MLB DFS: Friday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Friday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Friday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Tyler MahleMike MontgomeryCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Dan StrailyGio GonzalezNationals1009889105114989.0-2207:05 PM
    Nick PivettaTrevor WilliamsPirates969710110383948.51007:05 PM
    Sonny GraySam GaviglioBlue Jays991029810110197
    Here's a quick glance at Friday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Tyler MahleMike MontgomeryCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Dan StrailyGio GonzalezNationals1009889105114989.0-2207:05 PM
    Nick PivettaTrevor WilliamsPirates969710110383948.51007:05 PM
    Sonny GraySam GaviglioBlue Jays9910298101101979.01257:07 PM
    Paul BlackburnCarlos CarrascoIndians11411411010298949.0-1907:10 PM
    Bartolo ColonJordan ZimmermannTigers103981041031011049.5-1157:10 PM
    Ryne StanekJacob deGromMets909310190921067.0-1707:10 PM
    Reynaldo LopezLance McCullersAstros8393109941091018.0-3008:10 PM
    Mike FoltynewiczFreddy PeraltaBrewers105103131961081037.5-1358:10 PM
    Dylan BundyLance LynnTwins10510395105113939.0-1358:10 PM
    Chris SaleJason HammelRoyals1031028510276948.02658:15 PM
    Joey LucchesiZack GodleyDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.0-1409:40 PM
    Kenta MaedaDeck McGuireAngels9196919610210910:07 PM
    German MarquezFelix HernandezMariners919610594971048.5-13510:10 PM
    John GantDereck RodriguezGiants90975310074998.5-12510:15 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Paul Blackburn (R)at CLE82.311.36.25.00.774.151.28$4,300$6,10011020.7
    Dylan Bundy (R)at MIN265.723.77.316.41.494.071.20$9,300$9,6009619.5
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v OAK291.327.55.821.70.993.581.12$10,800$10,50011121.6
    Bartolo Colon (R)at DET235.714.04.89.21.835.801.44$5,200$6,5008621.7
    Jacob deGrom (R)v TB 308.729.86.922.80.992.941.13$13,000$12,0009523.1
    Mike Foltynewicz (R)at MIL243.023.79.414.30.963.781.35$10,500$8,80010324.3
    John Gant (R)at SF 56.318.611.27.40.964.151.28$6,300$5,80010523.5
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v NYY122.018.47.810.51.774.201.30$5,100$6,70011522.6
    Zack Godley (R)v SD 247.324.59.814.70.984.001.31$8,600$8,2008624.5
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v MIA291.722.410.012.40.933.211.25$9,500$8,0007622.3
    Sonny Gray (R)at TOR245.021.68.912.71.074.191.31$6,800$7,70010223.3
    Jason Hammel (R)v BOS280.716.86.210.61.195.391.47$4,400$6,30012018.9
    Felix Hernandez (R)v COL187.020.27.712.51.494.761.33$7,500$7,8008423.1
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)at HOU148.016.28.87.41.094.011.30$6,100$6,90011619.1
    Joey Lucchesi (L)at ARI58.025.29.715.51.553.261.22$8,000$7,00010122.9
    Lance Lynn (R)v BAL266.720.511.29.31.184.051.37$6,400$7,3008324.9
    Kenta Maeda (R)at LAA209.326.17.218.91.203.911.20$10,000$9,00011020.0
    Tyler Mahle (R)at CHC111.721.910.211.71.293.631.43$7,20011120.7
    German Marquez (R)at SEA253.021.77.614.11.424.661.40$5,800$7,10011119.8
    Lance McCullers (R)v CWS220.025.88.417.30.743.931.23$11,900$11,3009924.8
    Deck McGuire (R)v LAD30.317.47.69.82.375.341.25$4,100$5,50011521.9
    Mike Montgomery (L)v CIN196.717.89.48.30.733.431.21$7,40010921.1
    Freddy Peralta (R)v ATL27.737.711.326.40.332.280.87$10,200$8,40010019.4
    Nick Pivetta (R)at PIT220.025.58.816.81.555.481.43$8,400$8,1009320.1
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v STL37.020.45.614.80.733.161.32$7,700$8,6009822.8
    Chris Sale (L)at KC 330.336.25.530.70.932.720.94$14,000$12,5008721.8
    Ryne Stanek (R)at NYM47.330.512.817.71.523.611.37$4,000$5,50010322.0
    Dan Straily (R)at WAS241.021.68.712.91.644.371.32$5,600$6,4009721.1
    Trevor Williams (R)v PHI242.018.18.010.10.934.131.27$6,600$6,6009526.0
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)v TEX208.316.25.910.31.475.571.45$6,700$7,5009624.6

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Paul Blackburn (R)at CLE12.27.94.30.440.28510.44.65.81.090.332
    Dylan Bundy (R)at MIN18.77.910.81.390.33727.57.719.81.570.299
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v OAK26.67.119.61.380.30926.64.722.00.860.284
    Bartolo Colon (R)at DET14.25.98.41.640.35215.63.212.41.410.333
    Jacob deGrom (R)v TB 25.37.218.10.800.28830.36.024.21.130.280
    Mike Foltynewicz (R)at MIL22.010.711.31.260.34023.76.417.30.920.297
    John Gant (R)at SF 20.111.28.81.260.31120.59.311.20.920.331
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v NYY15.28.26.91.500.33121.07.513.51.990.346
    Zack Godley (R)v SD 22.611.111.50.960.33223.27.515.61.260.313
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v MIA22.96.516.40.340.25422.39.812.51.110.315
    Sonny Gray (R)at TOR20.58.611.80.840.30720.48.611.81.470.336
    Jason Hammel (R)v BOS18.28.49.81.240.33318.25.213.01.260.326
    Felix Hernandez (R)v COL18.69.88.81.360.33820.27.812.41.300.318
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)at HOU15.59.85.71.500.31919.58.910.60.500.316
    Joey Lucchesi (L)at ARI28.311.317.00.000.26524.39.215.11.970.326
    Lance Lynn (R)v BAL15.014.40.61.620.36025.58.317.20.840.283
    Kenta Maeda (R)at LAA19.59.010.51.250.32331.55.326.21.010.263
    Tyler Mahle (R)at CHC22.516.56.12.220.41021.44.716.70.570.270
    German Marquez (R)at SEA17.98.19.71.050.34224.76.817.91.720.350
    Lance McCullers (R)v CWS30.89.021.70.570.28123.610.213.40.800.327
    Deck McGuire (R)v LAD11.56.64.90.600.23322.58.514.14.110.435
    Mike Montgomery (L)v CIN19.88.611.30.680.28119.09.79.30.750.286
    Freddy Peralta (R)v ATL35.114.021.10.680.27140.88.232.70.000.126
    Nick Pivetta (R)at PIT24.910.114.90.950.32626.17.618.52.100.364
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v STL17.96.411.50.500.33722.64.817.90.950.313
    Chris Sale (L)at KC 32.33.528.70.820.23831.85.626.21.020.271
    Ryne Stanek (R)at NYM34.29.624.70.000.22728.514.613.82.450.356
    Dan Straily (R)at WAS20.711.79.01.200.31521.56.215.31.900.329
    Trevor Williams (R)v PHI15.07.57.51.000.32820.98.512.41.050.304
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)v TEX16.96.010.91.370.33914.65.88.81.390.360

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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