | Yan Gomes | 2.25 | 309 | 0.00 | 2.25 |
140 | Lorenzo Cain | 10.12 | 131 | 7.95 | 2.17 |
196 | Dexter Fowler | 6.15 | 187 | 4.03 | 2.12 |
217 | Adam Wainwright | 4.66 | 225 | 2.55 | 2.11 |
40 | Carlos Carrasco | 20.88 | 60 | 18.78 | 2.10 |
83 | Anthony Rendon | 15.08 | 90 | 13.06 | 2.02 |
238 | Eugenio Suarez | 3.57 | 264 | 1.59 | 1.98 |
1 | Clayton Kershaw | 43.32 | 3 | 41.38 | 1.94 |
89 | Matt Kemp | 14.67 | 92 | 12.75 | 1.92 |
205 | Nick Castellanos | 5.21 | 202 | 3.36 | 1.85 |
259 | Alcides Escobar | 1.80 | 327 | 0.00 | 1.80 |
156 | Yasmani Grandal | 8.80 | 141 | 7.04 | 1.76 |
159 | Jake Lamb | 8.54 | 144 | 6.79 | 1.75 |
228 | Blake Snell | 4.10 | 231 | 2.37 | 1.73 |
262 | Steve Pearce | 1.61 | 405 | 0.00 | 1.61 |
72 | Hanley Ramirez | 16.52 | 79 | 14.92 | 1.60 |
235 | Brandon Maurer | 3.77 | 233 | 2.31 | 1.46 |
245 | Ian Kennedy | 3.25 | 252 | 1.84 | 1.41 |
116 | Jose Quintana | 12.28 | 105 | 10.89 | 1.39 |
239 | Joe Ross | 3.47 | 239 | 2.15 | 1.32 |
190 | Brian McCann | 6.40 | 168 | 5.08 | 1.32 |
265 | Seth Smith | 1.25 | 426 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
65 | Mark Trumbo | 17.42 | 72 | 16.24 | 1.18 |
267 | Jason Castro | 1.18 | 379 | 0.00 | 1.18 |
273 | Francisco Liriano | 1.01 | 305 | 0.00 | 1.01 |
240 | Hunter Renfroe | 3.46 | 228 | 2.45 | 1.01 |
276 | Matt Duffy | 0.97 | 337 | 0.00 | 0.97 |
197 | Russell Martin | 6.09 | 167 | 5.14 | 0.95 |
180 | Adam Duvall | 6.87 | 155 | 5.94 | 0.93 |
277 | Alex Gordon | 0.84 | 326 | 0.00 | 0.84 |
252 | Ivan Nova | 2.51 | 260 | 1.67 | 0.84 |
201 | Ben Zobrist | 5.48 | 175 | 4.66 | 0.82 |
278 | Jeremy Hellickson | 0.81 | 311 | 0.00 | 0.81 |
77 | Kyle Schwarber | 16.07 | 77 | 15.29 | 0.78 |
182 | Marcus Stroman | 6.78 | 154 | 6.02 | 0.76 |
131 | Rick Porcello | 10.89 | 111 | 10.13 | 0.76 |
33 | Stephen Strasburg | 21.65 | 51 | 20.95 | 0.70 |
281 | Joe Panik | 0.60 | 317 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
237 | Devon Travis | 3.68 | 208 | 3.13 | 0.55 |
119 | Jason Kipnis | 12.10 | 100 | 11.57 | 0.53 |
220 | Carlos Rodon | 4.36 | 191 | 3.84 | 0.52 |
175 | Kevin Gausman | 7.14 | 146 | 6.63 | 0.51 |
283 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.50 | 289 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
284 | Zach Davies | 0.47 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
246 | Drew Pomeranz | 3.24 | 218 | 2.77 | 0.47 |
286 | Yunel Escobar | 0.42 | 455 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
101 | Alex Bregman | 13.32 | 91 | 12.90 | 0.42 |
287 | James McCann | 0.41 | 321 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
78 | Todd Frazier | 16.02 | 75 | 15.66 | 0.36 |
257 | Neftali Feliz | 2.13 | 255 | 1.77 | 0.36 |
48 | Christian Yelich | 19.82 | 57 | 19.48 | 0.34 |
162 | Andrew Benintendi | 8.45 | 129 | 8.14 | 0.31 |
141 | Jeurys Familia | 10.06 | 114 | 9.77 | 0.29 |
108 | Jose Ramirez | 12.87 | 93 | 12.59 | 0.28 |
218 | Jake Odorizzi | 4.50 | 183 | 4.23 | 0.27 |
261 | Travis d'Arnaud | 1.67 | 274 | 1.41 | 0.26 |
183 | Matt Harvey | 6.67 | 148 | 6.47 | 0.20 |
192 | Elvis Andrus | 6.29 | 153 | 6.09 | 0.20 |
231 | Matt Wieters | 4.07 | 189 | 3.94 | 0.13 |
170 | Felix Hernandez | 7.68 | 135 | 7.57 | 0.11 |
98 | Ken Giles | 13.48 | 88 | 13.38 | 0.10 |
289 | Lucas Duda | 0.10 | 349 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
291 | Tyler Glasnow | 0.06 | 281 | 0.00 | 0.06 |
248 | Hunter Pence | 3.11 | 209 | 3.09 | 0.02 |
224 | Dansby Swanson | 4.15 | 185 | 4.13 | 0.02 |
300 | Greg Holland | 0.00 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
6 | Miguel Cabrera | 33.59 | 14 | 33.63 | -0.04 |
124 | Danny Duffy | 11.93 | 97 | 12.00 | -0.07 |
24 | Rougned Odor | 23.74 | 40 | 23.93 | -0.19 |
301 | Mike Foltynewicz | -0.20 | 313 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
184 | Jackie Bradley | 6.66 | 143 | 6.87 | -0.21 |
302 | Ervin Santana | -0.22 | 329 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
266 | Josh Harrison | 1.19 | 273 | 1.42 | -0.23 |
241 | J.A. Happ | 3.45 | 193 | 3.75 | -0.30 |
303 | Jayson Werth | -0.34 | 373 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
104 | Masahiro Tanaka | 13.15 | 87 | 13.54 | -0.39 |
80 | Craig Kimbrel | 15.40 | 74 | 15.85 | -0.45 |
304 | Tyler Flowers | -0.48 | 350 | 0.00 | -0.48 |
305 | Scott Schebler | -0.52 | 386 | 0.00 | -0.52 |
307 | Howie Kendrick | -0.62 | 343 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
206 | Troy Tulowitzki | 5.10 | 158 | 5.73 | -0.63 |
74 | Kyle Seager | 16.40 | 68 | 17.05 | -0.65 |
232 | Welington Castillo | 4.05 | 174 | 4.72 | -0.67 |
258 | Michael Brantley | 1.88 | 224 | 2.58 | -0.70 |
279 | Yuli Gurriel | 0.71 | 272 | 1.44 | -0.73 |
274 | Fernando Rodney | 1.00 | 257 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
308 | Ryan Zimmerman | -0.76 | 404 | 0.00 | -0.76 |
264 | Jharel Cotton | 1.44 | 237 | 2.20 | -0.76 |
44 | Chris Archer | 20.41 | 50 | 21.20 | -0.79 |
268 | Brandon Crawford | 1.13 | 248 | 1.93 | -0.80 |
25 | Nelson Cruz | 23.17 | 39 | 24.22 | -1.05 |
202 | Tony Watson | 5.48 | 147 | 6.55 | -1.07 |
310 | Alex Cobb | -1.07 | 300 | 0.00 | -1.07 |
275 | Cameron Rupp | 0.97 | 243 | 2.05 | -1.08 |
311 | Jorge Polanco | -1.17 | 372 | 0.00 | -1.17 |
312 | Eduardo Rodriguez | -1.17 | 292 | 0.00 | -1.17 |
280 | Jedd Gyorko | 0.66 | 251 | 1.86 | -1.20 |
150 | Evan Gattis | 9.37 | 107 | 10.63 | -1.26 |
288 | Asdrubal Cabrera | 0.23 | 268 | 1.51 | -1.28 |
93 | Ian Kinsler | 14.19 | 76 | 15.47 | -1.28 |
313 | Devin Mesoraco | -1.29 | 295 | 0.00 | -1.29 |
269 | Taijuan Walker | 1.12 | 227 | 2.48 | -1.36 |
314 | Avisail Garcia | -1.41 | 416 | 0.00 | -1.41 |
315 | Trevor Plouffe | -1.44 | 435 | 0.00 | -1.44 |
285 | Manuel Margot | 0.46 | 249 | 1.90 | -1.44 |
316 | Mitch Haniger | -1.53 | 353 | 0.00 | -1.53 |
299 | Brandon Kintzler | 0.00 | 266 | 1.55 | -1.55 |
59 | Ian Desmond | 18.16 | 56 | 19.72 | -1.56 |
200 | Michael Fulmer | 5.63 | 139 | 7.21 | -1.58 |
298 | Nate Jones | 0.00 | 263 | 1.61 | -1.61 |
318 | Jordan Zimmermann | -1.63 | 320 | 0.00 | -1.63 |
137 | Zack Greinke | 10.51 | 96 | 12.14 | -1.63 |
212 | Yasmany Tomas | 4.73 | 149 | 6.39 | -1.66 |
297 | Addison Reed | 0.00 | 259 | 1.69 | -1.69 |
319 | Michael Saunders | -1.73 | 363 | 0.00 | -1.73 |
320 | Steven Souza | -1.73 | 348 | 0.00 | -1.73 |
85 | Mark Melancon | 14.88 | 70 | 16.64 | -1.76 |
75 | Gregory Polanco | 16.34 | 63 | 18.11 | -1.77 |
168 | J.T. Realmuto | 8.04 | 113 | 9.88 | -1.84 |
66 | Yoenis Cespedes | 17.39 | 58 | 19.24 | -1.85 |
322 | Jose Iglesias | -1.85 | 465 | 0.00 | -1.85 |
323 | Jett Bandy | -1.87 | 399 | 0.00 | -1.87 |
249 | Keon Broxton | 3.09 | 170 | 4.96 | -1.87 |
136 | Kelvin Herrera | 10.57 | 94 | 12.44 | -1.87 |
324 | Ryan Schimpf | -1.90 | 344 | 0.00 | -1.90 |
325 | Andrelton Simmons | -1.91 | 371 | 0.00 | -1.91 |
2 | Mike Trout | 42.46 | 1 | 44.38 | -1.92 |
326 | Jason Hammel | -1.98 | 324 | 0.00 | -1.98 |
328 | Jorge Soler | -2.06 | 286 | 0.00 | -2.06 |
294 | Hector Neris | 0.00 | 240 | 2.12 | -2.12 |
329 | Sandy Leon | -2.12 | 277 | 0.00 | -2.12 |
330 | Pablo Sandoval | -2.12 | 364 | 0.00 | -2.12 |
185 | David Robertson | 6.64 | 123 | 8.76 | -2.12 |
270 | Jerad Eickhoff | 1.10 | 205 | 3.24 | -2.14 |
331 | Trevor Bauer | -2.20 | 314 | 0.00 | -2.20 |
332 | Chase Headley | -2.27 | 434 | 0.00 | -2.27 |
55 | J.D. Martinez | 18.40 | 52 | 20.69 | -2.29 |
333 | Kolten Wong | -2.31 | 330 | 0.00 | -2.31 |
296 | Ryan Madson | 0.00 | 232 | 2.34 | -2.34 |
39 | Johnny Cueto | 20.89 | 42 | 23.36 | -2.47 |
306 | Anthony DeSclafani | -0.60 | 244 | 2.02 | -2.62 |
292 | Sonny Gray | 0.03 | 221 | 2.67 | -2.64 |
76 | Zach Britton | 16.31 | 59 | 19.01 | -2.70 |
335 | Aaron Judge | -2.71 | 376 | 0.00 | -2.71 |
30 | Giancarlo Stanton | 21.79 | 38 | 24.52 | -2.73 |
96 | Matt Carpenter | 13.62 | 71 | 16.44 | -2.82 |
337 | Hyun Soo Kim | -2.83 | 431 | 0.00 | -2.83 |
282 | Jay Bruce | 0.50 | 199 | 3.49 | -2.99 |
338 | Chris Herrmann | -3.04 | 375 | 0.00 | -3.04 |
45 | Justin Verlander | 20.03 | 43 | 23.08 | -3.05 |
256 | Julio Urias | 2.16 | 164 | 5.33 | -3.17 |
339 | Daniel Norris | -3.24 | 280 | 0.00 | -3.24 |
69 | Wil Myers | 16.72 | 55 | 19.96 | -3.24 |
111 | Seung Hwan Oh | 12.74 | 73 | 16.05 | -3.31 |
321 | Orlando Arcia | -1.85 | 270 | 1.48 | -3.33 |
94 | Jacob deGrom | 14.11 | 66 | 17.47 | -3.36 |
263 | Sean Manaea | 1.53 | 171 | 4.90 | -3.37 |
57 | Gary Sanchez | 18.30 | 48 | 21.72 | -3.42 |
341 | Mitch Moreland | -3.44 | 338 | 0.00 | -3.44 |
327 | Junior Guerra | -2.06 | 275 | 1.39 | -3.45 |
132 | Cole Hamels | 10.88 | 82 | 14.39 | -3.51 |
225 | Addison Russell | 4.14 | 134 | 7.66 | -3.52 |
158 | Kenta Maeda | 8.76 | 95 | 12.29 | -3.53 |
53 | Ryan Braun | 18.63 | 46 | 22.25 | -3.62 |
309 | Jarrod Dyson | -1.05 | 223 | 2.61 | -3.66 |
242 | Byron Buxton | 3.40 | 140 | 7.13 | -3.73 |
88 | David Price | 14.82 | 61 | 18.56 | -3.74 |
345 | Tyler Naquin | -3.79 | 318 | 0.00 | -3.79 |
295 | Jim Johnson | 0.00 | 192 | 3.80 | -3.80 |
34 | Jon Lester | 21.62 | 35 | 25.43 | -3.81 |
10 | Max Scherzer | 31.31 | 12 | 35.13 | -3.82 |
317 | C.J. Cron | -1.57 | 235 | 2.26 | -3.83 |
346 | Kennys Vargas | -3.90 | 429 | 0.00 | -3.90 |
4 | Manny Machado | 35.20 | 8 | 39.13 | -3.93 |
26 | Robinson Cano | 22.94 | 30 | 27.01 | -4.07 |
14 | Noah Syndergaard | 27.78 | 18 | 31.88 | -4.10 |
336 | Chris Carter | -2.73 | 276 | 1.37 | -4.10 |
191 | Julio Teheran | 6.36 | 108 | 10.50 | -4.14 |
347 | Jhonny Peralta | -4.21 | 456 | 0.00 | -4.21 |
9 | Trea Turner | 31.65 | 10 | 35.88 | -4.23 |
11 | Anthony Rizzo | 30.01 | 13 | 34.25 | -4.24 |
21 | Corey Kluber | 24.66 | 24 | 29.05 | -4.39 |
19 | Chris Sale | 25.72 | 21 | 30.13 | -4.41 |
157 | Willson Contreras | 8.77 | 89 | 13.22 | -4.45 |
348 | Cameron Maybin | -4.56 | 296 | 0.00 | -4.56 |
139 | Roberto Osuna | 10.13 | 80 | 14.74 | -4.61 |
349 | Jose Reyes | -4.78 | 294 | 0.00 | -4.78 |
115 | Carlos Martinez | 12.43 | 67 | 17.26 | -4.83 |
109 | Kyle Hendricks | 12.82 | 65 | 17.68 | -4.86 |
3 | Mookie Betts | 38.73 | 2 | 43.75 | -5.02 |
342 | Dylan Bundy | -3.56 | 267 | 1.53 | -5.09 |
334 | Tom Murphy | -2.62 | 226 | 2.51 | -5.13 |
193 | Cody Allen | 6.25 | 101 | 11.43 | -5.18 |
8 | Bryce Harper | 31.68 | 9 | 36.88 | -5.20 |
260 | Sam Dyson | 1.71 | 142 | 6.96 | -5.25 |
84 | Jean Segura | 14.94 | 54 | 20.20 | -5.26 |
350 | Jurickson Profar | -5.27 | 369 | 0.00 | -5.27 |
351 | Brandon Finnegan | -5.28 | 333 | 0.00 | -5.28 |
293 | Adam Ottavino | 0.00 | 163 | 5.39 | -5.39 |
352 | Zack Cozart | -5.49 | 385 | 0.00 | -5.49 |
41 | George Springer | 20.84 | 32 | 26.37 | -5.53 |
353 | Travis Shaw | -5.54 | 306 | 0.00 | -5.54 |
243 | Javier Baez | 3.31 | 122 | 8.86 | -5.55 |
343 | Brandon Drury | -3.58 | 246 | 1.97 | -5.55 |
50 | Daniel Murphy | 19.23 | 37 | 24.82 | -5.59 |
195 | Alex Colome | 6.19 | 98 | 11.85 | -5.66 |
17 | Charlie Blackmon | 26.53 | 17 | 32.25 | -5.72 |
344 | Leonys Martin | -3.71 | 242 | 2.07 | -5.78 |
340 | Marco Estrada | -3.42 | 230 | 2.40 | -5.82 |
355 | Danny Valencia | -5.84 | 335 | 0.00 | -5.84 |
7 | Nolan Arenado | 33.54 | 6 | 39.50 | -5.96 |
356 | Lonnie Chisenhall | -6.05 | 448 | 0.00 | -6.05 |
357 | Colby Rasmus | -6.21 | 479 | 0.00 | -6.21 |
271 | Tanner Roark | 1.08 | 138 | 7.30 | -6.22 |
16 | Madison Bumgarner | 26.88 | 15 | 33.13 | -6.25 |
358 | Brandon Phillips | -6.30 | 288 | 0.00 | -6.30 |
211 | David Dahl | 4.85 | 103 | 11.16 | -6.31 |
32 | Xander Bogaerts | 21.70 | 27 | 28.01 | -6.31 |
28 | Freddie Freeman | 22.01 | 26 | 28.35 | -6.34 |
234 | Jose Peraza | 3.93 | 109 | 10.38 | -6.45 |
37 | Francisco Lindor | 20.97 | 28 | 27.68 | -6.71 |
46 | Yu Darvish | 19.96 | 31 | 26.69 | -6.73 |
359 | Eddie Rosario | -6.74 | 408 | 0.00 | -6.74 |
360 | Adonis Garcia | -6.80 | 384 | 0.00 | -6.80 |
251 | Eduardo Nunez | 2.71 | 116 | 9.53 | -6.82 |
58 | Brian Dozier | 18.30 | 36 | 25.12 | -6.82 |
71 | Buster Posey | 16.66 | 41 | 23.64 | -6.98 |
361 | Andrew Toles | -6.98 | 351 | 0.00 | -6.98 |
362 | Charlie Tilson | -7.14 | 391 | 0.00 | -7.14 |
227 | Aaron Sanchez | 4.12 | 102 | 11.29 | -7.17 |
272 | A.J. Ramos | 1.05 | 127 | 8.34 | -7.29 |
27 | Joey Votto | 22.28 | 22 | 29.76 | -7.48 |
5 | Jose Altuve | 33.59 | 4 | 41.13 | -7.54 |
110 | Jonathan Lucroy | 12.75 | 53 | 20.44 | -7.69 |
15 | Josh Donaldson | 27.64 | 11 | 35.38 | -7.74 |
92 | Dee Gordon | 14.25 | 47 | 21.99 | -7.74 |
290 | Francisco Rodriguez | 0.09 | 132 | 7.85 | -7.76 |
363 | Danny Espinosa | -8.02 | 367 | 0.00 | -8.02 |
364 | David Freese | -8.22 | 469 | 0.00 | -8.22 |
61 | Jake Arrieta | 17.82 | 33 | 26.05 | -8.23 |
29 | Corey Seager | 21.97 | 19 | 30.38 | -8.41 |
365 | Wilmer Flores | -8.47 | 413 | 0.00 | -8.47 |
366 | J.J. Hardy | -8.50 | 447 | 0.00 | -8.50 |
42 | Starling Marte | 20.84 | 23 | 29.40 | -8.56 |
23 | Carlos Correa | 24.07 | 16 | 32.63 | -8.56 |
35 | Jonathan Villar | 21.48 | 20 | 30.38 | -8.90 |
367 | Michael Conforto | -9.01 | 323 | 0.00 | -9.01 |
368 | Alex Dickerson | -9.18 | 395 | 0.00 | -9.18 |
73 | A.J. Pollock | 16.51 | 34 | 25.74 | -9.23 |
118 | Billy Hamilton | 12.10 | 49 | 21.46 | -9.36 |
369 | Angel Pagan | -9.57 | 476 | 0.00 | -9.57 |
354 | Hernan Perez | -5.62 | 184 | 4.18 | -9.80 |
370 | Gerardo Parra | -10.25 | 406 | 0.00 | -10.25 |
12 | Kris Bryant | 29.86 | 5 | 40.25 | -10.39 |
13 | Paul Goldschmidt | 28.80 | 7 | 39.25 | -10.45 |
371 | Chris Owings | -10.94 | 301 | 0.00 | -10.94 |
372 | Dan Vogelbach | -10.95 | 420 | 0.00 | -10.95 |
63 | Edwin Encarnacion | 17.54 | 25 | 28.70 | -11.16 |
81 | Trevor Story | 15.20 | 29 | 27.34 | -12.14 |
373 | Melvin Upton | -13.07 | 362 | 0.00 | -13.07 |
375 | Marwin Gonzalez | -14.96 | 439 | 0.00 | -14.96 |
376 | Ketel Marte | -15.06 | 352 | 0.00 | -15.06 |
377 | Raul Mondesi | -15.48 | 393 | 0.00 | -15.48 |
378 | Aaron Altherr | -15.72 | 449 | 0.00 | -15.72 |
379 | Mallex Smith | -15.76 | 355 | 0.00 | -15.76 |
380 | Freddy Galvis | -15.80 | 360 | 0.00 | -15.80 |
374 | Yoan Moncada | -14.66 | 245 | 2.00 | -16.66 |
381 | Scooter Gennett | -16.85 | 461 | 0.00 | -16.85 |
382 | Tyler Saladino | -16.97 | 422 | 0.00 | -16.97 |
383 | Tony Wolters | -17.77 | 383 | 0.00 | -17.77 |
384 | David Wright | -18.06 | 520 | 0.00 | -18.06 |
385 | Delino DeShields | -18.61 | 517 | 0.00 | -18.61 |
386 | Andrew Susac | -18.63 | 412 | 0.00 | -18.63 |
387 | Cheslor Cuthbert | -18.90 | 483 | 0.00 | -18.90 |
388 | Joey Gallo | -19.69 | 427 | 0.00 | -19.69 |
389 | Tucker Barnhart | -21.17 | 387 | 0.00 | -21.17 |
390 | Ben Revere | -21.55 | 345 | 0.00 | -21.55 |
391 | Miguel Montero | -22.27 | 450 | 0.00 | -22.27 |
392 | A.J. Reed | -24.47 | 488 | 0.00 | -24.47 |
393 | Bruce Maxwell | -24.51 | 477 | 0.00 | -24.51 |
394 | Roman Quinn | -24.70 | 414 | 0.00 | -24.70 |
395 | Jorge Alfaro | -24.79 | 459 | 0.00 | -24.79 |
396 | Blake Swihart | -25.14 | 460 | 0.00 | -25.14 |
397 | Jefry Marte | -26.26 | 436 | 0.00 | -26.26 |
398 | Nick Hundley | -26.53 | 438 | 0.00 | -26.53 |
399 | Raimel Tapia | -30.22 | 514 | 0.00 | -30.22 |
400 | Brett Lawrie | -32.21 | 401 | 0.00 | -32.21 |
At the top, the positive numbers are the players Steamer likes most relative to ADP. At the bottom, the ones NFBC likes far more than Steamer. You can ignore players with huge negative Steamer values like Brett Lawrie - those assume you left him in your lineup all year, while he wasn't playing. Moreover, for the NFBC dollar values, everyone beyond No. 276 (last player drafted for a starting roster spot), I made everyone $0. So Lawrie is hugely negative in NFBC too, and it just doesn't show up.
Here's a smaller slice of the real outliers on both sides:
Player | S$ | ADP | N $ | Diff | Player | S$ | ADP | N $ | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eric Thames | 20.96 | 178 | 4.50 | 16.46 | Yoan Moncada | -14.66 | 245 | 2.00 | -16.66 |
Shawn Kelley | 14.87 | 211 | 3.02 | 11.85 | Trevor Story | 15.20 | 29 | 27.34 | -12.14 |
Victor Martinez | 14.28 | 229 | 2.43 | 11.85 | Edwin Encarnacion | 17.54 | 25 | 28.70 | -11.16 |
Andrew Miller | 21.27 | 115 | 9.65 | 11.62 | Paul Goldschmidt | 28.80 | 7 | 39.25 | -10.45 |
Matt Shoemaker | 13.05 | 222 | 2.64 | 10.41 | Kris Bryant | 29.86 | 5 | 40.25 | -10.39 |
Melky Cabrera | 11.97 | 261 | 1.65 | 10.32 | Hernan Perez | -5.62 | 184 | 4.18 | -9.80 |
Tommy Joseph | 13.18 | 214 | 2.91 | 10.27 | Billy Hamilton | 12.10 | 49 | 21.46 | -9.36 |
Mike Moustakas | 13.35 | 206 | 3.20 | 10.15 | A.J. Pollock | 16.51 | 34 | 25.74 | -9.23 |
Adam Jones | 19.56 | 117 | 9.42 | 10.14 | Jonathan Villar | 21.48 | 20 | 30.38 | -8.90 |
Carlos Santana | 19.02 | 120 | 9.08 | 9.94 | Carlos Correa | 24.07 | 16 | 32.63 | -8.56 |
Michael Pineda | 12.54 | 203 | 3.32 | 9.22 | Starling Marte | 20.84 | 23 | 29.40 | -8.56 |
Lance McCullers | 14.53 | 162 | 5.46 | 9.07 | Corey Seager | 21.97 | 19 | 30.38 | -8.41 |
Kole Calhoun | 13.09 | 186 | 4.08 | 9.01 | Jake Arrieta | 17.82 | 33 | 26.05 | -8.23 |
Robbie Ray | 11.95 | 213 | 2.94 | 9.01 | Francisco Rodriguez | 0.09 | 132 | 7.85 | -7.76 |
Shin-Soo Choo | 8.89 | 328 | 0.00 | 8.89 | Dee Gordon | 14.25 | 47 | 21.99 | -7.74 |
Albert Pujols | 15.93 | 136 | 7.48 | 8.45 | Josh Donaldson | 27.64 | 11 | 35.38 | -7.74 |
Dallas Keuchel | 14.86 | 145 | 6.71 | 8.15 | Jonathan Lucroy | 12.75 | 53 | 20.44 | -7.69 |
Kendrys Morales | 13.55 | 160 | 5.59 | 7.96 | Jose Altuve | 33.59 | 4 | 41.13 | -7.54 |
Jeff Samardzija | 11.41 | 198 | 3.53 | 7.88 | Joey Votto | 22.28 | 22 | 29.76 | -7.48 |
Cam Bedrosian | 10.84 | 210 | 3.05 | 7.79 | A.J. Ramos | 1.05 | 127 | 8.34 | -7.29 |
Maikel Franco | 16.70 | 121 | 8.97 | 7.73 | Aaron Sanchez | 4.12 | 102 | 11.29 | -7.17 |
Eric Hosmer | 18.34 | 106 | 10.76 | 7.58 | Buster Posey | 16.66 | 41 | 23.64 | -6.98 |
James Paxton | 12.24 | 166 | 5.20 | 7.04 | Brian Dozier | 18.30 | 36 | 25.12 | -6.82 |
Matt Holliday | 8.51 | 262 | 1.63 | 6.88 | Eduardo Nunez | 2.71 | 116 | 9.53 | -6.82 |
Yasiel Puig | 9.40 | 220 | 2.70 | 6.70 | Yu Darvish | 19.96 | 31 | 26.69 | -6.73 |
Adam Eaton | 15.12 | 126 | 8.44 | 6.68 | Francisco Lindor | 20.97 | 28 | 27.68 | -6.71 |
Kevin Kiermaier | 11.02 | 179 | 4.44 | 6.58 | Jose Peraza | 3.93 | 109 | 10.38 | -6.45 |
Josh Reddick | 6.55 | 299 | 0.00 | 6.55 | Freddie Freeman | 22.01 | 26 | 28.35 | -6.34 |
Gio Gonzalez | 6.50 | 291 | 0.00 | 6.50 | Xander Bogaerts | 21.70 | 27 | 28.01 | -6.31 |
Marcell Ozuna | 10.77 | 181 | 4.34 | 6.43 | David Dahl | 4.85 | 103 | 11.16 | -6.31 |
Aaron Nola | 9.84 | 200 | 3.45 | 6.39 | Madison Bumgarner | 26.88 | 15 | 33.13 | -6.25 |
Carlos Gonzalez | 24.14 | 64 | 17.89 | 6.25 | Tanner Roark | 1.08 | 138 | 7.30 | -6.22 |
Collin McHugh | 6.19 | 284 | 0.00 | 6.19 | Nolan Arenado | 33.54 | 6 | 39.50 | -5.96 |
Stephen Vogt | 9.27 | 204 | 3.28 | 5.99 | Marco Estrada | -3.42 | 230 | 2.40 | -5.82 |
Evan Longoria | 17.01 | 104 | 11.02 | 5.99 | Leonys Martin | -3.71 | 242 | 2.07 | -5.78 |
Jameson Taillon | 12.09 | 151 | 6.24 | 5.85 | Charlie Blackmon | 26.53 | 17 | 32.25 | -5.72 |
Curtis Granderson | 5.80 | 279 | 0.00 | 5.80 | Alex Colome | 6.19 | 98 | 11.85 | -5.66 |
Dustin Pedroia | 13.02 | 137 | 7.39 | 5.63 | Daniel Murphy | 19.23 | 37 | 24.82 | -5.59 |
Khris Davis | 17.32 | 99 | 11.71 | 5.61 | Brandon Drury | -3.58 | 246 | 1.97 | -5.55 |
Justin Upton | 19.82 | 83 | 14.22 | 5.60 | Javier Baez | 3.31 | 122 | 8.86 | -5.55 |
Dellin Betances | 9.94 | 177 | 4.55 | 5.39 | George Springer | 20.84 | 32 | 26.37 | -5.53 |
Greg Bird | 7.47 | 241 | 2.10 | 5.37 | Adam Ottavino | 0.00 | 163 | 5.39 | -5.39 |
Aledmys Diaz | 11.61 | 150 | 6.31 | 5.30 | Jean Segura | 14.94 | 54 | 20.20 | -5.26 |
Justin Turner | 13.45 | 128 | 8.24 | 5.21 | Sam Dyson | 1.71 | 142 | 6.96 | -5.25 |
Marcus Semien | 8.27 | 207 | 3.17 | 5.10 | Bryce Harper | 31.68 | 9 | 36.88 | -5.20 |
Carlos Beltran | 7.92 | 216 | 2.84 | 5.08 | Cody Allen | 6.25 | 101 | 11.43 | -5.18 |
Brett Gardner | 5.06 | 285 | 0.00 | 5.06 | Tom Murphy | -2.62 | 226 | 2.51 | -5.13 |
Nomar Mazara | 8.45 | 201 | 3.40 | 5.05 | Dylan Bundy | -3.56 | 267 | 1.53 | -5.09 |
Corey Dickerson | 5.03 | 290 | 0.00 | 5.03 | Mookie Betts | 38.73 | 2 | 43.75 | -5.02 |
David Peralta | 6.60 | 265 | 1.57 | 5.03 | Kyle Hendricks | 12.82 | 65 | 17.68 | -4.86 |
Is there an edge in knowing where the two systems differ the most? While Steamer is the most accurate of the automated projections systems, it struggled most with players in their first seasons in the league. By contrast, ZIPS, which Steamer defeated soundly by most measures the last two years, did better on the rookies. Perhaps the NFBC drafters (the humans) are better when there's less data to evaluate and more uncertainty.
Of course, projections systems might suffer in high-volatility situations because they're not updated as frequently as ADP, and when Yoan Moncada starts raking in springer training, Steamer doesn't boost his plate-appearance projection of 278. Finally, I didn't price steals as a scarce category the way I did saves, but the NFBC drafters apparently do. That's why Billy Hamilton, Paul Goldschmidt, Jonathan Villar, A.J. Pollock, Starling Marte, Dee Gordon, Jose Altuve, Jose Peraza, Eduardo Nunez, Hernan Perez, Carlos Correa and Mookie Betts, among others, show up as NFBC favorites vs. Steamer.
Whether I should have given a steals scarcity bump - and what the rankings would look like if I did - is probably the subject for another post, but steals differ from saves in that there's never a set number (30) of players who can help you in the category, and they can come from any position on the diamond (though it's outfield and middle infield for the most part.) If I were to separate steals out, I'd have to imagine the MI spot and one of the outfield spots was required to have a 25-steal player, and another OF spot had to have a 30-steal player and find a baselines for each small group. But instead, I'll set them aside here, and focus on the non-speed players who the NFBC prefers.
Trevor Story, Kris Bryant, Edwin Encarnacion, Corey Seager, Jake Arrieta, Josh Donaldson and Aaron Sanchez jump out at me. One thing some have in common is a recent and shorter track record of being great (Sanchez, Story and Seager, for example, fit that profile.) Also Sanchez and Arrieta did well last year with modest peripherals - too many walks, not enough Ks to support their ERAs. With Encarnacion, it's probably the increased strike outs and advancing age. Donaldson and Bryant are simply victims of regression as their levels from the last two years (and prices) will be harder to maintain.
This analysis can cut both ways. On the one hand, Arrieta probably isn't going to remain an ace if he walks 76 more batters in 197.3 IP, and Steamer is wary. On the other, if Sanchez can win the AL ERA title with 161 Ks and 63 walks in 192 IP, what happens if his peripherals catch up to his stuff a la Justin Verlander in 2009? Steamer is telling you which way it goes with pitchers generally, but not every player averages 95 mph on his fastball, and the NFBC crew is well aware of Sanchez's stuff.
On the Steamer side, Eric Thames is off the charts, based on his absurd KBO numbers. If Mike Trout spent 2015 in the KBO, you'd have to take the under on .381/.497/.790 with 40 HR and 47 steals. I'd imagine Steamer has more trouble trying to make conversions from different leagues, something on which there's far less data than forecasting what a long-time major league veteran for the same team might do at age 32. Steamer tends to like veterans entrusted with playing time who have long track records of being reasonably productive: Victor Martinez, Melky Cabrera, Adam Jones, Eric Hosmer, Carlos Santana, Shin Soo Choo, Albert Pujols and Kendrys Morales all show up near the top of its list.
Of course, DH-only players like Morales and Martinez get a downgrade in most leagues as they clog your utility spot and cost you flexibility. And none of these players run much, so some of the steals scarcity has robbed them of NFBC value. Other names near the top are Shawn Kelley and Andrew Miller, but Steamer gives Kelley 37 saves for some odd reason and Miller 20. Michael Pineda is there for his top notch peripherals, but he's the anti-Aaron Sanchez - someone who gets crushed year after year despite that advantage. Robby Ray was the NL version of Pineda, only in a worse park and with more walks. Matt Shoemaker is also in the Pineda boat to an extent - excellent peripherals, modest results, to date.
The most interesting Steamer-friendly names, besides Thames, are Lance McCullers, Maikel Franco, James Paxton and Jamison Taillon. Steamer is typically conservative with younger, unproven players and doesn't project breakouts, so that it likes their age/production profiles is noteworthy. Paxton's ADP (179 on March 1 when I used his ranking to generate a dollar value) has since climbed to 159, making him a dollar more expensive in NFBC draft terms, but still far cheaper than Steamer has him.
The bottom line here is most of the biggest outliers can be explained away by playing time projections, positional/categorical scarcity and the fact I fudged the top-20 overall players' prices on the NFBC list, using their auction values as an imperfect baseline. But there are a few interesting players on each list for whom the disparity is worth noting.
Finally, here are the players within a dollar of one another, i.e., the ones on whom both sides seem to agree completely:
Player | S$ | ADP | N $ | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
Russell Martin | 6.09 | 167 | 5.14 | 0.95 |
Adam Duvall | 6.87 | 155 | 5.94 | 0.93 |
Ivan Nova | 2.51 | 260 | 1.67 | 0.84 |
Ben Zobrist | 5.48 | 175 | 4.66 | 0.82 |
Kyle Schwarber | 16.07 | 77 | 15.29 | 0.78 |
Marcus Stroman | 6.78 | 154 | 6.02 | 0.76 |
Rick Porcello | 10.89 | 111 | 10.13 | 0.76 |
Stephen Strasburg | 21.65 | 51 | 20.95 | 0.70 |
Devon Travis | 3.68 | 208 | 3.13 | 0.55 |
Jason Kipnis | 12.10 | 100 | 11.57 | 0.53 |
Carlos Rodon | 4.36 | 191 | 3.84 | 0.52 |
Kevin Gausman | 7.14 | 146 | 6.63 | 0.51 |
Drew Pomeranz | 3.24 | 218 | 2.77 | 0.47 |
Alex Bregman | 13.32 | 91 | 12.90 | 0.42 |
Todd Frazier | 16.02 | 75 | 15.66 | 0.36 |
Neftali Feliz | 2.13 | 255 | 1.77 | 0.36 |
Christian Yelich | 19.82 | 57 | 19.48 | 0.34 |
Andrew Benintendi | 8.45 | 129 | 8.14 | 0.31 |
Jeurys Familia | 10.06 | 114 | 9.77 | 0.29 |
Jose Ramirez | 12.87 | 93 | 12.59 | 0.28 |
Jake Odorizzi | 4.50 | 183 | 4.23 | 0.27 |
Travis d'Arnaud | 1.67 | 274 | 1.41 | 0.26 |
Matt Harvey | 6.67 | 148 | 6.47 | 0.20 |
Elvis Andrus | 6.29 | 153 | 6.09 | 0.20 |
Matt Wieters | 4.07 | 189 | 3.94 | 0.13 |
Felix Hernandez | 7.68 | 135 | 7.57 | 0.11 |
Ken Giles | 13.48 | 88 | 13.38 | 0.10 |
Hunter Pence | 3.11 | 209 | 3.09 | 0.02 |
Dansby Swanson | 4.15 | 185 | 4.13 | 0.02 |
Miguel Cabrera | 33.59 | 14 | 33.63 | -0.04 |
Danny Duffy | 11.93 | 97 | 12.00 | -0.07 |
Rougned Odor | 23.74 | 40 | 23.93 | -0.19 |
Jackie Bradley | 6.66 | 143 | 6.87 | -0.21 |
Josh Harrison | 1.19 | 273 | 1.42 | -0.23 |
J.A. Happ | 3.45 | 193 | 3.75 | -0.30 |
Masahiro Tanaka | 13.15 | 87 | 13.54 | -0.39 |
Craig Kimbrel | 15.40 | 74 | 15.85 | -0.45 |
Troy Tulowitzki | 5.10 | 158 | 5.73 | -0.63 |
Kyle Seager | 16.40 | 68 | 17.05 | -0.65 |
Welington Castillo | 4.05 | 174 | 4.72 | -0.67 |
Michael Brantley | 1.88 | 224 | 2.58 | -0.70 |
Yuli Gurriel | 0.71 | 272 | 1.44 | -0.73 |
Fernando Rodney | 1.00 | 257 | 1.73 | -0.73 |
Jharel Cotton | 1.44 | 237 | 2.20 | -0.76 |
Chris Archer | 20.41 | 50 | 21.20 | -0.79 |
Brandon Crawford | 1.13 | 248 | 1.93 | -0.80 |
If any of these players slips too far below ADP, you'll know you have the blessing of both sides to grab him. Of course, that doesn't mean he'll pan out.