Braxton Garrett

Braxton Garrett

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Garrett's first full season in the big-league rotation was a rousing success, as he struck out more than five batters for every one he walked and maintained a 3.66 ERA over 159.2 innings. The seventh overall pick by Miami in 2016, he lost essentially two years of development time due to Tommy John surgery and the pandemic. While the left-hander doesn't light up the radar gun, the slider has proven to be a quality swing-and-miss pitch for him (40% Whiff the last two seasons). He keeps the ball on the ground and locates all six of his pitches for strikes. Those playing the fantasy game may find it tough to get excited about such a control-dependent pitcher lacking overpowering dominance (career 23.3 K%), but the skills point to a mid-3.00s ERA being sustainable. Still just 26, Garrett should be able to add innings to his 2023 total. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#490
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Marlins in March of 2024.
Dealing with elbow impingement
PMiami Marlins
Elbow
October 11, 2024
Garrett was diagnosed with a left elbow impingement last week, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Garrett missed multiple months of action with a strained left forearm before suffering a setback with his elbow during a bullpen session in September. He is currently going through a throwing progression at the Marlins' spring training complex in Florida, and the setback isn't considered something that will jeopardize his availability for the start of spring training.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Braxton Garrett generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Braxton Garrett generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .210 284 73 19 54 9 1 5
Since 2022vs Right .266 909 207 38 226 53 6 29
2024vs Left .294 38 8 2 10 2 0 1
2024vs Right .254 123 26 2 30 6 0 4
2023vs Left .211 156 39 11 30 5 1 3
2023vs Right .261 503 117 18 124 32 3 17
2022vs Left .173 90 26 6 14 2 0 1
2022vs Right .280 283 64 18 72 15 3 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-26%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-71%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-36%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.44 1.29 140.0 4 8 0 10.2 2.1 1.2
Since 2022Away 3.30 1.08 144.2 10 8 0 7.6 1.5 1.0
2024Home 8.35 1.47 18.1 0 1 0 10.8 2.0 1.0
2024Away 2.41 0.91 18.2 2 1 0 5.8 0.0 1.4
2023Home 4.46 1.25 80.2 3 4 0 9.3 1.5 1.5
2023Away 2.85 1.04 79.0 6 3 0 8.3 1.8 0.8
2022Home 2.63 1.29 41.0 1 3 0 11.6 3.5 0.7
2022Away 4.40 1.21 47.0 2 4 0 7.1 1.5 1.1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Braxton Garrett compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
8.50
 
K/9
8.3
 
BB/9
1.0
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
90.2 mph
 
ERA
5.35
 
WHIP
1.19
 
BABIP
.332
 
GB/FB
1.94
 
Left On Base
54.1%
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2112 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.4%
 
Swinging Strike
9.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
2018
2017
Garrett began the season with Triple-A Jacksonville, on the IL with a right shoulder impingement. When he was able to take the hill, Garrett pitched well for seven starts before being called up in early June. He initially struggled, at least on the surface a .411 BABIP and 67% LOB mark bloated his 5.24 ERA well over the associated 3.38 FIP and 3.68 xFIP. Regression ensued as Garrett recorded a 3.02 ERA and 1.10 WHIP the rest of the way, supported by a solid 25.4% K-BB% mark and 3.62 FIP and 3.45 xFIP. Garrett doesn't have the pedigree of some of his teammates, but he's always been able to miss bats and his control has improved over the last couple of seasons. Miami has a bevy of fledgling arms, but Garrett has a chance to break camp in the back end of their rotation. He checks all the boxes for a mixed league streamer.
Garrett was called upon to make a pair of starts for the Marlins last season despite having previously logged a single appearance above High-A ball. He fared well in his debut, allowing one run and striking out six over five innings, but was far less effective his next time out, yielding four earned runs in 2.2 frames. The southpaw doesn't throw hard -- he averaged less than 90 mph on his fastball in his two big-league appearances -- but has registered over a strikeout per inning over the course of his brief professional career thanks to a standout curveball and mature pitching acumen. Those skills could allow Garrett to ascend to a role as a solid mid-rotation starter, especially if he is able to bump up his velocity. He is likely to open 2021 at Triple-A but should be among the first in line for a big-league rotation spot should the opportunity become available.
Tommy John surgery delayed Garrett's professional development, but the No. 7 overall pick in 2016 finally logged his first full season and looked like a future No. 3 starter. A 22-year-old lefty with an excellent frame (6-foot-3, 190 pounds), Garrett features a low-90s fastball that can touch 95 mph, a plus curveball that has long been his calling card and an average changeup. He is still pretty projectable, so we could see his fastball add some juice and his changeup could be at least an above-average offering by the time he reaches the majors. He has an easy delivery that portends above-average command, and he showed last year (52.7 GB%) that he is already adept at inducing weak contact. This should be his final full season in the minors, opening at Double-A and finishing at Triple-A, with a 2021 MLB debut on tap if he stays healthy.
Garrett, who the Marlins selected with the No. 7 pick in the 2016 draft, only logged 15.1 innings in 2017 before eventually needing Tommy John surgery in late June. This, after he didn't pitch at all the year he was drafted as the Marlins attempted to exercise caution with his workload. Even though Garrett won't return to game action until July or August of this year, at the earliest, he is still one of the top prospects in a system that was essentially bare before this offseason's rebuild. A lefty with the potential for a plus fastball, plus curveball and above-average command, Garrett could top out as a No. 2 starter if his recovery goes perfectly and his changeup develops. The more likely outcome is that he develops into a No. 3 or No. 4 starter. Given how much his development is delayed, Garrett is unlikely to reach the majors until 2021 or 2022.
Garrett might be the safest of the high school arms from the 2016 draft class, which is an odd statement considering he is the only pitcher who was selected in the first 30 picks who has not yet pitched in a game. The Marlins opted to let Garrett take his time in his recovery from Tommy John surgery rather than rush him to an affiliate. He fell to the Marlins with the seventh pick, but his $4.15 million bonus ranks third in the class, reflecting his pre-draft pedigree. Unfortunately that pedigree does not quite translate over to fantasy. Garrett, a 6-foot-3, 190-pound southpaw, should be owned in leagues that roster 125-plus prospects, but he lacks frontline upside. A low-90s fastball and plus curveball lead a three-pitch mix, and if everything goes well, he will develop into a No. 3 starter. Jason Groome, Forrest Whitley, Riley Pint and Matt Manning are preferable investments among the prep arms from his draft class.
More Fantasy News
Suffers setback
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
September 21, 2024
Manager Skip Schumaker said Saturday that Garrett experienced discomfort in his elbow during his latest bullpen session, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Makes second rehab start
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
September 17, 2024
Garrett (forearm) tossed three scoreless innings in his rehab start with Triple-A Jacksonville on Wednesday, striking out three batters while scattering three hits and two walks.
ANALYSIS
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Rehab start on tap
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
September 4, 2024
Garrett (forearm) is scheduled to make a rehab start with Single-A Jupiter on Thursday, Kevin Barral of FishonFirst.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws live BP
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
September 3, 2024
Garrett (forearm) threw a two innings of live batting practice Saturday, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws 25 pitches in bullpen
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
August 23, 2024
Garrett (forearm) threw a 25-pitch bullpen session Friday and is scheduled to complete another Tuesday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely trade chip
PMiami Marlins
June 2, 2024
According to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, the Marlins have received trade interest from multiple teams for their starting pitchers, including Garrett.
ANALYSIS
Garrett missed the first six weeks of the campaign due to a shoulder injury and surrendered 11 runs in his first two starts, but he's given up just one run in his past two outings, one of which was a complete game shutout. The left-hander threw a career-high 159.2 innings last season and had a 3.66 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 156:29 K:BB. Garrett will enter his first year of arbitration eligibility in 2025, so the Marlins should net a sizable return in any potential trade.
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