This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Tyler Mahle | Mike Montgomery | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
| Dan Straily | Gio Gonzalez | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 9.0 | -220 | 7:05 PM |
| Nick Pivetta | Trevor Williams | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 8.5 | 100 | 7:05 PM |
| Sonny Gray | Sam Gaviglio | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | |||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail [email protected].
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Tyler Mahle | Mike Montgomery | Cubs | 98 | 99 | 88 | 98 | 114 | 100 | 2:20 PM | ||
| Dan Straily | Gio Gonzalez | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 9.0 | -220 | 7:05 PM |
| Nick Pivetta | Trevor Williams | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 8.5 | 100 | 7:05 PM |
| Sonny Gray | Sam Gaviglio | Blue Jays | 99 | 102 | 98 | 101 | 101 | 97 | 9.0 | 125 | 7:07 PM |
| Paul Blackburn | Carlos Carrasco | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 9.0 | -190 | 7:10 PM |
| Bartolo Colon | Jordan Zimmermann | Tigers | 103 | 98 | 104 | 103 | 101 | 104 | 9.5 | -115 | 7:10 PM |
| Ryne Stanek | Jacob deGrom | Mets | 90 | 93 | 101 | 90 | 92 | 106 | 7.0 | -170 | 7:10 PM |
| Reynaldo Lopez | Lance McCullers | Astros | 83 | 93 | 109 | 94 | 109 | 101 | 8.0 | -300 | 8:10 PM |
| Mike Foltynewicz | Freddy Peralta | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 7.5 | -135 | 8:10 PM |
| Dylan Bundy | Lance Lynn | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 9.0 | -135 | 8:10 PM |
| Chris Sale | Jason Hammel | Royals | 103 | 102 | 85 | 102 | 76 | 94 | 8.0 | 265 | 8:15 PM |
| Joey Lucchesi | Zack Godley | Diamondbacks | 116 | 109 | 106 | 105 | 111 | 100 | 8.0 | -140 | 9:40 PM |
| Kenta Maeda | Deck McGuire | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 10:07 PM | ||
| German Marquez | Felix Hernandez | Mariners | 91 | 96 | 105 | 94 | 97 | 104 | 8.5 | -135 | 10:10 PM |
| John Gant | Dereck Rodriguez | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 8.5 | -125 | 10:15 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn (R) | at CLE | 82.3 | 11.3 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 0.77 | 4.15 | 1.28 | $4,300 | $6,100 | 110 | 20.7 |
| Dylan Bundy (R) | at MIN | 265.7 | 23.7 | 7.3 | 16.4 | 1.49 | 4.07 | 1.20 | $9,300 | $9,600 | 96 | 19.5 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | v OAK | 291.3 | 27.5 | 5.8 | 21.7 | 0.99 | 3.58 | 1.12 | $10,800 | $10,500 | 111 | 21.6 |
| Bartolo Colon (R) | at DET | 235.7 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 9.2 | 1.83 | 5.80 | 1.44 | $5,200 | $6,500 | 86 | 21.7 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | v TB | 308.7 | 29.8 | 6.9 | 22.8 | 0.99 | 2.94 | 1.13 | $13,000 | $12,000 | 95 | 23.1 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | at MIL | 243.0 | 23.7 | 9.4 | 14.3 | 0.96 | 3.78 | 1.35 | $10,500 | $8,800 | 103 | 24.3 |
| John Gant (R) | at SF | 56.3 | 18.6 | 11.2 | 7.4 | 0.96 | 4.15 | 1.28 | $6,300 | $5,800 | 105 | 23.5 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | v NYY | 122.0 | 18.4 | 7.8 | 10.5 | 1.77 | 4.20 | 1.30 | $5,100 | $6,700 | 115 | 22.6 |
| Zack Godley (R) | v SD | 247.3 | 24.5 | 9.8 | 14.7 | 0.98 | 4.00 | 1.31 | $8,600 | $8,200 | 86 | 24.5 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | v MIA | 291.7 | 22.4 | 10.0 | 12.4 | 0.93 | 3.21 | 1.25 | $9,500 | $8,000 | 76 | 22.3 |
| Sonny Gray (R) | at TOR | 245.0 | 21.6 | 8.9 | 12.7 | 1.07 | 4.19 | 1.31 | $6,800 | $7,700 | 102 | 23.3 |
| Jason Hammel (R) | v BOS | 280.7 | 16.8 | 6.2 | 10.6 | 1.19 | 5.39 | 1.47 | $4,400 | $6,300 | 120 | 18.9 |
| Felix Hernandez (R) | v COL | 187.0 | 20.2 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 1.49 | 4.76 | 1.33 | $7,500 | $7,800 | 84 | 23.1 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (R) | at HOU | 148.0 | 16.2 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 1.09 | 4.01 | 1.30 | $6,100 | $6,900 | 116 | 19.1 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | at ARI | 58.0 | 25.2 | 9.7 | 15.5 | 1.55 | 3.26 | 1.22 | $8,000 | $7,000 | 101 | 22.9 |
| Lance Lynn (R) | v BAL | 266.7 | 20.5 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 1.18 | 4.05 | 1.37 | $6,400 | $7,300 | 83 | 24.9 |
| Kenta Maeda (R) | at LAA | 209.3 | 26.1 | 7.2 | 18.9 | 1.20 | 3.91 | 1.20 | $10,000 | $9,000 | 110 | 20.0 |
| Tyler Mahle (R) | at CHC | 111.7 | 21.9 | 10.2 | 11.7 | 1.29 | 3.63 | 1.43 | $7,200 | 111 | 20.7 | |
| German Marquez (R) | at SEA | 253.0 | 21.7 | 7.6 | 14.1 | 1.42 | 4.66 | 1.40 | $5,800 | $7,100 | 111 | 19.8 |
| Lance McCullers (R) | v CWS | 220.0 | 25.8 | 8.4 | 17.3 | 0.74 | 3.93 | 1.23 | $11,900 | $11,300 | 99 | 24.8 |
| Deck McGuire (R) | v LAD | 30.3 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 9.8 | 2.37 | 5.34 | 1.25 | $4,100 | $5,500 | 115 | 21.9 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | v CIN | 196.7 | 17.8 | 9.4 | 8.3 | 0.73 | 3.43 | 1.21 | $7,400 | 109 | 21.1 | |
| Freddy Peralta (R) | v ATL | 27.7 | 37.7 | 11.3 | 26.4 | 0.33 | 2.28 | 0.87 | $10,200 | $8,400 | 100 | 19.4 |
| Nick Pivetta (R) | at PIT | 220.0 | 25.5 | 8.8 | 16.8 | 1.55 | 5.48 | 1.43 | $8,400 | $8,100 | 93 | 20.1 |
| Dereck Rodriguez (R) | v STL | 37.0 | 20.4 | 5.6 | 14.8 | 0.73 | 3.16 | 1.32 | $7,700 | $8,600 | 98 | 22.8 |
| Chris Sale (L) | at KC | 330.3 | 36.2 | 5.5 | 30.7 | 0.93 | 2.72 | 0.94 | $14,000 | $12,500 | 87 | 21.8 |
| Ryne Stanek (R) | at NYM | 47.3 | 30.5 | 12.8 | 17.7 | 1.52 | 3.61 | 1.37 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 103 | 22.0 |
| Dan Straily (R) | at WAS | 241.0 | 21.6 | 8.7 | 12.9 | 1.64 | 4.37 | 1.32 | $5,600 | $6,400 | 97 | 21.1 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | v PHI | 242.0 | 18.1 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 0.93 | 4.13 | 1.27 | $6,600 | $6,600 | 95 | 26.0 |
| Jordan Zimmermann (R) | v TEX | 208.3 | 16.2 | 5.9 | 10.3 | 1.47 | 5.57 | 1.45 | $6,700 | $7,500 | 96 | 24.6 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Paul Blackburn (R) | at CLE | 12.2 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 0.44 | 0.285 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 1.09 | 0.332 |
| Dylan Bundy (R) | at MIN | 18.7 | 7.9 | 10.8 | 1.39 | 0.337 | 27.5 | 7.7 | 19.8 | 1.57 | 0.299 |
| Carlos Carrasco (R) | v OAK | 26.6 | 7.1 | 19.6 | 1.38 | 0.309 | 26.6 | 4.7 | 22.0 | 0.86 | 0.284 |
| Bartolo Colon (R) | at DET | 14.2 | 5.9 | 8.4 | 1.64 | 0.352 | 15.6 | 3.2 | 12.4 | 1.41 | 0.333 |
| Jacob deGrom (R) | v TB | 25.3 | 7.2 | 18.1 | 0.80 | 0.288 | 30.3 | 6.0 | 24.2 | 1.13 | 0.280 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | at MIL | 22.0 | 10.7 | 11.3 | 1.26 | 0.340 | 23.7 | 6.4 | 17.3 | 0.92 | 0.297 |
| John Gant (R) | at SF | 20.1 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 1.26 | 0.311 | 20.5 | 9.3 | 11.2 | 0.92 | 0.331 |
| Sam Gaviglio (R) | v NYY | 15.2 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 1.50 | 0.331 | 21.0 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 1.99 | 0.346 |
| Zack Godley (R) | v SD | 22.6 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 0.96 | 0.332 | 23.2 | 7.5 | 15.6 | 1.26 | 0.313 |
| Gio Gonzalez (L) | v MIA | 22.9 | 6.5 | 16.4 | 0.34 | 0.254 | 22.3 | 9.8 | 12.5 | 1.11 | 0.315 |
| Sonny Gray (R) | at TOR | 20.5 | 8.6 | 11.8 | 0.84 | 0.307 | 20.4 | 8.6 | 11.8 | 1.47 | 0.336 |
| Jason Hammel (R) | v BOS | 18.2 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 1.24 | 0.333 | 18.2 | 5.2 | 13.0 | 1.26 | 0.326 |
| Felix Hernandez (R) | v COL | 18.6 | 9.8 | 8.8 | 1.36 | 0.338 | 20.2 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 1.30 | 0.318 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (R) | at HOU | 15.5 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 1.50 | 0.319 | 19.5 | 8.9 | 10.6 | 0.50 | 0.316 |
| Joey Lucchesi (L) | at ARI | 28.3 | 11.3 | 17.0 | 0.00 | 0.265 | 24.3 | 9.2 | 15.1 | 1.97 | 0.326 |
| Lance Lynn (R) | v BAL | 15.0 | 14.4 | 0.6 | 1.62 | 0.360 | 25.5 | 8.3 | 17.2 | 0.84 | 0.283 |
| Kenta Maeda (R) | at LAA | 19.5 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 1.25 | 0.323 | 31.5 | 5.3 | 26.2 | 1.01 | 0.263 |
| Tyler Mahle (R) | at CHC | 22.5 | 16.5 | 6.1 | 2.22 | 0.410 | 21.4 | 4.7 | 16.7 | 0.57 | 0.270 |
| German Marquez (R) | at SEA | 17.9 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 1.05 | 0.342 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 17.9 | 1.72 | 0.350 |
| Lance McCullers (R) | v CWS | 30.8 | 9.0 | 21.7 | 0.57 | 0.281 | 23.6 | 10.2 | 13.4 | 0.80 | 0.327 |
| Deck McGuire (R) | v LAD | 11.5 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 0.60 | 0.233 | 22.5 | 8.5 | 14.1 | 4.11 | 0.435 |
| Mike Montgomery (L) | v CIN | 19.8 | 8.6 | 11.3 | 0.68 | 0.281 | 19.0 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 0.75 | 0.286 |
| Freddy Peralta (R) | v ATL | 35.1 | 14.0 | 21.1 | 0.68 | 0.271 | 40.8 | 8.2 | 32.7 | 0.00 | 0.126 |
| Nick Pivetta (R) | at PIT | 24.9 | 10.1 | 14.9 | 0.95 | 0.326 | 26.1 | 7.6 | 18.5 | 2.10 | 0.364 |
| Dereck Rodriguez (R) | v STL | 17.9 | 6.4 | 11.5 | 0.50 | 0.337 | 22.6 | 4.8 | 17.9 | 0.95 | 0.313 |
| Chris Sale (L) | at KC | 32.3 | 3.5 | 28.7 | 0.82 | 0.238 | 31.8 | 5.6 | 26.2 | 1.02 | 0.271 |
| Ryne Stanek (R) | at NYM | 34.2 | 9.6 | 24.7 | 0.00 | 0.227 | 28.5 | 14.6 | 13.8 | 2.45 | 0.356 |
| Dan Straily (R) | at WAS | 20.7 | 11.7 | 9.0 | 1.20 | 0.315 | 21.5 | 6.2 | 15.3 | 1.90 | 0.329 |
| Trevor Williams (R) | v PHI | 15.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 1.00 | 0.328 | 20.9 | 8.5 | 12.4 | 1.05 | 0.304 |
| Jordan Zimmermann (R) | v TEX | 16.9 | 6.0 | 10.9 | 1.37 | 0.339 | 14.6 | 5.8 | 8.8 | 1.39 | 0.360 |
