Shohei Ohtani

30-Year-Old DHDH

Los Angeles Dodgers

Out

Injury Shoulder

Est. Return 2/1/2025

2024 Stats

W-L

0-0

ERA

0.00

WHIP

0.00

AVG

.310

RBI

130

134

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Ohtani's improbable 2023 season was sad on many fronts. Despite a second 40-20 season in three years along with his pitching prowess, he was not afforded the chance to play October baseball with his team breaking down as well as his right elbow for a second time in five years. Ohtani ended up having his elbow surgery in late September which rules him out for pitching in 2024. If he were to follow the Bryce Harper recovery timeline from a similar procedure, there is a decent chance Ohtani could still be ready for Opening Day. That said, it would be unfair to expect even this unique player to be 100% himself given what we just saw from Harper this past season as he attempted to regain his power stroke. Ohtani signed a unique 10-year pact with the Dodgers, guaranteeing himself an excellent home park for lefty power and superb teammates at the top of the lineup. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

ADP

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 210

DOB 7/5/1994

Born Oshu, Japan

College None

Drafted 2017 LAA

Surgery likely to delay pitching

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

November 7, 2024

Ohtani's left shoulder surgery is likely to delay his pitching debut for the Dodgers, Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times reports.

ANALYSIS
Ohtani underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a labrum tear in his left (non-throwing) shoulder, an injury he suffered during Game 2 of the World Series. While the expectation is that he will be ready to serve as a designated hitter during spring training and Opening Day, the timetable for Ohtani's first start on the mound for the Dodgers looks cloudy. The team elected to pause Ohtani's throwing program during the playoffs as he comes back from Tommy John surgery so as to not overtax him, and now the shoulder surgery will further delay his throwing program indefinitely. The Dodgers have a two-game series versus the Cubs in Japan from March 18-19 and then have their domestic opener against the Tigers on March 27. GM Brandon Gomes this week didn't rule out Ohtani being ready to pitch by the domestic opener, but Gomes "did not cast an optimistic picture of that possibility," per Harris. Ohtani was going to have workload restrictions in place on the mound in his first year back from Tommy John surgery anyway, so in that respect the delay isn't a huge deal. However, the situation creates an air of uncertainty with the two-way superstar's status. More clarity on Ohtani's situation should be available later in the offseason and into spring training.

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Pitching Stats

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+25%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+30%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+26%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+17%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.846	644	81	32	90	23	.268	.346	.500
Since 2022vs Right	1.061	1344	245	100	230	67	.309	.404	.657
2024vs Left	.867	249	35	12	39	16	.288	.349	.518
2024vs Right	1.128	479	99	42	91	43	.322	.411	.717
2023vs Left	.898	167	24	11	24	4	.245	.365	.532
2023vs Right	1.132	427	78	33	71	16	.327	.431	.701
2022vs Left	.787	228	22	9	27	3	.263	.329	.459
2022vs Right	.921	438	68	25	68	8	.278	.370	.551
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+11%

OPS at Home

2024

+11%

OPS at Home

2023

+6%

OPS on Road

2022

+35%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	1.044	963	169	71	155	46	.310	.400	.644
Since 2022Away	.940	1025	157	61	165	44	.282	.372	.569
2024Home	1.091	356	68	28	59	31	.328	.416	.675
2024Away	.985	372	66	26	71	28	.293	.366	.619
2023Home	1.031	275	51	22	41	9	.282	.385	.645
2023Away	1.097	319	51	22	54	11	.323	.436	.662
2022Home	1.005	332	50	21	55	6	.314	.395	.610
2022Away	.746	334	40	13	40	5	.233	.317	.429
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Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-14%

BAA vs RHP

2024

No Stats

2023

-14%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-15%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.210	573	177	47	109	18	2	19
Since 2022vs Right	.180	618	209	52	100	20	0	13
2024vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023vs Left	.197	255	76	23	45	8	0	11
2023vs Right	.170	276	91	32	40	7	0	7
2022vs Left	.221	318	101	24	64	10	2	8
2022vs Right	.188	342	118	20	60	13	0	6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-32%

ERA at Home

2024

No Stats

2023

-29%

ERA at Home

2022

-38%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	2.24	0.97	169.0	13	7	0	12.0	2.7	0.9
Since 2022Away	3.28	1.12	129.0	12	7	0	11.2	3.4	1.1
2024Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023Home	2.70	1.05	80.0	6	3	0	11.9	3.9	1.0
2023Away	3.81	1.08	52.0	4	2	0	10.6	3.5	1.6
2022Home	1.82	0.90	89.0	7	4	0	12.0	1.5	0.7
2022Away	2.92	1.14	77.0	8	5	0	11.7	3.4	0.8
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Stat Review

How does Shohei Ohtani compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.50

BB Rate

11.1%

K Rate

22.3%

BABIP

.336

ISO

.336

AVG

.310

OBP

.390

SLG

.646

OPS

1.036

wOBA

.437

Exit Velocity

95.8 mph

Hard Hit Rate

44.8%

Barrels/PA

14.1%

Expected BA

.314

Expected SLG

.660

Sprint Speed

22.8 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

36.0%

Line Drive %

23.6%

Fly Ball %

40.4%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Shohei Ohtani Prospect Ranking History

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Additional Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2015

Last year's player outlook said we had never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He did not quite have a repeat of his monster season at the plate in 2022, but he more than made up for that with his best season yet on the mound. Any other year, his 2022 season would be worthy of a unanimous MVP award, but Ohtani's season toiled both in the obscurity of the secondary team in the Los Angeles market while also in the large shadow of Aaron Judge's historic season. The only frustrating issue with Ohtani is if you're in a league in which you must declare how you will use him each week, because that format mostly renders his pitching talents null and void unless you're staring at several suboptimal matchups in a five-game week for Ohtani. The DH-only label slightly impacts his draft day value, as standard format leagues must then adjust downstream for losing the in-draft flexibility of the UT spot.

Simply put, we've never seen anything like Ohtani's 2021 season. He hit 46 homers, drove in 100 runs and stole 26 bases. Oh, and he also pitched 130.1 innings, fanning 156 and going 9-2 on the mound. The incredible two-way campaign earned Ohtani the AL MVP in a unanimous vote (even as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came close to a Triple Crown), the 19th unanimous MVP vote in MLB history. Many in the fantasy game could not bank all those stats -- the Ohtani Rules vary from platform to platform, and most in weekly lineup leagues had to choose whether to deploy Ohtani at UT or P, sacrificing one side of his production in a given week. He made seven appearances in the outfield last season and remains DH-only on offense in most formats, but Ohtani is a once-in-a-lifetime baseball player with more tools in his set than anyone else in the game. He's the easy No. 1 overall in leagues that allow daily lineup moves.

We know Ohtani can pitch at an elite level when he is healthy, and has shown excellent hitting abilities as well, but neither were present in 2020. He hit poorly around the occasional home run, and pitched only a handful of forgettable innings before shutting it down with a forearm strain. Ohtani was 21 months removed from his Tommy John surgery when the abbreviated season began; the disruption to the training schedule was the last thing any player, but particularly a two-way player, needed on the road to recovery. The poor pitching results and forearm strain coupled with the issues at the plate creates some uncertainty regarding Ohtani's future role. The once-a-week pitching plan the Angels have gone with to this point creates a bit of a headache in weekly lineup leagues. He might have more upside in those formats if he were to stick on one side of the ball.

While on the mend from Tommy John surgery, Ohtani served exclusively as a designated hitter for the Angels in 2019. The 25-year-old only saw his offensive production tail off marginally from his rookie campaign, slugging 18 home runs to go with 12 steals and a .286 average before he was shut down in mid-September for a minor left knee procedure. Ohtani enters the spring ostensibly at full health; the Angels will slow play him in camp and are not expected to return Ohtani to a big-league mound until mid-May at the earliest. If Ohtani quickly regains his pre-surgery command and velocity, he could be one of the top starting pitchers on a per-outing basis, just as he was during his 10 starts in 2018. His value would skyrocket if fantasy providers allow Ohtani to be used in a utility spot on his non-pitching days, as he should be in store for a handful of starts per week as a DH.

The two-way phenom was limited to just two appearances on the mound over the final four months of the season, but he continued to hit despite a busted UCL, and the offensive numbers were excellent. After undergoing Tommy John surgery in early October of 2018, he will be limited exclusively to hitting in 2019. If healthy, Ohtani would have a case as a top-100 overall player, but he's not expected back until May, so look for Ohtani to fall closer to pick 200 in mixed leagues. He had the sixth-best barrel rate in baseball (min. 150 batted-ball events) and a top-10 xSLG. His 92.6 mph average exit velocity ranked ahead of the likes of Khris Davis, Christian Yelich and Mookie Betts. The only real negatives besides health: he's UT-only and hit just .222/.300/.354 with a 31.8% K-rate against left-handed pitching. Even when active, he probably won't be a true everyday player, but Ohtani's numbers should be close to elite on a per-plate-appearance basis.

Ohtani could be the best player ever to come to MLB from Japan. In addition to racking up 624 strikeouts and posting a 2.52 ERA along with a 1.08 WHIP in 543 innings over the last five seasons with the Nippon Ham Fighters, Ohtani has hit .286/.358/.500 with 48 homers in 1,170 plate appearances. He's hit at least .300 in each of the last two seasons, while carrying an OBP above .400 and a slugging percentage above .500. The Angels signed Ohtani in December, and he will immediately join the front of the team's rotation. Soon after he signed, it was revealed that Ohtani has a first-degree sprain of the UCL in his right elbow, but the Angels knew about the injury before signing him. Additionally, he missed most of 2017 as a result of an ankle injury that required surgery in October. The Angels are considering a six-man rotation. With that, he may get two turns in the lineup as the DH between each start on the mound.

Ohtani is arguably the top player in the world not in MLB. The Japanese star not only throws 102 mph and had a 1.86 ERA last season, but also hit 22 home runs with a 1.004 OPS as a DH for the Nippon Ham Fighters. Ohtani appeared to be all but set to make his move to MLB following the 2017 season, but changes in the new in the new collective-bargaining agreement that restrict MLB teams' spending on international free agents under age 25 may push his arrival back as far as 2020.

Ohtani made headlines as a two-way player, Japan's first since the '60s, as a rookie in 2013. He made even more headlines as a sophomore in 2014 by comprehensively improving both sides of his game. Ohtani regularly hit 100 mph on the radar gun, and went 11-4 with a 2.61 over 155.1 innings, striking out 179 while walking 57. At the plate, Ohtani slashed .274/.314/.444 over 234 plate appearances, hitting 17 doubles and 10 home runs. Ohtani's future is pretty clearly on the mound at this point, but he's a tantalizing talent in either role. He's a keeper prospect to monitor.

More Fantasy News

Undergoes surgery on shoulder

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

November 5, 2024

Ohtani underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a labrum tear in his left shoulder, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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In Game 3 lineup Monday

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

October 28, 2024

Ohtani (shoulder) will start at designated hitter and bat leadoff Monday in Game 3 of the World Series versus the Yankees, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.

ANALYSIS
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On track for Game 3

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

October 27, 2024

Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Sunday that Ohtani (shoulder) is "in a great spot and will be playing" Monday in Game 3 of the World Series against the Yankees, Karl Ravech of ESPN reports.

ANALYSIS
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Suffers shoulder subluxation

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

Shoulder

October 26, 2024

Ohtani suffered a left shoulder subluxation in the seventh inning of Saturday's 4-2 win over the Yankees in Game 2 of the World Series, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports. He went 0-for-3 with a walk in the victory.

ANALYSIS
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Exits Game 2

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

Arm

October 26, 2024

Ohtani left Game 2 of the World Series on Saturday after suffering an injury to his shoulder, Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times reports.

ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Bolsters MVP campaign in September

DHLos Angeles Dodgers

October 1, 2024

Ohtani was named the National League Player of the Month for September on Tuesday.

ANALYSIS
The two-way slugger entered September as the favorite to win NL MVP, and he separated himself even further during the final month of the regular season with 10 homers, 16 steals, 32 RBI, 27 runs and a 1.225 OPS in 26 games. Ohtani finished the campaign with 54 home runs and 59 stolen bases, making him the first member of the 50-50 club in MLB history. He had a .310/.390/.646 slash line in 728 plate appearances, and Luis Arraez's .314 average was the only thing that prevented Ohtani from winning the Triple Crown.

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