Out
Injury Lat
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
13-4
ERA
3.86
WHIP
1.24
K
130
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rodriguez's overall numbers were not impressive, but you see a better story once you break down his season. He surprisingly opened the season with Baltimore, but went 2-2 in 10 starts with a 7.35 ERA as he struggled with homers allowing 13 home runs in 45.1 innings around 56 strikeouts and 21 walks. The front office sent him down to AAA Norfolk where he shoved to a 4-0 record with a 1.96 ERA over 8 starts with improved command, which earned him a recall to the big leagues during the All-Star break. From there, all he did was go 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA over his final 13 starts while allowing 3 homers in 76.2 innings with 73 strikeouts and 21 walks. Rodriguez ramped up his fantasy stock with his summer performance, but it comes at a cost as he increased his workload 118% from 2022 to 2023 jumping from 75.2 innings to 165 when factoring in his regular and postseason work. His previous season high was 103 innings in 2021, so keep that in mind as you consider reaching for his upside on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
Will be ready for spring training
Orioles general manager Mike Elias said Thursday that he expects Rodriguez (lat) to more or less by without restrictions at the beginning of spring training, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Rodriguez sustained a right lat strain in early August and was eventually shut down in late September after it became apparent he wasn't going to make it back for the regular or postseason. He should be able to have a relatively normal throwing program during the offseason, though health concerns could linger given how much time he missed in 2024.
Rodriguez sustained a right lat strain in early August and was eventually shut down in late September after it became apparent he wasn't going to make it back for the regular or postseason. He should be able to have a relatively normal throwing program during the offseason, though health concerns could linger given how much time he missed in 2024.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
98
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Grayson Rodriguez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Grayson Rodriguez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-27%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .239 | 118 | 44 | 99 | 15 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .261 | 141 | 34 | 131 | 16 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .205 | 68 | 20 | 45 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .279 | 62 | 16 | 64 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .277 | 50 | 24 | 54 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .246 | 79 | 18 | 67 | 7 | |||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-6%
ERA at Home
2024
-25%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.98 | 1.31 | 124.1 | 8.8 | 2.9 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 4.25 | 1.27 | 114.1 | 10.8 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.32 | 1.17 | 59.2 | 9.4 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.42 | 1.32 | 57.0 | 10.7 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.59 | 1.44 | 64.2 | 8.4 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.08 | 1.22 | 57.1 | 10.8 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Grayson Rodriguez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.61K/9
10.0BB/9
2.8HR/9
1.2Fastball
96.1 mphERA
3.86WHIP
1.24BABIP
.321GB/FB
1.26Left On Base
75.0%Exit Velocity
82.4 mphBarrels/BBE
4.3%Spin Rate
2247 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.9%Swinging Strike
13.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Rodriguez, likely the most famous prospect-eligible pitcher, exited his 11th Triple-A start June 1 with a Grade 2 lat strain. Up to that point, the revered 6-foot-5 righty logged a 2.09 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 80:14 K:BB in 56 innings. By all accounts, Rodriguez would have made his big-league debut in June had he stayed healthy. He missed exactly three months and returned for a rehab assignment and three more Triple-A starts to close the season. Understandably rusty, Rodriguez posted a 4.12 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and walked as many batters (14) in 19.2 innings as he did in the 56 innings before he got hurt. At full health, Rodriguez's arsenal is beyond reproach, boasting several pitches that grade as at least plus. The shoulder injury and subsequent middling performance to close the year represented his first major road bump as a pro. It remains to be seen how he will bounce back, but the market already views him as a borderline top-200 pick in super early drafts. The Orioles' team context is much better than it once was, as the home park is now a good place to pitch and Rodriguez will be throwing to all-world catcher/leader Adley Rutschman. Rodriguez totaled 75.2 innings in 2022 so targeting him in fantasy is a quality over quantity bet in 2023.
More Fantasy News
Out for 2024
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde announced Wednesday that Rodriguez (lat) has been shut down and won't pitch again this season, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could return as reliever
Orioles general manager Mike Elias said Tuesday that it's possible Rodriguez (lat) temporarily pitches out of the bullpen when he eventually returns from the 15-day injured list, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could face hitters this week
Rodriguez (lat) could face hitters at some point this week during the Orioles' road trip, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws bullpen session
Rodriguez (lat) threw a bullpen session at Camden Yards on Wednesday, Baltimore Banner Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing mound work
Rodriguez (lat) threw from flat ground before Thursday's game against the Dodgers, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Pushing for another chance
Rodriguez has a 1.83 ERA and 37.8 percent strikeout rate in six starts for Triple-A Norfolk since being sent down in late May, per Nathan Ruiz of The Baltimore Sun, and it's possible the right-hander could rejoin the big-league rotation shortly after the All-Star break.
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old was called up for his first taste of the big leagues in early April but was demoted after he posted a 7.35 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 10 starts. Rodriguez illustrated his potential with an 11.1 K/9, but he had difficulty keeping the ball in the park with a 2.6 HR/9. Cole Irvin and Dean Kremer haven't been anything special at the back end of Baltimore's rotation, so Rodriguez's next MLB opportunity could come sooner rather than later.
The 23-year-old was called up for his first taste of the big leagues in early April but was demoted after he posted a 7.35 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 10 starts. Rodriguez illustrated his potential with an 11.1 K/9, but he had difficulty keeping the ball in the park with a 2.6 HR/9. Cole Irvin and Dean Kremer haven't been anything special at the back end of Baltimore's rotation, so Rodriguez's next MLB opportunity could come sooner rather than later.