This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Sandy Alcantara | Stephen Strasburg | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 7.5 | -260 | 7:05 PM |
| Dallas Keuchel | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 160 | 7:07 PM |
| Dylan Bundy | Nathan Eovaldi | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 8.5 | -235 | 7:10 PM |
| Luis Severino | Diego Castillo | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | ||||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Sandy Alcantara | Stephen Strasburg | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 7.5 | -260 | 7:05 PM |
| Dallas Keuchel | Marco Estrada | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 160 | 7:07 PM |
| Dylan Bundy | Nathan Eovaldi | Red Sox | 114 | 112 | 78 | 109 | 105 | 99 | 8.5 | -235 | 7:10 PM |
| Luis Severino | Diego Castillo | Rays | 92 | 95 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 110 | 7:10 PM | ||
| Jameson Taillon | Cole Hamels | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 8:05 PM | ||
| Corey Kluber | Dylan Covey | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 8.5 | 220 | 8:10 PM |
| Junior Guerra | Jack Flaherty | Cardinals | 91 | 102 | 97 | 100 | 82 | 95 | 8.0 | -140 | 8:15 PM |
| Zach Eflin | Tyler Anderson | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 11.0 | -150 | 8:40 PM |
| Clayton Kershaw | Robbie Ray | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 7.0 | 140 | 9:40 PM |
| Adrian Sampson | Felix Pena | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 9.0 | -170 | 10:07 PM |
| Daniel Mengden | James Paxton | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.0 | -130 | 10:10 PM |
| Bryan Mitchell | Derek Holland | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 7.5 | -140 | 10:15 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | at WAS | 31.3 | 20.0 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 0.86 | 2.87 | 1.44 | $6,700 | $6,600 | 102 | 19.9 |
| Tyler Anderson (L) | v PHI | 254.3 | 22.4 | 7.6 | 14.7 | 1.63 | 4.78 | 1.30 | $6,000 | $6,400 | 87 | 23.1 |
| Dylan Bundy (R) | at BOS | 332.3 | 23.0 | 7.2 | 15.8 | 1.73 | 4.79 | 1.29 | $7,600 | $6,800 | 115 | 18.5 |
| Diego Castillo (R) | v NYY | 52.7 | 28.0 | 8.7 | 19.3 | 0.85 | 3.25 | 0.97 | $4,400 | $5,500 | 107 | 22.0 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | v CLE | 179.7 | 15.2 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 1.55 | 6.26 | 1.58 | $4,400 | $6,000 | 108 | 18.8 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | at COL | 189.7 | 19.1 | 5.7 | 13.4 | 1.52 | 4.79 | 1.32 | $6,900 | $7,000 | 79 | 23.6 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | v BAL | 104.0 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 15.7 | 1.21 | 3.98 | 1.15 | $7,300 | $6,400 | 83 | 24.8 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v HOU | 325.0 | 19.7 | 8.5 | 11.2 | 1.61 | 5.23 | 1.39 | $4,100 | $5,900 | 104 | 18.9 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | v MIL | 164.3 | 28.8 | 9.5 | 19.3 | 1.26 | 3.51 | 1.14 | $9,100 | $9,000 | 103 | 23.6 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | at STL | 209.0 | 21.8 | 10.7 | 11.1 | 1.59 | 4.48 | 1.44 | $7,000 | $6,000 | 99 | 22.0 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | v PIT | 325.7 | 20.3 | 8.3 | 12.0 | 1.27 | 4.03 | 1.25 | $8,400 | $8,500 | 88 | 20.6 |
| Derek Holland (L) | v SD | 298.7 | 20.5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 1.48 | 4.76 | 1.47 | $8,000 | $8,200 | 96 | 23.6 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | at ARI | 325.3 | 27.1 | 4.5 | 22.5 | 1.08 | 2.38 | 0.98 | $10,100 | $11,400 | 96 | 22.3 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at TOR | 342.3 | 19.1 | 7.1 | 12.0 | 0.84 | 3.37 | 1.22 | $7,700 | $8,200 | 87 | 21.0 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | at CWS | 406.7 | 30.0 | 4.3 | 25.7 | 1.02 | 2.59 | 0.92 | $10,900 | $12,000 | 96 | 25.7 |
| Daniel Mengden (R) | at SEA | 153.3 | 15.4 | 5.4 | 9.9 | 1.29 | 3.76 | 1.10 | $4,900 | $6,600 | 103 | 19.9 |
| Bryan Mitchell (R) | at SF | 97.0 | 10.5 | 11.6 | -1.1 | 1.30 | 6.03 | 1.78 | $4,200 | $5,800 | 85 | 24.0 |
| James Paxton (L) | v OAK | 286.3 | 30.2 | 6.8 | 23.4 | 0.94 | 3.43 | 1.10 | $9,400 | $9,200 | 106 | 22.7 |
| Felix Pena (R) | v TEX | 120.0 | 22.4 | 8.7 | 13.7 | 1.35 | 4.50 | 1.35 | $6,100 | $7,800 | 97 | 24.4 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | v LAD | 276.7 | 32.1 | 11.7 | 20.4 | 1.30 | 3.32 | 1.22 | $9,800 | $8,900 | 104 | 21.5 |
| Adrian Sampson (R) | at LAA | 11.0 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 2.45 | 4.09 | 1.27 | $4,300 | $5,700 | 112 | 20.5 |
| Luis Severino (R) | at TB | 379.7 | 28.8 | 6.1 | 22.7 | 0.95 | 3.18 | 1.09 | $11,100 | $10,000 | 109 | 22.0 |
| Stephen Strasburg (R) | v MIA | 295.3 | 29.0 | 6.6 | 22.4 | 0.88 | 3.05 | 1.08 | $10,700 | $11,200 | 81 | 22.9 |
| Jameson Taillon (R) | at CHC | 311.7 | 22.1 | 6.7 | 15.4 | 0.84 | 3.75 | 1.31 | $10,500 | $9,600 | 102 | 21.1 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Sandy Alcantara (R) | at WAS | 14.1 | 16.9 | -2.8 | 0.00 | 0.279 | 26.6 | 15.6 | 10.9 | 1.84 | 0.355 |
| Tyler Anderson (L) | v PHI | 22.7 | 6.5 | 16.1 | 1.26 | 0.321 | 21.7 | 7.2 | 14.5 | 1.46 | 0.334 |
| Dylan Bundy (R) | at BOS | 17.7 | 7.9 | 9.9 | 1.59 | 0.355 | 27.8 | 7.3 | 20.4 | 1.74 | 0.314 |
| Diego Castillo (R) | v NYY | 28.6 | 13.1 | 15.5 | 1.27 | 0.264 | 27.4 | 6.2 | 21.2 | 0.31 | 0.231 |
| Dylan Covey (R) | v CLE | 17.0 | 11.3 | 5.8 | 1.68 | 0.361 | 13.0 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 1.52 | 0.362 |
| Zach Eflin (R) | at COL | 15.1 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 2.21 | 0.377 | 18.1 | 4.8 | 13.3 | 1.04 | 0.307 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | v BAL | 18.6 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 1.66 | 0.355 | 19.9 | 4.0 | 15.9 | 1.29 | 0.287 |
| Marco Estrada (R) | v HOU | 21.0 | 7.9 | 13.1 | 1.25 | 0.288 | 20.6 | 9.5 | 11.1 | 1.65 | 0.355 |
| Jack Flaherty (R) | v MIL | 24.2 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 1.14 | 0.287 | 33.5 | 6.8 | 26.8 | 1.33 | 0.286 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | at STL | 21.0 | 11.4 | 9.6 | 1.38 | 0.326 | 21.5 | 8.8 | 12.7 | 1.19 | 0.315 |
| Cole Hamels (L) | v PIT | 19.7 | 9.3 | 10.5 | 0.69 | 0.268 | 22.1 | 8.6 | 13.5 | 1.30 | 0.323 |
| Derek Holland (L) | v SD | 16.3 | 8.7 | 7.6 | 0.59 | 0.263 | 19.6 | 10.0 | 9.6 | 1.66 | 0.363 |
| Clayton Kershaw (L) | at ARI | 29.3 | 2.9 | 26.4 | 1.08 | 0.249 | 28.2 | 4.0 | 24.1 | 0.84 | 0.245 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at TOR | 24.6 | 4.3 | 20.3 | 0.68 | 0.258 | 18.4 | 7.7 | 10.7 | 0.99 | 0.309 |
| Corey Kluber (R) | at CWS | 27.3 | 6.0 | 21.3 | 1.08 | 0.278 | 30.0 | 4.3 | 25.7 | 0.90 | 0.250 |
| Daniel Mengden (R) | at SEA | 17.6 | 5.6 | 12.0 | 1.11 | 0.306 | 17.3 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 1.35 | 0.324 |
| Bryan Mitchell (R) | at SF | 13.9 | 15.6 | -1.7 | 0.89 | 0.367 | 8.0 | 8.6 | -0.6 | 1.26 | 0.366 |
| James Paxton (L) | v OAK | 24.5 | 6.5 | 18.0 | 0.57 | 0.310 | 28.7 | 6.1 | 22.6 | 0.92 | 0.281 |
| Felix Pena (R) | v TEX | 19.6 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 1.13 | 0.338 | 27.2 | 5.3 | 21.9 | 1.56 | 0.299 |
| Robbie Ray (L) | v LAD | 34.8 | 5.8 | 29.0 | 1.03 | 0.271 | 29.2 | 11.9 | 17.3 | 1.38 | 0.322 |
| Adrian Sampson (R) | at LAA | 12.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 3.86 | 0.414 | 8.8 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 2.08 | 0.395 |
| Luis Severino (R) | at TB | 27.5 | 7.5 | 20.0 | 0.99 | 0.302 | 27.6 | 5.6 | 22.0 | 1.07 | 0.280 |
| Stephen Strasburg (R) | v MIA | 28.3 | 8.1 | 20.2 | 0.94 | 0.275 | 30.7 | 5.6 | 25.2 | 0.85 | 0.277 |
| Jameson Taillon (R) | at CHC | 17.9 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 0.87 | 0.332 | 25.5 | 4.0 | 21.5 | 0.94 | 0.290 |
