This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Sonny Gray | Rick Porcello | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 3:05 PM | ||
| Charlie Morton | Jimmy Yacabonis | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 3:05 PM | ||
| Walker Buehler | Andrew Suarez | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 3:05 PM | ||
| Kevin Gausman | Ranger Suarez | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 8.5 | 120 | 3:05 PM |
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Sonny Gray | Rick Porcello | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 3:05 PM | ||
| Charlie Morton | Jimmy Yacabonis | Orioles | 106 | 103 | 114 | 101 | 121 | 94 | 3:05 PM | ||
| Walker Buehler | Andrew Suarez | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 3:05 PM | ||
| Kevin Gausman | Ranger Suarez | Phillies | 98 | 95 | 120 | 97 | 124 | 109 | 8.5 | 120 | 3:05 PM |
| Brett Anderson | Matt Shoemaker | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 3:07 PM | ||
| Sam Gaviglio | Ryan Yarbrough | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 3:10 PM | ||
| Clay Holmes | Sal Romano | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 3:10 PM | ||
| Erick Fedde | Tyler Anderson | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 3:10 PM | ||
| Yovani Gallardo | Roenis Elias | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.5 | -170 | 3:10 PM |
| Spencer Turnbull | Gio Gonzalez | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 3:10 PM | ||
| Robbie Ray | Joey Lucchesi | Padres | 92 | 97 | 85 | 97 | 97 | 103 | 7.5 | 105 | 3:10 PM |
| Dylan Covey | Zack Littell | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 9.0 | -145 | 3:10 PM |
| Sandy Alcantara | Noah Syndergaard | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 7.0 | -250 | 3:10 PM |
| Carlos Carrasco | Eric Skoglund | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 8.5 | 180 | 3:15 PM |
| Jack Flaherty | Mike Montgomery | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 3:20 PM | ||
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | at NYM | 35.3 | 18.9 | 17.0 | 1.9 | 1.27 | 4.08 | 1.61 | $6,100 | $6,300 | 97 | 22.5 |
| Brett Anderson (L) | at LAA | 132.7 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 0.95 | 5.22 | 1.45 | $6,500 | $7,200 | 89 | 20.6 |
| Tyler Anderson (L) | v WAS | 254.3 | 22.4 | 7.6 | 14.7 | 1.63 | 4.78 | 1.30 | $6,500 | $6,400 | 102 | 22.4 |
| Walker Buehler (R) | at SF | 140.0 | 28.5 | 7.5 | 21.0 | 0.90 | 3.09 | 1.05 | $11,200 | $10,000 | 84 | 24.0 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | at KC | 387.0 | 28.9 | 5.6 | 23.3 | 0.98 | 3.35 | 1.11 | $11,900 | $11,000 | 92 | 22.0 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | at MIN | 185.7 | 15.6 | 10.2 | 5.5 | 1.50 | 6.06 | 1.56 | $6,200 | $6,500 | 95 | 21.7 |
| Roenis Elias (L) | v TEX | 46.3 | 15.7 | 8.6 | 7.1 | 0.19 | 2.91 | 1.34 | $6,000 | $5,500 | 90 | 22.7 |
| Erick Fedde (R) | at COL | 61.7 | 21.1 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 1.61 | 6.28 | 1.69 | $5,200 | $6,500 | 80 | 23.5 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | at CHC | 169.7 | 28.6 | 9.5 | 19.1 | 1.27 | 3.55 | 1.14 | $9,300 | $8,200 | 101 | 21.2 |
| Yovani Gallardo (R) | at SEA | 220.7 | 15.2 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.55 | 6.00 | 1.56 | $5,200 | $5,700 | 103 | 19.8 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | at PHI | 365.3 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 12.9 | 1.33 | 4.31 | 1.40 | $8,400 | $7,800 | 99 | 24.4 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | at TB | 192.3 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 10.8 | 1.73 | 4.87 | 1.41 | $5,800 | $6,000 | 108 | 22.2 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | v DET | 367.0 | 21.5 | 10.2 | 11.3 | 0.93 | 3.58 | 1.31 | $7,800 | $7,700 | 98 | 20.1 |
| Sonny Gray (R) | at BOS | 292.7 | 21.9 | 9.0 | 12.9 | 1.01 | 4.15 | 1.34 | $7,800 | $6,700 | 116 | 18.5 |
| Clay Holmes (R) | at CIN | 22.3 | 16.1 | 17.0 | -0.9 | 0.40 | 7.25 | 2.06 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 98 | 21.0 |
| Zack Littell (R) | v CWS | 16.3 | 12.0 | 10.8 | 1.2 | 1.65 | 6.61 | 1.90 | $6,300 | $5,600 | 94 | 25.8 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | v ARI | 124.0 | 25.9 | 8.1 | 17.8 | 1.52 | 4.14 | 1.32 | $7,900 | $7,100 | 95 | 22.3 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | v STL | 252.3 | 17.4 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 0.71 | 3.67 | 1.28 | $6,400 | $6,800 | 105 | 22.4 |
| Charlie Morton (R) | at BAL | 310.7 | 27.6 | 8.7 | 19.0 | 0.93 | 3.39 | 1.18 | $9,700 | $7,900 | 85 | 24.8 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | v NYY | 392.7 | 21.9 | 5.6 | 16.3 | 1.49 | 4.49 | 1.29 | $8,600 | $8,000 | 107 | 22.1 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | at SD | 281.7 | 32.1 | 11.7 | 20.3 | 1.31 | 3.32 | 1.22 | $9,900 | $9,100 | 94 | 23.7 |
| Sal Romano (R) | v PIT | 227.7 | 17.5 | 8.8 | 8.7 | 1.27 | 5.02 | 1.46 | $5,400 | $5,500 | 99 | 19.2 |
| Matt Shoemaker (R) | v OAK | 105.7 | 22.3 | 8.1 | 14.2 | 1.45 | 4.60 | 1.29 | $8,100 | $7,400 | 114 | 21.5 |
| Eric Skoglund (L) | v CLE | 83.0 | 16.4 | 7.9 | 8.5 | 1.41 | 6.29 | 1.47 | $5,700 | $5,900 | 98 | 19.7 |
| Andrew Suarez (L) | v LAD | 158.0 | 20.0 | 6.6 | 13.4 | 1.31 | 4.22 | 1.27 | $7,800 | $7,300 | 105 | 21.7 |
| Ranger Suarez (L) | v ATL | 12.0 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 2.25 | 6.00 | 2.00 | $5,300 | $5,700 | 108 | 20.8 |
| Noah Syndergaard (R) | v MIA | 175.7 | 24.8 | 5.7 | 19.1 | 0.46 | 3.18 | 1.22 | $10,400 | $10,200 | 81 | 22.9 |
| Spencer Turnbull (R) | at MIL | 11.0 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 5.73 | 1.27 | $5,100 | $5,800 | 103 | 23.4 |
| Jimmy Yacabonis (R) | v HOU | 56.7 | 15.8 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 1.59 | 5.40 | 1.54 | $4,400 | $5,800 | 105 | 18.8 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (L) | v TOR | 144.3 | 20.5 | 8.0 | 12.5 | 1.12 | 3.93 | 1.28 | $4,800 | $5,800 | 87 | 21.4 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | at NYM | 14.1 | 16.9 | -2.8 | 0.00 | 0.279 | 26.6 | 15.6 | 10.9 | 1.84 | 0.355 |
| Brett Anderson (L) | at LAA | 11.3 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 0.33 | 0.402 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 1.18 | 0.345 |
| Tyler Anderson (L) | v WAS | 22.5 | 6.5 | 16.0 | 1.24 | 0.319 | 21.7 | 7.3 | 14.4 | 1.47 | 0.334 |
| Walker Buehler (R) | at SF | 32.0 | 7.4 | 24.6 | 0.82 | 0.249 | 25.8 | 7.4 | 18.4 | 1.05 | 0.278 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | at KC | 27.2 | 6.3 | 20.9 | 1.32 | 0.309 | 28.2 | 4.7 | 23.5 | 0.86 | 0.281 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | at MIN | 17.5 | 11.3 | 6.3 | 1.60 | 0.350 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.49 | 0.362 |
| Roenis Elias (L) | v TEX | 16.7 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 0.00 | 0.378 | 12.9 | 8.2 | 4.8 | 0.51 | 0.302 |
| Erick Fedde (R) | at COL | 21.5 | 9.1 | 12.4 | 1.21 | 0.347 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 11.8 | 2.20 | 0.408 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | at CHC | 24.2 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 1.22 | 0.293 | 33.5 | 6.9 | 26.6 | 1.30 | 0.284 |
| Yovani Gallardo (R) | at SEA | 17.3 | 13.0 | 4.2 | 1.31 | 0.345 | 14.2 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.59 | 0.370 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | at PHI | 21.3 | 8.4 | 12.9 | 1.23 | 0.315 | 21.3 | 6.0 | 15.3 | 1.46 | 0.344 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | at TB | 15.2 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 1.69 | 0.356 | 20.9 | 6.4 | 14.5 | 1.76 | 0.350 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | v DET | 21.9 | 6.8 | 15.2 | 0.38 | 0.258 | 21.8 | 10.0 | 11.8 | 1.09 | 0.320 |
| Sonny Gray (R) | at BOS | 20.9 | 8.8 | 12.1 | 0.89 | 0.310 | 20.6 | 8.8 | 11.7 | 1.35 | 0.335 |
| Clay Holmes (R) | at CIN | 14.6 | 18.8 | -4.2 | 0.00 | 0.348 | 15.8 | 17.5 | -1.8 | 0.84 | 0.406 |
| Zack Littell (R) | v CWS | 14.3 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 1.35 | 0.482 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 2.08 | 0.381 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | v ARI | 27.9 | 8.1 | 19.8 | 0.35 | 0.287 | 25.4 | 8.2 | 17.3 | 1.83 | 0.345 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | v STL | 19.7 | 8.5 | 11.1 | 0.60 | 0.275 | 18.5 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 0.74 | 0.299 |
| Charlie Morton (R) | at BAL | 34.0 | 9.7 | 24.3 | 0.94 | 0.287 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 13.8 | 0.88 | 0.308 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | v NYY | 22.2 | 5.6 | 16.6 | 1.31 | 0.311 | 21.1 | 4.3 | 16.8 | 1.27 | 0.309 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | at SD | 34.6 | 6.0 | 28.6 | 1.02 | 0.269 | 29.3 | 12.0 | 17.3 | 1.36 | 0.320 |
| Sal Romano (R) | v PIT | 16.9 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 1.40 | 0.365 | 18.3 | 7.6 | 10.7 | 1.17 | 0.317 |
| Matt Shoemaker (R) | v OAK | 20.1 | 4.9 | 15.2 | 0.93 | 0.307 | 23.0 | 7.2 | 15.8 | 1.43 | 0.329 |
| Eric Skoglund (L) | v CLE | 15.8 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 3.00 | 0.382 | 16.7 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 1.18 | 0.368 |
| Andrew Suarez (L) | v LAD | 19.5 | 3.0 | 16.5 | 0.20 | 0.226 | 20.1 | 7.8 | 12.3 | 1.74 | 0.360 |
| Ranger Suarez (L) | v ATL | 27.3 | 0.0 | 27.3 | 0.00 | 0.321 | 5.9 | 8.8 | -2.9 | 3.86 | 0.554 |
| Noah Syndergaard (R) | v MIA | 26.1 | 7.4 | 18.7 | 0.48 | 0.293 | 28.1 | 4.0 | 24.1 | 0.53 | 0.273 |
| Spencer Turnbull (R) | at MIL | 8.3 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.310 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.00 | 0.303 |
| Jimmy Yacabonis (R) | v HOU | 14.9 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 0.90 | 0.365 | 17.1 | 10.0 | 7.1 | 2.16 | 0.343 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (L) | v TOR | 28.7 | 10.2 | 18.5 | 1.19 | 0.295 | 17.9 | 7.1 | 10.8 | 1.15 | 0.322 |
