MLB Points Leagues: Gaining an Edge in the Final Weeks

MLB Points Leagues: Gaining an Edge in the Final Weeks

We've hit a pivotal point of the season in most points leagues. Depending on league setup, there are likely three or four matchups left until the playoffs. For those looking to maintain a playoff position or make one final run to a playoff spot, finding every edge will be key.  One potential way is to exploit the schedule. With that in mind, this article will cover every team's schedule from Thursday, August 8, until both September 2 and September 9 – the most common start dates for the playoffs in head-to-head points leagues. We'll also point out the best streaming opportunities from both a hitting and pitching perspective based on overall volume and park factor (via Statcast).

Overview

 Games until Sept. 2Home/RoadRoad Series  Games Until Sept. 9Home/RoadAddl. Road Series
ARI2213/9TB, MIA, BOS  2914/15SF, HOU
ATL247/17COL, SF, LAA, MIN, PHI  3013/17 
BAL2310/13TB, NYM, LAD, COL  2916/13 
BOS2313/10BAL, HOU, DET  2916/13NYM
CHC206/14CHW, CLE, MIA, PIT, WAS  2612/14 
CHW2115/6HOU, SF  2715/12BAL, BOS
CIN2413/11MIL, TOR, PIT  3016/14NYM
CLE2313/10MIN, MIL, NYY  2913/16KC, LAD
COL2314/9ARI, WAS, NYY  2914/15ATL, MIL
DET2312/11SF, CHC, CHW 

We've hit a pivotal point of the season in most points leagues. Depending on league setup, there are likely three or four matchups left until the playoffs. For those looking to maintain a playoff position or make one final run to a playoff spot, finding every edge will be key.  One potential way is to exploit the schedule. With that in mind, this article will cover every team's schedule from Thursday, August 8, until both September 2 and September 9 – the most common start dates for the playoffs in head-to-head points leagues. We'll also point out the best streaming opportunities from both a hitting and pitching perspective based on overall volume and park factor (via Statcast).

Overview

 Games until Sept. 2Home/RoadRoad Series  Games Until Sept. 9Home/RoadAddl. Road Series
ARI2213/9TB, MIA, BOS  2914/15SF, HOU
ATL247/17COL, SF, LAA, MIN, PHI  3013/17 
BAL2310/13TB, NYM, LAD, COL  2916/13 
BOS2313/10BAL, HOU, DET  2916/13NYM
CHC206/14CHW, CLE, MIA, PIT, WAS  2612/14 
CHW2115/6HOU, SF  2715/12BAL, BOS
CIN2413/11MIL, TOR, PIT  3016/14NYM
CLE2313/10MIN, MIL, NYY  2913/16KC, LAD
COL2314/9ARI, WAS, NYY  2914/15ATL, MIL
DET2312/11SF, CHC, CHW  2918/11 
HOU2310/13BOS, TB, BAL  2913/16CIN
KC228/14MIN, CIN, CLE, HOU  2814/14 
LAA229/13KC, TOR, DET  2811/17TEX
LAD2313/10MIL, STL, ARI  2916/13LAA
MIA2210/12PHI, NYM, COL, SF  2816/12 
MIL2413/11STL, OAK, CIN  3019/11 
MIN2316/7TEX, SD  3016/14TB, KC
NYM239/14SEA, SD, ARI, CHW  2915/14 
NYY2214/8CHW, DET, WAS  2814/14TEX, CHC
OAK219/12TOR, NYM, CIN, TEX  2816/12 
PHI2313/10ARI, ATL, KC  2913/16TOR, MIA
PIT2311/12LAD, SD, TEX, CLE  3015/15CHC
SD2310/13MIA, COL, STL, TB  2916/13 
SF2213/9OAK, SEA  2816/12SD
SEA2210/12DET, PIT, LAA  2910/19OAK, STL
STL2211/11KC, CIN, MIN, NYY  2814/14MIL
TB2312/11OAK, LAD, SEA  3016/14BAL
TEX2210/12NYY, BOS, CLE, CHW  2917/12 
TOR2411/13LAA, CHC, BOS, MIN  2913/16ATL
WSH2213/9BAL, PHI, ATL  2813/15MIA, PIT

Best Overall Schedules

  • Four teams play 24 games between August 8 and September 2. They are Atlanta, Cincinnati, Milwaukee and Toronto.
  • Six teams play 30 games between August 8 and September 9. They are Atlanta, Cincinnati, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay.
  • Minnesota is an interesting team to consider. Their home park is one of the best for offense this season, but they travel to pitcher-friendly parks Globe Life Field and Tropicana Field. On the other hand, the Twins have lengthy homestands from Aug. 9-14 and Aug. 23-Sept. 1. Deciding whether to stream Minnesota's hitters or pitchers will depend on whether they are at home or on the road

Best Hitter Schedules

  • Atlanta plays a heavy road schedule for the next three weeks. Several of those series take place at very hitter-friendly parks, with Coors Field and Target Field being standout road trips. Their home park is also good for offense, so both volume and park factor should work in their favor.
  • Milwaukee is the opposite of Atlanta, as they play 19 of their 30 games at home. American Family Field enhances offense from both sides of the plate. Players such as Garrett Mitchell, Sal Frelick and Joey Ortiz are all widely available.
  • From Aug. 9 to Aug. 18 the Reds will be playing at Milwaukee and then have a homestand. Great American Ball Park is a good place for hitters and the Reds have a majority of home games through the rest of the fantasy regular season. 
  • Cleveland sets up as one of the best streaming opportunities for hitters with trips to Minnesota, Milwaukee and Kansas City – all of which rank inside the top eight in park factor for runs scored. They also travel to Yankee Stadium, which enhances home runs atone of the best rates in the league. 
  • What the Royals and Cardinals lack in games played, they make up for in ballparks. Kansas City isn't a good park for homers but is one of the best parks for runs scored thanks to its spacious outfield. The team will also travel to Great American Ball Park and Minute Maid Park, which are elite parks for home runs. Hunter Renfroe is an example of a streaming hitter that could pay off significantly down the stretch. 
  • St. Louis is a team to attack on the road. From Aug. 9 to Aug. 14, the team will be on a road trip to Kansas City and Cincinnati. They also take trips to Target Field, Yankee Stadium and American Family Field.

Best Pitcher Schedules

  • Pittsburgh has a roughly league-average home park, but their road schedule is good for strikeouts (TEX and CHC in particular). The front end of the Pittsburgh rotation will be rostered in all leagues but pitchers such as Luis Ortiz and Bailey Falter have had stretches of effectiveness and will be less popular.
  • The Rays are an equally good option from a schedule perspective, though streaming options will likely be fewer. Their own home park and T-Mobile Field are some of the friendliest for strikeouts.
  • San Francisco has a heavy home schedule, which should bode well for its arms. They also have road series at Seattle and Oakland. The Mariners strike out at the highest rate in the league as a team and also have a very pitcher-friendly home park. Hayden Birdsong and Kyle Harrison should both be usable, despite some rocky outings of late.
  • Seattle is away from home often in this stretch, which typically wouldn't be good news for its pitching staff. In this case, there isn't much of a downgrade thanks to trips to Detroit, Pittsburgh, Oakland and Seattle. The problem is that no one in the Seattle rotation is likely to be available on the waiver wire. 
  • Detroit should offer fantasy managers an interesting combination of good matchups while also having plenty of potential streamers. Comerica Park suppresses offense, and the team will also take trips to San Francisco, and both Chicago parks. Wrigley Field has suppressed offense and is great for strikeouts this season while the White Sox have an incompetent lineup.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Dan Marcus
Dan started covering fantasy sports in 2015, joining Rotowire in 2018. In addition to Rotowire, Dan has written for Baseball HQ and Rotoballer.
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