Daniel Lynch

28-Year-Old PitcherRP

Kansas City Royals

2024 Stats

W-L

2-0

ERA

3.32

WHIP

0.99

2025 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Lynch spent a lot of time on the Edward Olivares Memorial Interstate between Kansas City and Omaha again in 2024. He pitched in 162.2 innings between the two cities with over 70 percent of that coming for the Omaha Stormchasers. Lynch, in doing so, is pitching up to his potential because he is the prototypical swing man. His overall numbers were ruined by back to back outings where he gave up 14 runs over 10.2 innings while starting one game and bulking in another as he otherwise pitched to a 0.55 ERA in his other major league apperarances with 32 strikeouts and 6 walks in 29.2 innings of work. Lynch really is not needed in the rotation with the full return of Bubic but could play a key role in the bullpen as one of the lefties who could fill a Luke Weaver-like role in Kansas City. His migration to a heavier fastball/slider/changeup approach by season's end may be Kansas City telling us they agree with this suggested career path. Read Past Outlooks

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 190

DOB 11/17/1996

Drafted 1st Rd 2018

Earns second win

PKansas City Royals

September 26, 2024

Lynch (2-0) allowed two hits and a walk while striking out two over 2.2 scoreless innings to earn the win over the Nationals on Wednesday.

ANALYSIS
Michael Lorenzen (lower body) was pulled in the third inning, allowing Lynch to snag a win in a long-relief assignment. After struggling in a starting role in the first half, Lynch has thrived out of the bullpen. He has not allowed a run over 18.2 innings while giving up just seven hits with a 21:4 K:BB since he was recalled to the majors in late August. In that span, he's also earned both of his wins and a save.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Daniel Lynch generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Daniel Lynch generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-5%

BAA vs LHP

2024

-48%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-31%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-7%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2022vs Left	.252	159	31	14	35	4	0	2
Since 2022vs Right	.264	838	164	68	199	34	2	34
2024vs Left	.114	51	14	4	5	0	0	0
2024vs Right	.218	123	25	10	24	6	0	6
2023vs Left	.333	32	4	1	10	0	0	0
2023vs Right	.230	191	30	15	40	8	1	9
2022vs Left	.308	76	13	9	20	4	0	2
2022vs Right	.287	524	109	43	135	20	1	19
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2022

-39%

ERA on Road

2024

-81%

ERA on Road

2023

-62%

ERA on Road

2022

-22%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2022Home	5.84	1.44	109.1	4	7	0	7.6	3.0	1.6
Since 2022Away	3.58	1.35	118.0	5	10	1	7.9	3.4	1.2
2024Home	5.04	1.08	25.0	1	0	0	9.0	2.9	1.4
2024Away	0.98	0.87	18.1	1	0	1	6.9	2.9	1.0
2023Home	6.59	1.46	27.1	2	2	0	7.6	3.6	2.0
2023Away	2.52	1.04	25.0	1	2	0	4.0	1.8	1.1
2022Home	5.84	1.58	57.0	1	5	0	6.9	2.8	1.6
2022Away	4.58	1.57	74.2	3	8	0	9.4	4.1	1.3
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Stat Review

How does Daniel Lynch compare to other relievers?

This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.79

K/9

8.1

BB/9

2.9

HR/9

1.2

Fastball

92.9 mph

ERA

3.32

WHIP

0.99

BABIP

.217

GB/FB

1.42

Left On Base

75.1%

Exit Velocity

85.1 mph

Barrels/BBE

7.6%

Spin Rate

2081 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

34.8%

Swinging Strike

12.7%

Prospect Rankings History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

Lynch now has three years of major league experience under his depth, and the overall results do not tell the whole story. His 11-23 career record with a 5.18 ERA and 9.9% K-BB% are tough on the eyeballs, but he has shown improvements at times year over year. His 2023 progress was stunted by shoulder troubles which saw his strikeout rate plummet as his fastball lost nearly two miles an hour in the process. The shining star on his 2023 resume was a changeup he threw exclusively to righties that the league hit .125 against while swinging and missing 35% of the time. Lynch's current value is rock bottom and frankly, still not mixed league viable, but if his shoulder is 100 percent recovered and he can get back some of his lost velocity to pair with that changeup to righties and his slider to lefties, he may finally be able to provide some value to AL-Only fantasy managers this season.

The Royals had one of the worst rotations in the majors last season, and unfortunately, Lynch was part of the problem there. He pitched to a 5.13 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 122:52 K:BB across 131.2 innings spanning 27 starts in his first full season. His 3.6 BB/9 stands out as the biggest issue -- he'll need to trim that down by about one walk per nine innings to really start finding effectiveness. He surrendered less than a home run per start, but hitters still tagged him for a 47.7 percent hard-hit rate. His 19.2 percent whiff rate on a 94 mph fastball that he threw nearly half of the time in 2022 simply isn't good enough. Lynch has a chance to make the rotation again in 2023, but there are improvements to be made -- with the Royals changing their pitching coach, new input could be a benefit for the southpaw.

Lynch made his major-league debut last season and made 15 starts for the Royals, and he had a 5.69 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 55:31 K:BB across 68 innings. He entered the campaign as the organization's top pitching prospect, but his 7.7 percent K-BB% is a good indicator of his struggles in his first taste of the big leagues. The 25-year-old could begin the season at the back end of Kansas City's starting rotation, but it may require the team to employ a six-man rotation, so his role may not be stable.

Kansas City's host of prized young pitchers started to debut last season, but Lynch, who entered the year as the team's top pitching prospect remained at the alternate training site. The 6-foot-6 southpaw has more electric stuff than Brady Singer or Kris Bubic, but harnessing that stuff and developing his changeup required more time than the condensed season provided. He sits in the mid-90s with his fastball (touches 99) and already boasts a wipeout slider, so Lynch may have been called upon to debut out of the bullpen had the Royals factored into the postseason picture. He made strides with his changeup all summer and is now comfortable throwing it to same-handed hitters. The 24-year-old also throws an average curveball. If Lynch's command and changeup look ready, he should join the big-league rotation in the first half of this season.

Lynch, the 34th-overall pick in 2018, missed almost two months in the middle of the year with arm soreness, but he was very effective when healthy and finished the year strong in the Arizona Fall League. He is pretty advanced in that he throws four usable pitches (fastball and slider are plus, fringe-average changeup is his fourth-best offering) and has good command/control (7.0 BB% at High-A). However, at 6-foot-6, 190 pounds he is also very projectable with a chance to add velocity (fastball already sits 94-95 mph) and develop even better command. The wiry southpaw was one of the best pitchers in the AFL, logging a 19:4 K:BB in 14 innings while setting the stage for an assignment to Double-A for his age-23 season. As things stand, he projects to be a solid No. 3 starter, but if his curveball and changeup improve, he could be better than that. His future home park and division add to the appeal.

Royals GM Dayton Moore embraced his Atlanta Braves roots in the first draft of his full-on rebuild, selecting five pitchers in the first 58 picks. Lynch, who received an under-slot $1.6975 million bonus after getting popped with the 34th overall pick, had the best debut of those five hurlers. He was absolutely dominant over 51.1 innings in the Appy League and Sally League, with more strikeouts (61) than baserunners (53) and a 26.8 K-BB% that would have led all Low-A and High-A pitchers had he thrown enough innings to qualify. He also posted a groundball rate over 50% across both stops. A 6-foot-6, 190-pound southpaw out of Virginia, Lynch commands a plus 93-95 mph fastball, which allows him to get into favorable counts. From there, he is able to sit hitters down with a plethora of quality offspeed pitches -- his plus mid-80s slider is his best secondary offering. He should move quickly in his age-22 season, likely finishing the year at Double-A or Triple-A.

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Collects first win

PKansas City Royals

September 7, 2024

Lynch (1-0) allowed a hit and struck out four without walking a batter over three scoreless innings to earn the win Saturday over the Twins.