Gregory Polanco

Gregory Polanco

33-Year-Old OutfielderOF
 Free Agent  
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Gregory Polanco in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Blue Jays in August of 2021.
Staying in Japan
OFFree Agent  
December 27, 2022
Polanco signed a contract Monday with the Chiba Lotte Marines of Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball.
ANALYSIS
Polanco, 31, played his first season overseas in 2022 with the Yomiuri Giants, batting .240/.306/.457 with 24 home runs over 138 games. We last saw him in the majors in 2021, when he posted a .637 OPS with the Pirates.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Gregory Polanco See More
MLB: Top Impending Free Agents
October 29, 2021
With the World Series in full swing, Clay Link offers a quick reminder of the top players set to become free agents this winter (by fantasy value).
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
August 29, 2021
A certain Cubs outfielder has been hot of late and Jan Levine urges you to get him while you can.
The Z Files: My Top 350 Rest-of-Season Hitters
August 11, 2021
Todd Zola offers up his hitter rankings for the rest of the season, as scheduling and a stacked lineup makes Bo Bichette one of a trio of Blue Jays in the top 10.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
August 7, 2021
Christopher Olson urges you to stack a couple Reds against Mitch Keller and the Pirates.
Bernie on the Scene: Trade Deadline Edition
July 26, 2021
Bernie Pleskoff looks at players who could be moved at the trade deadline. Will the Mariners trade Mitch Haniger?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Polanco began spring training with residual health concerns from 2018 shoulder surgery and subsequent soreness which truncated his 2019 campaign. Polanco's strong spring and summer camp assuaged fears and it looked like a rebound season was in store. He tested positive for COVID-19, delaying his debut a few days. When he returned, Polanco was unable to recapture the success displayed in camp and struggled the entire year. A bloated 37.4 K% was the culprit as his contact rate in and out of the zone plummeted. Curiously, when bat met ball, Polanco crushed it. His 92.9 mph would have ranked 10th highest among batters with 100 PA, if he had logged a handful more. The coup de gras was Polanco fracturing his wrist in winter ball, but he's expected to be ready for spring training. The risks here are obvious.
Last season was a lost year for Polanco, and unfortunately there's still lingering health questions heading into 2020. Specifically, Polanco dislocated his shoulder in September 2018 and hasn't been right since. Rebab from surgery delayed his debut until April 22. Polanco returned to the IL on June 22 with left shoulder inflammation. He remained there the rest of the campaign. When on the field, Polanco struggled, ultimately losing playing time before being shelved. Oddly, his average exit velocity was similar to prior years, but his hard-hit rate plummeted. In addition, his strikeout rate ballooned to 29%, 10 points worse than normal. It's very likely Polanco's shoulder wasn't 100 percent and there's still concern a second surgery may be necessary. Hence, caveat emptor is prudent for early drafters. It may not be until later in the spring before Polanco's injury status is clarified.
Polanco had a solid offensive season overall, filled with some ups and downs and ending with a shoulder injury that required major surgery in mid-September. There were three months in which he hit below .235 and three months in which he hit over .300, including .409 in September before going down with his injury. Some will point to the fact that 19 of Polanco's 23 home runs came off righties as a data point that Polanco cannot hit lefties, but ignore them. His overall numbers against lefties have actually been slightly above the league average in two of the past three seasons. Lefties limit him, but they do not complete neuter him. Polanco changed his swing last season to get more loft on the ball, which led to an increase in his strikeout rate (21.9%), but he also nearly doubled his walk rate (11.4%). While he will miss the start of the year, Polanco said he expects to return before June.
Plenty of talented young players experience down years, but Polanco's decline in performance in his age-25 season is particularly difficult to explain. He battled hamstring issues throughout 2017, making three separate trips to the DL due to the hamstring, but those problems alone cannot fully account for a 25-point drop in wRC+ and 34-point drop in wOBA. Polanco did trim his strikeout rate to a career-low 14.6 percent (from 20.3 percent), but those contact gains were largely offset by a decline in walk rate (6.6 percent) and power (25.9 percent hard-hit rate, down from 35.7 percent). He also took a sizable step back against left-handed pitching (.231/.278/.308). Better health should help Polanco's production return to a more respectable level, but any thought of him ascending to star status in 2018 seems misguided given the injuries and lack of skill growth last season. Keep in mind that he's only had one above-average season to date.
Polanco seemingly played two totally different seasons in 2016. In 78 games through July 4, he batted .297/.374/.521 with 12 home runs, 50 RBI and nine steals in 330 plate appearances. Though he hit 10 homers with 36 RBI and eight steals in his final 257 plate appearances, he also wilted with a .220 clip and .682 OPS. His power output says there wasn't much of an issue, but injuries to his knee, shoulder, hamstring and face, via a collision with a wall, contributed to his uneven performance, and he has now suffered noteworthy swoons in each of his first three campaigns. At 25, he is still young enough to take another step forward, and his sizable increase in hard contact shows that he's squaring up pitches better. Unfortunately, his tall frame seems susceptible to injury. While the outfielder set career highs in home runs and RBI, his ceiling is even higher across the board -- but only if he can stay healthy and soften his dips in production.
There are few things Polanco can’t do on a baseball field — good or bad. For example, he finished second among NL outfielders in assists (13) but committed a league-high eight errors. Therein lies the rub with the 24-year-old. Which player is going to show up in 2016? He stole 27 bases in 37 attempts but his AB/HR rate dropped from 39.6 to 65.9. The outfielder gives fantasy owners flashes of his potential — he hit .339/.391/.521 from July 12 to Aug. 28, yet goes on stretches of futility — .148/.239/.222 from June 7 to July 5. Of course he’s entering only his second full season in the big league, so there’s plenty of room to grow — just expect a few bumps along the way.
Polanco proved to be the posterchild for fantasy caution with youth in 2014. After tearing up Triple-A to the tune of a .347/.405/.540 batting line in 274 plate appearances, Pittsburgh called up its super-prospect June 10. He started strong with an 11-game hit streak, but eventually fell off the table -- he hit .068 (3-for-44) from Aug. 13 to Sept. 13 -- and was benched in favor of Travis Snider in right field. Polanco offers a unique mix of speed and power, but will battle Snider for playing time again in 2015. In the long run, he represents the future in right but playing time (or even a roster spot) isn't guaranteed to begin 2015. The 6-foot-4, 205-pound outfielder remains a great pick in keeper leagues, though owners in single-season leagues will want watch his battle with Snider closely in spring training.
Polanco's estimated time of arrival is sometime in the summer of 2014, once the Super 2 arbitration deadline passes in June. Signed out of the Dominican Republic as a free agent, the 6-foot-4, 205-pound center fielder is blessed with a rare mix of speed and power. Polanco has averaged 25 steals in five minor-league seasons. He's also hit 28 homers in his last two years. The 22-year-old put together a .285/.356/.434 combined line between three levels -- High-A, Double-A and Triple-A -- in 2013. The left-handed hitting Polanco hit .366 against lefties last year and has always done well against southpaws, a rare commodity. Blessed with good plate discipline (52:73 K:BB ratio), the outfielder could impact fantasy teams as soon as June.
A breakout 2012 has put Polanco squarely on the map as one of Pittsburgh's top two offensive prospects, along with Alen Hanson. Plate discipline sets the center fielder apart from others. He compiled a 44:64 BB:K ratio in 437 at-bats for Low-A West Virginia. More remarkably, the left-handed hitter registered a 1.087 OPS against southpaws, better than his fine .850 mark versus righties. Polanco hit .325/.388/.522 with 16 homers and 40 stolen bases (in 55 attempts) as a 20-year-old. He suffered an ankle injury that forced him out of the lineup in late 2012, but he played winter ball and is expected to be 100-percent healthy for 2013. He'll likely start the season with High-A Bradenton, but could move up to Double-A Altoona by season's end.
More Fantasy News
Heading overseas
OFFree Agent  
January 5, 2022
Polanco signed a contract Wednesday with the Yomiuri Giants of Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball.
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Joins Toronto on MiLB deal
OFToronto Blue Jays  
August 31, 2021
Polanco signed a minor-league contract with the Blue Jays on Tuesday, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
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Released, not DFA'd
OFFree Agent  
August 28, 2021
The Pirates released Polanco on Saturday, Mike Persak of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
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DFA'd Saturday
OFPittsburgh Pirates  
August 28, 2021
The Pirates designated Polanco for assignment Saturday, Rob Biertempfel of The Athletic reports.
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On bench Friday
OFPittsburgh Pirates  
August 27, 2021
Polanco will sit Friday against the Cardinals, Kevin Gorman of TribLive.com reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Lands in bad spot?
OFToronto Blue Jays  
September 2, 2021
Polanco, who signed a minor-league deal with the Blue Jays on Tuesday, may be hard-pressed to find playing time in a crowded outfield.
ANALYSIS
Polanco needed a fresh start away from Pittsburgh, but Toronto doesn't look like an ideal landing spot with the likes of Teoscar Hernandez, George Springer, Corey Dickerson, Randal Grichuk and Lourdes Gurriel on board. Polanco already had a dim fantasy outlook heading into 2022, but it could have brightened a little had he joined a team with less outfield depth. Instead, he looks to be buried on the depth chart at this point.
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