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Steamer vs. NFBC ADP

Having run the Steamer projections through my dollar-value formula last week, I figured it would be easy to compare the two ranking lists and see where the outliers were. That was before I ran into the excel problem of comparing the rankings for two disparate lists with overlapping names and wasted more than an hour trying unsuccessfully to solve it by searching online. Mercifully, Todd Zola and another Twitter follower (@JJJJShabado) came to the rescue.

A couple notes before we get to the tables: this comparison is most useful for the top-100 players who have clear paths to playing time. Some of Steamer's projections are low because they give someone fewer at-bats (I'd trust the NFBC players more on that front), and once you get out of the top 100, people are drafting for upside, and Steamer doesn't care about that. Put differently, it might be worth taking a shot on a player who has a 20 percent chance to be a significant contributor late in the draft with the idea of dropping him if he doesn't win the job, but Steamer is only looking at his mean-level of projected production.

Steamer also isn't partial to the need for saves, and I didn't make any adjustment for categorical (or position) scarcity in my formula. Accordingly, J.T. Realmuto is not in Steamer's top 300, but he surely would be if we boosted him for being a catcher.

Here are the results:

RankNFBC ADPPosRankSteamer/Liss$Diff
1Mike TroutCF1Clayton Kershaw48.41-4
2Mookie BettsRF2Mike Trout42.221
3Jose Altuve2B3Mookie Betts38.561
4Kris Bryant3B4Manny Machado35.28-4
5Clayton KershawSP5Max Scherzer35.11-6
6Nolan Arenado3B6Miguel Cabrera34.17-8
7Paul Goldschmidt1B7Nolan Arenado34.11
8Manny Machado3B8Jose Altuve33.35
9Bryce HarperRF9Trea Turner31.44-1
10Trea Turner2B10Bryce Harper31.251
11Max ScherzerSP11Kris Bryant30.237
12Josh Donaldson3B12Anthony Rizzo29.63-1
13Anthony Rizzo1B13Noah Syndergaard29.4-5
14Miguel Cabrera1B14Madison Bumgarner28.81-1
15Madison BumgarnerSP15Paul Goldschmidt28.678
16Charlie BlackmonCF16Josh Donaldson28.514
17Carlos CorreaSS17Charlie Blackmon26.611
18Noah SyndergaardSP18Chris Sale26.37-3
19Corey SeagerSS19Carlos Gonzalez25.59-46
20Jonathan VillarSS20Rougned Odor25.3-20
21Chris SaleSP21Corey Kluber24.36-2
22Joey Votto1B22Carlos Correa24.175
23Corey KluberSP23Robinson Cano23.14-7
24Starling MarteLF24Nelson Cruz23-17
25Edwin Encarnacion1B25Corey Seager22.726
26Freddie Freeman1B26Joey Votto22.714
27Xander BogaertsSS27Stephen Strasburg22.67-29
28Francisco LindorSS28Jon Lester22.52-8
29Trevor StorySS29Freddie Freeman22.383
30Robinson Cano2B30Xander Bogaerts22.243
31Jake ArrietaSP31Johnny Cueto21.75-12
32George SpringerRF32Francisco Lindor21.664
33Yu DarvishSP33George Springer21.531
34Brian Dozier2B34Giancarlo Stanton21.4-4
35A.J. PollockCF35Eric Thames21.34-153
36Jon LesterSP36Adam Jones21.22-80
37Daniel Murphy2B37David Price21.22-7
38Giancarlo StantonRF38Carlos Carrasco21.14-19
39Buster PoseyC39Jose Abreu20.98-23
40Rougned Odor2B40Andrew McCutchen20.98-27
41Nelson CruzRF41Ian Desmond20.57-11
42Justin VerlanderSP42Justin Verlander20.520
43Johnny CuetoSP43Chris Archer20.42-10
44David PriceSP44Jonathan Villar20.2124
45Dee Gordon2B45Yu Darvish20.0312
46Aroldis ChapmanMR46Starling Marte2022
47Kenley JansenMR47Carlos Santana19.9-72
48Gary SanchezC48J.D. Martinez19.85-3
49Ryan BraunLF49Mark Trumbo19.62-20
50Billy HamiltonCF50Christian Yelich19.57-10
51J.D. MartinezRF51A.J. Pollock19.5216
52Ian DesmondCF52Adrian Beltre19.51-32
53Chris ArcherSP53Justin Upton19.46-30
54Jonathan LucroyC54Daniel Murphy19.3517
55Jean Segura2B55Eric Hosmer19.3-48
56Stephen StrasburgSP56Edwin Encarnacion19.2231
57Carlos CarrascoSP57Brian Dozier18.9823
58Wil Myers1B58Ryan Braun18.689
59Zach BrittonMR59Chris Davis18.35-22
60Christian YelichLF60Jake Arrieta18.1829
61Yoenis CespedesCF61Evan Longoria18.14-46
62Jose Abreu1B62DJ LeMahieu17.95-23
63Gregory PolancoRF63Yoenis Cespedes17.942
64Kyle HendricksSP64Khris Davis17.79-34
65Carlos GonzalezRF65Hanley Ramirez16.85-15
66Kyle Seager3B66Gary Sanchez16.8218
67Andrew McCutchenCF67Wil Myers16.799
68Carlos MartinezSP68Kyle Seager16.732
69Mark TrumboRF69Kyle Schwarber16.54-7
70Mark MelanconMR70Trevor Story16.5141
71Jacob deGromSP71Gregory Polanco16.278
72Matt Carpenter3B72Adam Eaton16.17-53
73Seung Hwan OhMR73Maikel Franco16.15-49
74Todd Frazier3B74Todd Frazier16.130
75Ian Kinsler2B75Jean Segura15.7520
76Kyle SchwarberLF76Anthony Rendon15.5-14
77Craig KimbrelMR77Ian Kinsler15.352
78Roberto OsunaMR78Dustin Pedroia15.27-61
79Edwin DiazMR79Matt Kemp15.27-17
80Hanley Ramirez1B80Dee Gordon14.7935
81Chris Davis1B81Albert Pujols14.76-55
82Cole HamelsSP82Matt Carpenter14.6110
83Justin UptonLF83Jose Ramirez14.48-11
84Adrian Beltre3B84Kenley Jansen14.3737
85DJ LeMahieu2B85Jacob deGrom14.2514
86Wade DavisMR86Victor Martinez14.14-148
87Masahiro TanakaSP87Jason Kipnis14.13-6
88Willson ContrerasC88Kole Calhoun14.06-99
89Ken GilesMR89Alex Bregman14.02-3
90Anthony Rendon3B90Rich Hill13.97-33
91David DahlLF91Dallas Keuchel13.97-50
92Alex Bregman3B92Jose Bautista13.91-25
93Jason Kipnis2B93Justin Turner13.83-31
94Jose Ramirez3B94Aroldis Chapman13.8248
95Zack GreinkeSP95Lance McCullers13.76-81
96Matt KempRF96Kendrys Morales13.59-73
97Kenta MaedaSP97Buster Posey13.4758
98Khris DavisLF98Mike Moustakas13.29-102
99Danny DuffySP99Tommy Joseph13.12-112
100Evan GattisC100Kyle Hendricks12.8636
101Alex ColomeMR101Michael Pineda12.83-109
102Aaron SanchezSP102Odubel Herrera12.7-18
103Eric Hosmer1B103Miguel Sano12.63-12
104Kelvin HerreraMR104Lorenzo Cain12.57-24
105Andrew MillerMR105Matt Shoemaker12.4-121
106Cody AllenMR106Masahiro Tanaka12.319
107Evan Longoria3B107Stephen Piscotty12.29-23
108Jose QuintanaSP108Aledmys Diaz12.21-44
109Rick PorcelloSP109Gerrit Cole12.17-4
110Julio TeheranSP110Danny Duffy12.0511
111J.T. RealmutoC111Danny Salazar12.04-16
112Jeurys FamiliaMR112Melky Cabrera12-148
113Gerrit ColeSP113Jameson Taillon11.98-38
114Eduardo NunezSS114Robbie Ray11.91-100
115Miguel SanoRF115Jeff Samardzija11.76-79
116Adam JonesCF116James Paxton11.6-63
117Jose BautistaRF117Kevin Kiermaier11.44-67
118Javier Baez3B118Billy Hamilton11.3968
119Carlos Santana1B119Andrew Miller11.3314
120Odubel HerreraCF120Carlos Martinez10.8352
121David RobertsonMR121Tim Anderson10.79-39
122Maikel Franco3B122Carlos Gomez10.68-31
123Rich HillSP123Jose Quintana10.5715
124Justin Turner3B124Marcell Ozuna10.56-53
125Adam EatonRF125Steven Matz10.53-38
126Salvador PerezC126Matt Holliday10.37-132
127Danny SalazarSP127Yasiel Puig10.16-98
128Lorenzo CainCF128Brad Miller10.02-31
129A.J. RamosMR129Jonathan Schoop9.96-39
130Stephen PiscottyRF130Zack Greinke9.8935
131Jose Peraza2B131Nomar Mazara9.8-73
132Francisco RodriguezMR132Shin-Soo Choo9.79#N/A
133Andrew BenintendiLF133Edwin Diaz9.7554
134Addison RussellSS134Wade Davis9.5148
135Felix HernandezSP135Adrian Gonzalez9.5-30
136Albert Pujols1B136Aaron Nola9.37-73
137Michael FulmerSP137Carlos Beltran9.28-78
138Tanner RoarkSP138Joc Pederson9.24-61
139Dustin Pedroia2B139Marcus Semien9.1-68
140Alex ReyesSP140Jake Lamb9.06-9
141Dallas KeuchelSP141David Dahl9.0250
142Matt HarveySP142Rick Porcello8.9933
143Sam DysonMR143Logan Forsythe8.85-81
144Jackie Bradley Jr.CF144Cole Hamels8.8562
145Yasmani GrandalC145Andrew Benintendi8.8212
146Tony WatsonMR146Kenta Maeda8.749
147Yasmany TomasLF147Brandon Belt8.41-19
148Byron BuxtonCF148Ender Inciarte8.15-44
149Jake Lamb3B149Ryon Healy8.13-42
150Kevin GausmanSP150Rajai Davis8.13-48
151Jameson TaillonSP151Zach Britton8.1292
152Aledmys DiazSS152Tyler Skaggs8.11#N/A
153Carlos GomezCF153John Lackey8.11-8
154Adam DuvallLF154Jonathan Lucroy7.93100
155Elvis AndrusSS155Craig Kimbrel7.8978
156Troy TulowitzkiSS156Gregory Bird7.88#N/A
157Marcus StromanSP157Shawn Kelley7.86-62
158Adam OttavinoMR158Mark Melancon7.8588
159Brad MillerSS159Wei-Yin Chen7.78#N/A
160Tim AndersonSS160David Peralta7.7-110
161John LackeySP161Jackie Bradley Jr.7.6317
162Brian McCannC162Mike Napoli7.39-59
163Steven MatzSP163Max Kepler7.11-72
164Julio UriasSP164Dexter Fowler7.1-25
165Adrian Gonzalez1B165Adam Duvall7.0811
166Brandon Belt1B166Matt Moore7-9
167Russell MartinC167Josh Reddick6.98-125
168Jonathan Schoop2B168Hunter Pence6.89-40
169Kendrys MoralesDH169Ken Giles6.7980
170Raisel IglesiasSP170Starlin Castro6.72-67
171Sean ManaeaSP171Seung Hwan Oh6.6998
172Dellin BetancesMR172Curtis Granderson6.62-101
173Ben Zobrist2B173Drew Smyly6.61-44
174Welington CastilloC174Elvis Andrus6.519
175Matt MooreSP175Matt Harvey6.4633
176Lance McCullersSP176Jung Ho Kang6.32-68
177Marcell OzunaCF177Vince Velasquez6.3-6
178Hernan Perez3B178Ben Zobrist6.265
179James PaxtonSP179Troy Tulowitzki6.2323
180Jon GraySP180Didi Gregorius6.22-72
181Jake OdorizziSP181Brett Gardner6.05-99
182Keon BroxtonCF182Randal Grichuk6.02-30
183Vince VelasquezSP183Garrett Richards5.9-67
184Kevin KiermaierCF184Domingo Santana5.87-75
185Dansby SwansonSS185Neil Walker5.86-60
186J.A. HappSP186Martin Prado5.83#N/A
187Kole CalhounRF187Denard Span5.66#N/A
188Eric ThamesLF188Corey Dickerson5.63-102
189Dexter FowlerCF189Felix Hernandez5.6254
190Yadier MolinaC190Julio Teheran5.5980
191Ryon Healy3B191Marcus Stroman5.5634
192Ender InciarteCF192Jon Gray5.5212
193Jay BruceRF193Gio Gonzalez5.49-101
194Jeff SamardzijaSP194Devon Travis5.48-2
195Carlos RodonSP195Josh Bell5.45-88
196Devon Travis2B196Kevin Pillar5.38-100
197Matt WietersC197Kevin Gausman5.347
198Rajai DavisCF198Nick Castellanos5.28-7
199Joc PedersonCF199Jose De Leon5.28#N/A
200Mike Moustakas3B200Eduardo Nunez5.2286
201Jim JohnsonMR201Jason Heyward5.16-53
202Jerad EickhoffSP202Kelvin Herrera5.1198
203Stephen VogtC203Roberto Osuna5.07125
204Nomar MazaraRF204Jeurys Familia5.0392
205Nick Castellanos3B205Jacoby Ellsbury4.92-46
206Sonny GraySP206Cesar Hernandez4.8-82
207Marcus SemienSS207Dansby Swanson4.7922
208Hunter PenceRF208Justin Bour4.79#N/A
209Aaron NolaSP209Dellin Betances4.7737
210Michael PinedaSP210Raisel Iglesias4.7440
211Tommy Joseph1B211Addison Russell4.6577
212Randal GrichukCF212Collin McHugh4.59-67
213Drew PomeranzSP213Nick Markakis4.55#N/A
214Robbie RaySP214Jose Peraza4.4983
215Carlos BeltranRF215Alex Wood4.48#N/A
216Michael BrantleyLF216Cam Bedrosian4.42-2
217Drew SmylySP217Brandon Moss4.22#N/A
218Cam BedrosianMR218Eugenio Suarez4.07-44
219Shawn KelleyMR219Salvador Perez4.0293
220Tom MurphyC220Michael Fulmer3.9683
221Mike Napoli1B221Hunter Renfroe3.91-6
222Adam WainwrightSP222Yasmany Tomas3.8875
223Anthony DeSclafaniSP223Adam Wainwright3.751
224Logan Forsythe2B224Alcides Escobar3.55#N/A
225Yasiel PuigRF225Byron Buxton3.2377
226Matt ShoemakerSP226Jake Odorizzi3.1745
227Hunter RenfroeRF227Javier Baez3.05109
228C.J. Cron1B228David Robertson3.04107
229Marco EstradaSP229Blake Snell2.94-4
230Hector NerisMR230Keon Broxton2.8648
231Taijuan WalkerSP231Alex Colome2.8130
232Ryan MadsonMR232Michael Brantley2.6216
233Blake SnellSP233Anthony DeSclafani2.5910
234Victor MartinezDH234Cody Allen2.55128
235Max KeplerRF235Matt Duffy2.46#N/A
236Brandon MaurerMR236Tony Watson2.3990
237Starlin Castro2B237Joe Ross2.35-6
238Yoan Moncada3B238Carlos Rodon2.2743
239Leonys MartinCF239Brandon Crawford2.2-2
240Jarrod DysonCF240Hisashi Iwakuma2.15-26
241Brandon CrawfordSS241Travis Jankowski2.14-46
242Jedd Gyorko2B242Julio Urias2.0778
243Joe RossSP243Jaime Garcia2.03#N/A
244Jung Ho Kang3B244Jay Bruce2.0151
245Neil Walker2B245Joe Mauer1.89#N/A
246Manuel MargotCF246Alex Gordon1.66#N/A
247Greg Bird1B247Yulieski Gurriel1.51#N/A
248Cameron RuppC248Scott Kazmir1.5#N/A
249Ian KennedySP249Joe Panik1.49#N/A
250Garrett RichardsSP250Hyun Soo Kim1.47#N/A
251Jacoby EllsburyCF251Brandon Maurer1.4615
252Didi GregoriusSS252J.A. Happ1.3566
253Brandon DruryLF253Grant Dayton1.28#N/A
254Jason HeywardRF254Drew Pomeranz1.2841
255Wilson RamosC255Ian Kennedy1.256
256Jharel CottonSP256Yunel Escobar1.24#N/A
257Chris Carter1B257Asdrubal Cabrera1.21-15
258Matt HollidayLF258Ivan Nova1.21-10
259Domingo SantanaRF259Josh Harrison1.09-10
260Melky CabreraLF260Lucas Duda1.08#N/A
261Orlando ArciaSS261Jayson Werth1.08#N/A
262Eugenio Suarez3B262Sean Doolittle1.06#N/A
263Fernando RodneyMR263Yangervis Solarte0.95-15
264Addison ReedMR264Jedd Gyorko0.8722
265Nate JonesMR265Aaron Sanchez0.82163
266Hisashi IwakumaSP266Neftali Feliz0.69-32
267Yuli Gurriel3B267Ricky Nolasco0.69#N/A
268Ivan NovaSP268Matt Andriese0.54#N/A
269Josh Harrison2B269Arodys Vizcaino0.44#N/A
270David PeraltaRF270Stephen Vogt0.367
271Dylan BundySP271Evan Gattis0.29171
272Asdrubal CabreraSS272Koji Uehara0.26#N/A
273Curtis GrandersonRF273Manuel Margot0.1627
274Brandon KintzlerMR274Willson Contreras0.14186
275Derek NorrisC275Bartolo Colon0.1#N/A
276Junior GuerraSP276C.J. Cron0.0148
277Sandy LeonC277A.J. Ramos-0.1148
278Yangervis Solarte3B278Sam Dyson-0.1135
279Collin McHughSP279Taijuan Walker-0.148
280Brett GardnerLF280Fernando Rodney-0.1817
281Tyler GlasnowSP281Jharel Cotton-0.2125
282Jorge SolerLF282Mike Leake-0.25#N/A
283Josh BellRF283Jerad Eickhoff-0.3581
284Brandon Phillips2B284Sean Manaea-0.54113
285Mike ZuninoC285Scott Schebler-0.55#N/A
286Daniel NorrisSP286Yasmani Grandal-0.55141
287Travis JankowskiCF287Francisco Liriano-0.55#N/A
288Cesar Hernandez2B288Yadier Molina-0.698
289Travis d'ArnaudC289Seth Smith-0.64#N/A
290Corey DickersonLF290Kyle Barraclough-0.76#N/A
291Cameron MaybinCF291Francisco Rodriguez-0.8159
292Josh ReddickRF292Jorge Polanco-0.83#N/A
293Eduardo RodriguezSP293Howie Kendrick-0.88#N/A
294Gio GonzalezSP294Jose Iglesias-0.94#N/A
295Chris TillmanSP295Trevor Plouffe-0.97#N/A
296Kevin PillarCF296Mike Fiers-1.01#N/A
297Zach DaviesSP297Sonny Gray-1.0491
298Neftali FelizMR298Tyler Anderson-1.04#N/A
299Devin MesoracoC299Lance Lynn-1.07#N/A
300Chris OwingsCF300Tyler Glasnow-1.1319

A negative number in the "Diff" column means Steamer likes the player better. A positive number means the NFBC ADP prefers him.

Here's the table showing which players have the biggest discrepancies in value between the two lists:

RankPlayerDiffRankPlayerDiffRankPlayerDiffRankPlayerDiff
1Eric Thames-15376Randal Grichuk-30151Josh Donaldson4226Nate Jones65
2Victor Martinez-14877Stephen Strasburg-29152Joey Votto4227J.A. Happ66
3Melky Cabrera-14878Andrew McCutchen-27153Francisco Lindor4228Stephen Vogt67
4Matt Holliday-13279Hisashi Iwakuma-26154Jose Altuve5229Billy Hamilton68
5Josh Reddick-12580Jose Bautista-25155Carlos Correa5230Yasmany Tomas75
6Matt Shoemaker-12181Dexter Fowler-25156Ben Zobrist5231Addison Russell77
7Tommy Joseph-11282Lorenzo Cain-24157Corey Seager6232Byron Buxton77
8David Peralta-11083Jose Abreu-23158Ian Kennedy6233Craig Kimbrel78
9Michael Pineda-10984DJ LeMahieu-23159Kris Bryant7234Julio Urias78
10Mike Moustakas-10285Stephen Piscotty-23160Paul Goldschmidt8235Ken Giles80
11Corey Dickerson-10286Chris Davis-22161Gregory Polanco8236Julio Teheran80
12Curtis Granderson-10187Rougned Odor-20162Ryan Braun9237Jerad Eickhoff81
13Gio Gonzalez-10188Mark Trumbo-20163Wil Myers9238Jose Peraza83
14Robbie Ray-10089Carlos Carrasco-19164Matt Carpenter10239Michael Fulmer83
15Kevin Pillar-10090Brandon Belt-19165Anthony DeSclafani10240Eduardo Nunez86
16Kole Calhoun-9991Odubel Herrera-18166Danny Duffy11241Jarrod Dyson87
17Brett Gardner-9992Nelson Cruz-17167Adam Duvall11242Brandon Drury87
18Yasiel Puig-9893Matt Kemp-17168Yu Darvish12243Addison Reed87
19Josh Bell-8894Danny Salazar-16169Andrew Benintendi12244Mark Melancon88
20Cesar Hernandez-8295Hanley Ramirez-15170Jon Gray12245Junior Guerra89
21Lance McCullers-8196Asdrubal Cabrera-15171Jacob deGrom14246Tony Watson90
22Logan Forsythe-8197Yangervis Solarte-15172Andrew Miller14247Chris Carter90
23Adam Jones-8098Anthony Rendon-14173Jose Quintana15248Sonny Gray91
24Jeff Samardzija-7999Johnny Cueto-12174Brandon Maurer15249Zach Britton92
25Carlos Beltran-78100Miguel Sano-12175A.J. Pollock16250Jeurys Familia92
26Domingo Santana-75101Ian Desmond-11176Michael Brantley16251Daniel Norris92
27Kendrys Morales-73102Jose Ramirez-11177Daniel Murphy17252Salvador Perez93
28Nomar Mazara-73103Chris Archer-10178Jackie Bradley Jr.17253Seung Hwan Oh98
29Aaron Nola-73104Christian Yelich-10179Fernando Rodney17254Kelvin Herrera98
30Carlos Santana-72105Ivan Nova-10180Gary Sanchez18255Yadier Molina98
31Max Kepler-72106Josh Harrison-10181Masahiro Tanaka19256Hector Neris99
32Didi Gregorius-72107Jake Lamb-9182Elvis Andrus19257Jonathan Lucroy100
33Marcus Semien-68108Matt Moore-9183Tyler Glasnow19258Ryan Madson101
34Jung Ho Kang-68109Miguel Cabrera-8184Jean Segura20259Leonys Martin104
35Kevin Kiermaier-67110Jon Lester-8185Zach Davies21260David Robertson107
36Starlin Castro-67111John Lackey-8186Starling Marte22261Javier Baez109
37Garrett Richards-67112Robinson Cano-7187Dansby Swanson22262Sean Manaea113
38Collin McHugh-67113David Price-7188Jedd Gyorko22263Roberto Osuna125
39James Paxton-63114Kyle Schwarber-7189Brian Dozier23264Brandon Phillips126
40Shawn Kelley-62115Nick Castellanos-7190Troy Tulowitzki23265Cody Allen128
41Dustin Pedroia-61116Max Scherzer-6191Jonathan Villar24266Brandon Kintzler128
42Joc Pederson-61117Jason Kipnis-6192Jorge Soler24267Alex Colome130
43Neil Walker-60118Vince Velasquez-6193Jharel Cotton25268Dylan Bundy133
44Mike Napoli-59119Hunter Renfroe-6194Manuel Margot27269Sam Dyson135
45Albert Pujols-55120Joe Ross-6195Jake Arrieta29270Cameron Maybin136
46Adam Eaton-53121Noah Syndergaard-5196Edwin Encarnacion31271Yasmani Grandal141
47Marcell Ozuna-53122Clayton Kershaw-4197Rick Porcello33272A.J. Ramos148
48Jason Heyward-53123Manny Machado-4198Matt Harvey33273Jim Johnson158
49Dallas Keuchel-50124Giancarlo Stanton-4199Marcus Stroman34274Chris Owings158
50Maikel Franco-49125Gerrit Cole-4200Dee Gordon35275Francisco Rodriguez159
51Eric Hosmer-48126Blake Snell-4201Zack Greinke35276Aaron Sanchez163
52Rajai Davis-48127Chris Sale-3202Kyle Hendricks36277Tanner Roark164
53Carlos Gonzalez-46128J.D. Martinez-3203Kenley Jansen37278Derek Norris164
54Evan Longoria-46129Alex Bregman-3204Dellin Betances37279Adam Ottavino166
55Jacoby Ellsbury-46130Corey Kluber-2205Eduardo Rodriguez39280Wilson Ramos166
56Travis Jankowski-46131Devon Travis-2206Raisel Iglesias40281Marco Estrada168
57Aledmys Diaz-44132Cam Bedrosian-2207Trevor Story41282Evan Gattis171
58Ender Inciarte-44133Brandon Crawford-2208Drew Pomeranz41283Russell Martin171
59Drew Smyly-44134Trea Turner-1209Carlos Rodon43284Willson Contreras186
60Eugenio Suarez-44135Anthony Rizzo-1210Jake Odorizzi45285Hernan Perez202
61Ryon Healy-42136Madison Bumgarner-1211Kevin Gausman47286Brian McCann207
62Hunter Pence-40137Justin Verlander0212Aroldis Chapman48287J.T. Realmuto210
63Tim Anderson-39138Todd Frazier0213Wade Davis48288Sandy Leon218
64Jonathan Schoop-39139Mike Trout1214Keon Broxton48289Cameron Rupp219
65Jameson Taillon-38140Mookie Betts1215C.J. Cron48290Welington Castillo226
66Steven Matz-38141Nolan Arenado1216Taijuan Walker48291Yoan Moncada233
67Khris Davis-34142Bryce Harper1217Kenta Maeda49292Matt Wieters237
68Rich Hill-33143Charlie Blackmon1218David Dahl50
69Adrian Beltre-32144George Springer1219Jay Bruce51
70Neftali Feliz-32145Adam Wainwright1220Carlos Martinez52
71Justin Turner-31146Yoenis Cespedes2221Edwin Diaz54
72Carlos Gomez-31147Kyle Seager2222Felix Hernandez54
73Brad Miller-31148Ian Kinsler2223Orlando Arcia55
74Justin Upton-30149Freddie Freeman3224Buster Posey58
75Adrian Gonzalez-30150Xander Bogaerts3225Cole Hamels62

Then there were some players not ranked in the top-300 by NFBC drafters that Steamer did rank:

RankSteamer/Liss$Diff
132Shin-Soo Choo9.79#N/A
152Tyler Skaggs8.11#N/A
156Gregory Bird7.88#N/A
159Wei-Yin Chen7.78#N/A
186Martin Prado5.83#N/A
187Denard Span5.66#N/A
199Jose De Leon5.28#N/A
208Justin Bour4.79#N/A
213Nick Markakis4.55#N/A
215Alex Wood4.48#N/A
217Brandon Moss4.22#N/A
224Alcides Escobar3.55#N/A
235Matt Duffy2.46#N/A
243Jaime Garcia2.03#N/A
245Joe Mauer1.89#N/A
246Alex Gordon1.66#N/A
247Yulieski Gurriel1.51#N/A
248Scott Kazmir1.5#N/A
249Joe Panik1.49#N/A
250Hyun Soo Kim1.47#N/A
253Grant Dayton1.28#N/A
256Yunel Escobar1.24#N/A
260Lucas Duda1.08#N/A
261Jayson Werth1.08#N/A
262Sean Doolittle1.06#N/A
267Ricky Nolasco0.69#N/A
268Matt Andriese0.54#N/A
269Arodys Vizcaino0.44#N/A
272Koji Uehara0.26#N/A
275Bartolo Colon0.1#N/A
282Mike Leake-0.25#N/A
285Scott Schebler-0.55#N/A
287Francisco Liriano-0.55#N/A
289Seth Smith-0.64#N/A
290Kyle Barraclough-0.76#N/A
292Jorge Polanco-0.83#N/A
293Howie Kendrick-0.88#N/A
294Jose Iglesias-0.94#N/A
295Trevor Plouffe-0.97#N/A
296Mike Fiers-1.01#N/A
298Tyler Anderson-1.04#N/A
299Lance Lynn-1.07#N/A

Overall, there are some interesting outliers. Steamer (via my formula) seems to like Clayton Kershaw, Miguel Cabrera, Manny Machado, Max Scherzer, Carlos Gonzalez, Rougned Odor, Nelson Cruz, Stephen Strasburg, Eric Thames and Adam Jones. The NFBC drafters prefer Jose Altuve, Paul Goldschmidt, Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Jonathan Villar, Yu Darvish, Starling Marte and Edwin Encarnacion.

For more info on how I derived my dollar values, based on Steamer's projections, click here and here.