Having run the Steamer projections through my dollar-value formula last week, I figured it would be easy to compare the two ranking lists and see where the outliers were. That was before I ran into the excel problem of comparing the rankings for two disparate lists with overlapping names and wasted more than an hour trying unsuccessfully to solve it by searching online. Mercifully, Todd Zola and another Twitter follower (@JJJJShabado) came to the rescue.
A couple notes before we get to the tables: this comparison is most useful for the top-100 players who have clear paths to playing time. Some of Steamer's projections are low because they give someone fewer at-bats (I'd trust the NFBC players more on that front), and once you get out of the top 100, people are drafting for upside, and Steamer doesn't care about that. Put differently, it might be worth taking a shot on a player who has a 20 percent chance to be a significant contributor late in the draft with the idea of dropping him if he doesn't win the job, but Steamer is only looking at his mean-level of projected production.
Steamer also isn't partial to the need for saves, and I didn't make any adjustment for categorical (or position) scarcity in my formula. Accordingly, J.T. Realmuto is not in Steamer's top 300, but he surely would be if we boosted him for being a catcher.
Here are the results:
Rank | NFBC ADP | Pos | Rank | Steamer/Liss | $ | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mike Trout | CF | 1 | Clayton Kershaw | 48.41 | -4 |
2 | Mookie Betts | RF | 2 | Mike Trout | 42.22 | 1 |
3 | Jose Altuve | 2B | 3 | Mookie Betts | 38.56 | 1 |
4 | Kris Bryant | 3B | 4 | Manny Machado | 35.28 | -4 |
5 | Clayton Kershaw | SP | 5 | Max Scherzer | 35.11 | -6 |
6 | Nolan Arenado | 3B | 6 | Miguel Cabrera | 34.17 | -8 |
7 | Paul Goldschmidt | 1B | 7 | Nolan Arenado | 34.1 | 1 |
8 | Manny Machado | 3B | 8 | Jose Altuve | 33.3 | 5 |
9 | Bryce Harper | RF | 9 | Trea Turner | 31.44 | -1 |
10 | Trea Turner | 2B | 10 | Bryce Harper | 31.25 | 1 |
11 | Max Scherzer | SP | 11 | Kris Bryant | 30.23 | 7 |
12 | Josh Donaldson | 3B | 12 | Anthony Rizzo | 29.63 | -1 |
13 | Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 13 | Noah Syndergaard | 29.4 | -5 |
14 | Miguel Cabrera | 1B | 14 | Madison Bumgarner | 28.81 | -1 |
15 | Madison Bumgarner | SP | 15 | Paul Goldschmidt | 28.67 | 8 |
16 | Charlie Blackmon | CF | 16 | Josh Donaldson | 28.51 | 4 |
17 | Carlos Correa | SS | 17 | Charlie Blackmon | 26.61 | 1 |
18 | Noah Syndergaard | SP | 18 | Chris Sale | 26.37 | -3 |
19 | Corey Seager | SS | 19 | Carlos Gonzalez | 25.59 | -46 |
20 | Jonathan Villar | SS | 20 | Rougned Odor | 25.3 | -20 |
21 | Chris Sale | SP | 21 | Corey Kluber | 24.36 | -2 |
22 | Joey Votto | 1B | 22 | Carlos Correa | 24.17 | 5 |
23 | Corey Kluber | SP | 23 | Robinson Cano | 23.14 | -7 |
24 | Starling Marte | LF | 24 | Nelson Cruz | 23 | -17 |
25 | Edwin Encarnacion | 1B | 25 | Corey Seager | 22.72 | 6 |
26 | Freddie Freeman | 1B | 26 | Joey Votto | 22.71 | 4 |
27 | Xander Bogaerts | SS | 27 | Stephen Strasburg | 22.67 | -29 |
28 | Francisco Lindor | SS | 28 | Jon Lester | 22.52 | -8 |
29 | Trevor Story | SS | 29 | Freddie Freeman | 22.38 | 3 |
30 | Robinson Cano | 2B | 30 | Xander Bogaerts | 22.24 | 3 |
31 | Jake Arrieta | SP | 31 | Johnny Cueto | 21.75 | -12 |
32 | George Springer | RF | 32 | Francisco Lindor | 21.66 | 4 |
33 | Yu Darvish | SP | 33 | George Springer | 21.53 | 1 |
34 | Brian Dozier | 2B | 34 | Giancarlo Stanton | 21.4 | -4 |
35 | A.J. Pollock | CF | 35 | Eric Thames | 21.34 | -153 |
36 | Jon Lester | SP | 36 | Adam Jones | 21.22 | -80 |
37 | Daniel Murphy | 2B | 37 | David Price | 21.22 | -7 |
38 | Giancarlo Stanton | RF | 38 | Carlos Carrasco | 21.14 | -19 |
39 | Buster Posey | C | 39 | Jose Abreu | 20.98 | -23 |
40 | Rougned Odor | 2B | 40 | Andrew McCutchen | 20.98 | -27 |
41 | Nelson Cruz | RF | 41 | Ian Desmond | 20.57 | -11 |
42 | Justin Verlander | SP | 42 | Justin Verlander | 20.52 | 0 |
43 | Johnny Cueto | SP | 43 | Chris Archer | 20.42 | -10 |
44 | David Price | SP | 44 | Jonathan Villar | 20.21 | 24 |
45 | Dee Gordon | 2B | 45 | Yu Darvish | 20.03 | 12 |
46 | Aroldis Chapman | MR | 46 | Starling Marte | 20 | 22 |
47 | Kenley Jansen | MR | 47 | Carlos Santana | 19.9 | -72 |
48 | Gary Sanchez | C | 48 | J.D. Martinez | 19.85 | -3 |
49 | Ryan Braun | LF | 49 | Mark Trumbo | 19.62 | -20 |
50 | Billy Hamilton | CF | 50 | Christian Yelich | 19.57 | -10 |
51 | J.D. Martinez | RF | 51 | A.J. Pollock | 19.52 | 16 |
52 | Ian Desmond | CF | 52 | Adrian Beltre | 19.51 | -32 |
53 | Chris Archer | SP | 53 | Justin Upton | 19.46 | -30 |
54 | Jonathan Lucroy | C | 54 | Daniel Murphy | 19.35 | 17 |
55 | Jean Segura | 2B | 55 | Eric Hosmer | 19.3 | -48 |
56 | Stephen Strasburg | SP | 56 | Edwin Encarnacion | 19.22 | 31 |
57 | Carlos Carrasco | SP | 57 | Brian Dozier | 18.98 | 23 |
58 | Wil Myers | 1B | 58 | Ryan Braun | 18.68 | 9 |
59 | Zach Britton | MR | 59 | Chris Davis | 18.35 | -22 |
60 | Christian Yelich | LF | 60 | Jake Arrieta | 18.18 | 29 |
61 | Yoenis Cespedes | CF | 61 | Evan Longoria | 18.14 | -46 |
62 | Jose Abreu | 1B | 62 | DJ LeMahieu | 17.95 | -23 |
63 | Gregory Polanco | RF | 63 | Yoenis Cespedes | 17.94 | 2 |
64 | Kyle Hendricks | SP | 64 | Khris Davis | 17.79 | -34 |
65 | Carlos Gonzalez | RF | 65 | Hanley Ramirez | 16.85 | -15 |
66 | Kyle Seager | 3B | 66 | Gary Sanchez | 16.82 | 18 |
67 | Andrew McCutchen | CF | 67 | Wil Myers | 16.79 | 9 |
68 | Carlos Martinez | SP | 68 | Kyle Seager | 16.73 | 2 |
69 | Mark Trumbo | RF | 69 | Kyle Schwarber | 16.54 | -7 |
70 | Mark Melancon | MR | 70 | Trevor Story | 16.51 | 41 |
71 | Jacob deGrom | SP | 71 | Gregory Polanco | 16.27 | 8 |
72 | Matt Carpenter | 3B | 72 | Adam Eaton | 16.17 | -53 |
73 | Seung Hwan Oh | MR | 73 | Maikel Franco | 16.15 | -49 |
74 | Todd Frazier | 3B | 74 | Todd Frazier | 16.13 | 0 |
75 | Ian Kinsler | 2B | 75 | Jean Segura | 15.75 | 20 |
76 | Kyle Schwarber | LF | 76 | Anthony Rendon | 15.5 | -14 |
77 | Craig Kimbrel | MR | 77 | Ian Kinsler | 15.35 | 2 |
78 | Roberto Osuna | MR | 78 | Dustin Pedroia | 15.27 | -61 |
79 | Edwin Diaz | MR | 79 | Matt Kemp | 15.27 | -17 |
80 | Hanley Ramirez | 1B | 80 | Dee Gordon | 14.79 | 35 |
81 | Chris Davis | 1B | 81 | Albert Pujols | 14.76 | -55 |
82 | Cole Hamels | SP | 82 | Matt Carpenter | 14.61 | 10 |
83 | Justin Upton | LF | 83 | Jose Ramirez | 14.48 | -11 |
84 | Adrian Beltre | 3B | 84 | Kenley Jansen | 14.37 | 37 |
85 | DJ LeMahieu | 2B | 85 | Jacob deGrom | 14.25 | 14 |
86 | Wade Davis | MR | 86 | Victor Martinez | 14.14 | -148 |
87 | Masahiro Tanaka | SP | 87 | Jason Kipnis | 14.13 | -6 |
88 | Willson Contreras | C | 88 | Kole Calhoun | 14.06 | -99 |
89 | Ken Giles | MR | 89 | Alex Bregman | 14.02 | -3 |
90 | Anthony Rendon | 3B | 90 | Rich Hill | 13.97 | -33 |
91 | David Dahl | LF | 91 | Dallas Keuchel | 13.97 | -50 |
92 | Alex Bregman | 3B | 92 | Jose Bautista | 13.91 | -25 |
93 | Jason Kipnis | 2B | 93 | Justin Turner | 13.83 | -31 |
94 | Jose Ramirez | 3B | 94 | Aroldis Chapman | 13.82 | 48 |
95 | Zack Greinke | SP | 95 | Lance McCullers | 13.76 | -81 |
96 | Matt Kemp | RF | 96 | Kendrys Morales | 13.59 | -73 |
97 | Kenta Maeda | SP | 97 | Buster Posey | 13.47 | 58 |
98 | Khris Davis | LF | 98 | Mike Moustakas | 13.29 | -102 |
99 | Danny Duffy | SP | 99 | Tommy Joseph | 13.12 | -112 |
100 | Evan Gattis | C | 100 | Kyle Hendricks | 12.86 | 36 |
101 | Alex Colome | MR | 101 | Michael Pineda | 12.83 | -109 |
102 | Aaron Sanchez | SP | 102 | Odubel Herrera | 12.7 | -18 |
103 | Eric Hosmer | 1B | 103 | Miguel Sano | 12.63 | -12 |
104 | Kelvin Herrera | MR | 104 | Lorenzo Cain | 12.57 | -24 |
105 | Andrew Miller | MR | 105 | Matt Shoemaker | 12.4 | -121 |
106 | Cody Allen | MR | 106 | Masahiro Tanaka | 12.3 | 19 |
107 | Evan Longoria | 3B | 107 | Stephen Piscotty | 12.29 | -23 |
108 | Jose Quintana | SP | 108 | Aledmys Diaz | 12.21 | -44 |
109 | Rick Porcello | SP | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 12.17 | -4 |
110 | Julio Teheran | SP | 110 | Danny Duffy | 12.05 | 11 |
111 | J.T. Realmuto | C | 111 | Danny Salazar | 12.04 | -16 |
112 | Jeurys Familia | MR | 112 | Melky Cabrera | 12 | -148 |
113 | Gerrit Cole | SP | 113 | Jameson Taillon | 11.98 | -38 |
114 | Eduardo Nunez | SS | 114 | Robbie Ray | 11.91 | -100 |
115 | Miguel Sano | RF | 115 | Jeff Samardzija | 11.76 | -79 |
116 | Adam Jones | CF | 116 | James Paxton | 11.6 | -63 |
117 | Jose Bautista | RF | 117 | Kevin Kiermaier | 11.44 | -67 |
118 | Javier Baez | 3B | 118 | Billy Hamilton | 11.39 | 68 |
119 | Carlos Santana | 1B | 119 | Andrew Miller | 11.33 | 14 |
120 | Odubel Herrera | CF | 120 | Carlos Martinez | 10.83 | 52 |
121 | David Robertson | MR | 121 | Tim Anderson | 10.79 | -39 |
122 | Maikel Franco | 3B | 122 | Carlos Gomez | 10.68 | -31 |
123 | Rich Hill | SP | 123 | Jose Quintana | 10.57 | 15 |
124 | Justin Turner | 3B | 124 | Marcell Ozuna | 10.56 | -53 |
125 | Adam Eaton | RF | 125 | Steven Matz | 10.53 | -38 |
126 | Salvador Perez | C | 126 | Matt Holliday | 10.37 | -132 |
127 | Danny Salazar | SP | 127 | Yasiel Puig | 10.16 | -98 |
128 | Lorenzo Cain | CF | 128 | Brad Miller | 10.02 | -31 |
129 | A.J. Ramos | MR | 129 | Jonathan Schoop | 9.96 | -39 |
130 | Stephen Piscotty | RF | 130 | Zack Greinke | 9.89 | 35 |
131 | Jose Peraza | 2B | 131 | Nomar Mazara | 9.8 | -73 |
132 | Francisco Rodriguez | MR | 132 | Shin-Soo Choo | 9.79 | #N/A |
133 | Andrew Benintendi | LF | 133 | Edwin Diaz | 9.75 | 54 |
134 | Addison Russell | SS | 134 | Wade Davis | 9.51 | 48 |
135 | Felix Hernandez | SP | 135 | Adrian Gonzalez | 9.5 | -30 |
136 | Albert Pujols | 1B | 136 | Aaron Nola | 9.37 | -73 |
137 | Michael Fulmer | SP | 137 | Carlos Beltran | 9.28 | -78 |
138 | Tanner Roark | SP | 138 | Joc Pederson | 9.24 | -61 |
139 | Dustin Pedroia | 2B | 139 | Marcus Semien | 9.1 | -68 |
140 | Alex Reyes | SP | 140 | Jake Lamb | 9.06 | -9 |
141 | Dallas Keuchel | SP | 141 | David Dahl | 9.02 | 50 |
142 | Matt Harvey | SP | 142 | Rick Porcello | 8.99 | 33 |
143 | Sam Dyson | MR | 143 | Logan Forsythe | 8.85 | -81 |
144 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | CF | 144 | Cole Hamels | 8.85 | 62 |
145 | Yasmani Grandal | C | 145 | Andrew Benintendi | 8.82 | 12 |
146 | Tony Watson | MR | 146 | Kenta Maeda | 8.7 | 49 |
147 | Yasmany Tomas | LF | 147 | Brandon Belt | 8.41 | -19 |
148 | Byron Buxton | CF | 148 | Ender Inciarte | 8.15 | -44 |
149 | Jake Lamb | 3B | 149 | Ryon Healy | 8.13 | -42 |
150 | Kevin Gausman | SP | 150 | Rajai Davis | 8.13 | -48 |
151 | Jameson Taillon | SP | 151 | Zach Britton | 8.12 | 92 |
152 | Aledmys Diaz | SS | 152 | Tyler Skaggs | 8.11 | #N/A |
153 | Carlos Gomez | CF | 153 | John Lackey | 8.11 | -8 |
154 | Adam Duvall | LF | 154 | Jonathan Lucroy | 7.93 | 100 |
155 | Elvis Andrus | SS | 155 | Craig Kimbrel | 7.89 | 78 |
156 | Troy Tulowitzki | SS | 156 | Gregory Bird | 7.88 | #N/A |
157 | Marcus Stroman | SP | 157 | Shawn Kelley | 7.86 | -62 |
158 | Adam Ottavino | MR | 158 | Mark Melancon | 7.85 | 88 |
159 | Brad Miller | SS | 159 | Wei-Yin Chen | 7.78 | #N/A |
160 | Tim Anderson | SS | 160 | David Peralta | 7.7 | -110 |
161 | John Lackey | SP | 161 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 7.63 | 17 |
162 | Brian McCann | C | 162 | Mike Napoli | 7.39 | -59 |
163 | Steven Matz | SP | 163 | Max Kepler | 7.11 | -72 |
164 | Julio Urias | SP | 164 | Dexter Fowler | 7.1 | -25 |
165 | Adrian Gonzalez | 1B | 165 | Adam Duvall | 7.08 | 11 |
166 | Brandon Belt | 1B | 166 | Matt Moore | 7 | -9 |
167 | Russell Martin | C | 167 | Josh Reddick | 6.98 | -125 |
168 | Jonathan Schoop | 2B | 168 | Hunter Pence | 6.89 | -40 |
169 | Kendrys Morales | DH | 169 | Ken Giles | 6.79 | 80 |
170 | Raisel Iglesias | SP | 170 | Starlin Castro | 6.72 | -67 |
171 | Sean Manaea | SP | 171 | Seung Hwan Oh | 6.69 | 98 |
172 | Dellin Betances | MR | 172 | Curtis Granderson | 6.62 | -101 |
173 | Ben Zobrist | 2B | 173 | Drew Smyly | 6.61 | -44 |
174 | Welington Castillo | C | 174 | Elvis Andrus | 6.5 | 19 |
175 | Matt Moore | SP | 175 | Matt Harvey | 6.46 | 33 |
176 | Lance McCullers | SP | 176 | Jung Ho Kang | 6.32 | -68 |
177 | Marcell Ozuna | CF | 177 | Vince Velasquez | 6.3 | -6 |
178 | Hernan Perez | 3B | 178 | Ben Zobrist | 6.26 | 5 |
179 | James Paxton | SP | 179 | Troy Tulowitzki | 6.23 | 23 |
180 | Jon Gray | SP | 180 | Didi Gregorius | 6.22 | -72 |
181 | Jake Odorizzi | SP | 181 | Brett Gardner | 6.05 | -99 |
182 | Keon Broxton | CF | 182 | Randal Grichuk | 6.02 | -30 |
183 | Vince Velasquez | SP | 183 | Garrett Richards | 5.9 | -67 |
184 | Kevin Kiermaier | CF | 184 | Domingo Santana | 5.87 | -75 |
185 | Dansby Swanson | SS | 185 | Neil Walker | 5.86 | -60 |
186 | J.A. Happ | SP | 186 | Martin Prado | 5.83 | #N/A |
187 | Kole Calhoun | RF | 187 | Denard Span | 5.66 | #N/A |
188 | Eric Thames | LF | 188 | Corey Dickerson | 5.63 | -102 |
189 | Dexter Fowler | CF | 189 | Felix Hernandez | 5.62 | 54 |
190 | Yadier Molina | C | 190 | Julio Teheran | 5.59 | 80 |
191 | Ryon Healy | 3B | 191 | Marcus Stroman | 5.56 | 34 |
192 | Ender Inciarte | CF | 192 | Jon Gray | 5.52 | 12 |
193 | Jay Bruce | RF | 193 | Gio Gonzalez | 5.49 | -101 |
194 | Jeff Samardzija | SP | 194 | Devon Travis | 5.48 | -2 |
195 | Carlos Rodon | SP | 195 | Josh Bell | 5.45 | -88 |
196 | Devon Travis | 2B | 196 | Kevin Pillar | 5.38 | -100 |
197 | Matt Wieters | C | 197 | Kevin Gausman | 5.3 | 47 |
198 | Rajai Davis | CF | 198 | Nick Castellanos | 5.28 | -7 |
199 | Joc Pederson | CF | 199 | Jose De Leon | 5.28 | #N/A |
200 | Mike Moustakas | 3B | 200 | Eduardo Nunez | 5.22 | 86 |
201 | Jim Johnson | MR | 201 | Jason Heyward | 5.16 | -53 |
202 | Jerad Eickhoff | SP | 202 | Kelvin Herrera | 5.11 | 98 |
203 | Stephen Vogt | C | 203 | Roberto Osuna | 5.07 | 125 |
204 | Nomar Mazara | RF | 204 | Jeurys Familia | 5.03 | 92 |
205 | Nick Castellanos | 3B | 205 | Jacoby Ellsbury | 4.92 | -46 |
206 | Sonny Gray | SP | 206 | Cesar Hernandez | 4.8 | -82 |
207 | Marcus Semien | SS | 207 | Dansby Swanson | 4.79 | 22 |
208 | Hunter Pence | RF | 208 | Justin Bour | 4.79 | #N/A |
209 | Aaron Nola | SP | 209 | Dellin Betances | 4.77 | 37 |
210 | Michael Pineda | SP | 210 | Raisel Iglesias | 4.74 | 40 |
211 | Tommy Joseph | 1B | 211 | Addison Russell | 4.65 | 77 |
212 | Randal Grichuk | CF | 212 | Collin McHugh | 4.59 | -67 |
213 | Drew Pomeranz | SP | 213 | Nick Markakis | 4.55 | #N/A |
214 | Robbie Ray | SP | 214 | Jose Peraza | 4.49 | 83 |
215 | Carlos Beltran | RF | 215 | Alex Wood | 4.48 | #N/A |
216 | Michael Brantley | LF | 216 | Cam Bedrosian | 4.42 | -2 |
217 | Drew Smyly | SP | 217 | Brandon Moss | 4.22 | #N/A |
218 | Cam Bedrosian | MR | 218 | Eugenio Suarez | 4.07 | -44 |
219 | Shawn Kelley | MR | 219 | Salvador Perez | 4.02 | 93 |
220 | Tom Murphy | C | 220 | Michael Fulmer | 3.96 | 83 |
221 | Mike Napoli | 1B | 221 | Hunter Renfroe | 3.91 | -6 |
222 | Adam Wainwright | SP | 222 | Yasmany Tomas | 3.88 | 75 |
223 | Anthony DeSclafani | SP | 223 | Adam Wainwright | 3.75 | 1 |
224 | Logan Forsythe | 2B | 224 | Alcides Escobar | 3.55 | #N/A |
225 | Yasiel Puig | RF | 225 | Byron Buxton | 3.23 | 77 |
226 | Matt Shoemaker | SP | 226 | Jake Odorizzi | 3.17 | 45 |
227 | Hunter Renfroe | RF | 227 | Javier Baez | 3.05 | 109 |
228 | C.J. Cron | 1B | 228 | David Robertson | 3.04 | 107 |
229 | Marco Estrada | SP | 229 | Blake Snell | 2.94 | -4 |
230 | Hector Neris | MR | 230 | Keon Broxton | 2.86 | 48 |
231 | Taijuan Walker | SP | 231 | Alex Colome | 2.8 | 130 |
232 | Ryan Madson | MR | 232 | Michael Brantley | 2.62 | 16 |
233 | Blake Snell | SP | 233 | Anthony DeSclafani | 2.59 | 10 |
234 | Victor Martinez | DH | 234 | Cody Allen | 2.55 | 128 |
235 | Max Kepler | RF | 235 | Matt Duffy | 2.46 | #N/A |
236 | Brandon Maurer | MR | 236 | Tony Watson | 2.39 | 90 |
237 | Starlin Castro | 2B | 237 | Joe Ross | 2.35 | -6 |
238 | Yoan Moncada | 3B | 238 | Carlos Rodon | 2.27 | 43 |
239 | Leonys Martin | CF | 239 | Brandon Crawford | 2.2 | -2 |
240 | Jarrod Dyson | CF | 240 | Hisashi Iwakuma | 2.15 | -26 |
241 | Brandon Crawford | SS | 241 | Travis Jankowski | 2.14 | -46 |
242 | Jedd Gyorko | 2B | 242 | Julio Urias | 2.07 | 78 |
243 | Joe Ross | SP | 243 | Jaime Garcia | 2.03 | #N/A |
244 | Jung Ho Kang | 3B | 244 | Jay Bruce | 2.01 | 51 |
245 | Neil Walker | 2B | 245 | Joe Mauer | 1.89 | #N/A |
246 | Manuel Margot | CF | 246 | Alex Gordon | 1.66 | #N/A |
247 | Greg Bird | 1B | 247 | Yulieski Gurriel | 1.51 | #N/A |
248 | Cameron Rupp | C | 248 | Scott Kazmir | 1.5 | #N/A |
249 | Ian Kennedy | SP | 249 | Joe Panik | 1.49 | #N/A |
250 | Garrett Richards | SP | 250 | Hyun Soo Kim | 1.47 | #N/A |
251 | Jacoby Ellsbury | CF | 251 | Brandon Maurer | 1.46 | 15 |
252 | Didi Gregorius | SS | 252 | J.A. Happ | 1.35 | 66 |
253 | Brandon Drury | LF | 253 | Grant Dayton | 1.28 | #N/A |
254 | Jason Heyward | RF | 254 | Drew Pomeranz | 1.28 | 41 |
255 | Wilson Ramos | C | 255 | Ian Kennedy | 1.25 | 6 |
256 | Jharel Cotton | SP | 256 | Yunel Escobar | 1.24 | #N/A |
257 | Chris Carter | 1B | 257 | Asdrubal Cabrera | 1.21 | -15 |
258 | Matt Holliday | LF | 258 | Ivan Nova | 1.21 | -10 |
259 | Domingo Santana | RF | 259 | Josh Harrison | 1.09 | -10 |
260 | Melky Cabrera | LF | 260 | Lucas Duda | 1.08 | #N/A |
261 | Orlando Arcia | SS | 261 | Jayson Werth | 1.08 | #N/A |
262 | Eugenio Suarez | 3B | 262 | Sean Doolittle | 1.06 | #N/A |
263 | Fernando Rodney | MR | 263 | Yangervis Solarte | 0.95 | -15 |
264 | Addison Reed | MR | 264 | Jedd Gyorko | 0.87 | 22 |
265 | Nate Jones | MR | 265 | Aaron Sanchez | 0.82 | 163 |
266 | Hisashi Iwakuma | SP | 266 | Neftali Feliz | 0.69 | -32 |
267 | Yuli Gurriel | 3B | 267 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.69 | #N/A |
268 | Ivan Nova | SP | 268 | Matt Andriese | 0.54 | #N/A |
269 | Josh Harrison | 2B | 269 | Arodys Vizcaino | 0.44 | #N/A |
270 | David Peralta | RF | 270 | Stephen Vogt | 0.3 | 67 |
271 | Dylan Bundy | SP | 271 | Evan Gattis | 0.29 | 171 |
272 | Asdrubal Cabrera | SS | 272 | Koji Uehara | 0.26 | #N/A |
273 | Curtis Granderson | RF | 273 | Manuel Margot | 0.16 | 27 |
274 | Brandon Kintzler | MR | 274 | Willson Contreras | 0.14 | 186 |
275 | Derek Norris | C | 275 | Bartolo Colon | 0.1 | #N/A |
276 | Junior Guerra | SP | 276 | C.J. Cron | 0.01 | 48 |
277 | Sandy Leon | C | 277 | A.J. Ramos | -0.1 | 148 |
278 | Yangervis Solarte | 3B | 278 | Sam Dyson | -0.1 | 135 |
279 | Collin McHugh | SP | 279 | Taijuan Walker | -0.1 | 48 |
280 | Brett Gardner | LF | 280 | Fernando Rodney | -0.18 | 17 |
281 | Tyler Glasnow | SP | 281 | Jharel Cotton | -0.21 | 25 |
282 | Jorge Soler | LF | 282 | Mike Leake | -0.25 | #N/A |
283 | Josh Bell | RF | 283 | Jerad Eickhoff | -0.35 | 81 |
284 | Brandon Phillips | 2B | 284 | Sean Manaea | -0.54 | 113 |
285 | Mike Zunino | C | 285 | Scott Schebler | -0.55 | #N/A |
286 | Daniel Norris | SP | 286 | Yasmani Grandal | -0.55 | 141 |
287 | Travis Jankowski | CF | 287 | Francisco Liriano | -0.55 | #N/A |
288 | Cesar Hernandez | 2B | 288 | Yadier Molina | -0.6 | 98 |
289 | Travis d'Arnaud | C | 289 | Seth Smith | -0.64 | #N/A |
290 | Corey Dickerson | LF | 290 | Kyle Barraclough | -0.76 | #N/A |
291 | Cameron Maybin | CF | 291 | Francisco Rodriguez | -0.8 | 159 |
292 | Josh Reddick | RF | 292 | Jorge Polanco | -0.83 | #N/A |
293 | Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 293 | Howie Kendrick | -0.88 | #N/A |
294 | Gio Gonzalez | SP | 294 | Jose Iglesias | -0.94 | #N/A |
295 | Chris Tillman | SP | 295 | Trevor Plouffe | -0.97 | #N/A |
296 | Kevin Pillar | CF | 296 | Mike Fiers | -1.01 | #N/A |
297 | Zach Davies | SP | 297 | Sonny Gray | -1.04 | 91 |
298 | Neftali Feliz | MR | 298 | Tyler Anderson | -1.04 | #N/A |
299 | Devin Mesoraco | C | 299 | Lance Lynn | -1.07 | #N/A |
300 | Chris Owings | CF | 300 | Tyler Glasnow | -1.13 | 19 |
A negative number in the "Diff" column means Steamer likes the player better. A positive number means the NFBC ADP prefers him.
Here's the table showing which players have the biggest discrepancies in value between the two lists:
Rank | Player | Diff | Rank | Player | Diff | Rank | Player | Diff | Rank | Player | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eric Thames | -153 | 76 | Randal Grichuk | -30 | 151 | Josh Donaldson | 4 | 226 | Nate Jones | 65 |
2 | Victor Martinez | -148 | 77 | Stephen Strasburg | -29 | 152 | Joey Votto | 4 | 227 | J.A. Happ | 66 |
3 | Melky Cabrera | -148 | 78 | Andrew McCutchen | -27 | 153 | Francisco Lindor | 4 | 228 | Stephen Vogt | 67 |
4 | Matt Holliday | -132 | 79 | Hisashi Iwakuma | -26 | 154 | Jose Altuve | 5 | 229 | Billy Hamilton | 68 |
5 | Josh Reddick | -125 | 80 | Jose Bautista | -25 | 155 | Carlos Correa | 5 | 230 | Yasmany Tomas | 75 |
6 | Matt Shoemaker | -121 | 81 | Dexter Fowler | -25 | 156 | Ben Zobrist | 5 | 231 | Addison Russell | 77 |
7 | Tommy Joseph | -112 | 82 | Lorenzo Cain | -24 | 157 | Corey Seager | 6 | 232 | Byron Buxton | 77 |
8 | David Peralta | -110 | 83 | Jose Abreu | -23 | 158 | Ian Kennedy | 6 | 233 | Craig Kimbrel | 78 |
9 | Michael Pineda | -109 | 84 | DJ LeMahieu | -23 | 159 | Kris Bryant | 7 | 234 | Julio Urias | 78 |
10 | Mike Moustakas | -102 | 85 | Stephen Piscotty | -23 | 160 | Paul Goldschmidt | 8 | 235 | Ken Giles | 80 |
11 | Corey Dickerson | -102 | 86 | Chris Davis | -22 | 161 | Gregory Polanco | 8 | 236 | Julio Teheran | 80 |
12 | Curtis Granderson | -101 | 87 | Rougned Odor | -20 | 162 | Ryan Braun | 9 | 237 | Jerad Eickhoff | 81 |
13 | Gio Gonzalez | -101 | 88 | Mark Trumbo | -20 | 163 | Wil Myers | 9 | 238 | Jose Peraza | 83 |
14 | Robbie Ray | -100 | 89 | Carlos Carrasco | -19 | 164 | Matt Carpenter | 10 | 239 | Michael Fulmer | 83 |
15 | Kevin Pillar | -100 | 90 | Brandon Belt | -19 | 165 | Anthony DeSclafani | 10 | 240 | Eduardo Nunez | 86 |
16 | Kole Calhoun | -99 | 91 | Odubel Herrera | -18 | 166 | Danny Duffy | 11 | 241 | Jarrod Dyson | 87 |
17 | Brett Gardner | -99 | 92 | Nelson Cruz | -17 | 167 | Adam Duvall | 11 | 242 | Brandon Drury | 87 |
18 | Yasiel Puig | -98 | 93 | Matt Kemp | -17 | 168 | Yu Darvish | 12 | 243 | Addison Reed | 87 |
19 | Josh Bell | -88 | 94 | Danny Salazar | -16 | 169 | Andrew Benintendi | 12 | 244 | Mark Melancon | 88 |
20 | Cesar Hernandez | -82 | 95 | Hanley Ramirez | -15 | 170 | Jon Gray | 12 | 245 | Junior Guerra | 89 |
21 | Lance McCullers | -81 | 96 | Asdrubal Cabrera | -15 | 171 | Jacob deGrom | 14 | 246 | Tony Watson | 90 |
22 | Logan Forsythe | -81 | 97 | Yangervis Solarte | -15 | 172 | Andrew Miller | 14 | 247 | Chris Carter | 90 |
23 | Adam Jones | -80 | 98 | Anthony Rendon | -14 | 173 | Jose Quintana | 15 | 248 | Sonny Gray | 91 |
24 | Jeff Samardzija | -79 | 99 | Johnny Cueto | -12 | 174 | Brandon Maurer | 15 | 249 | Zach Britton | 92 |
25 | Carlos Beltran | -78 | 100 | Miguel Sano | -12 | 175 | A.J. Pollock | 16 | 250 | Jeurys Familia | 92 |
26 | Domingo Santana | -75 | 101 | Ian Desmond | -11 | 176 | Michael Brantley | 16 | 251 | Daniel Norris | 92 |
27 | Kendrys Morales | -73 | 102 | Jose Ramirez | -11 | 177 | Daniel Murphy | 17 | 252 | Salvador Perez | 93 |
28 | Nomar Mazara | -73 | 103 | Chris Archer | -10 | 178 | Jackie Bradley Jr. | 17 | 253 | Seung Hwan Oh | 98 |
29 | Aaron Nola | -73 | 104 | Christian Yelich | -10 | 179 | Fernando Rodney | 17 | 254 | Kelvin Herrera | 98 |
30 | Carlos Santana | -72 | 105 | Ivan Nova | -10 | 180 | Gary Sanchez | 18 | 255 | Yadier Molina | 98 |
31 | Max Kepler | -72 | 106 | Josh Harrison | -10 | 181 | Masahiro Tanaka | 19 | 256 | Hector Neris | 99 |
32 | Didi Gregorius | -72 | 107 | Jake Lamb | -9 | 182 | Elvis Andrus | 19 | 257 | Jonathan Lucroy | 100 |
33 | Marcus Semien | -68 | 108 | Matt Moore | -9 | 183 | Tyler Glasnow | 19 | 258 | Ryan Madson | 101 |
34 | Jung Ho Kang | -68 | 109 | Miguel Cabrera | -8 | 184 | Jean Segura | 20 | 259 | Leonys Martin | 104 |
35 | Kevin Kiermaier | -67 | 110 | Jon Lester | -8 | 185 | Zach Davies | 21 | 260 | David Robertson | 107 |
36 | Starlin Castro | -67 | 111 | John Lackey | -8 | 186 | Starling Marte | 22 | 261 | Javier Baez | 109 |
37 | Garrett Richards | -67 | 112 | Robinson Cano | -7 | 187 | Dansby Swanson | 22 | 262 | Sean Manaea | 113 |
38 | Collin McHugh | -67 | 113 | David Price | -7 | 188 | Jedd Gyorko | 22 | 263 | Roberto Osuna | 125 |
39 | James Paxton | -63 | 114 | Kyle Schwarber | -7 | 189 | Brian Dozier | 23 | 264 | Brandon Phillips | 126 |
40 | Shawn Kelley | -62 | 115 | Nick Castellanos | -7 | 190 | Troy Tulowitzki | 23 | 265 | Cody Allen | 128 |
41 | Dustin Pedroia | -61 | 116 | Max Scherzer | -6 | 191 | Jonathan Villar | 24 | 266 | Brandon Kintzler | 128 |
42 | Joc Pederson | -61 | 117 | Jason Kipnis | -6 | 192 | Jorge Soler | 24 | 267 | Alex Colome | 130 |
43 | Neil Walker | -60 | 118 | Vince Velasquez | -6 | 193 | Jharel Cotton | 25 | 268 | Dylan Bundy | 133 |
44 | Mike Napoli | -59 | 119 | Hunter Renfroe | -6 | 194 | Manuel Margot | 27 | 269 | Sam Dyson | 135 |
45 | Albert Pujols | -55 | 120 | Joe Ross | -6 | 195 | Jake Arrieta | 29 | 270 | Cameron Maybin | 136 |
46 | Adam Eaton | -53 | 121 | Noah Syndergaard | -5 | 196 | Edwin Encarnacion | 31 | 271 | Yasmani Grandal | 141 |
47 | Marcell Ozuna | -53 | 122 | Clayton Kershaw | -4 | 197 | Rick Porcello | 33 | 272 | A.J. Ramos | 148 |
48 | Jason Heyward | -53 | 123 | Manny Machado | -4 | 198 | Matt Harvey | 33 | 273 | Jim Johnson | 158 |
49 | Dallas Keuchel | -50 | 124 | Giancarlo Stanton | -4 | 199 | Marcus Stroman | 34 | 274 | Chris Owings | 158 |
50 | Maikel Franco | -49 | 125 | Gerrit Cole | -4 | 200 | Dee Gordon | 35 | 275 | Francisco Rodriguez | 159 |
51 | Eric Hosmer | -48 | 126 | Blake Snell | -4 | 201 | Zack Greinke | 35 | 276 | Aaron Sanchez | 163 |
52 | Rajai Davis | -48 | 127 | Chris Sale | -3 | 202 | Kyle Hendricks | 36 | 277 | Tanner Roark | 164 |
53 | Carlos Gonzalez | -46 | 128 | J.D. Martinez | -3 | 203 | Kenley Jansen | 37 | 278 | Derek Norris | 164 |
54 | Evan Longoria | -46 | 129 | Alex Bregman | -3 | 204 | Dellin Betances | 37 | 279 | Adam Ottavino | 166 |
55 | Jacoby Ellsbury | -46 | 130 | Corey Kluber | -2 | 205 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 39 | 280 | Wilson Ramos | 166 |
56 | Travis Jankowski | -46 | 131 | Devon Travis | -2 | 206 | Raisel Iglesias | 40 | 281 | Marco Estrada | 168 |
57 | Aledmys Diaz | -44 | 132 | Cam Bedrosian | -2 | 207 | Trevor Story | 41 | 282 | Evan Gattis | 171 |
58 | Ender Inciarte | -44 | 133 | Brandon Crawford | -2 | 208 | Drew Pomeranz | 41 | 283 | Russell Martin | 171 |
59 | Drew Smyly | -44 | 134 | Trea Turner | -1 | 209 | Carlos Rodon | 43 | 284 | Willson Contreras | 186 |
60 | Eugenio Suarez | -44 | 135 | Anthony Rizzo | -1 | 210 | Jake Odorizzi | 45 | 285 | Hernan Perez | 202 |
61 | Ryon Healy | -42 | 136 | Madison Bumgarner | -1 | 211 | Kevin Gausman | 47 | 286 | Brian McCann | 207 |
62 | Hunter Pence | -40 | 137 | Justin Verlander | 0 | 212 | Aroldis Chapman | 48 | 287 | J.T. Realmuto | 210 |
63 | Tim Anderson | -39 | 138 | Todd Frazier | 0 | 213 | Wade Davis | 48 | 288 | Sandy Leon | 218 |
64 | Jonathan Schoop | -39 | 139 | Mike Trout | 1 | 214 | Keon Broxton | 48 | 289 | Cameron Rupp | 219 |
65 | Jameson Taillon | -38 | 140 | Mookie Betts | 1 | 215 | C.J. Cron | 48 | 290 | Welington Castillo | 226 |
66 | Steven Matz | -38 | 141 | Nolan Arenado | 1 | 216 | Taijuan Walker | 48 | 291 | Yoan Moncada | 233 |
67 | Khris Davis | -34 | 142 | Bryce Harper | 1 | 217 | Kenta Maeda | 49 | 292 | Matt Wieters | 237 |
68 | Rich Hill | -33 | 143 | Charlie Blackmon | 1 | 218 | David Dahl | 50 | |||
69 | Adrian Beltre | -32 | 144 | George Springer | 1 | 219 | Jay Bruce | 51 | |||
70 | Neftali Feliz | -32 | 145 | Adam Wainwright | 1 | 220 | Carlos Martinez | 52 | |||
71 | Justin Turner | -31 | 146 | Yoenis Cespedes | 2 | 221 | Edwin Diaz | 54 | |||
72 | Carlos Gomez | -31 | 147 | Kyle Seager | 2 | 222 | Felix Hernandez | 54 | |||
73 | Brad Miller | -31 | 148 | Ian Kinsler | 2 | 223 | Orlando Arcia | 55 | |||
74 | Justin Upton | -30 | 149 | Freddie Freeman | 3 | 224 | Buster Posey | 58 | |||
75 | Adrian Gonzalez | -30 | 150 | Xander Bogaerts | 3 | 225 | Cole Hamels | 62 |
Then there were some players not ranked in the top-300 by NFBC drafters that Steamer did rank:
Rank | Steamer/Liss | $ | Diff |
---|---|---|---|
132 | Shin-Soo Choo | 9.79 | #N/A |
152 | Tyler Skaggs | 8.11 | #N/A |
156 | Gregory Bird | 7.88 | #N/A |
159 | Wei-Yin Chen | 7.78 | #N/A |
186 | Martin Prado | 5.83 | #N/A |
187 | Denard Span | 5.66 | #N/A |
199 | Jose De Leon | 5.28 | #N/A |
208 | Justin Bour | 4.79 | #N/A |
213 | Nick Markakis | 4.55 | #N/A |
215 | Alex Wood | 4.48 | #N/A |
217 | Brandon Moss | 4.22 | #N/A |
224 | Alcides Escobar | 3.55 | #N/A |
235 | Matt Duffy | 2.46 | #N/A |
243 | Jaime Garcia | 2.03 | #N/A |
245 | Joe Mauer | 1.89 | #N/A |
246 | Alex Gordon | 1.66 | #N/A |
247 | Yulieski Gurriel | 1.51 | #N/A |
248 | Scott Kazmir | 1.5 | #N/A |
249 | Joe Panik | 1.49 | #N/A |
250 | Hyun Soo Kim | 1.47 | #N/A |
253 | Grant Dayton | 1.28 | #N/A |
256 | Yunel Escobar | 1.24 | #N/A |
260 | Lucas Duda | 1.08 | #N/A |
261 | Jayson Werth | 1.08 | #N/A |
262 | Sean Doolittle | 1.06 | #N/A |
267 | Ricky Nolasco | 0.69 | #N/A |
268 | Matt Andriese | 0.54 | #N/A |
269 | Arodys Vizcaino | 0.44 | #N/A |
272 | Koji Uehara | 0.26 | #N/A |
275 | Bartolo Colon | 0.1 | #N/A |
282 | Mike Leake | -0.25 | #N/A |
285 | Scott Schebler | -0.55 | #N/A |
287 | Francisco Liriano | -0.55 | #N/A |
289 | Seth Smith | -0.64 | #N/A |
290 | Kyle Barraclough | -0.76 | #N/A |
292 | Jorge Polanco | -0.83 | #N/A |
293 | Howie Kendrick | -0.88 | #N/A |
294 | Jose Iglesias | -0.94 | #N/A |
295 | Trevor Plouffe | -0.97 | #N/A |
296 | Mike Fiers | -1.01 | #N/A |
298 | Tyler Anderson | -1.04 | #N/A |
299 | Lance Lynn | -1.07 | #N/A |
Overall, there are some interesting outliers. Steamer (via my formula) seems to like Clayton Kershaw, Miguel Cabrera, Manny Machado, Max Scherzer, Carlos Gonzalez, Rougned Odor, Nelson Cruz, Stephen Strasburg, Eric Thames and Adam Jones. The NFBC drafters prefer Jose Altuve, Paul Goldschmidt, Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Jonathan Villar, Yu Darvish, Starling Marte and Edwin Encarnacion.
For more info on how I derived my dollar values, based on Steamer's projections, click here and here.