MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
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  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Marcus StromanBrian JohnsonRed Sox11411278109105999.5-1601:05 PM
    Mike MinorMike WrightOrioles106103114101121941:05 PM
    Masahiro TanakaTrevor BauerIndians11411411010298949.0-1401:10 PM
    Jeremy HellicksonCorey OswaltMets90931019092106
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Marcus StromanBrian JohnsonRed Sox11411278109105999.5-1601:05 PM
    Mike MinorMike WrightOrioles106103114101121941:05 PM
    Masahiro TanakaTrevor BauerIndians11411411010298949.0-1401:10 PM
    Jeremy HellicksonCorey OswaltMets909310190921069.01251:10 PM
    Enyel De Los SantosJose UrenaMarlins84938691831037.51151:10 PM
    Jhoulys ChacinJoe MusgrovePirates969710110383948.5-1051:35 PM
    Patrick CorbinJulio TeheranBraves1021061169881988.01051:35 PM
    Burch SmithLucas GiolitoWhite Sox9590122991101069.5-1302:10 PM
    Francisco LirianoJustin VerlanderAstros8393109941091017.5-4102:10 PM
    Ryne StanekFernando RomeroTwins10510395105113932:10 PM
    Anthony DeSclafaniMiles MikolasCardinals911029710082959.0-1602:15 PM
    Mike LeakeTyler AndersonRockies1381211171161188711.5-1403:10 PM
    Sean ManaeaAndrew SuarezGiants90975310074998.0-1254:05 PM
    Jon LesterEric LauerPadres92978597971038.01454:10 PM
    Deck McGuireClayton KershawDodgers909511396901034:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Tyler Anderson (L)v SEA193.722.77.814.91.494.231.27$7,400$011020.7
    Trevor Bauer (R)v NYY305.728.57.920.60.883.361.24$12,000$12,20011422.9
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)at PIT290.019.49.79.70.813.851.29$7,800$7,6009520.0
    Patrick Corbin (L)at ATL306.025.17.417.71.093.681.28$10,900$8,70012219.9
    Enyel De Los Santos (R)at MIA6.323.111.511.50.004.261.26$4,000$5,7009522.1
    Anthony DeSclafani (R)at STL40.719.07.111.92.214.431.23$6,900$6,5009822.3
    Lucas Giolito (R)v KC 142.314.711.13.51.585.251.36$4,600$5,8007920.5
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at NYM221.015.06.28.91.714.931.22$6,700$6,1009922.1
    Brian Johnson (L)v TOR71.718.46.611.71.264.271.48$6,200$5,7008921.0
    Clayton Kershaw (L)v LAA244.028.54.524.01.112.400.98$12,900$10,8008619.0
    Eric Lauer (L)v CHC75.718.79.19.61.314.401.64$4,600$7,40010221.8
    Mike Leake (R)at COL301.715.85.010.81.074.091.30$5,100$08722.9
    Jon Lester (L)at SD 287.021.88.213.61.193.641.26$9,100$8,4009423.5
    Francisco Liriano (L)at HOU173.019.112.56.61.205.251.53$6,400$6,20012718.2
    Sean Manaea (L)at SF 276.319.06.712.31.143.971.23$9,600$7,9009119.6
    Deck McGuire (R)at LAD34.320.08.711.32.104.721.25$4,400$5,50011321.7
    Miles Mikolas (R)v CIN115.317.63.913.70.622.651.01$10,200$8,70010620.2
    Mike Minor (L)at BAL174.323.46.217.21.033.671.12$5,900$6,8008119.6
    Joe Musgrove (R)v MIL154.721.66.115.61.284.481.34$6,600$7,60010624.6
    Corey Oswalt (R)v WAS17.319.28.211.02.086.751.15$5,500$5,50010320.9
    Fernando Romero (R)v TB 51.319.68.511.21.054.381.34$5,200$6,60010422.2
    Burch Smith (R)at CWS41.723.211.911.41.735.831.61$4,000$5,5009625.3
    Ryne Stanek (R)at MIN52.731.412.119.31.373.421.31$4,000$5,50010119.5
    Marcus Stroman (R)at BOS262.019.27.911.30.963.741.36$6,100$6,50012218.5
    Andrew Suarez (L)v OAK84.022.55.617.01.073.751.23$8,800$7,7009823.2
    Masahiro Tanaka (R)at CLE255.325.55.819.71.834.721.21$8,700$8,80011020.2
    Julio Teheran (R)v ARI287.719.89.810.01.534.411.32$6,800$7,6008023.5
    Jose Urena (R)v PHI274.317.27.69.51.183.941.24$6,300$7,0009725.2
    Justin Verlander (R)v DET337.728.07.120.91.042.851.04$13,500$11,7008422.0
    Mike Wright (R)v TEX74.020.28.911.31.225.231.57$4,000$5,5009224.8

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Tyler Anderson (L)v SEA22.97.315.61.220.31321.77.014.61.310.327
    Trevor Bauer (R)v NYY26.38.018.31.000.30624.88.316.40.830.304
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)at PIT14.610.93.71.040.33723.87.816.10.640.281
    Patrick Corbin (L)at ATL30.29.321.01.290.31320.77.713.01.160.328
    Enyel De Los Santos (R)at MIA33.316.716.70.000.11514.37.17.10.000.495
    Anthony DeSclafani (R)at STL20.95.315.61.810.34719.67.312.31.020.282
    Lucas Giolito (R)v KC 11.712.5-0.81.730.36016.79.96.81.790.340
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at NYM16.47.78.71.550.33118.14.513.61.360.305
    Brian Johnson (L)v TOR20.37.213.00.000.25017.86.511.31.660.363
    Clayton Kershaw (L)v LAA30.12.327.80.980.23929.54.025.50.840.242
    Eric Lauer (L)v CHC11.08.22.71.150.37320.89.311.51.350.364
    Mike Leake (R)at COL13.75.58.11.110.32818.33.814.51.010.320
    Jon Lester (L)at SD 27.75.122.60.760.25321.68.213.41.190.303
    Francisco Liriano (L)at HOU23.08.614.40.910.28820.413.07.41.440.356
    Sean Manaea (L)at SF 20.64.316.30.720.25619.47.112.31.290.321
    Deck McGuire (R)at LAD14.57.27.20.530.22924.79.914.83.630.418
    Miles Mikolas (R)v CIN15.23.511.70.900.30420.64.416.20.330.197
    Mike Minor (L)at BAL28.45.123.30.400.23921.76.615.21.260.319
    Joe Musgrove (R)v MIL22.77.215.51.110.34020.75.215.51.430.322
    Corey Oswalt (R)v WAS15.411.53.82.840.32321.36.414.91.640.298
    Fernando Romero (R)v TB 18.36.511.82.080.34620.69.910.70.300.313
    Burch Smith (R)at CWS19.56.513.01.500.36925.915.710.21.900.383
    Ryne Stanek (R)at MIN37.88.529.30.000.21327.714.213.52.250.348
    Marcus Stroman (R)at BOS18.38.310.00.710.31120.36.114.21.180.317
    Andrew Suarez (L)v OAK25.02.422.60.390.20021.76.615.11.340.353
    Masahiro Tanaka (R)at CLE23.04.818.21.410.29823.65.618.01.510.310
    Julio Teheran (R)v ARI16.812.14.61.500.33824.64.120.61.200.278
    Jose Urena (R)v PHI12.37.64.71.320.33121.47.713.71.040.305
    Justin Verlander (R)v DET31.18.522.61.240.27525.35.220.10.970.265
    Mike Wright (R)v TEX18.48.310.11.650.38317.38.58.81.120.340

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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